🏀 NBA Finals MVP Odds 2026: Why SGA is Undeniable
📡 SBR Edge: Grab SGA while you still can in Conference Finals
As we are into the conference finals, our 2026 NBA Finals MVP odds break down who is favored to take home the Finals MVP award. Weβre breaking down the odds for Shai Gilgeous-Alexander (+100), Victor Wembanyama (+230), Jalen Brunson (+500), and several other contenders as we analyze the NBA Finals MVP market, identify the best betting value, and examine the latest odds movement and insights.
π NBA Finals MVP odds 2026
Our NBA Finals MVP odds update in real time based on the latest NBA odds.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander enters as the +100 favorite to win NBA Finals MVP for the second consecutive season. Victor Wembanyama holds the second-best odds at +340, while Jalen Brunson sits third on the board at +750.
Beyond those three, the odds drop off considerably. Donovan Mitchell is listed at +3500, followed by Karl-Anthony Towns at +4500. If the Oklahoma City Thunder win the title and Gilgeous-Alexander does not capture Finals MVP, the next most likely candidates from Oklahoma City are Chet Holmgren at +6000 and Jalen Williams at +8000. However, I do expect that if the Thunder win, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander will also win. NBA Finals MVP odds 2026.
🏀 Additional Finals MVP predictions
Our Corey Scott wrote about Victor Wembanyama winning the award in his NBA Finals MVP odds 2026.
π° Best NBA Finals MVP bet
See all of our experts' NBA picks.
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander to win Finals MVP (+100)
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the clear favorite (+100) via FanDuel to win NBA Finals MVP because he remains the engine of the Oklahoma City Thunder offense and consistently delivers in the biggest moments. His ability to score at all three levels, create offense late in games, and control tempo makes him the most impactful player on the floor every night.
If Oklahoma City wins the championship, it is hard to envision anyone else leading the team statistically and emotionally throughout the series. With his elite playoff production and growing national spotlight, Gilgeous-Alexander is in the perfect position to capture the award again this season.
π€ NBA Finals MVP betting insights
Betting insights via BetMGM, current as of May 18.
| Player π | Current odds π | Ticket % ποΈ | Handle % π° |
|---|---|---|---|
| Victor Wembanyama | +350 | 11.8% | 8.6% |
| Jalen Brunson | +750 | 9.4% | 12.3% |
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | -150 | 8.3% | 18.5% |
| LeBron James | Off the board (OTB) | 8% | 2.9% |
| Karl-Anthony Towns | +4000 | 5.2% | 3.4% |
| Joel Embiid | OTB | 5.2% | 3.1% |
| Jayson Tatum | OTB | 4.9% | 5.2% |
| Donovan Mitchell | +3300 | 4.5% | 1.2% |
| Stephon Castle | +10000 | 4.5% | 2.7% |
| Anthony Edwards | OTB | 4.2% | 3% |
From a handle perspective, the worst outcome for BetMGM would be Shai Gilgeous-Alexander winning Finals MVP. Although he makes up only 8.3% of total tickets - trailing both Victor Wembanyama and Jalen Brunson - he commands 18.5% of the overall handle, more than double Wembanyamaβs 8.6%.
While Wembanyama currently leads the market in ticket percentage at 11.8%, he ranks only third in total handle behind Gilgeous-Alexander and Brunson. That suggests the biggest wagers are backing Gilgeous-Alexander, with notable support also coming in for Brunson ahead of the conference finals. Meanwhile, Donovan Mitchell owns the fourth-shortest odds but accounts for only 1.2% of the handle.
π’ NBA Finals MVP opening odds
Odds via FanDuel.
- Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: +230
- Nikola Jokic: +900
- Donovan Mitchell: +1000
- Jalen Brunson: +1200
- Luka Doncic: +1700
- Kevin Durant: +1800
- Anthony Edwards: +2200
- Kawhi Leonard: +2500
- Paolo Banchero: +2700
- Evan Mobley: +3000
π NBA Finals MVP past award winners
| Team | Year | Playoff odds |
|---|---|---|
| Shai Gilgeous-Alexander | 2025 | +1000 |
| Jaylen Brown | 2024 | +700 |
| Nikola Jokic | 2023 | -350 |
| Stephen Curry | 2022 | -110 |
| Giannis Antetokounmpo | 2021 | +275 |
| LeBron James | 2020 | -160 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2019 | +245 |
| Kevin Durant | 2018 | -135 |
| Kevin Durant | 2017 | +190 |
| LeBron James | 2016 | +225 |
| Andre Iguodala | 2015 | +12500 |
| Kawhi Leonard | 2014 | +1800 |
| LeBron James | 2013 | -250 |
β NBA Finals MVP FAQs
Who is the favorite to win NBA Finals MVP this season?
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the betting favorite to win NBA Finals MVP at +100 odds.
Who won NBA Finals MVP last year?
Oklahoma City Thunder guard Shai Gilgeous-Alexander won NBA Finals MVP last season.
When will the 2026 NBA Finals MVP be announced?
The NBA Finals MVP award will be announced following the conclusion of the 2026 NBA Finals in June.
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