We're diving into our favorite NBA player props and the best bets for Friday, based on the best NBA odds, with an eye on Denver Nuggets star Nikola Jokic.
It was a busy day in the NBA on Thursday, with nine games following a quiet but still entertaining trade deadline that had a notable impact on the latest NBA Finals odds. Friday's slate features just six games, but there's no shortage of value in the player props market.
Tyrese Maxey and the Philadelphia 76ers get one of the most favorable draws in the league with a matchup against the Atlanta Hawks, whose defense remains exploitable even after keeping Dejounte Murray at the deadline.
Meanwhile, Kyle Kuzma and the shorthanded Washington Wizards head to TD Garden to face the Boston Celtics, and he should take on an expanded role as a rebounder. Rookie Amen Thompson is expected to start Friday as the Houston Rockets travel north to face the Toronto Raptors.
Finally, we’ll target a matchup between the NBA’s leaders in triple-doubles when Nikola Jokic and the Denver Nuggets face Domantas Sabonis and the Sacramento Kings on the road.
Here are our NBA player props and best bets for Friday (odds via our best NBA betting sites; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Friday’s NBA schedule and odds
(Odds via DraftKings)
- Atlanta Hawks vs. Philadelphia 76ers | Spread: Pacers -6.5 | Total: 251.5
- Washington Wizards vs. Boston Celtics | Spread: Magic -10 | Total: 224.5
- Houston Rockets vs. Toronto Raptors | Spread: Cavaliers -6 | Total: 224.5
- Charlotte Hornets vs. Milwaukee Bucks | Spread: Mavericks -4.5 | Total: 230.5
- Denver Nuggets vs. Sacramento Kings | Spread: Bulls -5.5 | Total: 214
- New Orleans Pelicans vs. Los Angeles Lakers | Spread: Bucks -1 | Total: 228
Friday’s NBA best bets
- Tyrese Maxey Over 29.5 points vs. Hawks (+120 via FanDuel) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
- Kyle Kuzma double-double vs. Celtics (+260 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
- Amen Thompson Over 27.5 PRA vs. Raptors (-120 via DraftKings) ⭐⭐⭐
- Nikola Jokic triple-double vs. Kings (+165 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
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Friday’s NBA player props
You bet on your guards against Atlanta. Until the Hawks start playing some defense and prove us otherwise, we’re going to keep making this bet. Over their last seven, the Hawks have given up 60 to Steph Curry, 73 to Luka Doncic, and 30 apiece to Kawhi Leonard and James Harden.
The Sixers are not a team with multiple quality scorers, and Maxey should be expected to have his way with Atlanta. In his last two games against the Hawks, Maxey scored 35 and 30 points, and we’ll certainly bet the Over on his alt points prop in this one.
The Hawks have overtaken the Wizards as the most generous defense in the Association, allowing a whopping 124 points per game, including 136 across their last three.
This looks to be as close to a lock as we can provide for Friday’s best bets.
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Kuzma is averaging a career-high 21.9 points per game for Washington this season, but he’s grabbing his lowest rebound total in three seasons, at just 6.4 per tilt. On Friday, he should be far more active on the glass thanks to several key absences.
Daniel Gafford was traded to the Dallas Mavericks on Thursday, and Marvin Bagley III is out. Newcomer Richaun Holmes may be available to make his Wizards debut, but that’s certainly not a guarantee.
With both Gafford and Bagley unavailable, Kuzma should see some extra run at center, which would translate to plenty of additional rebounds.
Despite Boston’s reputation as a strong defensive team that protects the paint, the Celtics allow the 11th-most rebounds to opponents, and if Jayson Tatum (illness) is unable to suit up, additional rebounding opportunities should open up for Kuzma in what would be an even more favorable matchup.
We won’t sweat him getting to 10-plus points, but we’ll take the plus-money action on a double-double here as he should have no problem reaching double-digit boards.
Thompson has started to come alive over the last two weeks, and he’s been great in his two starts. Both of his starts came in games that Fred VanVleet sat out, and VanVleet will be sidelined again on Friday. In those starts, Thompson cruised past this line both times, averaging 32 PRA and 33 minutes.
We can expect big minutes again on Friday, which bodes well for him cashing. In six games with at least 23 minutes played, Thompson has averaged 13.7 points, 9.0 rebounds, and 5.3 assists, good for 28 PRA.
He’s hit this mark three times and missed it by a hook with 27 in one other contest. Friday's matchup with Toronto is certainly not one to fear from a defensive standpoint, so we’ll take the Over on this promising rookie.
Nikola Jokic triple-double vs. Kings (+165 via bet365) ⭐⭐⭐
It wouldn’t be surprising if both Jokic and Sabonis compiled triple-doubles on Friday, but we’re banking on the Joker here.
Over the last two seasons, Jokic has averaged 32 points, 9.7 rebounds, and 10.3 assists in three games against Sacramento, including two head-to-head with Sabonis. Jokic went for 36/13/14 at Sacramento when these teams first squared off this season.
The big man has been hot over his last four, too, averaging 26.3 points, 14.8 rebounds, and 10 assists and posting two triple-doubles.
Jokic is always a triple-double threat, but the usual hang-up comes in the assists department, rather than rebounds. However, Sacramento allows the ninth-most assists per contest at 27.6 overall, and it allows the fifth-most dimes at home with 28.
We’ll take the plus-money odds on Jokic adding to his league-leading (tied with Sabonis) 15 triple-doubles.
NBA best bets made Friday at 11:25 a.m. ET
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