Belgian Grand Prix Odds, Favorites 2026: F1 Picks & Best Bets
Charles Leclerc won his first race of the season at the British Grand Prix, and he'll be hoping his excellent form continues in Sunday's Belgian GP (9 a.m. ET, ESPN). I'm backing him to win for the first time in four races in my Belgian Grand Prix odds and favorites, and I'm confident either Mercedes or Ferrari will secure the victory, given the layout of Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps in Stavelot, Belgium.
Kimi Antonelli, whose chances of winning at Silverstone went by the wayside due to a car issue, is the betting favorite.
📊 Belgian Grand Prix odds 2026
Top Belgian Grand Prix odds to win Sunday's race, via BetMGM; subject to change.
| Driver | American Odds | Implied Probability | Profit on $10 Bet |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kimi Antonelli | +150 | 40% | $15 |
| George Russell | +300 | 25% | $30 |
| Lewis Hamilton | +350 | 22.22% | $35 |
| Charles Leclerc | +650 | 13.33% | $65 |
| Max Verstappen | +1100 | 8.33% | $110 |
| Lando Norris | +1600 | 5.88% | $160 |
| Oscar Piastri | +2500 | 3.85% | $250 |
| Isack Hadjar | +8000 | 1.23% | $800 |
All other drivers are trading at +10000 or longer.
🏁 Early pick to win Belgian Grand Prix
Kimi Antonelli (+150) ⭐⭐⭐⭐
Antonelli is looking for his first victory in four races, with the Italian finishing 16th, third, and 15th in the last three. Those results are misleading, though, as car issues have derailed Antonelli in his recent sour patch.
He had an excellent race for the most part at the British Grand Prix, chasing Charles Leclerc for first place when the W17 let him down again. Car issues aside, he's been consistently better than teammate George Russell.
And like Silverstone, Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps is renowned for long straightaways, which favors the W17, albeit only slightly over Ferrari's balance and efficiency.
💰 Early picks & best bets for Belgian Grand Prix
Here's a look at the best alternatives on the board looking ahead to Sunday's race:
Lewis Hamilton (+350)
Lewis Hamilton finished on the podium in four of the previous five races, securing first or second place three times. He finished third at Silverstone, one of the rare occurrences in which Leclerc out-paced and out-performed him.
I'm confident Ferrari will have another excellent showing, as Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps is in many ways like Silverstone. While Mercedes has the power advantage, Ferrari's SF-26 is more efficient and aerodynamic, enabling better energy conservation.
It will take a perfect race for Hamilton to win, but he's confident enough to pull it off.
George Russell (+300)
George Russell took full advantage of Antonelli's car troubles in the latter stages of the British GP. He also stayed on the track when other cars pitted, providing the ability to leapfrog Hamilton and secure second place.
Russell finished first or second in the last three races and is back near the peak of his power. While he has every chance of winning for the second time in three races, I give the slight edge to Antonelli.
Charles Leclerc (+650)
Leclerc won his first race of the season at Silverstone, and he was excellent value for the victory. Leclerc shot out of the starting gate to take first place and never really wavered. It was his first podium finish in six races, a platform from which to ascend.
With the track favoring Mercedes and Ferrari, I like Leclerc after such an indomitable performance at the British GP. Whether he can put consecutive excellent performances together is the looming question.
🏆 Past Belgian Grand Prix winners
| Year | Driver | Team |
|---|---|---|
| 2025 | Oscar Piastri | McLaren-Mercedes |
| 2024 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2023 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda RBPT |
| 2022 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-RBPT |
| 2021 | Max Verstappen | Red Bull Racing-Honda |
| 2020 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2019 | Charles Leclerc | Ferrari |
| 2018 | Sebastian Vettel | Ferrari |
| 2017 | Lewis Hamilton | Mercedes |
| 2016 | Nico Rosberg | Mercedes |
🗓️ 2026 Belgian Grand Prix schedule
- Practice 1: Friday, July 17 @ 7:30 a.m. ET
- Practice 2: Friday, July 17 @ 11 a.m. ET
- Practice 3: Saturday, July 18 @ 6:30 a.m. ET
- Qualifying: Saturday, July 18 @ 10 a.m. ET
- Race: Sunday, July 19 @ 9 a.m. ET
📺 How to watch 2026 Belgian Grand Prix
- Date: Sunday, July 19
- Time: 9 a.m. ET
- Location: Circuit de Spa-Francorchamps (Stavelot, Belgium)
- How to watch: ESPN
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