North Texas vs. UTSA Picks, Predictions College Football Week 14: Who'll Win Conference USA Title?
The Conference USA title is up for grabs in Friday's Championship Game between the North Texas Mean Green and UTSA Roadrunners on Friday night. Read on for our North Texas-UTSA college football picks and predictions.
The Roadrunners needed a touchdown with 15 seconds remaining to pull off the 31-27 win when these two teams met earlier in the season.
The Mean Green are 3-1 since that game, with their only loss coming against the UAB Blazers. Meanwhile, the Roadrunners have won nine straight, and they're looking for a second consecutive Conference USA title.
Here are our North Texas-UTSA college football picks for Week 14 (odds via FanDuel Sportsbook, and PointsBet; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Check out our college football best bets and all of our top picks for Week 14!
North Texas vs. UTSA Game Info
Date: Friday, Dec. 2, 7:30 p.m. ET
TV: CBS Sports
Location: Alamodome, San Antonio, TX
Weather: Dome
North Texas vs. UTSA Odds
North Texas vs. UTSA Odds Analysis
The Roadrunners opened as 7.5-point favorites, but bettors didn't take North Texas despite the Mean Green getting the hook. Instead, the consensus line has moved to UTSA -8.5 as of Friday morning. The Roadrunners have drawn 51% of the tickets and 50% of the handle.
The total opened at 65.5. It's risen all the way to a consensus line of 70, despite the low-scoring first meeting between these two teams. The Over is getting 80% of the cash and 72% of the tickets.
North Texas vs. UTSA Picks
North Texas vs. UTSA ATS Pick
North Texas +8.5 (-110) ★★★
The Mean Green’s latest result against the Rice Owls doesn’t lead to much confidence in them heading into the Conference USA title game. However, the Roadrunners haven't been as dominant as their record suggests. They’re just 6-6 against the spread in 2022, and they won five of their 10 games by six or fewer points.
During a game like this one, take whichever team is on the right side of the key number of seven. That's the Mean Green right now as 8.5-point underdogs. They're getting too many points for a game between two teams that are actually quite evenly matched.
North Texas vs. UTSA O/U Pick
Over 68.5 (-106) ★★★★
The total only reached 58 during the first game between these teams in 2022, and even that was lucky. The two schools combined for 35 fourth-quarter points and 21 points in the final 2:36, turning a defensive struggle into a shootout. But the defensive nature of that first game was an outlier for both squads.
While the Roadrunners’ defense been producing brilliant games and others when the unit looks terrible, there's been one consistent element: their offense scores. UTSA has registered 30-plus points in every game aside from when Texas beat the Roadrunners 41-20. The Mean Green are not the Longhorns.
The Roadrunners will score 30-plus points like they have all season, and whether the Over hits will then come down to how well the Mean Green do offensively. They're averaging 34.5 points per game, which is only a field goal behind the Roadrunners.
North Texas vs. UTSA Prop Pick
UTSA team total Over 38.5 points (-113) ★★★
The Roadrunners have scored 40-plus points in three of their last four games. Though the Mean Green's defense has been solid for the last month or so, the unit did allow 41 points to UAB. North Texas also plays against some of the conference's weakest offenses.
The Mean Green are allowing 30-plus points per game in 2022. That's not a good look for them while going up against Frank Harris and the Roadrunners. UTSA won’t be taking the Mean Green for granted since they almost lost to them at home in late October. Expect both teams to score plenty.
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North Texas-UTSA picks made 11/30/2022 at 8:24 a.m. ET
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