Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama Picks, Predictions College Football Week 3: Crimson Tide Get Right Against Warhawks
Alabama is lucky to be undefeated after a narrow win over Texas in Week 2, and as a result, the Crimson Tide dropped from the top spot in the AP Top 25. We dive into Alabama's Week 3 matchup with Louisiana-Monroe and provide our top picks for a projected blowout.
Alabama was nearly upset by Texas as a 21-point favorite last week but held on for a 20-19 victory. Having dropped from atop the AP poll, the pressure is now on the Crimson Tide to make a statement against lowly ULM.
The Warhawks are 1-1, but they have yet to play a team that is equal in caliber to them. They were blown out 52-10 in Week 1 by the same Texas team Alabama was projected to beat by 21. Then they followed that with a 35-7 win over Nicholls State in Week 2. As we all saw last week, Texas and Alabama are evenly matched, so can the Warhawks cover seven touchdowns against the Crimson Tide?
Here are our Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama college football picks for Week 3 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).
Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama Week 3 Game Info
Date: Saturday, Sept. 17, 4 p.m. ET
TV: SEC Network
Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium, Tuscaloosa, AL
Weather: 89 degrees, 5% chance of precipitation, 10-mph winds
Louisana-Monroe vs. Alabama Odds Analysis
Though 81% of ATS tickets are laying the many points with Alabama, those bets account for just 49% of the betting handle as the sharp money seems to be on the heavy underdog. As a result, the opening line of Alabama -50 has dropped slightly to 49.5.
There's a similar split on the Over/Under where 68% of tickets on the Over account for a more modest 56% of the handle. The consensus line has still been bumped up from 60.5 to 61.5.
Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama Week 3 Picks
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Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama ATS Pick
Alabama -49.5 (-110) ★★★
The Crimson Tide didn’t lose in Week 2, yet it almost feels like they did. Most teams would be more than content to escape a road contest with another Power 5 school with a win, but after finding a way, it seems people are more willing to bury the Crimson Tide’s National Championship chances.
This week, Alabama will get right against a far inferior opponent. QB Bryce Young threw five touchdowns and ran for one against Utah State in Week 1. It’s hard to imagine the Warhawks’ defense stopping him. The only thing preventing Alabama from covering in this one is a late touchdown from Louisiana-Monroe. Though without much of a passing attack, it’s hard to envision the Warhawks moving the ball much at all.
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Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama O/U Pick
Over 60.5 (-110) ★★
The Under is 2-0 in games played by Alabama, yet the Over deserves consideration because of how last week went. The Crimson Tide will have absolutely no problem moving the ball against the Warhawks, but will head coach Nick Saban keep his starters in for the entirety of the contest? With SEC play on the horizon and a lackluster performance fresh in his mind, it’s likely he will.
It would be nice if the Warhawks could score just one touchdown in this game. If they do, this total is easily going over. But even if they don’t, Young and Alabama should be able to cover this number.
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Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama Prop Pick
Alabama first-half spread: -31 (-110) ★★★★
When the Crimson Tide are in a mismatch, they dominate the first half before pumping the brakes in the second. This week’s storyline may be slightly different, as Saban may elect to keep his foot on the throttle in the second half after last week’s performance. Yet, no matter what happens after the interval, Alabama is going to absolutely obliterate the Warhawks in the first half.
Look for this game to follow a similar pattern to that of the Utah State matchup in Week 1. In that game, Alabama led 41-0 at halftime, and that was with two drives having to settle for field goals.
Where to Bet on Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama Picks
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Louisiana-Monroe vs. Alabama Week 3 picks made 9/14/2022 at 12:54 p.m. ET
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