College Football Week 9 AI Predictions: ATS Picks & Score Projections for Top 25 Games
Following another upset-filled weekend across the country, our college football AI predictions for Week 9 feature projected scores and against-the-spread picks for 25 of the most intriguing games on the schedule.
The Week 9 slate is headlined by No. 2 Ohio State visiting USC and the annual Florida-Georgia rivalry, while No. 22 Arizona faces No. 13 Texas Tech in a major Big 12 showdown. Other notable matchups include Utah at Cincinnati, Northwestern at Oregon, and Auburn at Ole Miss.
The AI projections consider recent performance, advanced metrics, roster strength, injuries, matchup advantages, home-field edge, and current market movement. All ATS selections use Kalshi's college football spread contracts as of Thursday, October 29.
Follow all of SBR's college football picks throughout the season and check the latest college football odds before kickoff.
College Football Week 9 AI predictions
| Date | Kickoff (ET) | Prediction | ATS pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| Thu., Oct. 29 | 7:30 p.m. | James Madison 38, Troy 17 | James Madison -17.5 |
| Thu., Oct. 29 | 7:30 p.m. | North Texas 38, FAU 28 | FAU +14.5 |
| Fri., Oct. 30 | 7:30 p.m. | UCF 31, Baylor 27 | UCF -1.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | Noon | Texas Tech 27, Arizona 24 | Arizona +3.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | Noon | Wisconsin 20, Iowa 17 | Iowa +3.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | Noon | Duke 27, Boston College 21 | Boston College +7.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | Noon | SMU 38, Syracuse 20 | SMU -14.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | Noon | Notre Dame 38, Navy 13 | Navy +30.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 12:45 p.m. | Ole Miss 31, Auburn 20 | Auburn +13.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 2 p.m. | Kansas State 30, Colorado 24 | Kansas State +1.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 3:30 p.m. | BYU 31, Arizona State 21 | Arizona State +16.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 3:30 p.m. | Georgia 30, Florida 24 | Florida +11.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 3:30 p.m. | Indiana 31, Minnesota 17 | Minnesota +20.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 3:30 p.m. | TCU 31, Kansas 24 | TCU -5.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 3:30 p.m. | Northwestern 24, Oregon 21 | Northwestern +3.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 3:45 p.m. | Utah 27, Cincinnati 20 | Cincinnati +6.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 3:45 p.m. | Wake Forest 38, Virginia 20 | Wake Forest -11.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 4:15 p.m. | South Carolina 27, Oklahoma 24 | South Carolina +4.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 7 p.m. | Oklahoma State 34, Iowa State 17 | Oklahoma State -9.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 7 p.m. | Florida State 27, Clemson 23 | Clemson +6.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 7:30 p.m. | Ohio State 31, USC 20 | Ohio State -6.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 7:30 p.m. | Pitt 38, Georgia Tech 24 | Pitt -9.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 7:30 p.m. | Miami 41, North Carolina 17 | Miami -14.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 7:45 p.m. | Missouri 28, Arkansas 20 | Arkansas +9.5 |
| Sat., Oct. 31 | 8 p.m. | Nebraska 34, Washington 20 | Nebraska -9.5 |
Troy at James Madison AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Troy | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| James Madison | 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
James Madison suffered its first loss of the season against Appalachian State last week but gets an excellent opportunity to bounce back at home. Troy has dropped consecutive games, including a disappointing defeat to Louisiana-Monroe. The Dukes should have significant offensive advantages and can pull away in this Sun Belt showdown.
ATS pick: James Madison -17.5
Florida Atlantic at North Texas AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida Atlantic | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| North Texas | 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
Both teams enter this AAC matchup following high-scoring victories. North Texas piled up 49 points against Navy, while Florida Atlantic edged Rice 51-49 in a wild contest. The Mean Green should have enough firepower to win at home, but Florida Atlantic's offense makes the double-digit spread difficult to trust.
ATS pick: Florida Atlantic +14.5
Baylor at UCF AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Baylor | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| UCF | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
UCF produced one of Week 8's biggest surprises, handing previously unbeaten BYU its first loss in double overtime. Baylor, meanwhile, suffered a narrow defeat against Kansas. The Knights should carry momentum into another home matchup, and their offensive performance against the Cougars suggests they can win outright.
ATS pick: UCF -1.5
Arizona at Texas Tech AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| Texas Tech | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
Texas Tech's unbeaten season came crashing down in a 37-24 loss to Cincinnati, while Arizona dominated Iowa State 39-3. The Red Raiders should respond at home, but Arizona's defense has been increasingly impressive. The Wildcats have the personnel to make this a one-possession game.
ATS pick: Arizona +3.5
Wisconsin at Iowa AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wisconsin | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Iowa | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
Wisconsin delivered an impressive 24-7 upset of USC last week, while Iowa suffered a frustrating 13-10 loss at Minnesota. Both Big Ten teams have leaned heavily on defense, suggesting points could be difficult to generate. But, the Hawkeyes can keep this close.
ATS pick: Iowa +3.5
Boston College at Duke AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Boston College | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
| Duke | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
Boston College enjoyed one of its strongest offensive performances of the season in a 49-27 victory over Georgia Tech. Duke also enters with momentum after edging Virginia 19-16. The Blue Devils should benefit from home-field advantage, but Boston College's improving offense could keep this within single digits.
ATS pick: Boston College +7.5
SMU at Syracuse AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| SMU | 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
| Syracuse | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
SMU absolutely dismantled California 59-20 last week and continues to look like a serious ACC contender. Syracuse picked up a narrow overtime victory over North Carolina, but defending the Mustangs presents a much bigger challenge. SMU should generate enough explosive plays to build a comfortable road lead.
ATS pick: SMU -10.5
Notre Dame vs. Navy AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Notre Dame | 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
| Navy | 3 | 3 | 0 | 7 | 13 |
Notre Dame returns from its bye looking to rebound from a narrow loss to BYU. The Fighting Irish have significant advantages in size, athleticism, and overall roster strength against Navy. However, the Midshipmen's run-heavy offense can shorten possessions and help prevent Notre Dame from covering such an enormous spread.
ATS pick: Navy +30.5
Auburn at Ole Miss AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Auburn | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Ole Miss | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
Ole Miss saw its momentum disappear in a seven-point loss to Texas, while Auburn suffered a 38-17 defeat against LSU. The Rebels should bounce back offensively at home, but Auburn has already demonstrated an ability to compete with strong SEC opponents.
ATS pick: Auburn +13.5
Kansas State at Colorado AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas State | 7 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30 |
| Colorado | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
Kansas State enters Week 9 following a disappointing defeat against Arizona State, but Colorado has considerably bigger defensive concerns after allowing 57 points to Oklahoma State. The Wildcats should find opportunities to establish their rushing attack and control possession. Kansas State has a realistic chance to win outright in Boulder.
ATS pick: Kansas State +1.5
Arizona State at BYU AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Arizona State | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
| BYU | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
BYU suffered a shocking double-overtime loss at UCF, snapping its unbeaten start. Arizona State, meanwhile, responded from its defeat to Texas Tech with a convincing victory over Kansas State. The Cougars should be motivated to bounce back in Provo, but Arizona State has enough offensive balance to remain competitive.
ATS pick: Arizona State +16.5
Florida vs. Georgia AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Florida | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| Georgia | 7 | 10 | 6 | 7 | 30 |
Georgia and Florida return from their respective bye weeks for one of the SEC's biggest rivalries, this year played in Atlanta. The Bulldogs remain the stronger team on paper, but Florida has been competitive against quality opponents. Georgia should win, though covering nearly two touchdowns looks like a difficult assignment.
ATS pick: Florida +11.5
Minnesota at Indiana AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Minnesota | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
| Indiana | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
Indiana bounced back from its loss to Ohio State by escaping Michigan with a 13-6 overtime victory. Minnesota also enters with confidence after upsetting Iowa in a defensive battle. The Hoosiers should possess more offensive weapons, but Minnesota's ability to limit possessions could make covering three touchdowns difficult.
ATS pick: Minnesota +20.5
Kansas at TCU AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kansas | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| TCU | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
Kansas enters with some momentum after securing a narrow victory over Baylor, while TCU is looking to respond from its loss against West Virginia. Neither team has shown enough defensive consistency to inspire confidence, but the Horned Frogs should have an offensive advantage playing at home.
ATS pick: TCU -5.5
Northwestern at Oregon AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northwestern | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| Oregon | 7 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 21 |
Northwestern continues to exceed expectations, moving to 6-1 following a dominant 42-14 victory over Rutgers. Oregon has struggled badly in recent weeks and managed just 10 points against Illinois. The Wildcats' defensive consistency and momentum make them an intriguing underdog with a legitimate chance to win outright.
ATS pick: Northwestern +3.5
Utah at Cincinnati AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Utah | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| Cincinnati | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
Utah remains unbeaten after grinding out a 21-13 victory against Houston, while Cincinnati shocked Texas Tech 37-24. Both teams have demonstrated the ability to compete with quality Big 12 opponents. The Utes should have the defensive advantage, but Cincinnati's recent performance suggests this could remain close.
ATS pick: Cincinnati +6.5
Virginia at Wake Forest AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Virginia | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Wake Forest | 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
Wake Forest returns from its bye with a 6-1 record and an opportunity to strengthen its ACC position. Virginia has lost consecutive games and struggled offensively in a narrow defeat to Duke. The Demon Deacons should have significant advantages offensively and can create separation in the second half.
ATS pick: Wake Forest -11.5
South Carolina at Oklahoma AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| South Carolina | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
| Oklahoma | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
South Carolina enters this SEC matchup with confidence after upsetting Tennessee 27-24. Oklahoma also secured a victory over Mississippi State, but its offense has struggled with consistency. The Gamecocks should be able to keep pressure on the Sooners defensively and have an opportunity to steal a road victory.
ATS pick: South Carolina +4.5
Oklahoma State at Iowa State AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oklahoma State | 7 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 34 |
| Iowa State | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
Oklahoma State was unstoppable offensively last week, piling up 57 points in a blowout victory over Colorado. Iowa State, meanwhile, suffered an embarrassing 39-3 loss to Arizona. The Cowboys have a clear advantage in offensive form and should generate enough explosive plays to cover on the road.
ATS pick: Oklahoma State -9.5
Clemson at Florida State AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Clemson | 3 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 23 |
| Florida State | 7 | 10 | 3 | 7 | 27 |
Clemson's disappointing season continued with a narrow home loss against Virginia Tech. Florida State has also struggled with consistency, but the Seminoles possess enough offensive talent to create problems. This ACC rivalry could come down to turnovers and late possessions, making Clemson attractive with more than a touchdown.
ATS pick: Clemson +7.5
Ohio State at USC AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ohio State | 7 | 10 | 7 | 7 | 31 |
| USC | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
Ohio State returns from its bye riding momentum from its impressive victory over Indiana. USC, meanwhile, suffered an ugly 24-7 loss to Wisconsin and struggled to establish its offense. The Buckeyes should have advantages defensively and at the line of scrimmage, creating opportunities to build a two-possession lead.
ATS pick: Ohio State -6.5
Georgia Tech at Pitt AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Georgia Tech | 7 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 24 |
| Pitt | 10 | 14 | 7 | 7 | 38 |
Both teams enter Week 9 looking to recover from disappointing performances. Pittsburgh was overwhelmed by Miami, while Georgia Tech surrendered 49 points against Boston College. The Panthers should benefit from returning home and facing a vulnerable defense. Pitt has enough offensive upside to pull away in the second half.
ATS pick: Pitt -9.5
Miami at North Carolina AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Miami | 10 | 17 | 7 | 7 | 41 |
| North Carolina | 3 | 7 | 0 | 7 | 17 |
Miami remains the country's top-ranked team and is coming off another dominant showing, scoring 52 points against Pittsburgh. North Carolina suffered a narrow overtime loss to Syracuse and now faces an even more difficult assignment. The Hurricanes should exploit the Tar Heels' defensive weaknesses and build a sizable lead.
ATS pick: Miami -14.5
Missouri at Arkansas AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Missouri | 7 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 28 |
| Arkansas | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
Missouri returns from its bye looking to rebound from a disappointing performance against Ole Miss. The Tigers have more overall talent, but Arkansas should benefit from home-field advantage in this SEC rivalry. Missouri can get back in the win column without necessarily creating enough separation to cover a large spread.
ATS pick: Arkansas +9.5
Washington at Nebraska AI prediction
| Team | 1Q | 2Q | 3Q | 4Q | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Washington | 3 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 20 |
| Nebraska | 7 | 10 | 10 | 7 | 34 |
Both teams return from their bye weeks for an intriguing Big Ten matchup in Lincoln. Nebraska narrowly lost to Oregon in its previous outing, while Washington snapped a losing streak against Purdue. The Cornhuskers should benefit from home-field advantage and their rushing attack, eventually creating separation after halftime.
ATS pick: Nebraska -9.5
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