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Deshon Stoudemire of the Troy Trojans catches a pass against the Troy Trojans during the second half at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on September 03, 2022 in Oxford, Mississippi.
Deshon Stoudemire of the Troy Trojans catches a pass against the Troy Trojans during the second half at Vaught-Hemingway Stadium on September 03, 2022 in Oxford, Mississippi. Photo by Justin Ford/Getty Images via AFP.

The Sun Belt Championship will be decided Saturday with the Coastal Carolina Chanticleers taking on the Troy Trojans. Check out our top Coastal Carolina-Troy college football picks and predictions.

Very quietly, the Trojans have put together a very good season, especially on the defensive end. They have allowed 20 or more points just three times all season, which does not bode well for a Chanticleers’ offense that is likely to be without star quarterback Grayson McCall again. 

The Chanticleers have not been the same with Jarrett Guest under center, as they have scored a total of just 33 points in two games. Last week, they were beaten 47-7 by the James Madison Dukes. The game was just as lopsided as the final score suggests.

Here are our Coastal Carolina vs. Troy college football picks for Week 14 (odds via DraftKings Sportsbook and BetMGM; pick confidence based on a 1-to-5-star scale).

Check out our college football best bets and all of our top picks for Week 14!

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Game Info

Date: Saturday, Dec. 3, 3:30 p.m. ET
Location: Veterans Memorial Stadium, Troy, AL
Weather: 74 degrees, 14% chance of precipitation, 7-mph winds

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Odds

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Odds Analysis

The spread has held steady at the consensus opening line of Troy -7. The Trojans have drawn the support of 59% of the tickets and 66% of the handle.

Betting action has helped raise the opening Over/Under line of 47 to 50 as of Saturday morning. While 61% of the tickets are on the Over, they account for a modest 48% of the cash wagered.

Check out Bet365's "Win and You're In" boost for this weekend's slate of games.

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Picks

  • Spread: Troy -8.5 (-110 via DraftKings) ★★★★
  • Over/Under: Under 48.5 (-110 via BetMGM) ★★★
  • Prop: Coastal Carolina team total Under 19.5 (+100 via DraftKings) ★★★★

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy ATS Pick

Troy -8.5 (-110) ★★★★

With McCall, the Chanticleers are averaging over 30 points per game. Without him, they are averaging 16.5. That is right in line with the 16.8 points per game that the Trojans are allowing this season. 

Troy has been in a lot of close games this year, and they are 5-1 in games decided by six or fewer points. Yet, if the last two games are indicative of how this one is going to go, it is going to get ugly quickly. 

The Trojans won their last two games by a combined 47 points with a total of 82 points scored. The Chanticleers’ defense may be able to keep them close for a bit, but without a strong quarterback, they’re going to struggle against Troy. Eventually, the Trojans will pull away and win comfortably.

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy O/U Pick

Under 48 (-110) ★★★

This is such a bad matchup for the Chanticleers’ offense. If they are held in the teens, as they should be, then the only way that this total hits the Over is if the Trojans score four or more touchdowns. That could happen.

The Trojans scored 34 or more points in each of their last two games, but they had scored 30 or more only twice all season prior to their recent stretch. However, the Chanticleers are allowing over four touchdowns per game this season.

Yet, after being embarrassed last week, and with so much pressure on them to provide the victory this week, the Chanticleers' defense should bounce back and keep this one from getting too out of hand.

Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Prop Pick

Coastal Carolina team total Under 19.5 (+100) ★★★★

As already stated, the Trojans have allowed more than 20 points just three times all season. They have held their last seven opponents below that number.

With the Chanticleers’ injuries, there is no reason to think that they are going to be the team to break this streak. If McCall was playing, then maybe. But this line is currently a steal.

Where to Bet on Coastal Carolina vs. Troy Picks

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Coastal Carolina-Troy picks made 12/1/2022 at 9:10 a.m. ET