The Daily Sombrero: Version 7.10

QuangX · 07-12-12, 06:36 AM

Hey ep, what do you think about chardy? Or an strong play on verdasco?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-12-12, 06:41 AM

I like Chardy before Verdasco - that match is just ick in the making. I think Chardy has better power on the surface over Stebe, then again it is still Chardy.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-12-12, 06:42 AM

Thursday's Newport Sombrero: Levine & Ram.

tevari · 07-12-12, 08:17 AM

On Levine.

Demonata · 07-12-12, 08:21 AM

On Harrison myself but am taking the dog Giannessi. Feel he should be favored over Traver. What are your guys thoughts on the Traver-Giannessi match?

EaglesPhan36 · 07-12-12, 08:33 AM

No way Gianessi would be a favorite. He is still a Challenger level guy mainly. DGT gets on runs now and again. Won a Challenger in June. Think the price is accurate. Not really a big fan of either side.

Demonata · 07-12-12, 09:06 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

No way Gianessi would be a favorite. He is still a Challenger level guy mainly. DGT gets on runs now and again. Won a Challenger in June. Think the price is accurate. Not really a big fan of either side.

Thanks for your input.

beefcake · 07-12-12, 10:07 AM

For shits played all the Dogs in Newport in a parlay for 1.00...if Becker pulls the upset, hedge time..

AraiWa · 07-12-12, 10:59 AM

Haas is down 1-0 and has his hands full with Cervenak.

tevari · 07-12-12, 11:28 AM

Derp.

ParlayininHTown · 07-12-12, 11:34 AM

Nice win, Harrison. I shouldn't have doubted him.

Becker and Raonic next. I wonder if Raonic will bail and move on to hard-court season, or play better than he did against Ebden?

QuangX · 07-12-12, 12:20 PM

Ep thanks for the insight on Verdasco, I laid off going all in on him. Took Chady for 2 units instead

.

Does Pavis have a good shot? He upsetted ferro?

Also any leans on the dogopol match, Seem to good of a line....

EaglesPhan36 · 07-12-12, 03:46 PM

Chardy being Chardy. Absolutely handed the match to Stebe. Ram reverts a choke into a tie break win in the 1st. Becker had another Newport upset over Raonic. Don't know why i have not liked Becker this week. One surface he actually is decent on when he gets rolling.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-12-12, 04:31 PM

Originally posted by ParlayininHTown

Nice win, Harrison. I shouldn't have doubted him.

Becker and Raonic next. I wonder if Raonic will bail and move on to hard-court season, or play better than he did against Ebden?

Raonic was here strictly for Olympic preps. I had him as a fade at some point but also thought he could win easy if he gave a shit. Obviously did not.

Ram wins as a big dog too.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-12-12, 09:43 PM

Finally got the internet set up in the new casa, so not all mobile all the time now.

Friday's Sombrero

Bastad: Ramos +115
Stuttgart: Brown +230
Newport: Harrison -125

Demonata · 07-12-12, 11:09 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Finally got the internet set up in the new casa, so not all mobile all the time now.

Friday's Sombrero

Bastad: Ramos +115
Stuttgart: Brown +230
Newport: Harrison -125

Nice man. Mobile get's annoying. I really like Harrison tomorrow.Have any insight with Zopp against Hajek?Thanks

Mercersux · 07-13-12, 12:46 AM

Harrison let's do this !!!!

sharlataans · 07-13-12, 04:08 AM

Why Ramos EP? He looked shaky

EaglesPhan36 · 07-13-12, 05:30 AM

Ramos is better on clay. I didnt think he was that bad, won easily in the end first-up on a surface switch - his favorite. Of course being better on a surface doesnt matter when you blow break leads twice in a set abd then get raped in a breaker.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-14-12, 12:16 AM

Saturday's Somebrero
Scheveningen Challenger: Middlekoop +125
ATP Stuttgart: Belluci +150

benandjerry · 07-14-12, 07:55 AM

EP, whats your take on Harrison +200, and Dolgo +150 (or maybe at spread)?

sharlataans · 07-14-12, 09:26 AM

I think I will go with Dolgopolov today. He looked good and determined to me and if luck is on his side he will wipe Cilic off the court.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-14-12, 11:35 AM

I think the odds are pretty fair on Isner-Harrison given Isner's win here last year/experience advantage + his serve has been getting even better round-by-round. Harrison's serve has been pretty doggone solid as well since the 1st round. This seems pretty much like a toss-up based on their play right now with tie break(s) sure to play a role in at least a set, maybe two or all three. Given that - it seems like taking Harrison +2.5 could yield you something. ML certainly isn't a throwaway in this case. My personal opinion is that Isner is probably going to squeak through, but I certainly would not be shocked if Harrison won.

Cilic-Dolgpolov is tough. Both have been dominant. Dolgpolov clipped him at this tournament last year, so nerves likely aren't a factor. I think the best play in this match is Over 22 given Dolgpolov's propensity for rollercoaster shit once he starts playing the better players. Honestly have no clue who will win this one.

gregm · 07-14-12, 12:25 PM

Some very good calls today eagles. Cheers

EaglesPhan36 · 07-14-12, 11:53 PM

Sunday's Sombrero
Parlay: Monaco + Cilic

Dmoneytx · 07-15-12, 08:08 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

I think I will go with Dolgopolov today. He looked good and determined to me and if luck is on his side he will wipe Cilic off the court.

Don't know if people give Cilic much props. Not sure why. NO way on earth he was gonna lost to Dolgo yesterday. At home. Playing really solid. No chance. I was just really surprised how many people gave Dolgo props & said he was gonna win that match. I just couldn't see it....

Demonata · 07-15-12, 08:13 AM

Cilic is a good player with a great serve. He should beat Granollers easily today. I hate Granollers game. He sucks.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-15-12, 09:48 AM

Meh. I gotta not go against my gut. Thought Tipsarevic today but read too much and talked myself into Monaco. Durp.

EaglesPhan36 · 07-15-12, 10:18 AM

Wow ... what a reverse choke by Tipsy. 4-0 in the 2nd and cruising to the title, now down 4-5. Go Monaco? Sure. C'mon skankweed.