The Daily Sombrero: Version 7.10

[EaglesPhan36]

Only one way to make picks, put them in a hat and shake it.


El Parlay [Stuttgart]: Paire + Kamke
Paire v. Petzschner who is 0 for his last 7 on dirt. Paire is definitely an up & comer. Neither has had any intermediate work between Wimbledon and this, so there shouldn't be an edge one way or another in that vein. Paire simply is the better player on the surface & even though it's a Germany tourney, Petz is 0-4 @ Stuttgart. Kamke gets Cipolla. Haven't been a big backer of Kamke who has regressed some this year, but he got some form in by playing a Challenger last week and running to the final before losing to Bellucci. Cipolla is a tricky guy, but he is still having a subpar season and at him + some decent clay form, Kamke can fight through ... or get Das Boot from my foot.

Also think to look @ the Rafa Killer [Rosol] @ plus money against Haase who is an inconsistent bitch.

[EaglesPhan36]

Petz withdrew, so a straight payout on Kamke. Rosol takes it in straights.

Shook the Sombrero for Newport. Goffin & van der Merwe.

[tevari]

You think VDM will beat Muller? Interesting...may take a look.

[EaglesPhan36]

Muller ain't shit. Serve v. Serve. VDM has the advantage of qualis + a seed is due to lose again. Think Muller is #8.

[tevari]

Idk. I do have a bias view of Muller since he's been my personal cash cow for the last 2 years. Fading or backing.

[JNic]

Van der merwe is very good possible imo, apparently he's been playing a lot of strict serve and volley tennis on the grass. Word was that during his Zopp match in wimbledon qualies that he came in after every serve practically, this could definitely frustrate Muller

[tevari]

There seems to be quite a few people on Sijsling today. Why? Is Nishikori nursing some sort of nagging injury?

[benandjerry]

EP, what do you think about Goffin/Rochus in the double?

[EaglesPhan36]

Goffin flopped. VDM gets 'er done.

[EaglesPhan36]

Moving wears one out!

Wednesday's Sombrero: GGL + Rosol

[EaglesPhan36]

Wednesday Newport Sombrero

Rochus & Ram

[QuangX]

Who Ggl?

[EaglesPhan36]

Guillermo Garcia-Lopez

[EaglesPhan36]

Stanford Sombrero; Watson

[beefcake]

All over Rochus like white on rice..

[tevari]

Phau sucks. On Rosol as well.

PS- cadantu imo.

[tevari]

rosol looks like pure shit today.

[diogone]

hope he wakes in time to save it!

[ParlayininHTown]

Sela might surprise today ... Not really a guy who takes line movement into account, because it historically means nothing in tennis, but Sela's line has dropped like a bad habit on Pinnacle over the last 10-15 minutes. Newport is a tourney where dogs bark loudly, so line movement might actually mean something. Will Sela be the next to pull off an upset in Newport?

[diogone]

is the umpire playing doubles with phau?

[ParlayininHTown]

Sela up a break ... there goes that $50 parlay. Should've made a quick bet on Sela as soon as I saw that line drop.


edit -- Querrey breaks back to make me look like a jackass. Paco's reverse jinx power has rubbed off on me a little? haha. Gotta head out for a little while. Step up your game, Querrey!

[nj1035]

Tailing on Rochus. Let's get it!!

[EaglesPhan36]

rosol looks like pure shit today.

Indeed and if the doof had played worth a shit in the breakers he still could have won.

[kobee24]

I can't believe I fell into the Rosol trap. I trusted Phau to be his usual, instead he outdid himself. This will be the last time I play for those odds..

[HOT WINGS]

What you guys think of the over 22 in Rochus match?

[tevari]

...

[tevari]

phau really didnt outplay him. rosol was going for aces, and winners on literally almost EVERY shot. not a winning formula. i could tell he was going to lose that match in the first 3 or 4 games.[/QUOTE]

[Demonata]

Anybody think Isner should win today? I took him already but just wondering everyones thoughts on it?

[nj1035]

Dudi no loner playing like doody.

[nj1035]

Rochus wins 1st set tiebreak coming back from 5-0. Awesome.

[Sport_Fish]

Rochus wins 1st set tiebreak coming back from 5-0. Awesome.

and then he starts the second set by losing serve =/

[nj1035]

and then he starts the second set by losing serve =/

I know....lame.

[nj1035]

Nishikori up 2 breaks now in the 2nd set.....on to the 3rd we go.

[beefcake]

Fukking little squirt Rochus is giving me the Hershey squirts..

[nj1035]

Fukking little squirt Rochus is giving me the Hershey squirts..

Yeah he fizzled but still not a bad bet for the odds!