Odds on MAHUT winning at least 4 GAMES in one of his sets vs. FEDERER????

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  • baskets
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 11-24-11
    • 11691

    #36
    Originally posted by shari91
    I don't understand this... you can still lose the +9.5 although it's unlikely. If Fed wins the next 2 sets 6-2 6-1 or anything less, it doesn't cover. Or are you talking about something else?
    yes, o/c, but basing it on Fed's history and the structure of the match... b/c if Fed had won the set ... would've only lost on a breadstick in the 3rd (extremely unlikely especially w/ M serving first)

    and, o/c, M winning the 2nd set (which I fully did not expect)... Fed would need to turn on the juice in the 3rd and 4th and blast thru M like Shaq pumping a ballerina
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    • shari91
      BARRELED IN @ SBR!
      • 02-23-10
      • 32661

      #37
      Originally posted by ParlayininHTown
      He's not sleepwalking. He just blew a triple break point. He is seriously playing like s***, and I wouldn't count Mahut out so easily.
      If he somehow won this, I'd put this up there with a Serena level of upset. He was a dog against Roddick and even bloody Klizan. To take out Fed at a Slam would be monumental, especially since Mahut isn't a clay court player at all.
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      • ParlayininHTown
        SBR Hall of Famer
        • 06-27-10
        • 7561

        #38
        Originally posted by shari91
        If he somehow won this, I'd put this up there with a Serena level of upset. He was a dog against Roddick and even bloody Klizan. To take out Fed at a Slam would be monumental, especially since Mahut isn't a clay court player at all.

        I don't think he's going to win ... But Federer is playing poorly enough for something crazy to happen. If Mahut starts to commit more unforced errors and plays a little more like Mahut, it'll probably be enough for Fed to take this in four sets. It's kind of tough to watch Fed play like this when you know he can be so much better.
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        • MUHerd37
          SBR Posting Legend
          • 10-23-09
          • 12816

          #39
          Originally posted by ParlayininHTown
          He's not sleepwalking. He just blew a triple break point. He is seriously playing like s***, and I wouldn't count Mahut out so easily.
          I'm not counting Mahut out easily but I do think Fed is sleepwalking. Doing shit like he did in his last match when he dropped a set to Ungur. I'm glad he didn't drop the 1st set today cause I had Fed to win the 1st set. Glad 5dimes didn't have a 3-0 set prop cause I would have lost.
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          • shari91
            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
            • 02-23-10
            • 32661

            #40
            Did you guys hear that stat? Fed's only ever retired twice in a match. Guy's played over 1k matches. That's amazing considering you get these ding dongs who retire every 2mths.
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            • baskets
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 11-24-11
              • 11691

              #41
              I thought he actually retired never. Didn't greg have a stat on that?

              I cant remember an in-match retirment.
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              • baskets
                SBR Posting Legend
                • 11-24-11
                • 11691

                #42
                ruh roh

                *4-1

                need one more hold here by M
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                • shari91
                  BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                  • 02-23-10
                  • 32661

                  #43
                  Originally posted by baskets
                  I thought he actually retired never. Didn't greg have a stat on that?

                  I cant remember an in-match retirment.
                  I don't remember him retiring ever either but then again I haven't watched 1100 matches of his. I'm going to check OnCourt to see if they were years ago because I'm curious now.
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                  • ParlayininHTown
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 06-27-10
                    • 7561

                    #44
                    Mahut should've had that last game, but the errors are starting to build on him ... Federer can cruise through the rest of this set.
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                    • ParlayininHTown
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 06-27-10
                      • 7561

                      #45
                      Originally posted by baskets
                      I thought he actually retired never. Didn't greg have a stat on that?

                      I cant remember an in-match retirment.
                      I think it's just two withdrawals before the matches began. I specifically remember him withdrawing from an event in January.
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                      • baskets
                        SBR Posting Legend
                        • 11-24-11
                        • 11691

                        #46
                        5-1*

                        need a hold here

                        had 40-15 in last game and choked on a rooster
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                        • baskets
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 11-24-11
                          • 11691

                          #47
                          modern day Fed doesn't press in situations like this... so I'd expect a hold
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                          • baskets
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 11-24-11
                            • 11691

                            #48
                            30-0
                            30-15
                            30a

                            here it comes... right in the ass
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                            • baskets
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 11-24-11
                              • 11691

                              #49
                              30-40

                              oh fukk. will now ahve to sweat this in the 4th
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                              • shari91
                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                • 02-23-10
                                • 32661

                                #50
                                I think those announcers stated it wrong accidentally. He has retired in tourneys twice but they were walkovers. Once against Blake in '08 in Paris and once in Doha in Jan this year against Tsonga.
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                                • baskets
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 11-24-11
                                  • 11691

                                  #51
                                  dc

                                  giving this away. unreal

                                  bp
                                  dc
                                  ad
                                  game

                                  lol. fed didn't give a shit at the end
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                                  • baskets
                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                    • 11-24-11
                                    • 11691

                                    #52
                                    just need 2 games by M here in 4th

                                    serving 1st

                                    a hold to start it and I think this is almost 99.99%... as Fed would have to win 6 games in a row. rare feat for him on clay
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                                    • baskets
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-24-11
                                      • 11691

                                      #53
                                      30-0
                                      40-15 money point
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                                      • baskets
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 11-24-11
                                        • 11691

                                        #54
                                        done. no way he wins 6 in a row
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                                        • shari91
                                          BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                          • 02-23-10
                                          • 32661

                                          #55
                                          Originally posted by baskets
                                          done. no way he wins 6 in a row
                                          ok if you're confident, cheer for Goffin and Wawrinka to finish off their matches
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                                          • MUHerd37
                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                            • 10-23-09
                                            • 12816

                                            #56
                                            Fed just isn't closing this out. Insane!
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                                            • MUHerd37
                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                              • 10-23-09
                                              • 12816

                                              #57
                                              Fed breaks at love. Finally!
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                                              • MUHerd37
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-23-09
                                                • 12816

                                                #58
                                                Mahut broke right back! Crazy shit!
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                                                • ParlayininHTown
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 06-27-10
                                                  • 7561

                                                  #59
                                                  Federer is playing poorly, and Mahut isn't playing poorly enough for Fed to cruise. This is going to be an epic upset. I'm absolutely stunned by this.
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                                                  • shari91
                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                    • 32661

                                                    #60
                                                    Originally posted by ParlayininHTown
                                                    Federer is playing poorly, and Mahut isn't playing poorly enough for Fed to cruise. This is going to be an epic upset. I'm absolutely stunned by this.
                                                    Mahut will not win. I'm willing to give 500 points to anyone willing to put up 2. It just won't happen although I'd love to see it.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • ParlayininHTown
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 06-27-10
                                                      • 7561

                                                      #61
                                                      Wow ... That was the best game Federer has played all match. He seems determined to end this in four sets.
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                                                      • MUHerd37
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-23-09
                                                        • 12816

                                                        #62
                                                        Fed breaks to 6-5 and serving for the match.
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                                                        • MUHerd37
                                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                                          • 10-23-09
                                                          • 12816

                                                          #63
                                                          Fed finally won. Unfortunately Serena and Bob are gonna lose.
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                                                          • ParlayininHTown
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 06-27-10
                                                            • 7561

                                                            #64
                                                            Mahut ... The guy never thought he was going to lose that match until Fed broke him to go up 6-5.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • MUHerd37
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 10-23-09
                                                              • 12816

                                                              #65
                                                              Yeah that was a great effort by Mahut.
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                                                              • shari91
                                                                BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                • 02-23-10
                                                                • 32661

                                                                #66
                                                                This is exactly what Agassi was talking about in that interview after he wrote his book when he was asked what he noticed the most between when he was a top player and when he went back down to the Challengers. He said that when you're one of the best, you have the luxury of choosing when and how to play. And about how all that stuff like "I only think of one match at a time", "I don't look ahead" is bullshit. When you're a lower level player, you go 110% every point of every match because you need to do so to win. You don't tank sets to save energy because you're scared you can't make them up like the better players can (although I definitely don't think Fed did that here... Murray is more of a culprit of that quite often). After I heard him say that stuff, I've rarely taken a big favourite with the handicap since.
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                                                                • MUHerd37
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-23-09
                                                                  • 12816

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Wozniak is gonna take out Azarenka now
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                                                                  • shari91
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                                    • 32661

                                                                    #68
                                                                    Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                                    Wozniak is gonna take out Azarenka now
                                                                    Don't even joke. That would be all of my Christmas miracles for the next 10yrs coming true right now.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • ParlayininHTown
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 06-27-10
                                                                      • 7561

                                                                      #69
                                                                      Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                                      Wozniak is gonna take out Azarenka now

                                                                      It's certainly possible ... Never know in the WTA.
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                                                                      • paco
                                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                                        • 05-07-09
                                                                        • 62873

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                                                        Wozniak is gonna take out Azarenka now
                                                                        Comment
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