Today's Record 5/12:
Parlays (0-0) 0.0 units
Straights (1-0) 1.31 units
Total (1-0) +1.31 units
Parlays (0-0) 0.0 units
Straights (1-0) 1.31 units
Total (1-0) +1.31 units
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Sorry, I decided no plays for Sunday. My girl had 3 matches today. I am exhausted. I can barely keep my eyes open. I just can't look up matches. And I'm not going to just throw something in bec I need to. If anything, I would lean towards EP's play. I know money is on under for Fed/Berdy, but I think it has a great chance to go over with the way Berdy is serving, hitting groundies & just confidence. Fed can pull the smooth straight set win to go under, but Berdy is not gonna go out like a chump. Expect him to fight like crazy. Other than that, I am going to bed immediately. I will be back at it tomm evening for Monday matches. I wish EV1 the BOL!!!!!
And thx to ev1 who stops by & uses my thread or helps out. Keep it up guys
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Overall Record as 5/12:
Parlays (29-16) +5.12 units
Straights (3-4) -0.84 units
Total = (32-20) +4.28 units
Total win % = 61.5%Comment -
***Not alot of matches on the board for the day. I will prob make 2 plays (will post in a few mins), mabye play a higher unit if I really like them. Hoping for a good start to the week. BOL to ev1!!!Comment -
5/14
Play #1
Bautista-Augt -450
Stepanek -250
Total = apprx. -141
1.5u / 1.07uComment -
5/14
Play #2
Wawrinka -500
Berlocq -255
Total = apprx. -149
1.5u / 1.01uComment -
Added Berlocq Wav. and Steph in one parlay $100 to win $150 glComment -
thanks D$ I'm on itComment -
Good call on BerlocqComment -
$ in 'da bank! Nice callComment -
***So sorry I couldn't do write ups for my plays today! I was VERY happy I put them in much earlier this morning than usual & then I had to deal with kiddos & lessons right after I dropped them off at school. I am JUST now getting home to throw some comments in. I was very confindent in all my plays today. I took players that were hot on the clay right now & I faded one player who is about to retire and isn't winning matches at all this year. I was VERY surprised that I didn't go 8-0 on sets! Three matches were straight setters & the one I thought would be the BIG blowout, was 3 sets! So, I did go 8 out of 9 sets today to hit a good day to start the week. I played fairly conservative, only two plays & the payouts were not amazing, but certainly got the job done! I will update both plays & records below (also might throw in partial write ups on plays quickly for validation purposes). Congrats to ev1 who I helped with the picks today
Remember, we are here to help each other. This is why I do this. If anyone ever has questions, comments, opinions or advice, PLS feel free to drop a line. I am hoping this thread starts to work on its own & we all help each other out the best we can. The WHOLE point here is to get those books to mail some checks out! If I have another day or two like this, I will be getting another payout this week
I appreciate ev1 who stops by, lets keep it rolling!!!Comment -
Nice parlay hit there DMoney
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Play #1 - CASH IT
My first play on this ticket was Bautista-Augt. He has been playing some really good tennis on the clay this year! His record is 29-11!!! Damn! Thats playing a guy with confidence huh?? He usually makes the quarters in Challangers & he won one 3 weeks ago. His opponent, Robert has a record of 7-12. He has been blown of the court 3 of his last 4 matches to Kamke, ERV & Janowicz. There was NO way he was even gonna get close in one set to B-A. The match was fairly routine. B-A broke Robert 4 times & won 82% of his 1st serves (solid!). B-A wins in straights 6-3, 6-3 & moves into the next round.
The last play on this ticket was Stepanek playing Grandpa Chela. This is the match I thought would be a blowout! Stepanek has been playing really well on the clay this year actually! He has beaten the players he is supp to & lost very close matches to really GOOD players the last few tments like, Ferrer, Nadal & Tsonga. He played them all really close! So Chela didn't stand a chance I thought! Papa Chela is probably calling it quits after this season. He has lost his last 4 first round matches, not even getting past the round of 32. His record this year is 6-10, with most of those 6 wins just coming at one tment early in the year. Other than that, Grandpa has done nothing!! I was shocked to see Grandpappy take the first set 6-2. Several things happened after this set. Papa Chela worked up a hell of an appetite winning the first 6 out of 8 games. (Actually Stepanek just looked really off from the small glimpse I caught) So Radek, being a good guy on tour, gave his old Retirement home buddy a bagel to snack on. After Papa Chela ate his bagel in the second, well what do u think happened??? He got sleepy of course!! So, Grandpappy decides to take a little nap in the third & Stepanek kindly takes adv of this snoozing episode & easily takes the third set as well. I think Stepanek got pissed after the first set, bec he went on to win 12 of the next 15 games! Stepanek into the next round 2-6, 6-0, 6-3. Way to take adv of the old people Radek!!! Good job you wierd style playing, wierd cloth wearing, strange talking Czech dude!!! Vamos Stepanek!Comment -
Play #2 - CASH IT
The first play on the second & final ticket today was Wawrinka. Now those of you who know me, know I do NOT like Stan the non-man. He bailed on his family (wife & kid) to TRY to get a few more good uniterrupted years of tennis left. Me being all about my kids & family, I lost alot of respect for this guy after all that transpired. BUT, I had to play this one on my brain & not my heart. I KNEW he would beat Haase today, but DAMN I did not expect it to be that close! He torched toothpick Haase like 1 & 4 only a few weeks ago. Wawa has been playing some really consistent tennis on the dirt. He only lost to Djokovic last week, Nadal in Quarters in Monte & DelPo in round of 8 in Estoril. He played all of those matches really close. So he has been in very good form! Not to mention he is 5-0 against Toothpick man. Haase has won 8 of his last 11 matches on clay. But I was not swayed by that record, most of this wins against far less talented players than Family Bailer. Struggling against Malisse in qualies was all I needed to see. This match looked like a straight settter for Wawa, but Haase really made an interesting match of it. They split sets & then finally in the third, Wawa got the break and won 6-1, 4-6, 7-5. Stan the non-man into the next round.
The last play on this ticket was Berlocq. This is a match I really liked when I first glanced at it. Berlocq has had some injuries, but if he retires at ANY point in the match, Bovada pushes the play. So my gut said, if he retires its no biggie, but if he doesn't, he has prob 90% chance or better of winning this match. His opponent, Kavic, is a Challanger player. This was a huge step up for him & the result is exactly what I expected (wish I could of played the handicapp here, ARG!!). When I saw Veic blew out Kavic 1 & 1, there was NO way he was even gonna get close in a set to Berlocq. Well, I was kinda right. Berlocq won easy in straights, 6-1, 6-3. Berlocq onto the next round & lookin solid!Comment -
SWEEP DAY
A "sweep day" for me, is when I hit all plays for the day when I wager two or more. This happened again today, by winning both plays fairly comfortably I thought. Like I said, I did play fairly conservative today. One payout was -141 & the other -149. But I wanted to start the week on a good note, mission accomplished!!!
( I did UP my unit size today to 1.5, $150 per play, so payouts were fairly good)
Correction, I hit 8 out of 10 sets today. I totally forgot the Wawa went 3 sets! My apologies. Still didn't affect outcome though, I just went brain dead when I posted that earlier.
As always, BOL to ev1 for the rest of the day!!!Comment -
Todays Record 5/14:
Parlays (2-0) +2.08 units
Straights (0-0) 0.0 units
Total = (2-0) +2.08 unitsComment -
Overall Record as of 5/14:
Parlays (31-16) +7.20 units
Straights (3-4) -0.84 units
Total = (34-20) +6.36 units
Total Win % = 63.0%Comment -
Winners are grinners
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LOL!!! You know it Opti
You had a good day I think. If you did, GREAT JOB!!!Comment -
sam green eggs and ham on tuesday...Comment -
Whats up Splittor!!!!! Hope u had a good weekend my man. I have not looked at the matches for tomm yet. I am assuming u are talking about Queer Y. LOL!! I saw Sam play here in Houston against Anderson at River Oaks. Sam serve looked solid! Groundies fairly solid, too many errors i thought though. I am gonna put my plays up prob even earlier tonight than I did this mornings plays. So if you have any questions on my plays or any play, let me know dawtg. I will help out the best I can. Also, if I don't take Querrey tomm, I will do a small write up for my buddy Splittor later tonight after the chronic has taken effect
Dude, I hope life has been good to you & family is healthy. I'll be back on later. Peace out.
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CRRRRRRRRRRRRRRAAAAAAAAACCCCCCKKKKKKK!
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what looks nice this evening gentlemenComment -
I'm looking at plays in a few moments. I am thinking about putting some of the early Challanger matches in some parlays. So prob have my plays up in an hour or less. Then maybe some more to follow after that.Comment -
5/15
Play #1
Van der Merwe -450
Monfils -250
Total = apprx. -141
1u / 0.71uComment -
5/15
Play #2
Weintraub -385
Ferrer -500
Monaco -1000
Total = apprx. -151
1u / 0.66uComment -
My book put the 11:30 challanger matches back up till 11:45. So they should start in 17 mins or so. GL to ev1 today!!!
***11:30 matches pushed back 30-45 mins, depending on which ones. I only had 2 of those, both back on the board.Comment -
5/15
Play #3
Baker -350
Paire -350
Total = apprx. -152
1u / 0.65uComment -
5/15
Play #4
Weintraub -385
Roger-Vasselin -175
Total = apprx. -101
1u / 0.98uComment -
5/15
Play #5
Van Der Merwe -450
Murray -400
Monaco -900
Total = apprx. -142
1u / 0.70uComment -
I am very tired, so quick write up on each play. And fyi, challanger matches are updated after the match on tennis.com for Uzb tment.
BOL to ev1, hope we keep it rolling!Comment -
Write Up - Play #1
Van der Merwe has played most of the year. He has won a title in doubles in Challanger level. His record is 7-15, losing last tment in three sets to Milman in the first round. His time on court this year & winning over half dozen singles matches, should give him the edge today. His opponent is whom I am betting against. Inoyatov has not played on the Challanger level all year. When he did last year a few tments, he got blown of the court by Weintraub, Istomin & Kavcic. He is playing up a level here, so if he doesn't bring his best game it he will have a tought day I think.
Monfils needs to win a match like this. Nalbandian played a good match yest, so I think he got too much respect on the small dog. If Monfils shows up tomm, anything Nalb can do Monfils can do better. This match could be really close, bec Nalb will think he has a legitimate chance to win this match. If Monfils wants to be a factor on clay this year, he needs to get thru some draws in bigger tments. I look for Monfils to pull it out & move onto the next round.Comment
