.

[Possum]

1u cilic to win Munich+350

Was going to bet cilic over youzhny but am taking this instead as I see him getting by haas or baghdatis in a semifinal if he wins tomorrow and I will be able to hedge if he makes final

1u wawrinka-1.5 sets-120

[Possum]

Like my position with my futures but just in case
.2~1.5 wawrinka/haas

[Possum]

1~.54 nalbandian/giraldo

[Possum]

1u barthel-2.5-110
1~1.20 barthel/nalbandian

[Possum]

.15~2 kohlschreiber/gasquet---final hedge against my futures but I think both will come in---gasquet in particular I give little chance after watching his boring ass match today

After I pick up 5u on cilic and delpo,I will immediately give some back on these
.5~.64 wickmayer/medina garrigues
.5 kirilenko-140
.5 Vinci+150

[Possum]

Cilic served 30% and played like a puss on all his set points

1u kanepi/safarova over 21.5-120
These two have a tight h2h history with 3 setters and 4 tiebreakers in 5 complete meetings--safarova the favorite but kanepi coming in good form after her estoril win

1~1.05 troicki/cetkovska

.5 troicki-4.5-115 I am sure mom and dad have worked out all the kinks in donald's game but his last performance againt mathieu deserves an auto fade on principle,regardless of how it was only 1 match and how much of a flake troicki is

.5 vesnina+7-130
covered this in charleston and looked decent this weekend-- might have a hangover so only a half unit


Found errors/recategorized a couple of plays

Favorites 20-13 +4.62
Underdogs 17-25 +1.62
Games 19-20 -5.54
Totals 11-13 -2.21
Sets 5-2 +2.50
Futures 1-1 +1.00
Hedges 0-3 -.45
Parlays 13-22 -11.83

[Possum]

.5 stakhovsky-2-120
.5 makarova+115

[shimeon40]

donald young is a goose...no heart

[shimeon40]

A bed wetting mummys boy...

[Possum]

1~.89 minar/machado/almagro

Minar has been consistent on the challenger tour and has won a lot of matches for me/machado had a horrible start to the year but performs better when he steps down in class to the challenger tour/almagro did not look his best against wawrinka but hope he plays better here-the match that worries me the most--

[Possum]

Kanepi serving at 4-4,30-15--just hold serve and the over hits---but of course not

1.5~1.01 felder/ghem -- fading the wild cards at rio quente

[Possum]

1~.79 nielsen/Ito

Raven klassen is playing tennis so I automatically get on the other side but as this is a parlay,it will lose

[Possum]

Had openings to win every single bet--now a bunch of sob stories

1*bellucci+120
I wasn't impressed with gasquet's week--Ramos choked his balls off in that semifinal--some people like to fade players coming off finals and i can't argue with that strategy---although I would take kohlschreiber at
+money against monfils if forced to choose

[Possum]

Bought back melzer for a small loss(if he ends up winning) he tore a ligament a couple of weeks ago so I question his mobility

[Possum]

I bought off stepanek for a small loss as I pretty much was not thinking clearly this afternoon- if I ever do think clearly---I have thought about this and I don't care about laying the juice because if I put her in a parlay,the other side will lose

2*barthel-170

[Possum]

Way to get off stepanak---stick to your guns p ussy

[Possum]

And in the quest for more info I found out that melter tore a ligament on practice 2 weeks ago and so I got off of him even though I knew he was a nasty matchup for Lopez---watch my 2 remaining matches lose to complete a fukked up day

[Possum]

1*barthel/Williams/hocevar/millman+227

[Possum]

4*stosur-1.5sets-120

[Possum]

.5* Simon/Garcia Lopez over 21-120

[Possum]

1~1.14 federer/Serena-1.5 sets/nadal-1.5 sets
1*serena-1.5 sets-160
Wozniacki sprained ankle against pervak but barthel did not run her enough to take advantage--we will see how much of a factor it is-- Serena's serve is in good form-19 aces ,3 doubles, and over 70% first serves-- this will allow her to swing freely and apply pressure in the return game

[Possum]

Thanks for that first set Serena, you fukkshovel

2~1.34 Bryan brothers/stepanek and paes

Hate playing doubles with the tiebreaker format but playing the latter after monfils got blasted and gasquet will get his beating later--

1 federer under 20.5-120
Gasquet's serve will look like an NTRP serve after yesterday and federer will be able to get into the rally and control play

[Possum]

Ferrer-4-130
Almagro's girlfriend,Caroline Garcia,will be at match clapping for nico--this will make david very angry and he will try to win all of the games

[Possum]

Wawrinka+4+125

[Possum]

Not sure many match points the Bryan's had--at least 3,2 of them serving--another parlay loss

4*federer to win Madrid +275

Fed is obviously the best athlete remaining in the field which is a big help on this surface---his semi would be against Novak who is clearly agitated with the slippery conditions-- I can't see novak placing any emphasis on winning this tourney at this point--berdych or Delpo in the final will offer some buy back opportunity---of course now that I have made this bet,fed will lose to Ferrer tomorrow

[ParlayininHTown]

Ferrer-4-130
Almagro's girlfriend,Caroline Garcia,will be at match clapping for nico--this will make david very angry and he will try to win all of the games

[Possum]

2~1.58 federer/berdych
2~2.49 federer/berdych/radwanska-1.5 sets

You have to attribute verdasco's win to nadal's lack of comfort on the surface+Fernando may have an emotional hangover after such a tough win---this court is not slow enough to help ferret(autocorrect changes ferrer to ferret and it seems to fit)---radwanska doesn't dick around with inferior competition and should end lepchenko's nice run in straights---if you have federer or berdych in a parlay,you are fukked because I am parlay kryptonite

[Possum]

Need federer to actually win 2 parlays which means he will trip on his shoelaces at some point

Hedge-.25 parlay Ferrer+280/open/open

[Possum]

.75 janowicz-120
.75 pospisil-150

Playing these guys because unless the schedule is changed,they are both playing the same person-Gilles muller. The Rome challenger final starts shortly and then muller will have to play his Italian open qualifier against pospisil. Muller has already given birth 4 times this week with all of his matches going 3 including a 3rd set tiebreaker yesterday against bolelli.

[Possum]

Muller getting ready to start match #2 in his doubleheader--
Janowicz wins in straights in part by taking 29 out of 30 points on serve in the first set

[Possum]

Hedge on federer futures bet---1u berdych +274
also have .5 on berdych to win Madrid at +800 so this will guarantee some profit but I want to collect the 11 units that come with a federer victory

1*bellucci+110

[Possum]

1~1.60 Ungur/raonic/seppi

Essentially a play on Ungur to get a better price-muller's 7th match in 6 days--don't see mayer's unorthodox game or hideous forehand throwing off raonic enough and istomin has yet to show on clay--I am running from volandri as a favorite,have a strange feeling about that one

[Possum]

Live in play hedge- berdych+161
i think fed has it from here but greed has hurt me on the past- I can live with 9 units instead of 10 if fed wins

[Possum]

1*wickmayer-130

[Possum]

2u schiavone-115

Mired in dreadful slump,hasn't gone deep in this tourney in years,still has that dreadful mole
Time to get it going in front of the home fans
Call it a gut play because anybody with a brain would just skip this match

.5uMedina garrigues/pervak+155
.5u medina garrigues/ivanovic+134