.

[Possum]

1u daniilidou+5.5+100 ddou is definitely no dirtballer but she is a seasoned veteran-- playing more against kuznetsova as she just lost the 4th singles rubber against Serbia which allowed the Serbs to win--2 days later she is in morocco and you have to doubt we will see her best tennis early on

1u jaziri+5-115
.5u jaziri+340
Hope jaziri is 100 % but will willing to test Anderson on clay without hesitation and despite his big serve

Like the over in the pavlyuchenkova/georges match as I think they will continue their patchy play from the weekend

[Possum]

Great thought on jaziri...getting bass taped

1u peer-4-120
1u pavlyuchenkova/georges over 19.5-130
1u rodionova+4.5-115

[Possum]

+160 chakvetadze/bertens

[Possum]

Cetkovska/trungelletti +104
1u mike depalmer sr.'s grandson-145

[Possum]

Banner day including the following:
Peer loses match point and then the game that would have given me a push
Rodionova wins first set as an underdog then gets injured and retires
Trungelleti loses 7-5 in third to opponent he has owned in the past
Daniilidou gets out to 3-0 in the second set and then collapses
Bolelli as a -900 favorite sucks rooster and then retires after the first set
Lots of other shitty picks

Favorites 15-11 -.31
Underdogs 12-22 +.06
Game Handicaps 10-10 -3.67
Sets handicaps 3-1 +1.00
Totals 7-5 +2.10
Parlays 5-17 -11.74

Total 51-66 -12.56

Remind me to bet more parlays
Good luck to everyone as today's action finishes

[Possum]

Nishikori under 20.5-120
Nieminen under 20.5-120
Ramos under20.5-118
Cetkovska-4
Candantu +5.5

[Possum]

Nishikori-4.5-115
Ramos -4.5-114
Nieminen-4.5-130

[Possum]

Barthel/ivanovic over 21-105

[Possum]

4-5 day with 3 losses by a half game

3u nishikori-115--- kn's recent win over Ramos was no fluke in my opinion--his greater power pushed Ramos back and he easily controlled the rallies--Ramos has a weak serve which nishikori will threaten repeatedly--kn did have a brief lull(much like today) in the second set but was able to regain his edge and finish him off

[Demonata]

Love that play man. Great value on Nishikori.

[Possum]

2u barthel-110 Mona hung tough against ai--first set was all but lost but she righted the ship and ended on a nice run--she also never cracked in the second set as she always trailed by a game and never had a break point on ai's serve---playing in her home country should keep her motivated to keep rolling

2u medina garrigues+100 don't quite get the line but not going to second guess backing her-
1u stebe+4-135
.5 stebe+210

[Possum]

1u Anderson+3.5+105
1u amanmuradova+6-120

[Possum]

For 1u each
Barthel +5-110
fognini+150
Sharapova-135
Johansson +4-105

.5 barthel+349
.5 nishikori+145

[Possum]

.5 schoorel-160
.5 schoorel/radwanska +144

[Possum]

Raonic/ferrer over 21.5-130
Raonic+3.5-120

[Possum]

Don't see ferrer breaking a lot after he only broke Lopez once today--ferrer did face only 2 break points on his own serve but raonic will pose a bigger threat to break--raonic +3.5 is a slight hedge if milos breaks through and wins 4 and 4 or so

[Possum]

Kvitova-2.5-115
Sharapova lucky to be here today after stosur let the match get away--maybe she is a little fatigued today after yesterday but you don't rise to her level by not being able to string tough matches together-- I still like kvitova to pull out a couple of close sets and think it is unlikely we see 2 tiebreakers like yesterday

[Possum]

Sharapova hitting with more depth,hitting the corners,returning better,not throwing in twins-- she will serve out first and then finish this match

[Possum]

1~.83 gojowczyk/schwank

[Possum]

1~1.19 greul/arrubarrena-vecino/nadal-1.5 sets

History on clay,current form,h2h,ranking,better looking girlfriend all dictate greul
Thorpe has 2 wins over a then 17 a-v but a-v dusted her last year and is in better form with a straight sets win over rezai--WTF has happened to her by the way---while thorpe struggled to beat an unranked aruajo

[Possum]

.5 tomic/giraldo +102
.5 tomic/haase +103
.5 giraldo/haase+107
1u larsson+130

[Possum]

1U peer/Wozniak over 21+100

I am ignoring their lopsided h2h meetings- they have never met on clay anyway--both have been playing a lot of 3 setters lately so I am going to play into that trend--thinking we we will see the typical breakfest and I suck/you suck style common in wta

[Possum]

2u cipolla/ junqueira under21-130
Junqueira steps up from the challengers again to a level where he has not had much success-at 33 years of age,he is not going to surprise us with his level of play--cipolla has definitely had more success at this level and is currently sitting at a career high ranking--I looked hard at -4.5 games because sometimes the favorite will sleepwalk through a tight set and then roll the next 2 but I can't see cipolla dropping a set

I should probably quit 5 dimes because there is way too much I like-all for 1u
Fognini-155
Falla/bachinger over21.5-125
Kubot/rosol over22-120
Cadantu/rybarikova over21-118
Amanmuradova/krajicek over21-122
minella+7.5-105
yakimova+6-110

[Possum]

And the Billy,you are so far from home play(10 sbr points if you identify the source of that reference)

Sousa+175

Price is rising on Harrison which I completely understand with his 16 career wins on clay--A more experienced Russell made Harrison look out of his element and now sousa comes along with over 300 matches on the dirt under his belt--sure Harrison could win,but at this price I will bite

[Possum]

Facing today's music--some crap picks for sure but yakimova had game point in the first 4 games of the second set and lost them all--she should have split sets and covered--I thought I was sitting pretty on the falla/bachinger total after falla held the first game of the second--if he wins 2 more games I cover--he wins one--

Favorites 19-13 +2.64
Underdogs 14-25 +1.19
Totals 11-12 -1.01
Sets 3-1 + 1.00
Game handicaps 17-17 -4.72
Parlays 10-18 -9.63

.5-1.5 plays=crap
2u plays 5-1
3u plays 1-0

[Possum]

1~.96 nalbandian/errani/kanepi
This is a really brave parlay---waste of time to write about -400 and -900 chalk--king squeaked by larsson in the first round and with her current clay resume she is an auto fade as kanepi has 4x the experience on dirt-watch king win now

[Possum]

Pervak-2.5-120
Zakapalova-3.5-120
Medina- garrigues-3.5-100
Knapp+5-115

[Possum]

I essentially have knapp +5 for the third set-- let's sit back and watch her get bageled

[Possum]

Nalbandian-1.5 sets -140

[Possum]

Bedene+1.5 +100rethinking this play as bedene makes me nervous---will deduct the necessary juice from record

[Possum]

Wasn't trusting nalbandian's motivation but it cost me nothing in the end

2u tomic-130
1~1.48 Lopez-1.5 sets/montanes-1.5 sets
1u montanes under 19--no game line which I expected to be 5.5/6 so I am trying this
1u Lopez-1.5 sets-130

[Possum]

1~.80 andujar/chardy
.5 andujar1.5 sets+120
.5 Garcia-Lopez-125

Here is women's tennis for you---- knapp was down 5-1 in the third and had a game point against her in the game she won so she could have easily lost 6-0---then runs the table to win-- medina garrigues was looking comfortable at 6-3,3-3 double break point before her collapse---I am hoping candantu was injured because there is no good explanation for that crap---no wta for me today

[Possum]

Ramos/Lopez/ggl/istomin/chardy/del potro/rosol

Going off the reservation with a round robin of 6s and a 7 teamer because I just don't give a ****
2u~13u

Really not that much of a home run play if you consider Ramos,Lopez,del potro, and chardy to be near locks--- I was going to bet ggl and rosol anyway---istomin is the wild card to me--entertainment for a rainy day

[Possum]

Ggl served for the match at 6-4,5-4 and then lost,istomin up 6-3,2-0 and will finish his collapse tomorrow so a near miss for the lottery ticket

+.57 on the other plays--the tomic play wins to take the 2u record to 6-1---I might get serious and cut out all the action plays but what is the fun in doing that

[Possum]

2u del potro to win estoril -135

Looking at the field,wawrinka and gasquet seem to be the only 2 with enough game to beat delpo if he is off and with their unevenness I just can't see it happening--it's a skewed stat since he was out a year with an injury and this clay season is just getting started, but delpo's only clay losses since the beginning of 2009 are to nadal,federer, and djokovic--this is a very reasonable play at a very reasonable price