2012 aussie open ML parlay

[jsmithj88]

im back again for this year

[Tsonga]

should be interesting

[jsmithj88]

opinions???
pays 1.465X

• 1/15/2012 8:30 PM ATP Tennis 229 Mardy Fish* -425 vs Gilles Muller
• 1/15/2012 7:00 PM ATP Tennis 258 Juan Martin del Potro* -1250 vs Adrian Mannarino
• 1/15/2012 10:00 PM ATP Tennis 261 Alexandr Dolgopolov* -1750 vs Greg Jones
• 1/16/2012 3:00 AM ATP Tennis 290 Roger Federer* -9500 vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
• 1/15/2012 8:30 PM ATP Tennis 293 Tomas Berdych* -2800 vs Albert Ramos
• 1/15/2012 11:30 PM ATP Tennis 325 John Isner* -1375 vs Benjamin Mitchell
• 1/15/2012 11:30 PM ATP Tennis 354 Rafal Nadal* -6000 vs Alex Kuznetsov
• 1/16/2012 4:30 AM WTA Tennis 401 Caroline Wozniacki* -895 vs Anastasia Rodionova
• 1/15/2012 10:00 PM WTA Tennis 433 Kim Clijsters* -2255 vs Maria Joao Koehler
• 1/15/2012 8:30 PM WTA Tennis 462 Na Li* -1075 vs Ksenia Pervak
• 1/15/2012 7:00 PM WTA Tennis 465 Victoria Azarenka* -2775 vs Heather Watson
• 1/15/2012 10:00 PM WTA Tennis 497 Francesca Schiavone* -1610 vs Laura Pous Tio
• 1/15/2012 7:00 PM WTA Tennis 526 Agnieszka Radwanska* -1035 vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands

[beagle25]

I can tell those are 5dimes lines so why don't you do a bunch of open parlays instead mixing up these players. This way you're not one and done.

[jsmithj88]

i mite do that

[dredmahawkus]

I have one that looks like that.

[gators0708]

Fish is going to lose.

[jsmithj88]

Fish is going to lose.

why?

[gators0708]

Muller has a big lefty serve that can be tricky, I expect this to be a close match

[jsmithj88]

9 Team Parlay
500.00 to win 240.40 (277.42)

Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
NYG makes next score -2000* vs 8th score - GB makes next score



Open 10 Team Parlay
250.00 to win $149.82 ($165.81)
Juan Martin del Potro -1250* vs Adrian Mannarino
Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
1/16/12 1:05pm NBA Basketball 704 Memphis Grizzlies 2nd Half +20 -2500* vs Chicago Bulls

Open 13 Team Parlay
$50.00 to win $49.71 ($53.70)
Juan Martin del Potro -1250* vs Adrian Mannarino
Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
John Isner -1350* vs Benjamin Mitchell
Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
Na Li -1075* vs Ksenia Pervak
Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
Francesca Schiavone -1610* vs Laura Pous Tio
Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
1/16/12 1:05pm NBA Basketball 704 Memphis Grizzlies 2nd Half +20 -2500* vs Chicago Bulls

Open 14 Team Parlay
$46.40 $66.03 ($69.24)
Mardy Fish -465* vs Gilles Muller
Juan Martin del Potro -1250* vs Adrian Mannarino
Alexandr Dolgopolov -1850* vs Greg Jones
Roger Federer -9250* vs Alexander Kudryavtsev
Tomas Berdych -2750* vs Albert Ramos
John Isner -1350* vs Benjamin Mitchell
Rafal Nadal -6000* vs Alex Kuznetsov
Caroline Wozniacki -895* vs Anastasia Rodionova
Kim Clijsters -2255* vs Maria Joao Koehler
Na Li -1075* vs Ksenia Pervak
Victoria Azarenka -2775* vs Heather Watson
Francesca Schiavone -1610* vs Laura Pous Tio
Agnieszka Radwanska -1035* vs Bethanie Mattek-Sands
1/15/12 9:05pm NBA Basketball 806 San Antonio Spurs 2nd Half +14 -3500* vs Phoenix Suns

[Optional]

Good luck!

Personally I would not have bet those odds against Mattek Sands though. She is in good form and great spirits right now.

[gregm]

Good Luck JR, I dont know if you have placed some of these but make sure you look at those odds. In that 9 teamer for instance, in my calculations I am getting -466/1.21 on the odds , not -208/ 1.46.

I would also look at adding someone like Hewitt and a Jankovic or a Kuznetsova pick in that parlay to get some decent numbers. Right now by adding Federer at -1950 to that 9 teamer, he is only adding 7$ to your payout on a 500$ wager.

Nadal at -6000 is only adding 10$ on a 500$ parlay. Of course, Nadal and Fed seem like free money bit its alot of tension for 7-10 bucks. Good luck tonight.

[jsmithj88]

fed and nadal not gonna lose

[jsmithj88]

Muller has a big lefty serve that can be tricky, I expect this to be a close match

[MUHerd37]

Dolgo is going to kill you. He bet on Jones.

[jsmithj88]

Dolgo is going to kill you. He bet on Jones.

hes playing like shit

[Optional]

Don't know about the NFL/NBA legs but looks like everything tennis got up!

[jsmithj88]

that was very close with dolgopolov

[jsmithj88]

Starting stack: $896.40

Day 1: post #10

9 Team Parlay
500.00 to win (277.42)

Open 10 Team Parlay
250.00 to win ($165.81)

Open 13 Team Parlay
$50.00 to win ($53.70)

Open 14 Team Parlay
$46.40 to win ($69.24)

+566.17 (63% return)

896.4 ---> 1462.57

[jsmithj88]

9 Team Parlay
1,370.00 to win $582.95

Novak Djokovic -18000* vs Paolo Lorenzi
Milos Raonic -5050* vs Filippo Volandri
David Ferrer -8100* vs Rui Machado
Andy Murray -2800* vs Ryan Harrison
Gael Monfils -2665* vs Marinko Matosevic
Gilles Simon -1575* vs Danai Udomchoke
Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -1105* vs Denis Istomin
Serena Williams -1600* vs Tamira Paszek
Petra Kvitova -2700* vs Vera Dushevina

[gregm]

Should read 1,370 to win 255.34

Adding that Djokovic -18,000 wager to the parlay adds eight dollars and ninety eight cents to the winnings on this parlay.

[jsmithj88]

Should read 1,370 to win 255.34

yeaaaaaaa ok ...... y dont u calculate that again

[benrama]

Greg - his numbers are correct, it is to win $582, agree about leaving Joker off though.

[gregm]

What am I missing here, a number missing, a euro book with special parlay card payouts ? I am not trying to be an asshole here, I deal with numbers all the time and I make mistakes all the time and if I made a mistake on this I will be the first to apologize.

I just glanced at the parlay and when the lowest odds was -1105, it just seemed to me at first glance to be way off from ending up at -235 (1.43 ) odds, I am getting it ending up at -537 (1.18). Even putting it into a simple parlay calculator http://www.parlaycalculator.com/ and I am still getting the same numbers.

I dont know, maybe I am missing something here, I miss stuff all the time.

[Optional]

Have you got the right parlay Greg?

[gregm]

Thanks optional, I didnt even know sbr had a parlay calculator. I just put those numbers into my calculator I have on my don best service and JS was right. I must have been putting in the wrong numbers or looking at the wrong parlay in this thread. I am sorry JS, I was wrong, good luck with your parlay bro.

[benrama]

I thought it looked high too so spent a minute putting it into Excel - didn't know SBR had a parlay calculator either, there you go.

Hope I don't jinx you but the parlay is looking good so far jsmith.

[jsmithj88]

9 Team Parlay
1,370.00 to win $582.95

896.4 ---> 1462.57 ---> 2043.50

*my numbers may not always add up as i have other wagers, parlays, etc in this total
*but generally, its correct

[jsmithj88]

Open 11 Team Parlay
$400.00 to win $226.55

Mardy Fish -965* vs Alejandro Falla
Juan Martin del Potro -1900* vs Blaz Kavcic
Roger Federer -8450* vs Andreas Beck
Tomas Berdych -1150* vs Olivier Rochus
Rafael Nadal -2750* vs Tommy Haas
Caroline Wozniacki -3510* vs Anna Tatishvili
Kim Clijsters -3410* vs Stephanie Foretz
Na Li -3410* vs Olivia Rogowska
Victoria Azarenka -3345* vs Casey Dellacqua
Agnieszka Radwanska -1850*

9 Team Parlay
$1,600.00 to win $670.87
Juan Martin del Potro -1900* vs Blaz Kavcic
Roger Federer -8450* vs Andreas Beck
Tomas Berdych -1150* vs Olivier Rochus
Rafael Nadal -2750* vs Tommy Haas
Caroline Wozniacki -3510* vs Anna Tatishvili
Kim Clijsters -3410* vs Stephanie Foretz
Na Li -3410* vs Olivia Rogowska
Victoria Azarenka -3345* vs Casey Dellacqua
Agnieszka Radwanska -1850*

[Big Bear]

have these matches already started?

[Big Bear]

i need a parlay but i need 1 that does not start for 1 more hour

[jsmithj88]

9 Team Parlay
$1,600.00 to win $670.87

Open 11 Team Parlay
$400.00 to win $226.55

+270.87

896.4 ---> 1462.57 ---> 2043.50 ---> 2320

[benrama]

Good work so far, I do this type of thing in slams too - just dedicate 5% of your bankroll to it and have a bit of fun.

Hard parlay day today, might have to think about picking spots with some < -1000 type plays of 2 to 3 players.

I'm liking (lines are Pinny's parlay lines):

Ivanovic -887 (yea she can burn you but she's in reasonable form and does give her A effort for slams)
Bartoli -593 (Dokic always finds a way to crumble under unforced errors)
Cibulkova -887 (Cibulkova only tends to lose to solid players not scrubs like Arn)
Nishikori -328 (this will probably be a bit of a sweat, but Ebden is over-rated, his line is slightly inflated for home advantage, and Nishikori is in great form)

Out of all these I have the most faith in Cibulkova

[jsmithj88]

$50.00to win $71.23
Pending 1/18/12 7:05pm NBA Basketball 703 Oklahoma City Thunder -850* vs Washington Wizards
Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm ATP Tennis 109 Milos Raonic -310* vs Philipp Petzschner
Pending 1/19/12 4:30am ATP Tennis 114 Andy Roddick -335* vs Lleyton Hewitt
Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm WTA Tennis 465 Vera Zvonareva -380* vs Lucie Hradecka



$19.00 $39.52 Open 25 Team Parlay
Pending 1/18/12 7:05pm NBA Basketball 703 Oklahoma City Thunder -900* vs Washington Wizards
Pending 1/18/12 7:35pm NBA Basketball 712 Boston Celtics -525* vs Toronto Raptors
Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm ATP Tennis 109 Milos Raonic -310* vs Philipp Petzschner
Pending 1/19/12 4:30am ATP Tennis 114 Andy Roddick -335* vs Lleyton Hewitt
Pending 1/18/12 11:30pm ATP Doubles Tennis 923 B.Bryan/M.Bryan -1000* vs J.Erlich/A.Ram
Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm WTA Tennis 465 Vera Zvonareva -430* vs Lucie Hradecka



$2,000.00 $935.69 Open 9 Team Parlay
Pending 1/18/12 7:05pm NBA Basketball 703 Oklahoma City Thunder -850* vs Washington Wizards
Pending 1/18/12 8:30pm ATP Tennis 130 David Ferrer -3400* vs Ryan Sweeting
Pending 1/18/12 11:30pm ATP Tennis 133 Andy Murray -5400* vs Edouard Roger-Vasselin
Pending 1/18/12 8:30pm ATP Tennis 162 Jo-Wilfried Tsonga -2800* vs Ricardo Mello
Pending 1/18/12 11:30pm ATP Doubles Tennis 923 B.Bryan/M.Bryan -1500* vs J.Erlich/A.Ram
Pending 1/18/12 8:30pm WTA Tennis 478 Serena Williams -2775* vs Barbora Zahlavova Strycova
Pending 1/18/12 7:00pm WTA Tennis 494 Maria Sharapova -1765* vs Jamie Hampton
Pending 1/18/12 10:00pm WTA Tennis 526 Petra Kvitova -2800* vs Carla Suarez Navarro

[Tsonga]

i would have kept to tennis...the nba play made it a bit risky.