Stacocakes French Open thread

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  • MUHerd37
    SBR Posting Legend
    • 10-23-09
    • 12816

    #71
    Looks like Ivanovic is gonna bow out in the 1st round yet again
    Comment
    • Stacocakes
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-10-08
      • 7126

      #72
      Holy shit what is nadal doing? Just woke up right now here. Looks as though he is going to win the match now but unreal. Figured this would be an easy match for him. This is not looking good going forward for my rafa future
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #73
        Only one match Staco. A win is a win. Shari explained it in some other threads. The balls this year are apparently very different and fast, making these first matches tricky for some - especially depending on opponent and their ability to whip in serves.
        Comment
        • Stacocakes
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-10-08
          • 7126

          #74
          Volandri lost. Believe he was around -350. Glad I didn't make any plays today because I was considering Giraldo and he lost in straight sets. Geez.

          Another huge upset with Almagro bowing out. Unreal. Had him going very far in my bracket. Querrey wins as a +280 dog I believe. Chalk parlays were buried today
          Comment
          • Stacocakes
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-10-08
            • 7126

            #75
            How are you doing so far Eagles?Hopefully dodging some of these landmines early
            Comment
            • EaglesPhan36
              SBR Aristocracy
              • 12-06-06
              • 71662

              #76
              Under .500, but I've been betting all dogs except for two parlays. Hit one parlay yesterday + one pending today. So I haven't lost a ton.
              Comment
              • Stacocakes
                SBR Hall of Famer
                • 04-10-08
                • 7126

                #77
                Nice Eagles.Could have been alot worse with these upsets

                Ivanovic lost. She was around a -400 or -500 fav.I remember seeing the line and wondering who the **** would bet that

                Cibulkova was -700 I believe and she lost
                Comment
                • Stacocakes
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-10-08
                  • 7126

                  #78
                  Added women's outright

                  Kvitova +900

                  I've been thinking and thinking and I am going to take the plunge here with Kvitova. Have liked her game for a long time now and she is one of the hottest players coming into this tournament. Her portion of the draw has opened up right now with Ivanovic and Cibulkova being knocked out in the first round. Not that those two players really matter but that is the reason for the price drop to +900 right now. Was talking with Roguescholar in chat and he has her at +1050 so her price hasn't come down that much after the first round. Definately think there is value in this play. To get to the finals she will have to likely beat Na Li, Azarenka and probably Clijsters. Not the easiest path to the final but this is women's tennis so one of the three might be upset anyways so anything can happen. The price is right here and I think it's definately worth a shot.
                  Comment
                  • MUHerd37
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 10-23-09
                    • 12816

                    #79
                    I can't believe almagro lost. That's huge
                    Comment
                    • birdmanweezy
                      SBR MVP
                      • 04-18-10
                      • 4635

                      #80
                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                      Only one match Staco. A win is a win. Shari explained it in some other threads. The balls this year are apparently very different and fast, making these first matches tricky for some - especially depending on opponent and their ability to whip in serves.
                      LOL she is a balls expert hehehe
                      Comment
                      • isles71
                        SBR Sharp
                        • 02-12-10
                        • 439

                        #81
                        Anyone with more picks for Wed Morning?
                        Comment
                        • JNic
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-03-10
                          • 4272

                          #82
                          Fognini looks pretty solid at the -150 range. I know the crowd will be behind Robert but remember Fognini beat Monfils in that night match that got stopped cause it was too dark. I just dont see Robert getting past this baseline grinder with a seriously good Grand slam resume so far.
                          Comment
                          • Stacocakes
                            SBR Hall of Famer
                            • 04-10-08
                            • 7126

                            #83
                            Enough of sitting on the sidelines here. Going to make a chalk eater parlay to make the day more interesting.

                            Wawrinka,Tsonga and Bellucci +121

                            Ok I am not wild about including Bellucci in this parlay but it should be ok. Bellucci has been playing very well on clay, except for the first round loss to Lorenzi in Rome. Seppi is coming into the French Open pretty much hit or miss. Wawrinka and Tsonga should both win their matches so this parlay should be a good way to get into the tournament.

                            If there are any upsets tomorrow i'd rather lose a plus money parlay then to lose on a -400 favorite straight up. Didn't see much else on the board worth betting so i'm just going to stick to this as my only play for tomorrow.

                            JNic i'm not to sure about Fognini. He's coming into the French Open losing 6 of his last 8 matches on clay while Robert is coming into this tournament with some good results on clay, albeit challenger matches but a win is a win. What I think you do have going for you though is a players tendency to shit the bed after pulling up a huge upset. We've all seen it many times and I think this might be the case here. Best of luck if you go with Fognini JNic.

                            One thing I picture every time I see Fognini is the way it looks like he is sitting on a chair when he hits his groundstrokes. Either that or he is constipated

                            Best of luck tomorrow guys. Let's make some cash
                            Comment
                            • UpsetSpecial09
                              SBR MVP
                              • 05-01-10
                              • 1438

                              #84
                              Originally posted by Stacocakes
                              Enough of sitting on the sidelines here. Going to make a chalk eater parlay to make the day more interesting.

                              Wawrinka,Tsonga and Bellucci +121

                              Ok I am not wild about including Bellucci in this parlay but it should be ok. Bellucci has been playing very well on clay, except for the first round loss to Lorenzi in Rome. Seppi is coming into the French Open pretty much hit or miss. Wawrinka and Tsonga should both win their matches so this parlay should be a good way to get into the tournament.

                              If there are any upsets tomorrow i'd rather lose a plus money parlay then to lose on a -400 favorite straight up. Didn't see much else on the board worth betting so i'm just going to stick to this as my only play for tomorrow.

                              JNic i'm not to sure about Fognini. He's coming into the French Open losing 6 of his last 8 matches on clay while Robert is coming into this tournament with some good results on clay, albeit challenger matches but a win is a win. What I think you do have going for you though is a players tendency to shit the bed after pulling up a huge upset. We've all seen it many times and I think this might be the case here. Best of luck if you go with Fognini JNic.

                              One thing I picture every time I see Fognini is the way it looks like he is sitting on a chair when he hits his groundstrokes. Either that or he is constipated

                              Best of luck tomorrow guys. Let's make some cash
                              As you already know, he is sketchy....be very careful with Bellucci. He cost me 2 parlays in Rome and I won't go with him at all in the French Open....I think there are better options to use instead of him for a parlay. If you go with him GL!
                              Comment
                              • MUHerd37
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 10-23-09
                                • 12816

                                #85
                                What a comeback by Goerges!!! Plus she's soooooooo fukkin hot!
                                Comment
                                • MUHerd37
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-23-09
                                  • 12816

                                  #86
                                  Wozniacki won. Hell of a tiebreak to end it.
                                  Comment
                                  • TopGun1
                                    SBR High Roller
                                    • 05-31-10
                                    • 123

                                    #87
                                    Originally posted by MUHerd37
                                    What a comeback by Goerges!!! Plus she's soooooooo fukkin hot!
                                    True that!
                                    Comment
                                    • beefcake
                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                      • 11-26-09
                                      • 14029

                                      #88
                                      Not sure on Waw Waw there stacko..Might take a shot with Schoorel here..Dont sleep on Sabine L. today either..
                                      Comment
                                      • MUHerd37
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-23-09
                                        • 12816

                                        #89
                                        Ferrer just tore up benneteau today. He hit some incredible shots. My boy was off the hook! Would love to see him win it all.
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #90
                                          Ferrer vs. Federer in the QFs. I hope it happens, believe it will potentially be one of the best matches of the tournament.

                                          I'm on Schoorel today also Staco. Wawrinka has been too much of a nut on clay this year for me to back him until he proves otherwise. He does have the experience advantage, but Schoorel is an up & comer on clay. He needs a signature win though in a Slam to signal his arrival.
                                          Comment
                                          • Stacocakes
                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                            • 04-10-08
                                            • 7126

                                            #91
                                            Looks like you guys might be on the right side with Schoorel. Wawa's line continues to drop. Not making me feel to good seeing that.

                                            Thought that Bellucci would be tight match but it was nice to see he won easily in three sets.

                                            Agree Eagles that a Ferrer/Federer matchup would be great to see. Since I have Federer outrights though I am hoping Ferrer get's knocked off before then to make things easier haha

                                            Glad to see Del Potro win easily. Hope he is healthy for a match-up vs Djo

                                            Tsonga is going to be on the court soon and the Wawa match starts after Youzhny finishes off Kukushkin

                                            JNic Fognini looking good so far. About to be up 2 sets to 0.
                                            Comment
                                            • Stacocakes
                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                              • 04-10-08
                                              • 7126

                                              #92
                                              By the way I agree with you guys that Goerges is hot as ****. God damn.It's always a bonus when the more attractive player wins a match. With that being said I hope Kuznetsova loses soon..... and Schiavonne...
                                              Comment
                                              • Stacocakes
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 04-10-08
                                                • 7126

                                                #93
                                                3-0 Tsonga. Good start to the match

                                                4-0 Fognini in the third.Only a matter of time before he finishes that off
                                                Comment
                                                • Stacocakes
                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                  • 04-10-08
                                                  • 7126

                                                  #94
                                                  Tsonga won the first set

                                                  Wawrinka up a break serving for the first set
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                    • 7126

                                                    #95
                                                    Wawa up 2 sets to 0
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                      • 7126

                                                      #96
                                                      Guess we have to see at least one more round of Schiavone
                                                      Comment
                                                      • EaglesPhan36
                                                        SBR Aristocracy
                                                        • 12-06-06
                                                        • 71662

                                                        #97
                                                        Unfortunately maybe no more rounds of Zvonareva, although I don't think anyone expected here to be here long anyway. She sucks at RG.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stacocakes
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-10-08
                                                          • 7126

                                                          #98
                                                          Tsonga wins the second set

                                                          Still lots of match left here for Vera I think. Match goes three sets probably
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Stacocakes
                                                            SBR Hall of Famer
                                                            • 04-10-08
                                                            • 7126

                                                            #99
                                                            Vera going to a third set. Will probably win from here

                                                            Wawrinka wins easily in straight sets.Just need Tsonga now to finish off the day up 2-0 sets
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Stacocakes
                                                              SBR Hall of Famer
                                                              • 04-10-08
                                                              • 7126

                                                              #100
                                                              Wawrinka,Tsonga and Bellucci +121 parlay hits

                                                              Hopefully you guys had a good day today
                                                              Comment
                                                              • delpiero7
                                                                SBR Sharp
                                                                • 11-24-10
                                                                • 362

                                                                #101
                                                                Nice hit on the parlay.

                                                                I had Jankovic, Stosur, Dulko, Mattek and Gorgeous Goerges in mine today. It hit, but looking back I have no idea why I placed it. On the first 2 days my multi plays were all ruined by a woman losing, so going with 5 women would normally be a sure fire loser.

                                                                Goerges looked like she was doing her best to ruin my multi today, but turned out she was just messing.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #102
                                                                  Glad you hit your parlay, even at the expense of Schoorel for me. What a rally by Vera.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • shari91
                                                                    BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                                    • 02-23-10
                                                                    • 32661

                                                                    #103
                                                                    Good job Staco
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • and24
                                                                      SBR Sharp
                                                                      • 11-11-10
                                                                      • 334

                                                                      #104
                                                                      congratz. I was with you on both bellucci and tsonga money lines.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                                        • 7126

                                                                        #105
                                                                        Thanks everyone. Glad it sounds like others made some money today as well. Not going to get to happy about it though because I might just give it back tomorrow haha

                                                                        A few matches I am looking at already:

                                                                        Call me crazy here but I am liking Querrey for some reason. +134 against Ljubicic seems like it is a bit high. I know Querrey is piss poor on clay but Ljubicic is over the hill and always finds ways to disappoint at a slam.

                                                                        Some very very big odds on the women's side. I personally would never back them at those high odds.

                                                                        Going to think about Querrey for a bit and decide whether or not I am going to bet it.If you guys like anything let me know
                                                                        Comment
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