EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 09:42 AM

Calculated risks. Still doubt Djokovic plays deep in this tournament. Now he has his bonus money.

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 09:42 AM

That shoulder story was just a cover up for him throwing a match
to Nishikori, and his noble efforts to donate all winnings to Japan disaster.
His shoulder is just fine, as you can see. We all bought into his bullshit story.
Dodig is a bum..

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 09:47 AM

Anyone holding a gun to your head?

jrw · 11-09-11, 09:50 AM

Everyone knows Novak is notorious for making up injuries, faking, etc. Vegas must have bought it too though, because he was only -415 and should've been at least double or triple that under normal circumstances. He started at -515 and dropped to -415. So there were a lot of people who were thinking the same thing.

As EP said, it was a calculated risk, you knew if Novak wanted to win, he would. If he just wanted to be safe and not risk further injury, great chance he loses or retires.

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 09:53 AM

Didn't come out right.. I didn't mean to blame you EP...
I'm just pissed off...Lost a lot..

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 09:55 AM

This isn't made up. Shoulder issue is there. Just a matter of how he wants to manage it. As I said last night, he has very little to gain by playing the whole week here so I would be shocked if he doesn't bail out in one of the next couple of matches to rest for the ATP Finals.

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 09:57 AM

Sorry dude. Any play that is made in that mode though of going against an injury, I'd probably half your normal wager size. Should have stated that. I definitely make those plays less than a normal amount.

Pride · 11-09-11, 10:30 AM

i played dodig too but i only put like a fifth of a unit on him. i played a full unit on the +5 but unfortunately it pushed.

atliens1982 · 11-09-11, 10:51 AM

I think lot of people played Dodig just because there was a chance that he could just collect his bonus money and not give a crap about this touny

jimmy007oc · 11-09-11, 11:00 AM

113 Nicolas Almagro
114 Andreas Seppi How abt this game EP. Under 22.5 is possible??

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 11:11 AM

No read on that one. Almagro has the game to dominate Seppi on this surface, but he's been pretty poor lately. If Almagro is in mug mode, it could be a quick exit or it could be a topsy-turvy 3 setter.

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 11:17 AM

Adding ...

ATP Doubles: Isner-Anderson +125
This is a repeat match against Butorac-Rojer from the Valencia tournament. The Tall Tag Team lost in straights in two tie breaks in that one. Certainly their serves alone can keep this match tight and you never know what can happen in a super breaker or tie break situation. More often than not just like his singles matches, when The Big Tie Break plays doubles ... tie breaks are there for the taking or the losing.

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 11:36 AM

Why is Marty Fish not a big favorite? He is one of the best players in the world...
Who ta fak is Mayer? Nobody???
Is Fish struggling right now? is it not his serfice??

TennisProFrance · 11-09-11, 11:46 AM

one born everyday......

Pride · 11-09-11, 11:48 AM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Why is Marty Fish not a big favorite? He is one of the best players in the world...
Who ta fak is Mayer? Nobody???
Is Fish struggling right now? is it not his serfice??

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 11:56 AM

Originally posted by TennisProFrance

one born everyday......

Excuse me... I'm not a Tennis Pro from France...
I don't know shit about Tennis, that;s why i'm asking...
Do you have an answer??

soonerstud7804 · 11-09-11, 12:04 PM

I got burnt on the dodig hype so now i am gonna chase and go with mayer ...fade away u will make money!!!!!!

TennisProFrance · 11-09-11, 12:08 PM

Originally posted by Boxing Champ

Excuse me... I'm not a Tennis Pro from France...
I don't know shit about Tennis, that;s why i'm asking...
Do you have an answer??

Why are you betting on it then? And money you say is big to you. Where is your edge? You're a mug punter, go look in the mirror, sort yourself out and stick to things you know about. Hopefully this post will save you some money, I do not mean to be harsh to you but thats how I see it. good luck.

apeterlives · 11-09-11, 12:12 PM

Boxing Champ,

Fish has been in a mini slump since his loss to Nadal. He's lost his last two matches, the last of which was 8 days ago where he retired early in the first set against Blake.

Mayer on the other hand has been playing well, has better recent form than Fish, and had a good look against Radek last match.

The court appears to be slower, but I don't think this will be as big a factor as Fish's health--he retired due to a hamstring injury. I don't know how well he's recovered but the combination of injury/slump is likely why the odds are how they are. Personally I usually avoid matches where someone's injured, especially if they're favored.

Anyone hear anything else about this match?

VegasInsider · 11-09-11, 12:15 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Adding ...

ATP Doubles: Isner-Anderson +125
This is a repeat match against Butorac-Rojer from the Valencia tournament. The Tall Tag Team lost in straights in two tie breaks in that one. Certainly their serves alone can keep this match tight and you never know what can happen in a super breaker or tie break situation. More often than not just like his singles matches, when The Big Tie Break plays doubles ... tie breaks are there for the taking or the losing.

I was just getting ready to post something about this before I read your thread. I had pointed this match out from Valencia in a thread but passed when Rojer/Butorac were dogs. I'm thinking about backing the dogs again and going with the Americans here. Massive serves, Isner has shaken off the rust and a couple bounces go the American's way in Valencia...it's their match to lose. Going against the steam, up to +160 now at 5dimes.

Let's ride the train to Value Town!!

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 12:43 PM

Originally posted by TennisProFrance

Why are you betting on it then? And money you say is big to you. Where is your edge? You're a mug punter, go look in the mirror, sort yourself out and stick to things you know about. Hopefully this post will save you some money, I do not mean to be harsh to you but thats how I see it. good luck.

Not even worth my comment....
Just tell me one thing..If you're such a Pro in Tennis, why do you come
to EP's thread for picks??? i sure as hell don't see any constructive input or
advice from you, other than telling others to look in the mirror...
I can do that with out your Tennis professional ass.

Pride · 11-09-11, 12:45 PM

well fish might get blasted here. which mayer shows up

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 12:49 PM

Originally posted by apeterlives

Boxing Champ,

Fish has been in a mini slump since his loss to Nadal. He's lost his last two matches, the last of which was 8 days ago where he retired early in the first set against Blake.

Mayer on the other hand has been playing well, has better recent form than Fish, and had a good look against Radek last match.

The court appears to be slower, but I don't think this will be as big a factor as Fish's health--he retired due to a hamstring injury. I don't know how well he's recovered but the combination of injury/slump is likely why the odds are how they are. Personally I usually avoid matches where someone's injured, especially if they're favored.

Anyone hear anything else about this match?

Thanks man, I really appreciate you taking your time to explain to me what's going on...
I was Mayer play last week against Wawrinka, he was horrible, he got something like
29% 1st serve in...It was a disgusting performance. I just can't imagine Fish being this
bad no matter what his mental state of mind is, unless he's playing on one leg, he should beat
Mayer easily if Mayer serves like that again...

TennisProFrance · 11-09-11, 01:14 PM

Oh dear Boxing champ, you realy are a sicko clueless mug-punter - your not that guy denotais (or whatever his name was) are you?

You have my pity dear soul.

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 01:37 PM

WTF is MUG-Punter????
We don't talk like that in US...
Now you see why I asked???
Fish is killing Mayer...
Those odds should not have been 50/50

VegasInsider · 11-09-11, 01:45 PM

Isner/Anderson lose another friggin tiebreak. Man, this is brutal.

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 01:59 PM

I think Lopez has a good chance to beat Monfils....EP what do you think??

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 02:40 PM

Really had to sweat on that Fish pick.

Anderson-Isner lose in the super breaker. Was worth a roll as the match could have gone either way really with how tight it was. Pretty got what I paid for.

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 03:16 PM

Took Lopez live at 5Dimes...at -120....
1st set when he was up 4-1...
Faking Flodanis come through again...

Pride · 11-09-11, 03:50 PM

monaco is the best player in the world ive decided.

he has endless energy and paints lines like it is his job

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 04:19 PM

LoL. You putz. Don't fukk this up. Took him last minute @ +120 as well.

EaglesPhan36 · 11-09-11, 04:29 PM

Monaco taking out another one of these gutless French bastards. I think Tsonga is the only one left which is good since I have a future on him. Anyone who played the home court angle this tournament got murdered.

gators0708 · 11-09-11, 04:33 PM

Giles is the biggest pusher ever how is he in the top 20 even?

Boxing Champ · 11-09-11, 04:41 PM

Monaco is a BEAST.....
The commentator said that he plays angles very well because he is a very good
clay player... It definitely shows, because Simon is Red as hell and he's running around
the court chasing balls while Monaco paint lines(Like it's his job)

...

tevari · 11-09-11, 05:00 PM

Llodra, monfils, simon, (gasquet?)