EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

[bet420]

not betting that match anymore im sketch

[jrw]

I cant see Gulbis being an underdog against Sam. Sam played some funky tournaments (Oklahoma) and was struggling against players that are ranked 150 and lower. Gulbis at +205 is worth a shot.

Gulbis +205? He is +110 or something similar at all the books. He is not a 2-1 dog. The line is about right for this, it's a coin flip. Sam is now -130 at 5Dimes.

[EaglesPhan36]

Can somebody tell me why is Gulbis underdog in this match? Gulbis is ranked 56th Sam is 116th

Rankings are meaningless.

[BB_Mariners]

Rankings are meaningless.

Even disregarding ranking I cant find a reason for Gulbis being an underdog.
Also need to correct myself Gulbis is offered at +105 not +205.

[EaglesPhan36]

Gulbis always lacks motivation. You can see that in his results recently. Querrey has much more to play for as he tries to rebuild his ranking after missing a lot of time due to injury. In my mind, there was no reason to even think about backing Gulbis with the way he played against Rosol last tournament and he really hasn't done shit since LA months ago - so why would you want to back him?

[BB_Mariners]

Good call EaglesPhan!!! I didn't listen and lost small bet.

[EaglesPhan36]

Well Ferrer rolled. Minus Fish in the parlay, a mini-payout but better than a fukking loss. Verdasco really should consider retirement or some other line of work.

[Astros148]

unbelivable that i bet on dogo, hes officially on my blacklist and i will never touch him again. granollers looked like complete shit last tourney. oh well dumb fuk bogo

[BB_Mariners]

Dolgo is very unpredictable player, even he doesn't now what will be his strategy in his match. Just goes out on a court and start hitting balls however he feels. This makes him unpredictable and sometimes tough but on a long run very poor strategy.

[VegasInsider]

Thoughts on Ljubicic?

I really like him in this spot. Might make a play.

[Boxing Champ]

Good call EaglesPhan!!! I didn't listen and lost small bet.

This will teach you a little lesson...
EP is the Faking man....

[EaglesPhan36]

Wednesday ...

ATP Valencia
Raonic +100

ATP Basel
Mayer -120

[jrw]

Is this more of a fade of Tips than it is a play on Mayer? The idea being that Tips has played so much tennis and traveled so much, he can't quite possibly hold up much longer without rest?

[EaglesPhan36]

A little bit of that and a little bit of the price is way too easy to pick Tipsarevic at even odds right now. People should be lining up, selling babies and mortgaging houses to play Tipsarevic ... but it seems a bit traptacular to me. He could well come out and bury Mayer, but that Mayer is a short favorite here or a favorite at all is fishy enough for me to try.

["Sic"]

Like Raonic...got it +105

[Lo-CalDallasBuKe]

On your side with Mayer. Good luck bro.

[pistol17]

A little bit of that and a little bit of the price is way too easy to pick Tipsarevic at even odds right now. People should be lining up, selling babies and mortgaging houses to play Tipsarevic ... but it seems a bit traptacular to me. He could well come out and bury Mayer, but that Mayer is a short favorite here or a favorite at all is fishy enough for me to try.

Didn't tipsarevic have some treatment during the first set of the final against cilic? Could the line be a reaction to him being underdone?I'll stay away from H2H and give the over a crack

[EaglesPhan36]

Who knows. We'll find out soon enough.

[EaglesPhan36]

Adding ...

ATP Valencia
Ferrer-Pospisil Over 19.5 [-110]

Ferrer will put more pressure on Pospisil's serve today than he obviously saw from Isner, but if he keeps it tight, I think Pospisil can hold deep enough to give this a chance. Ferrer dressed down Verdasco, but Verdasco's been on vacation for quite a bit now. Ferrer's own serve at times still leaves some openings for the opposition too.

[jrw]

Mayer no action at my book. Should've been 6-1 then retirement which would be a winner for me.

[Glitch]

what happened to mardy fish yesterday? i think it was a 0-1 retirement by him in the first.

[EaglesPhan36]

FU Tipsarevic. You mother fukker.

[Glitch]

Even disregarding ranking I cant find a reason for Gulbis being an underdog.
Also need to correct myself Gulbis is offered at +105 not +205.

talent is not everything in tennis. ive seen some piss-poor performances by gulbis in the last year.

[blackbeSSt]

that fukkin sucks tipsy retired. that was hopefully going to be a wash of the raonic play. stupid glasses wearing turd

[Bbr]

FU Tipsarevic. You mother fukker.

Fk that shyt ahah. Bad luck, good call.

[EaglesPhan36]

Damn it. Went against my first impression of under on the Ferrer match. Gonna pay for that shit.

[Boxing Champ]

Hey EP..Is Lopes a good play on Clay against Bogomolov?????

[Boxing Champ]

Don't give up yet...he just broke Fereer

[EaglesPhan36]

Not clay. Hard courts. This Ferrer match is gonna finish no worse than 6-3, 6-4 I'm guessing.

[EaglesPhan36]

One more try ...

ATP Valencia
Del Potro-Tursunov Under 20.5

[blackbeSSt]

didn't andrea pull out? i see someone else is playing haase

[Foggy]

didn't andrea pull out? i see someone else is playing haase

haha yes,after strain ing his right gluteal muscle before his 1st rd match with Robin Haase.

[Boxing Champ]

So what do you think..Is Lopez a safe bet????

[MUHerd37]

Lopez has been playing great this year. I have him in a parlay today. Bogo has been playing well too, but I don't see him beating Lopez. Especially with Lopez is playing in his home country.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yep. There you go Pospisil from an easy 40-0 hold to losing that game and the under definitely hitting now. SOB. If I had the under, probably would have finished this set in a tie break.