EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

16johnnymac · 10-22-11, 01:25 AM

Any winners in the am?

sharlataans · 10-22-11, 05:10 AM

Today:

Berankis / Niculescu +146

Boxing Champ · 10-22-11, 07:45 AM

EP...where are you???

beefcake · 10-22-11, 08:31 AM

Capping soccer..

Demonata · 10-22-11, 08:38 AM

How's eveeryone doing right now? I'm happy about to hit all my plays. Kenpei, Tipy, won challenger match i bet on, niculescu looking good.Monfils needs to win though and niculescu needs to win this second set. I feel az should win too.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-22-11, 10:30 AM

I thought the matches today were pretty much toss-ups, so no plays for me. Looks like it's probably just as well as the ones I would have leaned toward would have lost.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-23-11, 12:14 AM

Sunday

ATP Moscow
Tipsarevic-Troicki Over 22 [-103]

sharlataans · 10-23-11, 02:32 AM

Small plays today:
Lajovic +150
Kravchuk -120
Authom +110

sharlataans · 10-23-11, 04:56 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

Small plays today:
Lajovic +150
Kravchuk -120
Authom +110

Lajovic wins

sharlataans · 10-23-11, 09:01 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

Small plays today:
Lajovic +150
Kravchuk -120
Authom +110

Kravchuk wins

sharlataans · 10-23-11, 01:44 PM

Originally posted by sharlataans

Small plays today:
Lajovic +150
Kravchuk -120
Authom +110

Authom wins

EaglesPhan36 · 10-24-11, 12:20 AM

Monday's BS

ATP Moscow
Nedelko +5.5 [+100]

sportman1313 · 10-24-11, 01:29 AM

EP, i was looking at this starace/nedelko match also....never seen nedelko play, have you? He's an unknown by all accounts but starace is as untrustworthy as possible but -800? That's a huge huge line for a pretty bad indoor hard court player not really in-form but did play chardy tough last tourney. Nedelko's history is literally unsearchable as he's a WC and playing in his home country, think he has a chance to win this one? I really like the +5.5, not so much cuz of nedelko but bc starace is a great player to fade with spreads like this

TennisProFrance · 10-24-11, 02:41 AM

This is man against boy, tennis pro V's wildcard amateur. You are crazy taking Nadelko on any bet, not sayign it wont happen (stranger things have happened), but smart money in on under's (20.5). This should be so one sided its embarassing.

Boxing Champ · 10-24-11, 03:51 AM

Originally posted by TennisProFrance

This is man against boy, tennis pro V's wildcard amateur. You are crazy taking Nadelko on any bet, not sayign it wont happen (stranger things have happened), but smart money in on under's (20.5). This should be so one sided its embarassing.

You can't get it at 20.5...only 19.5... Have you ever seen Nedelko play???

TennisProFrance · 10-24-11, 04:05 AM

You can get 20.5 at skybet or unibet. I have under 20.5 at 5/6 with skybet.

He is not even in top 350, its why you cannot find info about him. Like I said, anything can always happen, but if this is in any way competitve, it will be a big surprise.

sharlataans · 10-24-11, 04:17 AM

Guys anyone here has account with betclic or betathome? I see they are offering live video of Saint Petersburg tourney.
Are they really having video feeds on Starace, Dolgopolov, Youzhny and Simon games?

I guess I could register just for sake of watching video. Could you give any advice?

Boxing Champ · 10-24-11, 04:26 AM

Nedelco might not even win a game... That was probably EP's worst pick ever...

EaglesPhan36 · 10-24-11, 04:37 AM

This one was fun. Oh well, that's what's I get for picking on a slow day at all.

Boxing Champ · 10-24-11, 05:41 AM

Wise Russians doing it again..Nedelco gets blown out... Next match the public bets Dolgopolov..Handicap and staraight up, Dolgo throws a Set maybe even a match..Russians clean up again... live and learn....
I knew it was gonna happen...Played a little on Sela to beat Dolgo..And a bigger stake on handicap Sela + 4.....Faking Russians..

sharlataans · 10-24-11, 05:56 AM

Hey EP, could you give your insight on doubles betting? Could it be that the lines are not as sharp as for singles that you could take advantage of?

Never bet a doubles game, is it more of a toss up?

EaglesPhan36 · 10-24-11, 06:13 AM

I don't think it's any easier or tougher than singles. You have to do your research just like you'd normally do. Same rules apply to me as far as chalk ... don't play high chalk as a single play, parlay it. Know which guys normally play together and who is teaming up for the first time, who plays doubles regularly and who is more or less being forced into playing it for a tournament.

TheWu · 10-24-11, 09:05 AM

was looking at Baghdatis v Sweeting over 19.5 any thoughts?

EaglesPhan36 · 10-24-11, 09:41 AM

Sweeting is pretty heinous. Guy does not have a power serve despite his size, so he can get bullied pretty good on this surface by competent players. Dimitrov killed him on this type of surface although maybe some of that was travel fatigue, but still if you look at his body of work on this surface against the better players, he usually gets smoked. The only question is how Baghdatis comes out here. If you look at their last meeting albeit on an outdoor hard court, Baggy crushed Sweeting after a close 1st set. If Baghdatis serves well from the start, I think under. If he's sloppy, over could hit though.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-24-11, 11:15 AM

Easy hit for the under, 6-4, 6-2.

beefcake · 10-24-11, 07:45 PM

My takes on some matches in the AM..''

Beck +135..What has somdev done lately..answer...Nothing..Beck although not setting the world afire but more of a fade on Som

Dusan Lajovic +253..Still dont trust Chardy, even after that run last week,,

Should look at Rochus..Last time tippy won a tourney, he lost first round. Rochus just the kind of player to frustrate the fukk out of the serbian.

EaglesPhan36 · 10-24-11, 10:28 PM

For Tuesday ...

Parlay: Blake + Haas [+100]
Kukushkin +107
Bubka +5.5 [-145]

Hoping for some lower juice on Bubka, but it is what it is.

TheWu · 10-24-11, 10:35 PM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

For Tuesday ...

Parlay: Blake + Haas + Tipsarevic makes it +132 instead of [+100]
Kukushkin +107
Bubka +5.5 [-145]

Hoping for some lower juice on Bubka, but it is what it is.

Would you make that addition for the extra amount or no

EaglesPhan36 · 10-24-11, 10:46 PM

No. I am not certain Tipsarevic isn't in tank mode this week. Tough first-round match-up after a long week last week against Rochus who has had his number before. Also believe he is playing in the Basel event next week which is a 500 level event with more points up for grabs, so he may be an early exit here to rest up. He has no points to defend here and little to gain by going hard all week with the bigger event next week.

Boxing Champ · 10-25-11, 12:08 AM

^^^^ 1 point????

His advise was that valuable????
Almost a 2 pointer, but not quite....

jimmy007oc · 10-25-11, 01:29 AM

Any thought about Tommy Haas,ranking 250+ and Juan Ignacio Chela, who ranking 29th. And Haas is favor with ML -250. Am I missing something????

sharlataans · 10-25-11, 01:43 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

For Tuesday ...

Parlay: Blake + Haas [+100]
Kukushkin +107
Bubka +5.5 [-145]

Hoping for some lower juice on Bubka, but it is what it is.

Following your Kukushkin pick, really like it!

Baxster · 10-25-11, 02:44 AM

Originally posted by jimmy007oc

Any thought about Tommy Haas,ranking 250+ and Juan Ignacio Chela, who ranking 29th. And Haas is favor with ML -250. Am I missing something????

Tennis capping rule #1 - A players ranking means nothing.

sharlataans · 10-25-11, 03:08 AM

Originally posted by Baxster

Tennis capping rule #1 - A players ranking means nothing.

pistol17 · 10-25-11, 04:19 AM

Originally posted by jimmy007oc

Any thought about Tommy Haas,ranking 250+ and Juan Ignacio Chela, who ranking 29th. And Haas is favor with ML -250. Am I missing something????

Im pretty new herer but here's my thoughts....

I didn't see Haas play yesterday but he had no opposition in the defeat if raveed ram who barely plays anything but doubles.

Haas hasnt been playing that well, barely made it past the 2nd round in his last 5-6 events. The matches he has won have been tight. Chela is in the same boat really, no great performances and loses matches he should win.

I'd fade haas is who unreliable if I was playing h2h. Best bet would be the over currently at 21.5, I see this match going to 3 sets.