EP36's Tennis Things I THINK I THINK

Astros148 · 09-16-11, 02:49 AM

laying -450 against a struggling ferrer vs a good simon is crazy!

sharlataans · 09-16-11, 02:50 AM

Originally posted by Astros148

laying -150 against a struggling ferrer vs a good simon is crazy!

Ferrer is -402
I think that is CRAZY

against Simon

Astros148 · 09-16-11, 03:46 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

Ferrer is -402
I think that is CRAZY

against Simon

sorry corrected myself, play the +6.5 games

jdrb · 09-16-11, 03:52 AM

Match of the day is the Tipsy v DelPo match. Sparks will fly!

Astros148 · 09-16-11, 03:53 AM

Originally posted by jdrb

Match of the day is the Tipsy v DelPo match. Sparks will fly!

would play tipsy but not sure how hes feeling

jdrb · 09-16-11, 03:57 AM

I wouldn't touch Tipsy, he has no heart and I've rarely seen him perform in Davis Cup against quality opponents. Tipsy is in better form but DelPo owns him.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 05:57 AM

Ferrer line is high, which is why I only will use it in a parlay. However, Ferrer is a warrior in Davis Cup competition and the surface favors him which is why I feel okay using him in a parlay. Would definitely not use it as a single play.

erkanua · 09-16-11, 06:04 AM

I think Simon has no chance against Ferrer on clay..

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 06:07 AM

Additional Davis Cup Play ...

Darcis +175

brandoc · 09-16-11, 06:22 AM

Any thoughts on Strycova match? She opened slight favourite and is now at PK. She has 3-0 H2H over Hlavackova and although it's always a lottery in WTA, this has to be good value surely!??

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 06:34 AM

I don't think you can gleam much from the head-2-head. Two on different surface and two of them took place at least a year ago. Probably lean to Strycova, her record on this carpeted surface is remarkable even if a lot of it was a few years ago. She seems comfortable.

sharlataans · 09-16-11, 07:30 AM

Originally posted by sharlataans

Hey guys, isn't Capdeville +140 a gem against Starace. I know he an ace and star, but only on clay. Hard is whole different ballgame.

Good thing I got it at +140. Now it is already +110.
Capdeville
1. Is a fighter
2. Chilean fans know how to energize
3. Hard surface

As much as he has worse technique than Potito, all these three should equalize that.

jagaf22 · 09-16-11, 07:52 AM

Tailing you took Capdeville at +110. Wish I got it earlier.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 07:55 AM

The Chile-Italy matches are very interesting. Altitude could be a huge factor there where you'd figure the home side to fare better. Did you see Starace's Davis Cup record ... 14-1. Wow, would not have figured that. I think they are both toss-ups though. Should definitely be the most competitive, I think.

sharlataans · 09-16-11, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

The Chile-Italy matches are very interesting. Altitude could be a huge factor there where you'd figure the home side to fare better. Did you see Starace's Davis Cup record ... 14-1. Wow, would not have figured that. I think they are both toss-ups though. Should definitely be the most competitive, I think.

14-1 incredible. Gives me goosebumps

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 08:30 AM

Adding ...

Tipsarevic-Del Potro Over 39 [-115]

blackbeSSt · 09-16-11, 08:33 AM

is davis cup best of 5?

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 08:41 AM

Yes.

blackbeSSt · 09-16-11, 08:47 AM

Originally posted by EaglesPhan36

Yes.

dern. shoulda drop $10 on nalbandy then

. maybe joker thinks its not important and will tank it?

brandoc · 09-16-11, 08:52 AM

Djok has withdrawn, replaced by Troicki..

sharlataans · 09-16-11, 08:53 AM

Originally posted by blackbeSSt

dern. shoulda drop $10 on nalbandy then

. maybe joker thinks its not important and will tank it?

Djoko pulled out of Davis cup.
Juice and "egg chamber" keeps him superman on court, now he is a broken man. He will need time to recuperate.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 09:54 AM

Djokovic is only out for today. Guarantee he will be ready to play on Sunday IF Serbia is still in the mix. Tipsarevic is going to need to be the man or they may wind up down 0-2.

sharlataans · 09-16-11, 09:59 AM

Looks like no chance for Capdeville. Good play by Potito he is more powerful, precise and confident.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 10:09 AM

Ferrer rick rolled Simon in straights. Nice 'n easy for the parlay to complete.

This is a little based on situation with Capdeville looking down and out.

Davis Cup: Gonzalez [-125]
Chile now needs this tie big time with Capdeville looking a likely loser in the opener to Starace. Both Gonzo and Fognini have solid Davis Cup pedigrees, but most of Fognini's work has come on clay. Gonzo is still coming back off the injury that kept him out most of the year, but he's shown flashes and should have had adequate rest. The surface here should favor Gonzalez and I have to believe Chile chose the surface - a big switch from their usual clay choice - because they felt it gave a guy like Gonzo the best shot to win. Fitness could be big here, but with a rowdy crowd and maybe stupid sentimentality as I like me some Gonzo ... I think he can get it done if he can keep the match short.

blackbeSSt · 09-16-11, 10:55 AM

^^maximo? or did i miss another gonzalez?

nm. looks like i missed that boat

sharlataans · 09-16-11, 10:58 AM

Man if Capdeville manages to win this set he might get back into the game. Fans are starting to heat up.

blackbeSSt · 09-16-11, 01:21 PM

stupid tipsy shittin the bed right now. gonna screw up the over

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 01:25 PM

Well Darcis looking solid to win, up a break in the 4th. Don't know if Tipsarevic has it in him today to take a set even. Fernando was looking good take a set in the 2nd, but dropped a break back.

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 01:46 PM

Yeee haw! Darcis wins in 4. Gonzo takes the 2nd set to even it up at 1. C'mon Tipsy you fukk, get one break.

blackbeSSt · 09-16-11, 01:58 PM

well theres the break, just to the wrong person

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 02:05 PM

Yeah Tipsarevic is toast. I'm going to look to see if they have lines tomorrow for which country to advance. Even down 0-2, I think Serbia have a shot here. They should take the doubles with Zimonjic being the doubles specialist and no doubt Djokovic will come back and play on Sunday if they are still alive. Might be a nice opportunity to make a small play at big odds. Would need it to be well over +500 to take a shot though because I think you'd have to hedge if it made it to the 5th rubber - thinking it's Troicki having to go for Serbia. Yikes!

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 02:07 PM

Fukk me. Gonzalez retired. Oh well, that's what I get for taking someone with questionable fitness. Still thought he was getting into it after breaking even at 1 set.

birdmanweezy · 09-16-11, 02:15 PM

tough break

EaglesPhan36 · 09-16-11, 04:36 PM

Adding for tonight ...

WTA Quebec
Krajicek-Marino Over 21 [-140]

EaglesPhan36 · 09-17-11, 05:42 PM

This won't be for everyone, but situationally I absolutely have to make this play.

Davis Cup: Hewitt [-205]
Federer should roll Tomic to force the final match and I have read a variety of things about Wawrinka being under the weather ... as if we needed another reason to go against the man. Usually above my price range ... but this being what it is ... the price probably only goes up as the Federer-Tomic match goes on and if Tomic does manage a shock upset ... doubtful that Hewitt-Wawrinka would be the match for a dead rubber, so you'd get your money back. Might even be a chance that Wawrinka is subbed out here even though the Swiss have few options. We're talking a winner take-all scenario on home soil against a guy who is less than 100% and even at 100%, I'd probably go against.