Shari's tennis plays

limitation · 07-28-10, 12:24 AM

Originally posted by shari91

My plays so far today:

Skugor -105 (his odds have already fallen quite a bit again)

Dushevina -113

Rodianova +205

Is Skugor the one you talking about from ATP Studena Croatia Open?

I hope so cause I am at 5 dimes and looking at their odds I see Franko Skugor +120.

Just double checking with you. Thanks!

shari91 · 07-28-10, 12:26 AM

Originally posted by limitation

Is Skugor the one you talking about from ATP Studena Croatia Open? I hope so cause I am at 5 dimes and looking at their odds I see Franko Skugor +120. Just double checking with you. Thanks!

Yes. If you can get those odds, I'd suggest putting a little on him. I waited too long here and am stuck using only one book for now, so I have to take what I can get.

limitation · 07-28-10, 12:28 AM

Thanks Shari.

MannyWood · 07-28-10, 12:30 AM

Shari, what you think of BOLELLI against Chela????

Wilforth · 07-28-10, 12:31 AM

Originally posted by shari91

My plays so far today:

Skugor -105 (his odds have already fallen quite a bit again)

Dushevina -113

Rodianova +205

Which is your best of those?

newjerseydevils · 07-28-10, 12:35 AM

Originally posted by MannyWood

Shari, what you think of BOLELLI against Chela????

i took a bit of a loss today too...but just thought...you gotta risk money to make money

im on
skugor +120
Bolleli +158
Gasquet/Gimeno-Traver (Parley) -103

ROYAJA8 · 07-28-10, 12:35 AM

Why do you like the Skugor play I understand the tourney is in his country but Dulgopolov is ranked #42 and 54-18 this year. I think Dulgo is the play stronger player and way more experience.

shari91 · 07-28-10, 12:35 AM

Originally posted by Wilforth

Which is your best of those?

Well, I guess I'd have to say Skugor based on Dolgo's hammy injury in his last match and the fact that Skugor's odds opened at +200 something and have been dropping again. Hard to say 100% though. I'm just flat betting them all again.

newjerseydevils · 07-28-10, 12:37 AM

Originally posted by shari91

Well, I guess I'd have to say Skugor based on Dolgo's hammy injury in his last match and the fact that Skugor's odds opened at +200 something and have been dropping again. Hard to say 100% though. I'm just flat betting them all again.

skugor opened at +200

.........thats some good value...hopefully the line movement means skugor wins...who knows

shari91 · 07-28-10, 12:49 AM

Originally posted by MannyWood

Shari, what you think of BOLELLI against Chela????

I actually think Bolelli has a bit of a shot but am waiting to see what my book puts the handicap up as.

Originally posted by ROYAJA8

Why do you like the Skugor play I understand the tourney is in his country but Dulgopolov is ranked #42 and 54-18 this year. I think Dulgo is the play stronger player and way more experience.

To tell you the truth, if I looked at rankings in the smaller tournaments I'd be broke. A player is ranked what they are based on a year-long accumulation of points - that says nothing about their form or motivation today, nor does it help when talking about a specific playing surface.

Skugor is 12-3 the last 3 months on clay. Dolgo is 8-6. In their first matches, Skugor won 77% of his first serve points, Dolgo won 60%. Skugor held serve 86%, Dolgo 77% and Skugor won 60% of return points while Dolgo won 42%. And as far as rankings, Dolgo was taken to 3 sets by someone who is double his ranking whereas Skugor beat someone with a better ranking by more than half 6-2 6-1.

That's the stuff I look at. And the fact that Skugor's odds have dropped considerably already and Dolgo suffered a hamstring injury in his match make me feel okay putting my money on Skugor. Nothing's a sure thing though of course, and if you see value in Dolgo then you should put money on him!!

sonnybaby · 07-28-10, 12:50 AM

newjerseydevils · 07-28-10, 12:54 AM

Originally posted by sonnybaby

jeezy u still makin money?...........im going broke the last few days....maybe i should follow ur mlb plays...i see ur doing pretty good

sonnybaby · 07-28-10, 12:59 AM

Originally posted by newjerseydevils

jeezy u still makin money?...........im going broke the last few days....maybe i should follow ur mlb plays...i see ur doing pretty good

yeah im still making money 39-18 on the year

ROYAJA8 · 07-28-10, 01:10 AM

I understand it's not all about rankings. But I think that Dulgo has the experience on the guy I'm going to have to take him on this one. Hopefully that hammy isn't too bad. But I wish you n every1 else luck on every other play.

shari91 · 07-28-10, 01:15 AM

Originally posted by ROYAJA8

I understand it's not all about rankings. But I think that Dulgo has the experience on the guy I'm going to have to take him on this one. Hopefully that hammy isn't too bad. But I wish you n every1 else luck on every other play.

Best of luck to you too!!

noober · 07-28-10, 01:19 AM

Skugor can definitely beat him. He was much better in juniors.

ROYAJA8 · 07-28-10, 01:34 AM

What you guys think of Igor Andreev only -200 the other guy is garbage on clay he's 2-5 in his last 7 on clay I think this line should be more like -500 what's every1s thoughts? Thanks.

Tommy_de1st · 07-28-10, 02:10 AM

Originally posted by shari91

A player is ranked what they are based on a year-long accumulation of points - that says nothing about their form or motivation today, nor does it help when talking about a specific playing surface. Skugor is 12-3 the last 3 months on clay. Dolgo is 8-6. In their first matches, Skugor won 77% of his first serve points, Dolgo won 60%. Skugor held serve 86%, Dolgo 77% and Skugor won 60% of return points while Dolgo won 42%. And as far as rankings, Dolgo was taken to 3 sets by someone who is double his ranking whereas Skugor beat someone with a better ranking by more than half 6-2 6-1. That's the stuff I look at. And the fact that Skugor's odds have dropped considerably already and Dolgo suffered a hamstring injury in his match make me feel okay putting my money on Skugor. Nothing's a sure thing though of course, and if you see value in Dolgo then you should put money on him!!

Wow, Shari you r my stats lady from now on

sonnybaby · 07-28-10, 02:14 AM

this what im on dont know $hit bout none of theses cats that crown in me just want to see whats goodie wit a wake and bake in the mourning yall update me

7/28/10 5:00am ATP Tennis 102 Andreas Haider-Maurer +540* vs Albert Montanes

7/28/10 3:15am Challenger Tennis 612 Andrei Gorban -120* vs Agustin Boje Ordonez

7/28/10 3:15am Challenger Tennis 610 Alexander Lobkov +130* vs Pablo Santos

7/28/10 3:15am Challenger Tennis 608 Valery Rudnev +160* vs Evgeny Donskoy

sonnybaby · 07-28-10, 02:16 AM

oh yea on all ur picks as well shari lets get em

Tommy_de1st · 07-28-10, 02:18 AM

Btw MannyWood, did you get all that blue and pink staff with backing and laying?

horg · 07-28-10, 02:21 AM

Shari I am from Istanbul. Dushevina went to hospital after Martic match ande she was a little late for the press conference. She said I won the match but I dont know how because of the weather.

sonnybaby · 07-28-10, 02:23 AM

Originally posted by horg

Shari I am from Istanbul. Dushevina went to hospital after Martic match ande she was a little late for the press conference. She said I won the match but I dont know how because of the weather.

congrats on ur 1st post

Goat Milk · 07-28-10, 02:24 AM

Shari I didn't watch the match so I don't know how Skugar played but Volandri is a shiton despite his record hes just playing challengers in italy the whole time.

I think this is more importantly about Dolgo's hammy. If Dolgo is healthy I think he'll win but I would think that hammy has got to be bothering him.

Daveyboy · 07-28-10, 03:12 AM

Congrats to everyone who won yesterday

I was 2/2 on here (Peer/Oudin - easy money) and also took Blake at 6/5

Made up for 0/2 on Monday! Ive not found any value bets today so am going to take a 24 hr nap for now...

maroona · 07-28-10, 03:51 AM

Was about to back Skugor but its gone from my book, had shortened to -120 before that, wondering whats going on

Yezzir · 07-28-10, 03:54 AM

Wow, Just went to take Skugor at -125, now he's off the books.

TomaCro · 07-28-10, 03:56 AM

i go for skugor aswell,, looks like a good bet.

shari91 · 07-28-10, 03:59 AM

He's still on here but he's dropped to -200.

Cripes, yet again with this guy.

So... either Dolgo is hurt, the Croatian mafia are playing little tricks, the books are trying to give the impression that this match will play out like the 1st one but really Skugor backers are going to lose or the books once again set a bad line on Skugor and everyone has realised and jumped on.

Take your pick!

cgjeon · 07-28-10, 03:59 AM

skugor at 11:00?
i still have him.. on sportsbook.

will2survive · 07-28-10, 04:03 AM

Dolgo is my pick--odds changed at the last second--got him at +140

Yezzir · 07-28-10, 04:03 AM

The odds are just too juicy, so i've parlayed:

Gimeno Traver/Gasquet/Ferrero

And a single on Bolleli at the moment.

Goat Milk · 07-28-10, 04:05 AM

I'm taking Sela tomorrow.

Goat Milk · 07-28-10, 04:10 AM

i can still get skugor -120 should i take him shari? This might have the makings of a burial. but i don't know about dolgos condition. i would only take him for the value and maybe get a hedge later.

shari91 · 07-28-10, 04:13 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

i can still get skugor -120 should i take him shari? This might have the makings of a burial. but i don't know about dolgos condition. i would only take him for the value and maybe get a hedge later.

Up to you I guess. I'd take him at that price though. The odds are dropping and yeah it may be a book set-up but it also may be because of one of the other factors I listed. If you're worried, maybe just bet a little? I'd like to put more on him now but there's no way I am at -200. Maybe I'll do the 2-0 thing again.