Shari's tennis plays

[shari91]

lol meant malek. baked as sorry

Funny stuff.

Malek covered the handicap so that's a good start!

[shari91]

uis craybas still good? see she is already 36.. any one on her?

I didn't take her this time. Took her the last match but was worried Groenefeld would wear her down. Seems I was wrong!

[paco]

Shari, do u know what happened to Goat?

[kop1987]

whoha rezai match seems interesting.. she doesnt seems like she is going to cruise over her.. shari u watching this game?

[shari91]

Shari, do u know what happened to Goat?

I think he said he was going to his girl's place or something and may not be on this morning. I'm pretty sure I saw him post that in your thread.

[shari91]

whoha rezai match seems interesting.. she doesnt seems like she is going to cruise over her.. shari u watching this game?

I'm not watching but it's not surprising if that's the case. As I said a little earlier, she tends to start slow!

[kop1987]

shari, do u think theres value on Groenefeld now? thinking of placing a bet on her

[WalkingLuckCharm]

i got a fair bit riding on SCHNYDER too hehe.


feeling confident ?

[paco]

I think he said he was going to his girl's place or something and may not be on this morning. I'm pretty sure I saw him post that in your thread.

I rememer that but I see "restricted user" for him. Wondering if I missed something last night

[shari91]

shari, do u think theres value on Groenefeld now? thinking of placing a bet on her

I don't have an opinion either way on that one as I haven't been paying too much attention. Sorry.

i got a fair bit riding on SCHNYDER too hehe. feeling confident ?

I feel good about her but all of my plays this week are small to medium since I don't trust any of the players to show up so I wouldn't say I feel overly confident. Ok about it though.

[shari91]

I rememer that but I see "restricted user" for him. Wondering if I missed something last night

Just posted in your thread. That's the only thing I can think of unless something else happened behind the scenes.

[JNic]

do you know what happened with Soeda, he goes from +140 to -385. then loses easily in 2? do books set up fake fixes or something??

[shari91]

do you know what happened with Soeda, he goes from +140 to -385. then loses easily in 2? do books set up fake fixes or something??

I wouldn't put it past them but my book didn't even re-post the lines at all after they voided my bet. Give me a second and I'll post everything they said about it at the tennis forum I belong to. Interesting stuff.

[shari91]

When the lines first started moving: Pfft, look at Soeda's odds now. Totally crunched. This is getting a little dodgy it seems? Over 50k matched at sub 1.40 (current Pinny price) and over 30k matched in the set betting market. The next highest amount matched for set betting on any other second round match at Newport is Fish v Devvarman, not even 2k....

Yeah, the guys in dark glasses not going much for subtlety this week :-)

Yeah, not at all. One Spanish forum poster said "Dabul told his sister and his poker friends that he's going to lose. Hope this helps." Obviously, hard to believe anything second hand when posted in forums, but given all the betting activity right now it's probably not far off. He's definitely not going to try, guess that's the danger when the Argentines rock up at small events with low prizemoney to play for.

Have to get in on these earlyish imo - occasionally they're a double bluff, or a prelude towards inplay dodginess (kim/istomin), or market manipulation (koellerer had one of those a few months back). I'd be even more worried about these after the Rochus match. At 1.75+ I'll happily slam big money on and take the risk - at the end of the day most of these are what they appear. At <1.4 not so happy with it though.

Very true, but Koellerer one in a million. More allegations against him today from that Braunschweig challenger against Rosol, he virtually makes a living off it. Very rarely these betting plunges come unstuck, and although the sub 1.40 doesn't seem like great odds, it would be highly unlikely that he doesn't "win". And, yeah, ATP will find nothing wrong. Dabul is no good, Soeda is a grass-court speciallist, and beating Dent here is like beating Fed at Wimbledon. He was a certainty. Right? :-O

Big chunks of money laying soeda now, 5k there at 1.75.

Hmm, heatwave - maybe Dabul will retire up a set? There's been a definitely delay since end of first...
About 12k trying to lay Dabul here now...

Ok, second set started, but PTL scoreboard updated the time by almost 4 minutes before they started playing the game. Someone took a medo time out for sure.

Yep, sucked in sums it up really. Total market manipulation, a clever strategy in consideration to timing (ie, the day after Rochus clearly blew his match with Bloomfield). Also picked out a lesser-known Argentine who has had one or two "dodgy" matches attributed to his name over the time (though one in particular that I remember - he won it, so obviously false claims). Or, it could've even been a reverse fix. Anyone following the scoring alone would've suggested that Soeda threw the match if anything. Clever on their part, but a real sting for most. Will be a lot of gutted punters out there, guess only Chrissy Rochus and Koellerer can really be "trusted" with this stuff.

Yep, sucked in sums it up really. Total market manipulation, a clever strategy in consideration to timing (ie, the day after Rochus clearly blew his match with Bloomfield).

Look at the market volumes on the match, if you follow tennis at all you'll know for any tournament other than a Grand Slam or the late rounds of a Masters that's just not right. As it turned out, it was total market manipulation as opposed to any information known about Dabul. Dabul is relatively useless on grass, and should've lost in the first round, instead he'll lose to Querrey or Brown in the third and pick up more money than he probably thought he would.

[JNic]

wow very strange stuff, i noticed that huge break after the first set. i guess the thing to do when you see this kind of weird shit line movements is just to avoid at all costs

[G3ck0l0c0]

Impressive ..... and no one says nothing ? I mean, doesn't seems much legal ?

[Cappinpicks]

Danvevic rolls +205

[shari91]

wow very strange stuff, i noticed that huge break after the first set. i guess the thing to do when you see this kind of weird shit line movements is just to avoid at all costs

Yeah, I figure that's the best way to go. Although the majority of the time the 'fixed' player wins, it's when you jump on after the odds have already plunged and the reverse happens that you get killed. Friggin dodgy stuff.

Impressive ..... and no one says nothing ? I mean, doesn't seems much legal ?

The ATP has a review committee that looks into weird results and any allegations of fixing/betting. But they don't always get it right and in my opinion I don't think they always want to.

[shari91]

Busy day for me so I'm only going to be able to post plays as I come across them. Nice 2-0 day in here yesterday which is always nice.

Strycova +4.5 -120

Santonja +4.5 -120

[shari91]

I forgot to add this one from yesterday.

Arn +175

[Slainte]

GL today shari

[shari91]

Thank you Slainte! All the best with your bets too.

[G3ck0l0c0]

Thx Shari. GL

[SoV]

Shari, what do you think of Schnyder/Pennetta double?

[shari91]

Shari, what do you think of Schnyder/Pennetta double?

I don't really follow the doubles as closely as I probably should - mainly because half the time I can't bet on them at either of the two books I use for tennis unless it's a Slam or a larger tournament. TB may have an opinion though!!

[shari91]

Oh - I get what you meant! What do I think of parlaying them? Sorry.

Give me a sec and I'll check it out.

[shari91]

I really like Schnyder and would probably take Pennetta as well if I had to choose. I may stay away from that match though just because the H2H is split and they're doubles partners although Dulko is in pretty bad form right now.

[shari91]

Yesterday 1-2. Not happy with that.

Today:

Sevastova +165 SMALL BET

Will add more in a bit.

[Rainman12]

on sevastova as well. got the 1st break of the match. lets get this

[shari91]

Schnyder -115

Ondraskova +130

[PetrGasparik]

1st set: 10 games, 6 breakes
Sevastova fought hard to keep her service to 5-5

[PetrGasparik]

Ondrášová
+ I am on Hercog

[G3ck0l0c0]

Missed the first pick again ...
Anyway, I'm confident with the 2 others.
GL Shari

[legendmatt34]

She's in trouble now.. Momentum shifted..

[Yezzir]

Another choke job by a pick. Well done Sevetsova