Shari's tennis plays

**Killuminati** · 06-02-10, 08:10 PM

Originally posted by danller

Leans for tomorrow guys?

I've played Stosur so far

**nocode1** · 06-02-10, 10:10 PM

I like jankovic here, she moves alot better than serena and should be able to counteract her kick serve to the backhand.

**Goat Milk** · 06-03-10, 01:12 AM

shari you like dement. over man bitch tomorrow? I don't. That creature has been playin great.

**shari91** · 06-03-10, 01:30 AM

Originally posted by Goat Milk

shari you like dement. over man bitch tomorrow? I don't. That creature has been playin great.

I really think she needs to be tested like that half man/half woman sprinter. I lived in Italy, and yeah some of the really old women looked a bit questionable but I've never seen one 'woman' look anything close to that.

I've already taken Demented for 1x when she was a dog just so I could grab the price before it dropped, knowing that if I changed my mind I could always buy it back. One of Shevulgar's strengths is her big serve but Demented can handle that because Petrova had the same. Plus Shev won a lot of points off of double faults throughout the tournament and although Demented's first serve % has been a bit shocking, she's been doing well at winning off her second serves.

Am going to look at the props for this one and see what else I can find. I think this match is pretty close to 50/50 only because of Demented's leg but I'm hoping her class and experience can pull her through. Going to see what else I can find about her injury.

**TakeIt** · 06-03-10, 01:32 AM

early plays:

berdych -120 +4
stosur -123 -2.5
schiavone -123

(nadal -8 -123...not up yet at 5Dimes...only on pinnacle...if i don't oversleep i'll try and pick it up in the morning)

**camel** · 06-03-10, 01:47 AM

Gee.. not sure about Stosur. Jankovic presents great value at $2.20 and also +2.5 at $1.87.

**shari91** · 06-03-10, 01:49 AM

Originally posted by camel

Gee.. not sure about Stosur. Jankovic presents great value at $2.20 and also +2.5 at $1.87.

I agree. As much as I'd love to see Sammy win, the more I think about it, it's very hard to pass Jankovic by, especially as a dog. Going to think for a little bit more and then make a decision.

**Ace_of_Spades** · 06-03-10, 01:50 AM

Stosur is now favourite to win this shindig. Yikes!

**Ace_of_Spades** · 06-03-10, 01:51 AM

Stosur is tough. She's come a long way.

**camel** · 06-03-10, 01:52 AM

I'll take a look at this when i get home later.

Right now i'm leaning - Jankovic to WIN, Jankovic to win 2-1 and Jankovic +2.5. Might play all 3.

**camel** · 06-03-10, 01:53 AM

Originally posted by Ace_of_Spades

Stosur is tough. She's come a long way.

She beat Williams..... anyone that beat the William sisters are champions to me!

**Ace_of_Spades** · 06-03-10, 01:57 AM

Originally posted by camel

She beat Williams..... anyone that beat the William sisters are champions to me!

I agree. And not just that, she beat Henin too. Actually crushed her.

**Goat Milk** · 06-03-10, 03:01 AM

Yeah Stosur is solid she has a real shot IMO but Jank is playing better right now from what I've seen. Maybe this match going 3 sets is a good bet?

**thirtytwo** · 06-03-10, 03:08 AM

Originally posted by camel

She beat Williams..... anyone that beat the William sisters are champions to me!

But she also can come out physically and mentally empty after a long 3 setter against world number 1 and having to play semifinals less than 24 hours later...

**shari91** · 06-03-10, 03:22 AM

Originally posted by thirtytwo

But she also can come out physically and mentally empty after a long 3 setter against world number 1 and having to play semifinals less than 24 hours later...

Don't count on that. She's probably the most fit player on tour. And the fact that she came from match point down against Serena makes me think her mental state won't be an issue.

**Wade Dwayne** · 06-03-10, 03:25 AM

What about the total Games prop for 1st and 2nd set Shari ? They are both set at 9.5 with 2.10 odds.

**Goat Milk** · 06-03-10, 03:27 AM

Jan Hajek -350* vs Albert Ramos-Vinolas
Daniel Brands -300* vs Vincent Millot

Challenger Tennis: Parlay for 0.5x

**shari91** · 06-03-10, 03:31 AM

My plays today

Stosur 1x

Stosur/JJ over +22.5 2x

Stosur 2-1 0.5x

Stosur/JJ 3 sets 2x

Jankovic +2.5 0.5x

Dementieva 1x

Dementieva/Schiavone Over 21.5 2x

Dementieva/Schiavone 3 sets 2x

Dementieva 2-1 0.5x

**Goat Milk** · 06-03-10, 04:17 AM

Let us know which ones are official

**PetrGasparik** · 06-03-10, 04:47 AM

everything 1unit, shari? (means 1% for me)

Originally posted by shari91

My plays/leans today

Stosur

Stosur/JJ over +22.5

Stosur 2-1

Stosur/JJ 3 sets

Jankovic +2.5

Dementieva

Dementieva/Schiavone Over 21.5

Dementieva/Schiavone 3 sets

**nocode1** · 06-03-10, 04:49 AM

Originally posted by nocode1

I like jankovic here, she moves alot better than serena and should be able to counteract her kick serve to the backhand.

After extensive research i change my tip to Stosur....sorry about that backflip

**PetrGasparik** · 06-03-10, 04:54 AM

i'd like to bet on "does one of players win the match despite losing first set?" ... maybe on dementieva/schiavone?

**camel** · 06-03-10, 04:59 AM

Originally posted by camel

I'll take a look at this when i get home later.

Right now i'm leaning - Jankovic to WIN, Jankovic to win 2-1 and Jankovic +2.5. Might play all 3.

I'm playing all 3.

Gl everyone.

**shari91** · 06-03-10, 05:05 AM

Originally posted by Wade Dwayne

What about the total Games prop for 1st and 2nd set Shari ? They are both set at 9.5 with 2.10 odds.

I don't have that one available but I'd feel pretty confident taking it for both matches.

Originally posted by PetrGasparik

everything 1unit, shari? (means 1% for me)

I'm still figuring out how much I'm going to put on each but my strongest plays will probably be the 3 sets and overs in each match. I can really see all 4 of them hitting but if not, I should be able to make enough to still walk away with a profit from those 4 bets alone.

Originally posted by PetrGasparik

i'd like to bet on "does one of players win the match despite losing first set?" ... maybe on dementieva/schiavone?

I bet those once in awhile too but really only for fun. Very hard to predict in which match someone's going to comeback and win.

Best of luck everyone!

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-03-10, 05:48 AM

Originally posted by Wade Dwayne

What about the total Games prop for 1st and 2nd set Shari ? They are both set at 9.5 with 2.10 odds.

My bookie is clever
They set this up as:
1 set Total games:
Under 8.5 +195
8.5-10.5 games +105
Over 10.5 games +220

I think the only options are 8.5-10.5 or Over10.5

**SolidDala** · 06-03-10, 05:54 AM

All going well Shari? Hope you backed SÖDERLING against federer!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

BOL today... taking the day off from baseball

**SolidDala** · 06-03-10, 05:57 AM

Do not know you tommy but a BIG congrats to the newborn, you must fell like the happiest alive and soon the most tired

**Tommy_de1st** · 06-03-10, 06:18 AM

Originally posted by SolidDala

Do not know you tommy but a BIG congrats to the newborn, you must fell like the happiest alive and soon the most tired

Thanx

You know how I feel?

Watch this:

**bobbyhazell** · 06-03-10, 06:28 AM

Hi Shari, thanks a lot for yesterday, great calls.

Will you be posting unit sizes/final bets today?

**shari91** · 06-03-10, 06:50 AM

Originally posted by bobbyhazell

Hi Shari, thanks a lot for yesterday, great calls. Will you be posting unit sizes/final bets today?

I've just updated them now. Best of luck Bobby!

**scyred** · 06-03-10, 06:59 AM

hey shari,

just wondering....if the matches dont go into 3 sets, wont you get screwed on both the over and the 3 sets bets? and if it does go into 3 sets, the over bet will pretty much cash for sure. so isnt it better to just bet more on the over instead of 3 sets?

**charley365** · 06-03-10, 06:59 AM

Hey great tread!!!!
Great job with the picks.
Am liking Schiavone and stosur but these look like 50-50 games.
So might watch alittle before i jump in.
Good luck today

**colout** · 06-03-10, 07:02 AM

Good luck today Shari

sad to see you on the wrong side in Schiavone/Dementieva

**bobbyhazell** · 06-03-10, 07:12 AM

Thanks Shari, and to you

**shari91** · 06-03-10, 07:19 AM

Originally posted by scyred

hey shari, just wondering....if the matches dont go into 3 sets, wont you get screwed on both the over and the 3 sets bets? and if it does go into 3 sets, the over bet will pretty much cash for sure. so isnt it better to just bet more on the over instead of 3 sets?

Yes you are indeed right. Can you tell I'm exhausted and had 45 minutes sleep last night?

Too late to fix this match but will fix it for the next. Best of luck and thank you for pointing that out!