Stacocakes French Open Thread

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #281
    Gruel has been steadily backed overnight into this morning. Don't know why either. I also took Malisse a couple days ago at +110 and added some SBR points at +145. Unless there is an injury, I think it's a pretty even match-up.
    Comment
    • Stacocakes
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 04-10-08
      • 7126

      #282
      Gruel seems to be the popular pick on other forums as well. Who knows why
      Comment
      • EaglesPhan36
        SBR Aristocracy
        • 12-06-06
        • 71662

        #283
        Schwank is going down.
        Comment
        • Stacocakes
          SBR Hall of Famer
          • 04-10-08
          • 7126

          #284
          Nadal is going to kill this Mina guy. Wonder if he will even win a game. Mina looks almost exactly like Monfils out there.

          Funny they showed the career prize money for the two. Nadal had 29 million and Mina had just under 10 grand haha
          Comment
          • Stacocakes
            SBR Hall of Famer
            • 04-10-08
            • 7126

            #285
            haha
            Comment
            • Stacocakes
              SBR Hall of Famer
              • 04-10-08
              • 7126

              #286
              Betfair doesn't even have odds on nadal for this match. Can't even bet him at 1.01

              BP Mina haha

              Hopefully you didn't take Gicquel
              Comment
              • EaglesPhan36
                SBR Aristocracy
                • 12-06-06
                • 71662

                #287
                Handicap was +/-12.5. I'm with you though, I don't know if he could win six games to cover that in three sets even. Schwank retired.
                Comment
                • Stacocakes
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 04-10-08
                  • 7126

                  #288
                  damn wonder if many backed schwank at that price

                  Mina has looked good.Doubt he can keep up this pace though for 3 sets
                  Comment
                  • Stacocakes
                    SBR Hall of Famer
                    • 04-10-08
                    • 7126

                    #289
                    Istomin blew a huge lead.Wasn't he up 4-0 or something in the first set?5-5 now
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #290
                      Was up 4-1 and 5-2.
                      Comment
                      • EaglesPhan36
                        SBR Aristocracy
                        • 12-06-06
                        • 71662

                        #291
                        Zeballos is another high chalk guy in all sorts of trouble today. I think he was around -380.
                        Comment
                        • TT22
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 09-02-09
                          • 409

                          #292
                          I saw some shops with Nadal 1,01, but can't really bet that
                          Comment
                          • EaglesPhan36
                            SBR Aristocracy
                            • 12-06-06
                            • 71662

                            #293
                            Zeballos rallied and won 8-6 in the 3rd. Nadal rolls 6-2 in each set. Mina did cover than handicap though at +12.5. Istomin with a break and now serves for the match.
                            Comment
                            • JNic
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-03-10
                              • 4272

                              #294
                              malisse doing what i had hoped, not sure why everyone was on greul
                              Comment
                              • Stacocakes
                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                • 04-10-08
                                • 7126

                                #295
                                Was surprised Hewitt won so easily.

                                Looking ahead to tomorrow I am surprised Chela is a +771 dog to Murray. Gasquet choked the match away yesterday and basically ran out of gas after that so most players could have beat him yesterday. It's not like Murray took charge and looked great. Murray has a 5-1 head to head with Chela so I am sure that helps in making his number that big but still Chela might be worth a shot at +771.That is a very very big number.

                                Guilermo Garcia-Lopez as a +119 dog to Thiemo de Bakker??? Sign me up. I like Garcia-Lopez on clay and as a dog you can't really go wrong with taking a shot here.

                                On the women's side I don't see much. I don't think there are going to be any big upsets but with that being said taking a -1000 woman tennis player,even if just in a parlay, is still of little to no value at all. Will pass on that. I know alot of you are going to say Petkovic as a dog over Kuznetsova and I have to agree that it does look like a good play but I have Kuznetsova futures so I am just going to watch the match and hope Kuz pulls through in the end. Kinda scared about that match.
                                Comment
                                • Stacocakes
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 04-10-08
                                  • 7126

                                  #296
                                  Heard some talk about Garcia-Lopez being very sick. Whether or not this is actually true, it has scared me enough to stay away from that match.Just giving you guys the heads up
                                  Comment
                                  • JNic
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-03-10
                                    • 4272

                                    #297
                                    i also heard chela passed out during his match with sweeting?? idk if this is true or not but i'll avoid him as a dog
                                    Comment
                                    • JNic
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-03-10
                                      • 4272

                                      #298
                                      gimeno traver is very much a great dog at +380 and baghdatis shouldn't be -270, i might back him with handicap
                                      Comment
                                      • birdmanweezy
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 04-18-10
                                        • 4635

                                        #299
                                        im guessing there is something wrong with lopez he should be heavilied favored against de bakkar...maybe he can stick it out and I would still take him at + odds..murray will roll through the next 2 matches
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #300
                                          I don't think it's surprising that de Bakker is being backed by the public. People remember his play in Barcelona mostly I am sure and he is a good young talent that just needs that one moment where it all comes together. The guy dominated the Challenger clay circuit in 2009 and now he's stepping up to the main draw. It's an interesting match because GGL's career shows that he's better on the slower clay surfaces, so he needs to hope the rain slowed the courts at RG some. I think it's a toss-up. Probably look at the Over potentially if they keep it in the high 30s. I think this is going to be a pretty decent match. de Bakker's power is what I think could be a determining factor if the courts stay fast. 16 aces in his opener. His serve can be devistating when it is on. That is why I would consider him personally. This is one where I'm going to watch the line movement although I am pretty sure it's all going to be on de Bakker. I may throw him into a parlay - gotta think.
                                          Comment
                                          • JNic
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-03-10
                                            • 4272

                                            #301
                                            i keep reading crap that GGL is ill? but i dont know why people would know that
                                            Comment
                                            • Totolover1409
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 06-14-08
                                              • 1400

                                              #302
                                              Originally posted by Stacocakes
                                              Heard some talk about Garcia-Lopez being very sick. Whether or not this is actually true, it has scared me enough to stay away from that match.Just giving you guys the heads up

                                              Good call. Was gonna lay some on this way but agree to stay away.
                                              Comment
                                              • MUHerd37
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 10-23-09
                                                • 12816

                                                #303
                                                There may not be any tennis played Wednesday or Thursday. It's supposed to rain until Friday.
                                                Comment
                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                  • 71662

                                                  #304
                                                  Yeah I hate days with those forecasts. Ties your money up, but if you pass a play - you know the rain will cease long enough for that one to get in. Shoot, I have Malisse pending - could be pending for 2 days, although for some reason the SBR book graded it a win already. Will probably only tie my money up with my favorite play of the day with that forecast which is likely to be a total I think.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Stacocakes
                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                    • 04-10-08
                                                    • 7126

                                                    #305
                                                    I have tried to find something on Chela passing out JNic but have yet to see anything. With tomorrow's play looking in jeopardy due to rain I may just pass on the play all together. Hate playing matches with potential injured players.Best to stay away

                                                    I'm not really seeing much to bet tomorrow. Could parlay a couple players but you might have to wait a couple days to cash it so it's probably best to avoid it so you have your money to bet.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • raydog
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 11-07-07
                                                      • 6984

                                                      #306
                                                      chalk pars is bout all i see...scawwwy
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                        • 7126

                                                        #307
                                                        Rain here to halt play today. Some of these players must have just wanted to get out of Paris as fast as they could and avoid the rain delays because there have been some lopsided matches so far today. Montanes wins 63 62 61 over Kamke. Tsonga wings 60 61 64 over Ouanna. Sodering 60 61 61 over Dent. Crazy.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Stacocakes
                                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                                          • 04-10-08
                                                          • 7126

                                                          #308
                                                          play is back underway
                                                          Comment
                                                          • JNic
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-03-10
                                                            • 4272

                                                            #309
                                                            youzhny cruises against lacko in 4, i love him against troicki. can't wait to see the odds for that
                                                            Comment
                                                            • JNic
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-03-10
                                                              • 4272

                                                              #310
                                                              i think all this shit about GGL being ill and chela passing out was just bullshit? why would people make this stuff up
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Stacocakes
                                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                • 04-10-08
                                                                • 7126

                                                                #311
                                                                And rain again.How stupid. Takes these players half an hour to warm up so by the time they are warmed up the rain comes again.As usual. Going to be a crap day
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Stacocakes
                                                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                  • 04-10-08
                                                                  • 7126

                                                                  #312
                                                                  Could be people just making it up to get better odds on the players they want. Wouldn't doubt it.Best not to take a chance that the information is right though because you wouldnt want to get burnt by something like that
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                                                    • 12-06-06
                                                                    • 71662

                                                                    #313
                                                                    Yeah unless you can find legit news somewhere on injury info, it's all just rumor that could definitely be used to push lines in favor of what way certain people want to bet.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Stacocakes
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 04-10-08
                                                                      • 7126

                                                                      #314
                                                                      Kuznetsova playing like crap.will probably lose the first set here
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Stacocakes
                                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                        • 04-10-08
                                                                        • 7126

                                                                        #315
                                                                        Petkovic and Kuz are just bashing the ball back and forth.Good match actually
                                                                        Comment
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