Lost a large portion of my bankroll. May be sitting out for the next few days unless you've got something very convincing staco
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Was kinda surprised with the odds in the Nadal match. -187 Nadal over Roddick. Not really sure what to do with that.
The mens matches tomorrow start in the afternoon so we all have time to sleep in before we get our bets in. I am going to take Verdasco tomorrow when I get up I am just hoping the prices improves a bit. It's currently at +104 which I will probably still take if it's available tomorrow when I get up.
As far as the Soderling match I think he will win but I am not going to bet -255 on him. Just going to pass.
Both of my women's outrights have made it to the semifinals which is setting up perfectly. With that being said I am not going to bet on my outrights twice because that might just set me up for double the loss. Might be to early to hedge out the outrights as well so I am just going to hope that Venus and Clijsters win tomorrow so then I have both outrights in the final and I am guaranteed money. Just as long as one of them makes the final I should still be able to hedge out the final and make some decent cash. If they both lose in the semifinals then that would just be bad luck. With that being said I think Venus will beat Bartoli but the CLijsters/Henin match is really a toss up for me. If I didn't have the CLijsters outrights I would take a chance on Henin as the dog with some decent odds of +121. Just going to avoid both matches though.
Not really feeling anything tomorrow just Verdasco. Even he is not a lock or anything I think it's just a good spot for them. I am going to take him but I am not going to go around convincing everyone its' the play because I am not overly sure or anything. Just a good lean.
If you guys decide to make some bets tomorrow good luck with those. I look forward to the matches tomorrow and the discussions.Comment -
I'm prolly gonna hit Berdych as a small fave. Look at these YTD stats:
Berdych
88% service games won
55% 2nd serve points won
27% Return games won
Verdasco
82%
47%
27%
Verdasco does lead in 1st serve in (though he trails in 1st serve won) and BP saved. Berdych has a slight advantage on return points won, though the % of games is the same. These stats are compiled against similar competition, each with 1/2 of their YTD losses to top 10 competition. Though the line might be inflated from a recent beat of Fed, the recent beat of Fed is, well, a good sign of recent form. Berdych has played 5hrs 45min of tennis this tournament compared to Verdasco's 5hr 3min. Both men had their "long match" last round with Birdman playing a 2:51:39 one and Verdasco playing a 1:53:59 (d. Cilic) and during the day nonetheless.
Guess it could go either way, but I don't mind taking the fave here.Comment -
Liking Venus and Henin here.Comment -
henin +1.5 games and a small something on soderlingBaba-e-qaum ne farmaya, too chal me ayaComment -
Appears most people are 50-50 on Berdych-Verdasco. I was hoping there'd be a market that drove Verdasco into an underdog price, but not the case. Might just go small on him because that's the side I like.Comment -
Venus wins the first set and has a break point to take the lead in the second set cmonComment -
Hmm maybe I shouldn't watch. Venus has been playing poor ever since I started watchingComment -
bp bartoli
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Venus holds
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2 bps Venus cmonComment -
Break Venus huge
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lol bartoli goes from a break point on Venus serve - then she cant even get a return back, to being broken immediatelyComment -
Nice start to the last game with an ace for Venus
JNic who you got in the verdsasco/Berdych match next?Comment -
GSM Venus
Awesome. Got my +380 Venus outright to the final of this tournament still going. Still have my Clijsters +760 outright as well. I think I am probably going to put some money on Henin to cover the Clijsters outright incase it loses but i'm guaranteed some good money at least.
Henin is +122 at Betfair right now so I am going to take that to cover my Clijsters outright incase it loses. Hoping for a Clijsters/Venus finalComment -
I got Verdasco over Berdych. Anyone like Clijsters tonight?Comment -
Hmm looks as though Verdasco is now the slight favorite over Berdych. Verdasco was +104 last night and is now -108.Might just play this match ingame. Liked Verdasco better as a dog.Comment -
im skipping the berdych/verdasco match, if i had to pick you gotta go berdych but who knows with him.
I'm just gonna be doing Soderling spread for the 4th straight time and then Nadal -190 over Roddick tomorrow. I think Nadal to win the tourny straight up looks like a great bet right nowComment -
Definately agree that the tournament is Nadal's for the takingComment -
I am going to play the over 23.5 games +103 in this Berdych match.I think it goes three setsComment -
Tennis starting on tv here in a couple mins.Question is will they show the berdych match live or will they show the venus match that just ended. My guess is the venus match.Comment -
I think verdasco wins this one but I think the over is a better betComment -
Announcer just said "Berdych, in terms of raw talent, is second only to Roger"
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Verdasco just blew a huge chance to get an early breakComment -
Now verdasco has 3 bps against him. Saved the first oneComment -
DeuceComment -
Verdasco saves 3 bps and holds. ImpressiveComment -
2 bps cocknoseComment -
1 blown. Lots of blown bps in this match geezComment -
Break VerdascoComment -
More BP's. Looks like WTA.Comment -
This match does. Hopefully it goes 3 sets with lots of breaksComment -
First set Verdasco. Hopefully Berdych takes the next one to make this a three set match and cash the overComment -
2 bps verdasco
Berdych is shitting the bed hardComment -
break Verdasco. Should have just taken him and not the over.Comment
