TennisBabe's '10 Picks

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  • TennisBabe
    Restricted User
    • 02-08-10
    • 3565

    #701
    YTD: 82-48 +86.59

    More chalk than I thought I would play but my research backs it up and it's a risk I'm willing to take
    Guillermo Garcia Lopez -400
    Risking 4.00 to win 1.00

    Thomas Bellucci -145 (This is a lower line than I had predicted and worries me a bit)
    Risking 1.45 to win 1.00

    David Ferrer -800 (Taking a huge chance here. Any loss would have to be investigated by the ATP ;-)
    Risking 8.00 to win 1.00

    Jeremy Chardy +130
    Risking 1.00 to win 1.00

    Jurgen Melzer -280
    Risking 2.80 to win 1.00

    Fernando Verdasco -360
    Risking 3.60 to win 1.00
    Comment
    • Checkerboard
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 05-15-06
      • 7799

      #702
      Thanks for sharing TB, great contributor, much appreciated + bol the rest of the way!
      Comment
      • JRswish
        SBR Sharp
        • 02-08-10
        • 257

        #703
        Thanks TB
        Comment
        • Fthenorm
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 10-20-07
          • 712

          #704
          I agree, a dangerous Bellucci play..but your record is far better than my own
          Comment
          • Fthenorm
            SBR Wise Guy
            • 10-20-07
            • 712

            #705
            TennisBabe: which book are you using? Matchbook has Bellucci at minus 128, minus 145 may hit but is very chalky relative to other books
            Comment
            • Fthenorm
              SBR Wise Guy
              • 10-20-07
              • 712

              #706
              We might be in for a losing day, but I sure hope not!
              Comment
              • aznjeff07
                SBR MVP
                • 05-22-09
                • 1295

                #707
                tailing on lopez. hope it hits
                Comment
                • noober
                  SBR MVP
                  • 10-23-09
                  • 2012

                  #708
                  Verdasco, Ferrer and Belucci are all very dangerous at that price and shouldn't be played.

                  Chardy is a good pick.
                  Comment
                  • Pride
                    SBR MVP
                    • 04-12-10
                    • 4238

                    #709
                    Lopez does not appear to be into the match just yet
                    Comment
                    • aznjeff07
                      SBR MVP
                      • 05-22-09
                      • 1295

                      #710
                      He better focus and pull this shiet out
                      Comment
                      • OCSurfer
                        SBR Rookie
                        • 03-30-10
                        • 39

                        #711
                        GL hope its' a good day
                        Comment
                        • Pride
                          SBR MVP
                          • 04-12-10
                          • 4238

                          #712
                          nah lopez is done
                          Comment
                          • Goat Milk
                            BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                            • 03-24-10
                            • 25850

                            #713
                            Originally posted by Pride
                            nah lopez is done
                            aye I think Gasquet can give Verdasco a match. Verdasco just played an entire tournament and was crushed by Nadal. Gasquet coming off a big win, which is great for the Frenches confidence. Verdasco's the much better player, I don't see Verdasco dominating, and Gasquet is a pretty streaky player, so I like the over in this match and maybe Gasquet +4. I usually don't like fckin with the spreads like that because Gasquet can stay competitve/win 1 tight set then get spanked in the last one.

                            What are your thoughts of what this match is gonna be lookin like.

                            Happy 4/20
                            Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                            Comment
                            • TennisBabe
                              Restricted User
                              • 02-08-10
                              • 3565

                              #714
                              Bellucci line has dropped all morning....
                              Comment
                              • Pride
                                SBR MVP
                                • 04-12-10
                                • 4238

                                #715
                                I am on lopez atm so hopefully he can pull through.

                                Tbh I wouldnt touch the Verdasco match just because of never knowing if he shows up. He has won the last 4 vs Gasquet and he is also quite streaky.

                                If I had to choose I would go with the over, all it takes is one break for verdasco to possibly play like an idiot.
                                Comment
                                • TennisBabe
                                  Restricted User
                                  • 02-08-10
                                  • 3565

                                  #716
                                  He'll show up in his home country.
                                  Comment
                                  • colout
                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                    • 11-11-09
                                    • 772

                                    #717
                                    Public all over Melzer, but the odds has raised! The homeman is gonna win this!
                                    Comment
                                    • TennisBabe
                                      Restricted User
                                      • 02-08-10
                                      • 3565

                                      #718
                                      Lopez wins nice way to start off the day
                                      Comment
                                      • aznjeff07
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 05-22-09
                                        • 1295

                                        #719
                                        whew was worried and went to bed angry. all worked out
                                        Comment
                                        • TennisBabe
                                          Restricted User
                                          • 02-08-10
                                          • 3565

                                          #720
                                          Lopez, Ferrer, Melzer win
                                          Chardy falls to Gulbis

                                          Bellucci and Verdasco pending
                                          Comment
                                          • TennisBabe
                                            Restricted User
                                            • 02-08-10
                                            • 3565

                                            #721
                                            Bellucci with the victory. 4-1 on the day with Verdasco pending. Will either be a 4 unit gain or a 0.60 loss.
                                            Comment
                                            • Iwinwithsports
                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                              • 04-15-10
                                              • 729

                                              #722
                                              Thanks for the plays
                                              Comment
                                              • TennisBabe
                                                Restricted User
                                                • 02-08-10
                                                • 3565

                                                #723
                                                Comment
                                                • bruce0
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 01-07-10
                                                  • 905

                                                  #724
                                                  Come on verdasco!
                                                  Comment
                                                  • TennisBabe
                                                    Restricted User
                                                    • 02-08-10
                                                    • 3565

                                                    #725
                                                    Verdasco takes set 1!
                                                    Comment
                                                    • TennisBabe
                                                      Restricted User
                                                      • 02-08-10
                                                      • 3565

                                                      #726
                                                      Verdasco rolls...

                                                      5-1 on the day plus 4 units

                                                      YTD: 87-49 +90.59
                                                      Comment
                                                      • bruce0
                                                        SBR Wise Guy
                                                        • 01-07-10
                                                        • 905

                                                        #727
                                                        Originally posted by TennisBabe
                                                        Verdasco rolls...

                                                        5-1 on the day plus 4 units

                                                        YTD: 87-49 +90.59
                                                        Comment
                                                        • jjvoit
                                                          SBR High Roller
                                                          • 08-19-07
                                                          • 118

                                                          #728
                                                          thanks TB, nice work, stick around.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • TennisBabe
                                                            Restricted User
                                                            • 02-08-10
                                                            • 3565

                                                            #729
                                                            Definitely am...thanks for the support!

                                                            Comment
                                                            • chilidog
                                                              SBR Posting Legend
                                                              • 04-05-09
                                                              • 10305

                                                              #730
                                                              Awesome morning so far!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Pride
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 04-12-10
                                                                • 4238

                                                                #731
                                                                nice I went to bed and woke up to see my four game parlay hit! +12 units today is going to be a great day

                                                                I figured it was safe to rest after I saw Lopez win the second set so of course he would carry it to the third.

                                                                BOL today everyone.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • alukk
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-29-09
                                                                  • 1544

                                                                  #732
                                                                  Great work babe!
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • sonnybaby
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 12-04-09
                                                                    • 9770

                                                                    #733
                                                                    Great work lets get it
                                                                    LETS GET IT
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • TennisBabe
                                                                      Restricted User
                                                                      • 02-08-10
                                                                      • 3565

                                                                      #734
                                                                      Heading to bed early tonight. Got only four hours of sleep last night with the Lakers game ending late and having to be up at 6am so I'm pretty much out of it right now. Doubles are on court first in Barcelona tomorrow so that means the first single matches won't begin till about 6am Eastern time. Ferrer-Bolelli, Bellucci-Garcia Lopez, and Navarro-Schwank are the first three single matches on the schedule.

                                                                      Bellucci will probably be priced a bit over -200, Ferrer will be extremely high possibly near -1000, and Schwank around -250 to -300. I probably wouldn't touch any of those odds. Maybe Bellucci if it's low 200s.

                                                                      There will be lots of chalk again tomorrow with the closest odds in the Almagro-Tsonga match, a rematch of last weeks match in Monte Carlo.

                                                                      I do want to try and wake up around 6-7am and get some plays in. I think I will have one upset play and that is DeBakker over Ferrero. I'm expecting Ferrero to be overpriced and DeBakker is not a known name - at least not yet. Going to sleep on this play and wait for the odds.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • squintz4
                                                                        Restricted User
                                                                        • 01-04-09
                                                                        • 374

                                                                        #735
                                                                        Lets get some winners in the morning TB.
                                                                        Comment
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