WTF am I missing here????????

**francescosol** · 10-19-09, 08:03 AM

Originally posted by bigdog3580

Starace vs. Donskoy

I took Starace at -200. Donskoy is ranked 396th. Donskoys last 3 tournament loses have been against 408,410,302 ranked opponents.

I get up this morning and Starace is +100. WHAT!!

I go to Bookmaker and Donskoy is -300 and Starace is +240

WTF????

SO naturally I put more on Starace. BUt not too much because something smells fishy.
I know Donskoy is playing in his home counrty but he hasnt played on a hard surface since July in which he lost 1st round to a 169th ranked player.

hi, im Italian, Starace is Italian player, most ppl here have recived info that he sell the match.
this is the info that hovers here

i hope opposite because i bet Starace same.

**Ace_of_Spades** · 10-19-09, 08:18 AM

Somethig is always fishy with Donkey matches.

**Domestic** · 10-19-09, 08:50 AM

Will be interesting to see the outcome..

**teaserpleaser** · 10-19-09, 09:04 AM

at -101 i think im taking a shot on potito

**bigdog3580** · 10-19-09, 09:37 AM

Maybe someone leaked out he was throwing the match to get the odds down. Then hammer the action on him. Because no one in their right mind would bet on Donskoy.

**bigdog3580** · 10-19-09, 11:19 AM

Starace wins the 1st set rather easil. 6-3

One more set to talk about the crazy line changes on this game and what the hell was going on.

Cant count my chickens before they are hatched. Knock on wood.

**bigdog3580** · 10-19-09, 11:58 AM

There it is!! Starace a 6-3,6-3 winner. Now what the FK was going on with the line?? from, -200 to +240.

I wish I added more but that was too fishy. Anyone have any thoughts?

**Ulver86** · 10-19-09, 12:07 PM

i took starace last night at -200, im just glad i got my money back after hearing this, heh

**yisman** · 10-19-09, 12:30 PM

Check out the line movement on Govortsova/Pervak (Pervak on the right):

10/18 13:43 -178 / +157
10/18 14:35 -173 / +153
10/18 15:15 -170 / +150
10/18 16:56 -165 / +145
10/18 18:50 -160 / +140
10/18 20:37 -155 / +135
10/18 23:01 -145 / +125
10/18 23:38 -150 / +130
10/18 23:45 -145 / +125
10/19 00:26 -125 / +105
10/19 00:30 -130 / +110
10/19 00:43 -125 / +105
10/19 00:47 -130 / +110
10/19 01:16 -125 / +105
10/19 01:41 -120 / +100
10/19 01:54 -115 / -105
10/19 02:11 -110 / -110
10/19 02:45 -105 / -115
10/19 02:56 +105 / -125
10/19 03:01 +115 / -135
10/19 03:03 +120 / -140
10/19 03:19 +125 / -145
10/19 03:31 +120 / -140
10/19 03:31 +115 / -135
10/19 03:34 +135 / -155
10/19 03:37 +140 / -160
10/19 03:52 +150 / -170
10/19 03:59 +155 / -175
10/19 04:05 +158 / -180
10/19 04:06 +175 / -210
10/19 06:16 +245 / -290

Govortsova did win, though.

**bigdog3580** · 10-19-09, 01:31 PM

Yea, I would like to see Staraces also. Must be some crazy money coming in on these matches. Someone thinks they know something.

**Astrodust3** · 10-19-09, 01:41 PM

Dumb question. Can you make money betting both sides at these live betting games and should I use 2 books or will the book care? Sure seems like an easy way to make money.

**kompulsive** · 10-19-09, 02:10 PM

This is why I love tennis now.

Astrodust3, that shit can work, but you'll want to kill yourself by the time you "think" you've got the science behind it figured out.

**Astrodust3** · 10-19-09, 02:27 PM

How so? Can't you just pick the underdog in the live game and hope the momentum swings the other way?

**Bakerdew** · 10-20-09, 12:29 AM

Astro there are arbitrage betors who look for these changes. Sometimes you can find one player at say +150 on one book and the opposing player at +160 on another, so no matter who you bet on you will win.