Mr Octobers 2020 Tennis Plays thread

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  • Mr0ctober
    SBR MVP
    • 02-27-18
    • 2795

    #211
    Originally posted by Johnnythunder
    Nice call on Theim...what are your thoughts today? Djokovic needs to be in prime form to take down Medvedev...I can tell you that.

    agree just was waiting as thought we would
    get better than +200 which looks like we are!

    November 18th
    Medvedev +222 (risk 0.2u)
    Med/Djok over 23 (-115) (to win 0.2u)
    Comment
    • PharaohUB
      SBR MVP
      • 01-23-07
      • 4865

      #212
      Originally posted by Mr0ctober
      agree just was waiting as thought we would
      get better than +200 which looks like we are!

      November 18th
      Medvedev +222 (risk 0.2u)
      Med/Djok over 23 (-115) (to win 0.2u)
      Nice call. Novak doesn't seem to care as much about tournaments with small payouts these days. He hasn't won this tourney since 2015. Medvedev more motivated and more to prove. Small payout and Novak already secured #1. Novak was going through motions today which can beat Schwartzmen but not Medvedev on his game. Wish I put more on this.
      Comment
      • justaguy37
        SBR Rookie
        • 01-14-13
        • 43

        #213
        i think medvedev just outplayed djokovic had nothing to do w motivation in my opinion. djokovic has skating all year on thin ice very often playing from behind and spewing off errors. At this level he just cannot survive doing that and today he got run over..
        Comment
        • Mr0ctober
          SBR MVP
          • 02-27-18
          • 2795

          #214
          November 18th recap
          Medvedev +222 (risk 0.2u)✅ +0.444u
          Med/Djok over 23 (-115) (to win 0.2u)❌ -0.23u

          1-1 +0.214u✅

          Year to date: 75-58 +25.388u✅✅
          Comment
          • Mr0ctober
            SBR MVP
            • 02-27-18
            • 2795

            #215
            Also love both takes from you guys Pharaoh and Justaguy! Actually I think could be a little bit of both. Good stuff! Good luck today guys. Nothing for me. Crossed Rublev last min ��
            Comment
            • Mr0ctober
              SBR MVP
              • 02-27-18
              • 2795

              #216
              November 20th:

              Med/Schwartz under 21 (-108) (0.3u)

              everything points to this being medvedev waxing. Form, head to head history, etc. for that reason I’m taking the Under at -108 instead of going medvedev-1.5 sets are (-149). It could come back to haunt me but the price difference is enough to take the under instead of medvedev-4 games or -1.5 sets. Best of luck guys
              Comment
              • Mr0ctober
                SBR MVP
                • 02-27-18
                • 2795

                #217
                November 20th:

                Med/Schwartz under 21 (-108) (0.3u)✅✅ +0.3u

                Year to date: 76-58 +25.688u✅✅
                Comment
                • Conqueror
                  SBR Posting Legend
                  • 12-08-13
                  • 16778

                  #218
                  Congrats!
                  Comment
                  • Mr0ctober
                    SBR MVP
                    • 02-27-18
                    • 2795

                    #219
                    Originally posted by Conqueror
                    Congrats!
                    Thanks brother! We are running out of tennis to bet. Time for me to stubbornly donate some back betting a sport I can’t seem to ever figure out ......college football
                    Comment
                    • Mr0ctober
                      SBR MVP
                      • 02-27-18
                      • 2795

                      #220
                      I need tennis back ��
                      Comment
                      • Mr0ctober
                        SBR MVP
                        • 02-27-18
                        • 2795

                        #221
                        Welcome back

                        del ray ATP:
                        Hurkacz -350 (to win 0.5u)
                        hurkacz -4 (-112) (to win 0.2u)

                        Cam Norrie +122 (risk 0.4u)


                        Hurkacz has improved nicely over last couple years. Think he wins the match against the kid way more than 70%. I have him lined at -670. Still going to tread more lightly than normal. as for norrie price just too good to not back him with his style in this type of match
                        Last edited by Mr0ctober; 01-12-21, 01:54 PM.
                        Comment
                        • Maizey
                          SBR High Roller
                          • 08-11-18
                          • 226

                          #222
                          I’m on Norrie as well. I think he’ll test the kid’s nerves in long points and long games. That’ll be a stark contrast to the short games and short points Korda saw with Isner.
                          Comment
                          • Mr0ctober
                            SBR MVP
                            • 02-27-18
                            • 2795

                            #223
                            Originally posted by Maizey
                            I’m on Norrie as well. I think he’ll test the kid’s nerves in long points and long games. That’ll be a stark contrast to the short games and short points Korda saw with Isner.
                            Precisely!!! Best of luck!
                            Comment
                            • Mr0ctober
                              SBR MVP
                              • 02-27-18
                              • 2795

                              #224
                              Del ray ATP:
                              Hurkacz -350 (to win 0.5u)✅ +0.5
                              hurkacz -4 (-112) (to win 0.2u)❌ -0.23

                              Cam Norrie +122 (risk 0.4u)❌ -0.4

                              Year to date: 77-60 +25.558✅✅
                              Comment
                              • Mr0ctober
                                SBR MVP
                                • 02-27-18
                                • 2795

                                #225
                                Tennis 2/4:

                                Fritz -150/zags money line college hoops (-140) (to win 0.5u)
                                Hurkacz/76ers money line/zags money line/buy money line (-157) (to win 0.5u)

                                best of luck will be ramping things up during the Aussie open. Think Hurk mops the floor with Cuevas. And love the matchup for Fritz... if backhand is strong like normal could give chardy real trouble.
                                Comment
                                • Mr0ctober
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 02-27-18
                                  • 2795

                                  #226
                                  Sorry so late:

                                  teichmann +197 (0.5u)
                                  teichmann +4 games -120 (0.5u)
                                  Comment
                                  • Mr0ctober
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 02-27-18
                                    • 2795

                                    #227
                                    2-9:
                                    ATP:
                                    fritz -135 (1u)

                                    WTA
                                    Venus Williams/andreescu/an li money line parlay +118 (1u)
                                    Comment
                                    • Mr0ctober
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-27-18
                                      • 2795

                                      #228
                                      Tennis 2/4:

                                      Fritz -150/zags money line college hoops (-140) (to win 0.5u) ❌ -0.7u
                                      Hurkacz/76ers money line/zags money line/buy money line (-157) (to win 0.5u)❌ -0.785

                                      2/8
                                      teichmann +197 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u
                                      teichmann +4 games -120 (0.5u) ❌ -0.6u

                                      ATP:
                                      fritz -135 (1u)✅ +1u

                                      WTA
                                      Venus Williams/andreescu/an li money line parlay +118 (1u)❌ -1u

                                      Year to date: 78-64 +22.973✅
                                      Comment
                                      • Mr0ctober
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-27-18
                                        • 2795

                                        #229
                                        2/10:
                                        ATP:
                                        Casper Ruud -139 (1u)

                                        WTA:
                                        Parlay: Mertens/Brady/Svitolina -124 (1u)
                                        parlay: Podoroska/Brady (-146) (1u)
                                        Podoroska -175 (1u)

                                        ATP/WTA:
                                        Songeno/Alexandrova (-120) (1u)
                                        Comment
                                        • Mr0ctober
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 02-27-18
                                          • 2795

                                          #230
                                          Add:
                                          WTA: Collins +105 (1u)
                                          Comment
                                          • Mr0ctober
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 02-27-18
                                            • 2795

                                            #231
                                            2/10:
                                            ATP:
                                            Casper Ruud -139 (1u)

                                            WTA:
                                            Parlay: Mertens/Brady/Svitolina -124 (1u)✅ +1u
                                            parlay: Podoroska/Brady (-146) (1u)❌ -1.46u
                                            Podoroska -175 (1u)❌ -1.75u

                                            ATP/WTA:
                                            Songeno/Alexandrova (-120) (1u)❌ -1.2u
                                            WTA: Collins +105 (1u)❌ -1u

                                            1-4 -4.41u

                                            Year to date: 79-68 +18.563✅
                                            Comment
                                            • Mr0ctober
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-27-18
                                              • 2795

                                              #232
                                              2/11:
                                              WTA:
                                              Errani +140 (1u)
                                              Kudermetova +188 (0.5u)

                                              ATP:
                                              PMartinez +125 (1u)

                                              parlays
                                              shapovalov/ash Barty (+101) (1u)
                                              Swiatek/raonic/Zverev (-150) (1u)
                                              Comment
                                              • Conqueror
                                                SBR Posting Legend
                                                • 12-08-13
                                                • 16778

                                                #233
                                                I'm curiously watching this Errani's resurgence.
                                                Comment
                                                • Mr0ctober
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 02-27-18
                                                  • 2795

                                                  #234
                                                  Originally posted by Conqueror
                                                  I'm curiously watching this Errani's resurgence.
                                                  Yeah she went from my fade list and now I’m playing her... assuming her resurgence runs into a brick wall tonight. But had to play her based on price. I’m not running very well at the moment so expecting a loss.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Conqueror
                                                    SBR Posting Legend
                                                    • 12-08-13
                                                    • 16778

                                                    #235
                                                    Originally posted by Mr0ctober
                                                    Yeah she went from my fade list and now I’m playing her... assuming her resurgence runs into a brick wall tonight. But had to play her based on price. I’m not running very well at the moment so expecting a loss.
                                                    I don't know anyone running well right now.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • Conqueror
                                                      SBR Posting Legend
                                                      • 12-08-13
                                                      • 16778

                                                      #236
                                                      We've now gone from "Errani" to "Errorni".
                                                      Get it back next time.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Goat Milk
                                                        BARRELED IN @ SBR!
                                                        • 03-24-10
                                                        • 25850

                                                        #237
                                                        Why is shapavolov favored by so much? Allaisame is better isn't he?
                                                        Cause Sleep is the Cousin of Death
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Mr0ctober
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 02-27-18
                                                          • 2795

                                                          #238
                                                          WTA:
                                                          Errani +140 (1u)❌ -1u
                                                          Kudermetova +188 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u

                                                          ATP:
                                                          PMartinez +125 (1u)❌ -1u

                                                          parlays
                                                          shapovalov/ash Barty (+101) (1u) ❌ -1u
                                                          Swiatek/raonic/Zverev (-150) (1u)✅ +1u

                                                          1-4 -2.5u❌

                                                          Year to date: 80-72 +16.063✅
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Mr0ctober
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 02-27-18
                                                            • 2795

                                                            #239
                                                            2/12:
                                                            MLP: Pegula/Brady/Medvedev (-140) (1u)
                                                            MLP: Kontaveit/Medvedev (-135) (1u)
                                                            MLP: Brady/Medvedev/Svitolina (-165) (2u)

                                                            best of luck hoping to get a good night but it hasn’t been good.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Mr0ctober
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 02-27-18
                                                              • 2795

                                                              #240
                                                              2/12:
                                                              MLP: Pegula/Brady/Medvedev (-140) (1u)✅ +1u
                                                              MLP: Kontaveit/Medvedev (-135) (1u)❌ -1.35u
                                                              MLP: Brady/Medvedev/Svitolina (-165) (2u)✅ +2u

                                                              2-1 night +1.65u✅

                                                              Year to date: 82-73 +17.713✅
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Mr0ctober
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 02-27-18
                                                                • 2795

                                                                #241
                                                                2/13
                                                                Didn’t find much

                                                                Thiem -4.5 games (-113) (1u)
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Mr0ctober
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 02-27-18
                                                                  • 2795

                                                                  #242
                                                                  Theim loser -1.13u

                                                                  Year to date: 82-74 +16.583✅
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Mr0ctober
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 02-27-18
                                                                    • 2795

                                                                    #243
                                                                    2/14:
                                                                    Brady/barty parlay (-158) (1u)
                                                                    Berrettini +310 (1u)
                                                                    I have this line way off. tsitsipas should be the favorite but him at -400 is absurd IMO. These two last matches have been very competitive... Berrettini winning the most recent. And Berrettini forehand will likely play havoc into Tsits game.. Tsits will likely have to hammer away and force Mateo to the backhand... and I’m not sure he can do that enough tonight.. Tsits can easily win this match (obviously by his -400 price) but I think this line is a gift i love the matchup here and will put down a big play on the +310. Lean to the over as well.

                                                                    where you at Conq? Am I crazy to think this line is out of control. Be interested to see what he thinks.

                                                                    best of luck guys.
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Mr0ctober
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 02-27-18
                                                                      • 2795

                                                                      #244
                                                                      2/14:
                                                                      Brady/barty parlay (-158) (1u)✅ +1u
                                                                      Berrettini +310 (1u) match cancelled

                                                                      Year to date: 83-74 +17.583✅
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Mr0ctober
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 02-27-18
                                                                        • 2795

                                                                        #245
                                                                        2/23:
                                                                        WTA

                                                                        bencic/Putintseva -131 (to win 1u)
                                                                        Comment
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