Mr Octobers 2020 Tennis Plays thread

[Mr0ctober]

Nice call on Theim...what are your thoughts today? Djokovic needs to be in prime form to take down Medvedev...I can tell you that.

agree just was waiting as thought we would
get better than +200 which looks like we are!

November 18th
Medvedev +222 (risk 0.2u)
Med/Djok over 23 (-115) (to win 0.2u)

[PharaohUB]

agree just was waiting as thought we would
get better than +200 which looks like we are!

November 18th
Medvedev +222 (risk 0.2u)
Med/Djok over 23 (-115) (to win 0.2u)

Nice call. Novak doesn't seem to care as much about tournaments with small payouts these days. He hasn't won this tourney since 2015. Medvedev more motivated and more to prove. Small payout and Novak already secured #1. Novak was going through motions today which can beat Schwartzmen but not Medvedev on his game. Wish I put more on this.

[justaguy37]

i think medvedev just outplayed djokovic had nothing to do w motivation in my opinion. djokovic has skating all year on thin ice very often playing from behind and spewing off errors. At this level he just cannot survive doing that and today he got run over..

[Mr0ctober]

November 18th recap
Medvedev +222 (risk 0.2u)✅ +0.444u
Med/Djok over 23 (-115) (to win 0.2u)❌ -0.23u

1-1 +0.214u✅

Year to date: 75-58 +25.388u✅✅

[Mr0ctober]

Also love both takes from you guys Pharaoh and Justaguy! Actually I think could be a little bit of both. Good stuff! Good luck today guys. Nothing for me. Crossed Rublev last min ��

[Mr0ctober]

November 20th:

Med/Schwartz under 21 (-108) (0.3u)

everything points to this being medvedev waxing. Form, head to head history, etc. for that reason I’m taking the Under at -108 instead of going medvedev-1.5 sets are (-149). It could come back to haunt me but the price difference is enough to take the under instead of medvedev-4 games or -1.5 sets. Best of luck guys

[Mr0ctober]

November 20th:

Med/Schwartz under 21 (-108) (0.3u)✅✅ +0.3u

Year to date: 76-58 +25.688u✅✅

[Conqueror]

Congrats!

[Mr0ctober]

Congrats!

Thanks brother! We are running out of tennis to bet. Time for me to stubbornly donate some back betting a sport I can’t seem to ever figure out ......college football

[Mr0ctober]

I need tennis back ��

[Mr0ctober]

Welcome back

del ray ATP:
Hurkacz -350 (to win 0.5u)
hurkacz -4 (-112) (to win 0.2u)

Cam Norrie +122 (risk 0.4u)


Hurkacz has improved nicely over last couple years. Think he wins the match against the kid way more than 70%. I have him lined at -670. Still going to tread more lightly than normal. as for norrie price just too good to not back him with his style in this type of match

[Maizey]

I’m on Norrie as well. I think he’ll test the kid’s nerves in long points and long games. That’ll be a stark contrast to the short games and short points Korda saw with Isner.

[Mr0ctober]

I’m on Norrie as well. I think he’ll test the kid’s nerves in long points and long games. That’ll be a stark contrast to the short games and short points Korda saw with Isner.

Precisely!!! Best of luck!

[Mr0ctober]

Del ray ATP:
Hurkacz -350 (to win 0.5u)✅ +0.5
hurkacz -4 (-112) (to win 0.2u)❌ -0.23

Cam Norrie +122 (risk 0.4u)❌ -0.4

Year to date: 77-60 +25.558✅✅

[Mr0ctober]

Tennis 2/4:

Fritz -150/zags money line college hoops (-140) (to win 0.5u)
Hurkacz/76ers money line/zags money line/buy money line (-157) (to win 0.5u)

best of luck will be ramping things up during the Aussie open. Think Hurk mops the floor with Cuevas. And love the matchup for Fritz... if backhand is strong like normal could give chardy real trouble.

[Mr0ctober]

Sorry so late:

teichmann +197 (0.5u)
teichmann +4 games -120 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

2-9:
ATP:
fritz -135 (1u)

WTA
Venus Williams/andreescu/an li money line parlay +118 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Tennis 2/4:

Fritz -150/zags money line college hoops (-140) (to win 0.5u) ❌ -0.7u
Hurkacz/76ers money line/zags money line/buy money line (-157) (to win 0.5u)❌ -0.785

2/8
teichmann +197 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u
teichmann +4 games -120 (0.5u) ❌ -0.6u

ATP:
fritz -135 (1u)✅ +1u

WTA
Venus Williams/andreescu/an li money line parlay +118 (1u)❌ -1u

Year to date: 78-64 +22.973✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/10:
ATP:
Casper Ruud -139 (1u)

WTA:
Parlay: Mertens/Brady/Svitolina -124 (1u)
parlay: Podoroska/Brady (-146) (1u)
Podoroska -175 (1u)

ATP/WTA:
Songeno/Alexandrova (-120) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Add:
WTA: Collins +105 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

2/10:
ATP:
Casper Ruud -139 (1u)

WTA:
Parlay: Mertens/Brady/Svitolina -124 (1u)✅ +1u
parlay: Podoroska/Brady (-146) (1u)❌ -1.46u
Podoroska -175 (1u)❌ -1.75u

ATP/WTA:
Songeno/Alexandrova (-120) (1u)❌ -1.2u
WTA: Collins +105 (1u)❌ -1u

1-4 -4.41u

Year to date: 79-68 +18.563✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/11:
WTA:
Errani +140 (1u)
Kudermetova +188 (0.5u)

ATP:
PMartinez +125 (1u)

parlays
shapovalov/ash Barty (+101) (1u)
Swiatek/raonic/Zverev (-150) (1u)

[Conqueror]

I'm curiously watching this Errani's resurgence.

[Mr0ctober]

I'm curiously watching this Errani's resurgence.

Yeah she went from my fade list and now I’m playing her... assuming her resurgence runs into a brick wall tonight. But had to play her based on price. I’m not running very well at the moment so expecting a loss.

[Conqueror]

Yeah she went from my fade list and now I’m playing her... assuming her resurgence runs into a brick wall tonight. But had to play her based on price. I’m not running very well at the moment so expecting a loss.

I don't know anyone running well right now.

[Conqueror]

We've now gone from "Errani" to "Errorni".
Get it back next time.

[Goat Milk]

Why is shapavolov favored by so much? Allaisame is better isn't he?

[Mr0ctober]

WTA:
Errani +140 (1u)❌ -1u
Kudermetova +188 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u

ATP:
PMartinez +125 (1u)❌ -1u

parlays
shapovalov/ash Barty (+101) (1u) ❌ -1u
Swiatek/raonic/Zverev (-150) (1u)✅ +1u

1-4 -2.5u❌

Year to date: 80-72 +16.063✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/12:
MLP: Pegula/Brady/Medvedev (-140) (1u)
MLP: Kontaveit/Medvedev (-135) (1u)
MLP: Brady/Medvedev/Svitolina (-165) (2u)

best of luck hoping to get a good night but it hasn’t been good.

[Mr0ctober]

2/12:
MLP: Pegula/Brady/Medvedev (-140) (1u)✅ +1u
MLP: Kontaveit/Medvedev (-135) (1u)❌ -1.35u
MLP: Brady/Medvedev/Svitolina (-165) (2u)✅ +2u

2-1 night +1.65u✅

Year to date: 82-73 +17.713✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/13
Didn’t find much

Thiem -4.5 games (-113) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

Theim loser -1.13u

Year to date: 82-74 +16.583✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/14:
Brady/barty parlay (-158) (1u)
Berrettini +310 (1u)
I have this line way off. tsitsipas should be the favorite but him at -400 is absurd IMO. These two last matches have been very competitive... Berrettini winning the most recent. And Berrettini forehand will likely play havoc into Tsits game.. Tsits will likely have to hammer away and force Mateo to the backhand... and I’m not sure he can do that enough tonight.. Tsits can easily win this match (obviously by his -400 price) but I think this line is a gift i love the matchup here and will put down a big play on the +310. Lean to the over as well.

where you at Conq? Am I crazy to think this line is out of control. Be interested to see what he thinks.

best of luck guys.

[Mr0ctober]

2/14:
Brady/barty parlay (-158) (1u)✅ +1u
Berrettini +310 (1u) match cancelled

Year to date: 83-74 +17.583✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/23:
WTA

bencic/Putintseva -131 (to win 1u)