Mr Octobers 2020 Tennis Plays thread

[2Shirts]

Tough one

1/21
RBA -130 (1u)

[mackave]

RBA needs to hang up the shoes, guy looks like a 80 year old women out there

[2Shirts]

He's definitely a cheap whore - didn't take much to change the outcome

[Conqueror]

1/21
RBA -130 (1u)

Thought that was the best value play of the day, especially given the prior H2H record.

[Mr0ctober]

1/24

Monfils +145 (1u)

[Conqueror]

Anything for the boys?

[Mr0ctober]

1/25

sinner/tsitsip over 39 total games (-125) (1.4u)

money line parlay:
medvedev/iga/collins (+104) (0.5u)

[Conqueror]

MrOctober,

Why is Sinner favored over Tsitsipas?

[Mr0ctober]

MrOctober,

Why is Sinner favored over Tsitsipas?

numbers here recently with how good Sinner has been (especially in this tournament). And the fact that Tsitsipas coming off a marathon vs Fritz…Freshness edge and recent form edge. I definitely think there is some value taking the dog here but the marathon match vs Fritz is keeping me off. May jump in live if I see something.

your thoughts?

[pabonaparte]

MrOctober,

Why is Sinner favored over Tsitsipas?

That was very surprising. Market didn't see this beatdown coming

[Mr0ctober]

1/21:
RBA -130 (1u) Loss -1.3u

1/24
Monfils +145 (1u) Loss -1u

1/25

sinner/tsitsip over 39 total games (-125) (1.4u) -1.75u
money line parlay:
medvedev/iga/collins (+104) (0.5u) Win +0.52u

2022 Tennis Record 14-19 -6.494u❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

[Mr0ctober]

Semis:

Iga Swiatek -135 (1.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

just horrible

Iga Swiatek -135 (1.5u)❌ -2.025

2022 Tennis Record 14-20 -8.519❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

[pabonaparte]

A couple Felix matchpoints away from a 6+ match losing streak.

Do you attribute this to luck / variance or things are usually weird early in the season each year for you?

[Conqueror]

numbers here recently with how good Sinner has been (especially in this tournament). And the fact that Tsitsipas coming off a marathon vs Fritz…Freshness edge and recent form edge. I definitely think there is some value taking the dog here but the marathon match vs Fritz is keeping me off. May jump in live if I see something.

your thoughts?

So sorry I didn't get back to you on this.
Everything you mentioned made it a stay-away game for me.

BTW
Your current run is abberational. Don't give in to the naysayers. You bring a lot here. BOL going forward!

[Mr0ctober]

A couple Felix matchpoints away from a 6+ match losing streak.

Do you attribute this to luck / variance or things are usually weird early in the season each year for you?

the Australian open has been weird for me over the years seems to be really good or really bad. But as for this year I attribute some of it to bad luck and negative variance (lost several 5 & 3 setters). But other than that I’m not going to make an excuse Because it has been bad capping and bad predicting. That being said- i hope we get out of this bad run sooner rather than later. Because I do bet this stuff and -8 units and then some is a very awful start. But with good bankroll management and sticking to the process things should turn around. Have been getting some really good closing line value which usually is a good sign but in the end that doesn’t really matter bc winning is what matters.! Hope to get it turned around soon!

[Mr0ctober]

1/27:

Nadal/Medvedev parlay -103 (1u)
Medvedev -1.5 sets -135 (1u)

hope to turn it around guys! Please if your tailing don’t let a bad run lead you to losing discipline and
Not practicing good bankroll management. (Trust me —I’ve been there many moons ago and have lost a lot of money on this tournament so far.) stay with the process and grind it back don’t try to get it all back in one sitting it’s a long year!

[Mr0ctober]

1/27:

Nadal/Medvedev parlay -103 (1u)✅
Medvedev -1.5 sets -135 (1u)✅

2022 Tennis Record 16-20 -6.519❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

[Mr0ctober]

1/28: finals parlay.

medvedev/Barty -119 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/28 adds

Barty -445 (1u)
Barty/Collins under 21 total games (-134) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

1/28 adds

Barty -445 (1u)✅
Barty/Collins under 21 total games (-134) (1u)❌ -1.34u
1-1 night -0.34u❌

2022 Tennis Record 17-21 -6.859❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

[Mr0ctober]

Pending:
medvedev/Barty -119 (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

2022 Tennis Record 17-22 -7.859❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

Cordoba:
Hanfmann -135 (1u)

Took some Griekspoor live -129

[Mr0ctober]

Cordoba:
Hanfmann -135 (1u)Loss -1.35u

BRUTAL START TO
THE YEAR

2022 Tennis Record 17-23 -9.209u❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

[Mr0ctober]

2/2:
Pedro Martinez/Schwartzmen Parlay (-126) (1u)

tread lightly it has been rough!

[Mr0ctober]

2022 Tennis Record 17-24 -10.469u❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅

Simply overvalued how bad Londero was on clay last year. No excuse just bad capping.

[Mr0ctober]

2/3:
Montpellier:
Ymer +4.5 (1u)
Ymer +320 (0.5u)

[Mr0ctober]

2/3 Cordoba:
Garin -120 (1u)

[Conqueror]

2/3:
Montpellier:
Ymer +4.5 (1u)
Ymer +320 (0.5u)

Did you call Monfils before the match?

[Mr0ctober]

Did you call Monfils before the match?

Yeah thought it was a good spot and way too much value on Ymer. First winner in forever if feels like.

[Mr0ctober]

Starting soon:
Taberner +115 (0.5u)

[Conqueror]

2/3 Cordoba:
Garin -120 (1u)

Was Garin injured after the 1st set?
Can't believe he only won 2 games after the 1st set.

[Mr0ctober]

Was Garin injured after the 1st set?
Can't believe he only won 2 games after the 1st set.

Not sure didn’t catch any of the match.

[Mr0ctober]

2/4:
Zverev-1.5 sets (-165) (1u)

[Mr0ctober]

2/3:
Montpellier:
Ymer +4.5 (1u)✅ +1u
Ymer +320 (0.5u)✅+1.6u

2/3 Cordoba:
Garin -120 (1u)-1.2u❌
Taberner +115 (0.5u)❌ -0.5u

2/4:
Zverev-1.5 sets (-165) (1u)✅ +1u

+1.9u✅ Last couple days


2022 Tennis Record 20-26 -8.569u❌
2021 Tennis Record 149-125 +19.775u✅