Stacocakes Wimbledon thread

[Stacocakes]

Here is what I like for day 2:

Stepanek is a -275 but there has been talk that he is injured and was doubtful to even play in Wimbledon. Might be worth looking at his opponent Falla at +249 though I think I am going to pass on this. Have been bitten many times by the "that play is injured" talk out there.

Only bet for tuesday will be Safin -227 over Levine. I know I know that Safin has been in poor form winning just one of his last seven matches.He had some good competition in those matches though to be fair. Safin had a great showing at Wimbledon last year making it to the Semi's versus Roger. I don't think Safin will do that this year but I think he will get by Levine even if he has a couple "safin moments" during the match. Safin has not lost in the first round of wimbledon since 2004. There are some concerns about a possible back injury for Safin but he probably just used that as an excuse to pull out of the grass court tournaments to get ready for wimbledon.

Best of luck tomorrow guys

[Stacocakes]

Great match with Gabashvili and Gonzalez. Ump is overturning almost every line call and both players have one racquet abuse warning each.Great tennis haha

[SBR Lou]

Wozniacki dropped 1st set as a -4500 favorite, but looks like she's recovered.

[Stacocakes]

Crazy match.Wozniacki was actually down a break to in the second set but came back to win
Jankovic on to the second round which is good.She played like complete shit though so I doubt she will go far.
Del Potro is destroying Clement

[Stacocakes]

+546 dog from yesterday Goodall looking good.Up a break in the third set and Llorda is limping around a bit. Hopefully a retirement so I can salvage that bad opening day I had
Gonzalez looked good today.Del Potro cruising. Good start from Roddick. Some of these futures are looking not to bad.

[EaglesPhan36]

You have any thoughts on Youzhny and Ferrero today? My original thought was Youzhny, but he's a -170 favorite now ... value with JCF at +140 in what is essentially a 50-50 match?

[Stacocakes]

Goodall went to a fifth set but lost it in a close match.To bad.That +546 would have been nice

Youzhny/Ferrero opened up at a pick em but money is now piling on youzhny. No real value anymore at -170. I personally think Youzhny will win this match because JCF isn't always into his matches.Since the line on Youzhny has moved that much though its a no play for me.Definate toss up match though because I really wouldn't be surprised if either won

[ZXCVBNM]

Hmm, what do you think about the Youz/Ferrero over? 41 games is a lot, but these guys are definitely 5 setter type of guys..

[Stacocakes]

Very surprised Ferrero won that easily over Youzhny.Youzhny was playing well coming in as well.
I wish I would have known that Safin wasn't going to try today because I could have saved myself some money. How he loses to Levine in four sets I will never know.I think this will be the last time I waste my money on Safin
The futures are looking good so far.The only one to get knocked out in the first round was Blake. Looks as though Federer and the Williams sisters are all getting pounded to win the championship. Federer is now around a -130 favorite to win while the williams sisters are in the mid to high +200's. Seems that the play of Roddick today has moved his price down a bit which is good, same with Del Potro. Tsongas price has drifted out alot though so it seems everyone is jumping ship because it looks as though he will have a matchup with Federer if everything goes as planned.
Quick look ahead to tomorrow's matches shows that for the most part the prices have come down a bit which will be better for betting.Will look at the matches later tonight. Need to get back in the winning ways. First two days have been piss poor.Hopefully one of these futures pays off to make everything better and salvage the tournament.Still early so we will move on

[BobHarvey]

Here is what I like for day 2:

Stepanek is a -275 but there has been talk that he is injured and was doubtful to even play in Wimbledon. Might be worth looking at his opponent Falla at +249 though I think I am going to pass on this. Have been bitten many times by the "that play is injured" talk out there.

Only bet for tuesday will be Safin -227 over Levine. I know I know that Safin has been in poor form winning just one of his last seven matches.He had some good competition in those matches though to be fair. Safin had a great showing at Wimbledon last year making it to the Semi's versus Roger. I don't think Safin will do that this year but I think he will get by Levine even if he has a couple "safin moments" during the match. Safin has not lost in the first round of wimbledon since 2004. There are some concerns about a possible back injury for Safin but he probably just used that as an excuse to pull out of the grass court tournaments to get ready for wimbledon.

Best of luck tomorrow guys

Nice call on Stepanek!

[Stacocakes]

Only one play that I have for tomorrow and that is Haas over Llodra. I'm not going to recommend this play to everyone on the board because Haas is a -340 favorite but Haas is 3-0 lifetime vs Llodra, who is mostly a doubles player, and Haas has been picked by many as there "darkhorse of the tournament". Add to the fact that both have played on monday and tuesday but Haas played two games on tuesday and Llodra played three full sets. There were also times in the match that Llodra looked disinterested and possibly injured. I think if Haas can come out and grab the first set easily and possibly a quick break in the second and Llodra will wave the flags in this one.

Best of luck tomorrow guys

[Stacocakes]

Update for everyone :

Bolelli had to back out today due to an injury so Tsonga advances to the next round.Hes one of my outright bets so I will definately take that

[Stacocakes]

Robredo was a -500 favorite today over Koubek and is currently down 2 sets to love. Very surprising.
Dent is down 2 sets to 1 as well and I believe he was favored in the -600 plus area. Alot of big upsets so far in this tournament. Not upsets as in a top 10 player losing but upsets as in a player being favored at -500 or above losing. Sometimes you just have to take the dog in those situations because the player being favored should never be bet that high. EX. Goodall against Llodra from the other day. Llodra should never be a -600 favorite
Watching hantuchova try to finish off Zheng makes me realize why I don't like to bet womens tennis often. Way to frustrating
Not a good start from Djokovic being broken his first service game. Surely he will wake up though at some point. He is playing Greul after all
If you guys have a chance turn to the sharapova/Dulko match on espn right now.Wow is all I can say. Starting to wonder if I need kleenex to watch this match and no I wouldn't be using it for tears

[Stacocakes]

By the way Maria looking piss poor once again. She was a -500 favorite. Have seen Dulko recently though have a fairly big lead against Serena Williams and then choked the match away. See that happening again today

[Stacocakes]

Hantuchova has had the break in the second set twice and both times she has blown it.Unbelievable. 95% of the women tennis players have no ability to close it out

[Stacocakes]

Hantuchova faced bps again trying to serve it out but ended up finally winning in straight sets. Can't see her doing much in this tournament considering the way she plays under pressure. I'll take this win though. Shes pretty hot to by the way

[SBR Lou]

Yea total WTA matches so far. Hey do you like Rezai for the upset this morning ?

[Stacocakes]

I'm not really that familiar with Rezai. Don't want to steer you wrong haha
All I know is dementieva has been ass the last while so I wouldn't be surprised if she does lose
Dementieva is 4-0 career vs rezai

[Stacocakes]

and here comes the choke for Dulko just like in the williams match. Just wish I put some money on sharapova when she was at +370. Oh well. Dulko is shot

[Stacocakes]

Another big favorite in Dent goes down. -600 something. Poor
Djokovic regrouped.Match should be over soon in straight sets which is good
Fish just finished off Tipsarevic.
Dulko making sharapova work for this win but I still think Sharapova will win the match..... though dulko has 2 bps in the third right now

[Stacocakes]

Djokovic gets through in straight sets to the next round
Sharapova loses as a -500 favorite. Wow. Such a sloppy game from her.Dulko was continually choking left and right but Sharapova kept on making enough unforced errors to give her the match. Didn't see this coming.

[Stacocakes]

Did you guys see Llodra crash into the ball girl and the umpires chair?If you didn't try to find it on youtube or the highlights tonight.You guys will get a good laugh. Hes still in a medical timeout right now so hopefully he finishes this set and then retires from the match haha

[EaglesPhan36]

With Kohlschreiber pushed to 5 sets today by Minar, Federer destroys him in round 3 me thinks. I actually thought Kohly might give Roger a tough match, but not if he plays like this.

[Stacocakes]

Kohl has to make it to the next round first to play fed haha.Anything can happen in that fifth set
Haas goes through but the retirement by Llodra was in the first set so the bets void. Blah.Was hoping he could just finish out the set then retire.
Soderling down a set early again. He was way to overpriced for this tournament

[EaglesPhan36]

Yo Holmes, whaddya think about Hewitt-JMDP? I think Hewitt could trouble him some. I also wish the price was better. Hewitt is only +205 at my book. Still leaning to Hewitt to perhaps use his veteran wiles to frustrate JMDP on his least experienced surface.

[Stacocakes]

Eagles you mentioned a match that has been scaring me since I was looking at del Potro's draw. Hewitt's just one of those guys that feeds off the crowd and never gives up. I also agree that i thought Del Potro's line would be alot higher then it is for this match. I'm hoping that Del Potro wins for my outright bet but i'm not going to put any extra money on the match.
Will be back in a bit with thursdays plays

[Stacocakes]

Only one play for tomorrow:

Gulbis +1100 over Murray. Had to take this play as such a huge dog. Yes I know Gulbis has won 3 of his last 10 matches but he is one of those players that raises his game when he plays the top players on tour. His inconsistancy is what makes him such a big underdog but at +1100 odds I am hoping for the motivated Gulbis to show up.Anything can happen then.Just need murray to get down on himself. Murray has so much pressure on him at Wimbledon that its going to be a long hard road for him.
Was also thinking that Gimeno-traver has a chance against troicki at +523 but I think I will probably pass on that. One big dog is enough today

Best of luck thursday guys

[SBR Lou]

All over Del Potro, GL

[jkrap27]

I'm very pleased to see Ivanovic still in there. only 1 of two top 30 players (the other Serena of course) still advancing towards victory.

AJDE ANA

[Stacocakes]

Forgot to add Juan Carlos Ferrero -213 over Santoro. Both players are past there prime but Santoro is just a player that I have no idea how he wins.He hits a two hand forehand AND backhand.Does all of these weird cut shots and slices.Both have been playing pretty decent to get to this point but I am going to take Juan Carlos in this one since the odds aren't to bad.

[Stacocakes]

Berdych continuing to look good with a straight set win over Paul Henri Mathieu.
Del Potro is having alot of trouble as expected with Hewitt.Just can't seem to convert all of the break points he has got.
Stosur had some troubles with Malek and was even down a break in the third set but she came back nicely
Venus no problems as expected
Roddick should win against Kusnitsyn next but I think the line for Roddick is a bit to big

[EaglesPhan36]

All over Del Potro, GL

Amazing.

[Stacocakes]

Hewitt knocks off Del Potro in straight sets. Wow. There goes one outright. The draw is so open for Hewitt. Plays either Petzschner/zverev which should be an easy match for him.Could even get to the quarters versus Roddick. Hopefully Hewitt doesn't knock out both my guys from the top of that section.Knew there was going to be problems with Hewitt in this match but I still thought Del Potro would have been able to move on

[Stacocakes]

Nice hit if you ended up betting Hewitt there Eaglesphan

[Stacocakes]

Well Juan Carlos Ferrero cashes in but it looks as though Gulbis has given up so 1-1 on the day.Luckily the loss was a dog bet.
Gonzalez is still going and up 2 sets to 1. Hopefully he holds on to win that.