2018 Tennis Thread (and some of 2017) Selections

[Jeff_Black]

Moneyline: Tomaz Belluci @ 2.24 on Pinnacle (-$150)
Moneyline: Ernests Gulbis @ 2.13 on Pinnacle (-$100)
Moneyline: Jeremy Chardy @ 2.24 on Pinnacle (+$124)

YTD: 53 - 67 - 11 (+$13)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Montpellier 250,Open Sud De France, Mens Singles, R1
Richard Gasquet vs Danii Medvedev
Handicap: Richard Gasquet -3 @ 1.847 on Pinnacle
Stake: $350 to profit $296.45

ATP Montpellier 250,Open Sud De France, Mens Singles, R1
Yuichi Sugita vs John Millman
Handicap: Yuichi Sugita +3 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 to profit $247.5

ATP Montpellier 250,Open Sud De France, Mens Singles, R1
Dustin Brown vs Nicolas Mahut
Handicap: Nicolas Mahut -1.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $94.30

[JC1186]

ATP Montpellier 250,Open Sud De France, Mens Singles, R1
Dustin Brown vs Nicolas Mahut
Handicap: Nicolas Mahut -1.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $94.30

Surprised you took a minus handicap on someone who loves winning 7-6 sets. Would have taken the ML for sure at a touch less odds. ;

[JC1186]

Well going with the handicap saved you haha. Assuming you're betting with a bets stand after set 1 bookie.

I got lucky too as fortunately the multi wasn't with Pinnacle, etc.

[Jeff_Black]

Surprised you took a minus handicap on someone who loves winning 7-6 sets. Would have taken the ML for sure at a touch less odds. ;

Would have paid too if I was on the ML, ahhh well.

Handicap: Richard Gasquet -3 @ 1.847 on Pinnacle (+$296.45)
Handicap: Yuichi Sugita +3 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle (+$0)
Handicap: Nicolas Mahut -1.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle (+$0)

YTD: 54 - 67 - 13 (+$399.45)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Montpellier 250,Open Sud De France, Mens Singles, R2
Ricardis Berankis vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Karen Khachanov -2.5 @ 1.892 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $133.8

ATP Sofia 250,Diema Xtra Sofia Open, Mens Singles, R2
Andreas Seppi vs Gilles Muller
Total Games: Over 23.5 Games @ 2.02 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $102

[Honeybadger44]

Hey Jeff, I'd really love to hear why you like Khachanov in this spot? I was kinda leaning the other side

[Jeff_Black]

Hey Jeff, I'd really love to hear why you like Khachanov in this spot? I was kinda leaning the other side

My bad for missing this before, had stuff typed out when I had to go do something else and forgot to finish it!

Handicap: Karen Khachanov -2.5 @ 1.892 on Pinnacle (+$133.8)
Total Games: Over 23.5 Games @ 2.02 on Pinnacle (+$102)

YTD: 56 - 67 - 13 (+$635.25)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Sofia 250,Diema Xtra Sofia Open, Mens Singles, QF
Mirza Basic vs Maximilian Barterer
Handicap: Mirza Basic +2.5 @ 1.97 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 to profit $242.50

ATP Sofia 250,Diema Xtra Sofia Open, Mens Singles, QF
Stan Wawrinka vs Viktor Troicki
Total Score: Over 22.5 Games @ 1.909 on Pinnacle
Stake: $200 to profit $181.80

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Mirza Basic +2.5 @ 1.97 on Pinnacle (+$242.50)
Total Score: Over 22.5 Games @ 1.909 on Pinnacle (-$200)

YTD: 57 - 67 - 13 (+$677.75)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Rotterdam 500, ABN Amro World Tennis Tournament, Mens Singles, R1
Tomas Berdych vs Mischa Zverev
Set Handicap: Tomas Berdych -1.5 Sets @ 1.606 on Pinnacle
Stake: $450 to profit $272.70

[pabonaparte]

I managed to buy Berdych as low as possible, down 2-4 in the first set. Great play!

[alexalexex]

Just from watching the matches today. -300
Favorites that won but looked anything like sharp.

Zverve
del Bonis

Had Berdych -4.5 games. That was a gift from above.

Perhaps value will
Lie with their opponents in the next round.

[Jeff_Black]

It was more of a fade of a horrendously out of form Mischa Zverev who seems to have done squat since his QF from last year in Australia. And after I saw he got done for 'not trying his best' this year and he had already began that path I thought why not. If it wasn't a first round match or earlier in the season I think the odds would have been comfortably less then 1.50

I normally hate playing the ones with less reward but sometimes there are value in those when the odds are set higher then they should be (IMO). Of course lose a few and it's a different story. I don't play them if I don't have a reasonably amount of high confidence in them.

[Jeff_Black]

Set Handicap: Tomas Berdych -1.5 Sets @ 1.606 on Pinnacle (+$272.70)

YTD: 58 - 67 - 13 (+$950.45)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Rotterdam 500, ABN Amro World Tennis Tournament, Mens Singles, R1
Philipp Kohlscriebber vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Karen Khachanov -2.5 @ 1.892 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $133.80

ATP Buenos Aires 250, Argentina Open, Mens Singles, R1
Nicolas Kicker vs Guido Pella
Handicap: Nicolas Kicker +3.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: $100 to profit $99

ATP New York 250, New York Open, Mens Singles, R1
Francis Tiafoe vs Sebastian Korda
Handicap: Francis Tiafoe -4.5 @ 2.05 on Pinnacle
Stake: $200 to profit $210

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Karen Khachanov -2.5 @ 1.892 on Pinnacle (-$150)
Handicap: Francis Tiafoe -4.5 @ 2.05 on Pinnacle (-$200)
Handicap: Nicolas Kicker +3.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle (+99)

YTD: 59 - 69 - 13 (+$699.49)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Buenos Aires 250, Argentina Open, Mens Singles, R2
Dominic Thiem vs Horacio Zeballos
Handicap: Horacio Zeballos +5 @ 1.833 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 to profit $208.25

ATP New York 250, New York Open, Mens Singles, R2
John Isner vs Radu Albot
Handicap: Radu Albot +3.5 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 to profit $217.25

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Horacio Zeballos +5 @ 1.833 on Pinnacle (+$0)
Handicap: Radu Albot +3.5 @ 1.869 on Pinnacle (+$217.25)

YTD: 60 - 69 - 14 (+$916.74)

ATP Buenos Aires 250, Argentina Open, Mens Singles, R2
Fabio Fognini vs Leonard Mayer
Handicap: Leonardo Mayer +2.5 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $140.10

ATP New York 250, New York Open, Mens Singles, R2
Francis Tiafoe vs Dudi Seli
Handicap: Francis Tiafoe -1.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 to profit $225

[toga toga]

Looking forward to your next selections.

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Leonardo Mayer +2.5 @ 1.934 on Pinnacle (+$140.10)
Handicap: Francis Tiafoe -1.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle (+$225)


YTD: 62 - 69 - 14 (+$1281.84)

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Rio De Janeiro 500, Rio Open Presented By Claro, Mens Singles, R1
Dusan Lajovic vs Dominic Thiem
Handicap: Dominic Thiem -5.5 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 for a profit of $245

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Delray Beach 250, Delray Beach Open, R1
Jeremy Chardy vs Juan Martin Del Potro
Handicap: Jeremy Chardy +4.5 @ 1.877 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $131.55

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Dominic Thiem -5.5 @ 1.98 on Pinnacle (+$245)
Handicap: Jeremy Chardy +4.5 @ 1.877 on Pinnacle (-$150)


YTD: 63 - 70 - 14 (+$1 376.84 )

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Marseille 250, Open 13 Provence, Mens Singles, R1
Stefanos Tsitsapis vs Nicolas Mahut
Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsapis -1.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $135

ATP Marseille 250, Open 13 Provence, Mens Singles, R1
Mischa Zverev vs Blaz Kavcic
Handicap: Blaz Kavcic +3.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle
Stake: $350 to profit $346.50

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Blaz Kavcic +3.5 @ 1.99 on Pinnacle (-$350)
Handicap: Stefanos Tsitsapis -1.5 @ 1.90 on Pinnacle (-$150)

YTD: 63 - 72 - 14 (+$876.84 )

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Marseille 250, Open 13 Provence, Mens Singles, R1
Mischa Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Karen Khacanov -3 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $650 to profit $612.92

ATP Rio De Janeiro 500, Rio Open Presented By Claro, Mens Singles, R1
Gastao Elias vs Pablo Cuevas
Handicap: Pablo Cuevas -3.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $350 for a profit of $330.05

[JC1186]

ATP Marseille 250, Open 13 Provence, Mens Singles, R1
Mischa Zverev vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Karen Khacanov -3 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $650 to profit $612.92

Niiice!!

[Jeff_Black]

The plan was to always fade Zverev win or lose, so I'm glad this time around the scoreboard reflected the crappiness he showed in his match against Kavcic. Just had to play a better player (server) for it to happen.

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Karen Khacanov -3 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle ($612.92)
Handicap: Pablo Cuevas -3.5 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle (+$330.05)

YTD: 65 - 72 - 14 (+$1819.81)

ATP Rio De Janeiro 500, Rio Open Presented By Claro, Mens Singles, R2
Fernando Verdasco vs Nicolas Kicker
Total Score: Under 22 @ 1.943 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 for a profit of $141.45

ATP Rio De Janeiro 500, Rio Open Presented By Claro, Mens Singles, R2
Dominic Thiem vs Pablo Andujar
Total Score: Under 18.5 @ 1.952 on Pinnacle
Stake: $250 for a profit of $238

[Wesley]

great day for you, keep up the great work

[Jeff_Black]

great day for you, keep up the great work

Let's hope so.

Just as I say that Andujar retires close to going down a double break

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Marseille 250, Open 13 Provence, Mens Singles, QF
Julien Benneteau vs Karen Khachanov
Handicap: Karen Khacanov -1.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle
Stake: $150 to profit $137.55

ATP Marseille 250, Open 13 Provence, Mens Singles, QF
Filip Krajinovic vs Lucas Pouille
Handicap: Filip Krajinovic +3 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle
Stake: $350 to profit $350

^Was 2.09 and went down, gah! wish I jumped on a bit earlier.

[Jeff_Black]

ATP Delray Beach 250, Delray Beach Open, QF
Francis Tiafoe vs Juan Martin Del Potro
Set Handicap: Juan Martin Del Potro -1.5 Sets @ 1.735 on Pinnacle
Stake: $450 to profit $330.75

[Jeff_Black]

Handicap: Karen Khacanov -1.5 @ 1.917 on Pinnacle (+$137.55)
Handicap: Filip Krajinovic +3 @ 2.00 on Pinnacle (+$0)
Set Handicap: Juan Martin Del Potro -1.5 Sets @ 1.735 on Pinnacle (-$450)

YTD: 66 - 73 - 14 (+$1507.36)