Bankroll Management

[kenz]

J.P. Smith +4.5 @1.95 - 0.5x

[kenz]

Thiem +2 @2.02 - 1x

[kenz]

Vanni +1.5 @1.95 - 0.5x

[kenz]

Sijsling @2.02 - 0.5x

[kenz]

Lajovic +3 @1.98 - 1x

...

[kenz]

J.P. Smith +4.5 @1.95 - 0.5x

Thiem +2 @2.02 - 1x

Vanni +1.5 @1.95 - 0.5x

Sijsling @2.02 - 0.5x

Bank: +10.25 units: +$3075

[sluggy1616]

Bank: +10.25 units: +$3075

You making me rich lol

[kenz]

You making me rich lol

Nice

[frankzig]

any plays for the morning?

[Semper Fidelis]

You making me rich lol

That's what Kenz does man, the ATM of tennis!

Honestly the hardest part (for me at least) is restraining from asking him to force plays, especially when there are several different tourneys going on at the same time! I swear at one point during the Barcelona/Madrid/Rome Masters stretch I nearly morphed into a crackhead begging for plays I was so hungry for action!

But therein lies the true art and talent behind Kenz's capping - he sheds the 'gambler' title when it comes to investing in this sport, and is disciplined enough to only invest in those plays he feels have the best chance of winning. So excited now that it's starting to pick up, which I knew would be the case on the eve of Roland Garros. Excited as hell at the upcoming discussions and watching my bankroll swell ever larger!

Here's to a successful and sure to be entertaining FO - BOL on all your major plays the next few weeks my friend, and thanks again for all you do!

Now give us a winner for tomorrow's finals! Lol jk (not really though, seriously need a good winner to close a couple parlays, ha!)

[kenz]

That's what Kenz does man, the ATM of tennis!

Honestly the hardest part (for me at least) is restraining from asking him to force plays, especially when there are several different tourneys going on at the same time! I swear at one point during the Barcelona/Madrid/Rome Masters stretch I nearly morphed into a crackhead begging for plays I was so hungry for action!

But therein lies the true art and talent behind Kenz's capping - he sheds the 'gambler' title when it comes to investing in this sport, and is disciplined enough to only invest in those plays he feels have the best chance of winning. So excited now that it's starting to pick up, which I knew would be the case on the eve of Roland Garros. Excited as hell at the upcoming discussions and watching my bankroll swell ever larger!

Here's to a successful and sure to be entertaining FO - BOL on all your major plays the next few weeks my friend, and thanks again for all you do!

Now give us a winner for tomorrow's finals! Lol jk (not really though, seriously need a good winner to close a couple parlays, ha!)

Semper my brother, these posts pump me up more than winning bets. Very nice words to hear, thanks

I had a bad start maybe down 7 units but now I am up 10. I changed my approach a bit, abandoned overs and futures and the most I am trying to pay attention is to be cautious. I try not to get influenced by other posts, try to zone in for the games that I like, and dont care about what the public plays. I try not to overthink about the games that I wont make a play, when I overthink a game that I dont necessarily like, I may force myself to make a play as I invested my time and effort on it.

I dont like the finals on Nice and Geneva so no play for me. I have no idea why Bellucci is so juiced but I had the same idea yesterday and he cruised. Bookies should know better than me on that game. I dont play WTA so no plays for me today.

One thing is I dont know what the hell Lorenzi is doing in Turkey 2 days before Roland Garros. I know Boutillier has a good serve and some potential as a player. If Lorenzi gets smarter than he was 1 or 2 days ago and understands he needs to be in Paris ASAP, Boutillier can win. Possible tanking game. If I had a gun on my head to make a play today, it would be Boutillier +3 @1.90 - 0.5x.

[kenz]

Boutillier +3 @1.90 - 0.5x

[kenz]

http://m.atpworldtour.com/News/Tennis/2015/05/20/Lorenzi-300-Challenger--Wins-Tribute.aspx

Lorenzi had his 300th Win on challenger circuit, 3rd guy with most wins. They had a cake for him yesterday. Now yen hsun Lu has 301 Wins and Lorenzi can pass him if he wins here but I dont think he needs to hurry Lu is not healthy lately and Lorenzi will play Gilles Muller in RG in 2-3 days with a long fly included. Another perspective is Lu is 2 years younger and plays a lot of challengers, if he gets healthy he should pass Lorenzi in the end somehow

[fitguy67]

for those with more tolerance for volatility wanting to play the same basic angle as Kenz lays out above, the money line makes sense too...namely,

boutillier@2.41/+141 (vs. lorenzi@1.602/-166)

if lorenzi's smart, if boutillier is playing well enough to make him work hard (which is required for Kenz games-hc bet to win)...then winning this Challenger-level battle and locking in another 24 hours in Turkey required to play the final...would hurt lorenzi's prospects in the much-bigger RG war...so consciously or subconsciously the "self-sabotatge" angle here makes as much (perhaps even more) sense if played in the stronger ML form

[kenz]

Paul-Henri Matthieu +10 @1.89 - 1x

[sluggy1616]

you have any thoughts on Illahan +9.5 with stan the mental midget?

I think Stan is in a really bad place mentally and I actually could see him tanking the match if marcel puts up resistance.

So I'm thinking bet on 9.5 and a qtr of the proceeds on the money line.

[sluggy1616]

Last question: Coric is a slight dog to queer dick. Doesn't make alot of sense to me. Beaver boy has been folding the tent recently where Coric seems to be quite the fighter. What do you think here?

[kenz]

you have any thoughts on Illahan +9.5 with stan the mental midget?

I think Stan is in a really bad place mentally and I actually could see him tanking the match if marcel puts up resistance.

So I'm thinking bet on 9.5 and a qtr of the proceeds on the money line.

Nobet for me, believe me Marsel is soo much of a mental midget and not a good clay courter, not patient, cant win long rallies. The line is huge though so it is up to you.

One thing is sure Marsel wont win

[kenz]

Last question: Coric is a slight dog to queer dick. Doesn't make alot of sense to me. Beaver boy has been folding the tent recently where Coric seems to be quite the fighter. What do you think here?

Coric might deserve a bet here, I stay away from Queer in most cases, this is one of them. Coric might have some value though, and people would not surprise with a 3-1 Coric win, Queer to unstable for me to read

[sluggy1616]

Coric might deserve a bet here, I stay away from Queer in most cases, this is one of them. Coric might have some value though, and people would not surprise with a 3-1 Coric win, Queer to unstable for me to read

Appreciate it. No bets for me then.

KEEP POSING THEM HIGH PROBABILITY PLAYS!!!

[kenz]

Quentin Halys +11.5 @2.01 - 0.5x

[kenz]

Seppi +4.5 @1.90 - 1x

[beefcake]

Well looks like mathieu blew it.But when youre hot you get pushes and not losses.I saw that seppi line and thought what the hell.Having ya on it only cements it.

[kenz]

Well looks like mathieu blew it.But when youre hot you get pushes and not losses.I saw that seppi line and thought what the hell.Having ya on it only cements it.

Matthieu blew a 40-30 on set 2 5-6 and a 30-0 on the 2nd game on 3rd set. I thought at worst it would be a push. I like backing Wild Cards

Seppi needs to win a set or hold his serves. One thing is he only played 1 clay game this season in contrast to previosu years and Isner having his best clay season, maybe that explains the line, which I still think value on Seppi. Seppi never lost on first round in years, he should keep this close

[kenz]

Vanni +3 @2 - 1x

[kenz]

Pouille 1st set +1.5 games @2.01 - 0.5x

[kenz]

Matosevic +7 @2.01 - 0.5x

I am aware of his form BTW

[matt1216]

Matosevic +7 @2.01 - 0.5x

I am aware of his form BTW

This one stuck out to me as well, knowing Bellucci he's not as good on the slower clay.

Good of luck tomorrow, Kenz

[kenz]

This one stuck out to me as well, knowing Bellucci he's not as good on the slower clay.

Good of luck tomorrow, Kenz

Hopefully matt,

Matosevic's form is horrible, thats a question mark. BOL today

[kenz]

Nieminen +10.5 @2.10 - 1x

[kenz]

^If I lose this will I take 1-2 days off to calm down. It was 2-5 Nole serving on 2nd set. Since then Nieminen lost a serve for set from 30-0, next serve from 40-0, another serve from 30-0. Also blew a 15-40 on Nole's serve

[kenz]

What a crazy game, Vamos

[kenz]

Thiem @1.99 - 0.5x

[kenz]

Gael Monfils @1.47 - 8x

[kenz]

Gael Monfils @1.47 - 8x

Gael Monfils @1.46 - 2x

Total: 10x