Bankroll Management

[kenz]

I had a 21-match "under" experiment which did not go well, lost all my positive units and now find it hard to go back there. I want to post picks in one single thread. Will be more disciplined and serious.

1 unit is $300

Wawrinka - Monaco
Wawrinka ML @1.48 -1u @Pinnacle

Fognini - Dimitrov
Fognini +3 @1.96 - 1u @Pinnacle

[Vinnie Paz]

Do you risk 1 unit? Ex 1 unit staked on Stan 1.48 to win whatever ....or do you bet to win the unit

I know many non-pigs are accustomed to risking unit to win rather than betting paying full juice to win the unit

[kenz]

I risk 1 unit

[Honeybadger44]

Good luck Kenz!

[kenz]

Wawrinka - Dimitrov
Wawrinka ML @1.58 -2u @Marathonbet

[kenz]

Good luck Kenz!

Thanks Honeybadger, BOL in your plays

[Vinnie Paz]

Hmm Was thinking about taking a shot with dimitrov. Feel like Stan should be a bigger favourite too

[tsimmns]

30 dollar bet on all the favorites would have netted. You a nice pay day. Woke up late or would have, just put 5 on the late action and if Joka. Wins tomorrow it's a 40 dollar pay day.

[sluggy1616]

Wawrinka - Dimitrov
Wawrinka ML @1.58 -2u @Marathonbet

good luck!! tough odds imo for this matchup

[GoBlue77]

added you to the long list on here that swears THIS time they will be more disciplined lol

keep creating a new thread, sooner or later one of them has to turn a profit.

[Semper Fidelis]

added you to the long list on here that swears THIS time they will be more disciplined lol

keep creating a new thread, sooner or later one of them has to turn a profit.

If you actually paid any attention to this subforum you'd already know that Kenz is arguably the sharpest tennis guy on this forum. Go ahead and peruse some of his past threads and see for yourself he's already a proven winner that turns consistent profits.

On second thought, perhaps you should spend less time trolling other treads with negativity and bashing, and direct more time following threads like these or actually contributing constructive criticism/discussion. Hell, who knows? Sooner or later you might just learn a thing or two about how to make winning picks and start turning a profit yourself!

[AceAce]

If you actually paid any attention to this subforum you'd already know that Kenz is arguably the sharpest tennis guy on this forum. Go ahead and peruse some of his past threads and see for yourself he's already a proven winner that turns consistent profits.

On second thought, perhaps you should spend less time trolling other treads with negativity and bashing, and direct more time following threads like these or actually contributing constructive criticism/discussion. Hell, who knows? Sooner or later you might just learn a thing or two about how to make winning picks and start turning a profit yourself!

Seconded. Kenz is the man

[kenz]

If you actually paid any attention to this subforum you'd already know that Kenz is arguably the sharpest tennis guy on this forum. Go ahead and peruse some of his past threads and see for yourself he's already a proven winner that turns consistent profits.

On second thought, perhaps you should spend less time trolling other treads with negativity and bashing, and direct more time following threads like these or actually contributing constructive criticism/discussion. Hell, who knows? Sooner or later you might just learn a thing or two about how to make winning picks and start turning a profit yourself!

Thanks Semper! This made me emotional I will try to keep up with what you wrote here Ignore the troll, I am yet to see anything positive by him for anyone

Seconded. Kenz is the man

Thanks my brother

[kenz]

Hmm Was thinking about taking a shot with dimitrov. Feel like Stan should be a bigger favourite too

good luck!! tough odds imo for this matchup

Watched both of them by bare eyes. I think Wawrinka has some of the most skills of anyone lived in the planet. I was in year-end championships in London, Wawrinka-Djokovic game began and I could not believe how Nole even won a match against Wawrinka as my friends also thought the same. The guy is from another planet when he is on. Then he got upset about something that we dont know and began to hit balls out but not by a 5-10 centimeters but threw the balls to audience.

Dimitrov is soft to the eye, a lot of talent but the guy plays softer. You dont see power in his shots in most cases. On grass I would back Dimitrov, but on clay and concrete Wawrinka is the better player.

Now Dimitrov cant make Wawrinka lose his mind/shots and Dimitrov is softer on shots than Wawrinka. His BH is overrated, it is nice to watch, the precision is generally there on his good days, but nowhere as lethal as Wawrinka's. Wawrinka is bigger on Forehand too. Dimitrov could not beat Ferrer here but Wawrinka beat Federer twice (who is a 4 time champ) and Ferrer pretty easily. "Fiasco" did not try any winners or took any risks in the first game and Trollini was very disinterested.

Of course, I might be wrong but I like Stanimal today

I will probably be offline during the game and I dont want to bother with hcps in this matchup. If I was online I would also wait for Wawrinka odds to rise.

[JohnnyRudeboy]

GL Kenz and thanks for the insight!

[kenz]

Ferrer 2-0 @1.60 -2u @Tempobet

Of 8 games Simon lost in Monte Carlo in his career, he got swept in 7 of them
Since 2007 Ferrer won 18 games here all were 2-0, remaining were losses

My pick for the winner is Ferrer today

I had Ferrer -4.5 @2.28 on slow concrete in Miami and won. I was going to take spread but -5 is now @1.90ish. Either I was going to take a unit on -5 @1.90 or 2 units 2-0 @1.60. Seeing the 2-0 trends I am taking a shot with Ferrer 2-0 2 units.

[kenz]

Stan not caring at all, throwing easy balls outside

[kenz]

Bautista-Agut +1.5 sets @1.83 -1u @Pinnacle

[kenz]

Ferrer 1st @3 - 1u
Ferrer 2nd @2.80 - 1u
Ferrer ML @3.41 - 1u
Ferrer +3.5 @2.09 - 1u
Ferrer +1.5 sets @1.80 - 1u

Cilic +1.5 sets @4.43 - 1u

[kenz]

Gotta turn this somewhere

Nole ML @1.46 - 10u

Nole -3.5 @2.03 -1u

LaMonf ML @2.01 -2u

[Semper Fidelis]

Gotta turn this somewhere

Nole ML @1.46 - 10u

Nole -3.5 @2.03 -1u

LaMonf ML @2.01 -2u

Great job turning it around today buddy! I was pretty large on Joker myself, and was too nervous to allow myself to watch the match! Really thought Monfils would show up today, but once again he chokes (or either Birdman was that good today).

Thinking the only play for tomorrow is another wager on Joker of course, but what kind? Thinking spread or 2-0 set score, but it's possible Birdy could keep it closer, especially if Joker starts of slow.

[kenz]

Great job turning it around today buddy! I was pretty large on Joker myself, and was too nervous to allow myself to watch the match! Really thought Monfils would show up today, but once again he chokes (or either Birdman was that good today).

Thinking the only play for tomorrow is another wager on Joker of course, but what kind? Thinking spread or 2-0 set score, but it's possible Birdy could keep it closer, especially if Joker starts of slow.

Happy to see you won big on Nole vs Nadal Semper. I skipped the final, did not have a bet, hope you cashed your bet BOL buddy

[kenz]

Nadal to win Barca @2.1 - 2 units

I wont be online on every Nadal game to back him with better odds. He is 42-2 here and he hanged with everyone except Nole last week. This week Ferrer-Almagro-Nishikori are all inferior to nadal on clay. He will be hungry from both last week and last year

[kenz]

Tipsarevic ML @1.63 - 5 units @tempobet

I have to take this when it is @1.45 on Pinnacle. Hope you show up Serbian crap

[Semper Fidelis]

Thanks for the easy money on Tipsy there Kenz! It was also easy money betting on Simon to dismantle him the very next round! Lol

Not much else standing out for you in this tourney or in Barca over the weekend? I wish I had your patient discipline with only making spot plays and managing my bankroll accordingly. I get too carried away at times and make wagers even though deep down I know it may not be the best play! Lol

Thanks again for all you to for this forum my friend!

[kenz]

Nieminen - Marsel over 22.5 @2 - 2x

Marsel has played vs Wawrinka and Nole in his career and really wants to play vs Federer and nadal. If he wins today he will play Federer, who is on 2nd round automatically. He may start with great serves and game on the first set and Jarkko is a slow starter but being an emotinal guy I think he will begin to feel the stress and Jarkko can force him into extra shots. Marsel is not a great returner too, his BH is his achilles heel. I expect a fired-up Istanbul resident Marsel to play very motivated to win and also expect him to be a bit stressfull/experienced Jarkko also putting up a solid fight.

For the winner with current odds I think Jarkko has the value, I may play him too but not sure

[kenz]

Thanks for the easy money on Tipsy there Kenz! It was also easy money betting on Simon to dismantle him the very next round! Lol

Not much else standing out for you in this tourney or in Barca over the weekend? I wish I had your patient discipline with only making spot plays and managing my bankroll accordingly. I get too carried away at times and make wagers even though deep down I know it may not be the best play! Lol

Thanks again for all you to for this forum my friend!

I was thinking about Simon games won over 12.5 @2.05 as Tipsa does not look too bad lately but skipped it, wished I played it. Congrats on your win

BOL in your plays Semper

[kenz]

Cuevas +4.5 @2.15 - 4x
Cuevas ML @5.20 - 1x
Cuevas 1st @4- 1x

[ManeOnFire]

Why so serious?... on Cuevas

[kenz]

Why so serious?... on Cuevas

I expected a close game. Did not watch the game BTW

[Hardcoar]

The quality was extremely uneven, and it was one of the chokier tiebreaks in the history of Chardy.

[kenz]

Murray +1.5 sets @1.90 - 2x

[sluggy1616]

Murray +1.5 sets @1.90 - 2x

Nice play

[kenz]

Nadal -7 @1.89 - 4x

[kenz]

Vamos