Kenz's Tennis

[kenz]

$500 on Raonic +1.5 sets @1.42 @unibet

[kenz]

good work kenz when he blew that 1st match point i was like no f'ing way but he pulled it out

Odds made me nervous, it was 6-7 on Nieminen's serve and Agut was @1.40. I did not like Agut's odds in the tiebreak when he was 1 mini ahead too. But he finally closed the match.

[kenz]

Very nice call on Agut once again Kenz!

Thanks man

[bstatz23]

Congrats on the Gulbis +1.5 pick! O 22.5 with a good shot as long as this 3rd set is any bit more competitive than the first 2.

[kenz]

$300 on Gulbis +1.5 sets @1.47 @Pinnacle
$150 on Gulbis - Dimitrov over 22.5 @1.75 @Pinnacle

+$141
+$112.5
=$253.5

[kenz]

Congrats on the Gulbis +1.5 pick! O 22.5 with a good shot as long as this 3rd set is any bit more competitive than the first 2.

Thanks man

[kenz]

Onto Isner

[charley365]

Outstanding kenz!!
GL with Isner now

[kenz]

Outstanding kenz!!
GL with Isner now

Thanks bro Prices rose a few hours ago but now they are even lower than our first price, nice to see that after the initial rise

If Isner serves very good, we will win

[conferi]

Great stuff man. It's much appreciated. Keep up the amazing work.

[illadelphia215]

+$141
+$112.5
=$253.5

Damn dude, your f*cken killing it right now. Fire, Flame, Flamethrower. I wish I would of got a chance to look at my phone at work today to tail ur plays and get on 5dimes, but I was too busy doing curbs and sidewalks, and had a late day. Got home, and the only thing left on the board is Big John and Benneteau/Thiem. I also don't tail ur chalk plays, but that's partly because I don't have a big bankroll and my bets are usually only $25-$75, so I usually roll with parlays in tennis. Anyway, Keep em coming, and best of luck.

[illadelphia215]

I gotta get some tennis action in though so the match is more interesting, looks like a Isner/Minnesota Wild parlay or Isner/Wild/Gonzaga (doubtful cuz I don't trust the Zags this year). Best of luck to all.

[kenz]

Great stuff man. It's much appreciated. Keep up the amazing work.

Damn dude, your f*cken killing it right now. Fire, Flame, Flamethrower. I wish I would of got a chance to look at my phone at work today to tail ur plays and get on 5dimes, but I was too busy doing curbs and sidewalks, and had a late day. Got home, and the only thing left on the board is Big John and Benneteau/Thiem. I also don't tail ur chalk plays, but that's partly because I don't have a big bankroll and my bets are usually only $25-$75, so I usually roll with parlays in tennis. Anyway, Keep em coming, and best of luck.

Thanks guys, positive comments are appreciated much, gives me a boost to kill it another day

[kenz]

I think I am gonna buy Gulbis +1.5 sets @1.47 or over 22.5 @1.75 both from Pinnacle

1. 25/25 100% first serve points from Gulbis against Joao Sousa, unreal
2. Last year eliminated in 4th round to Nadal when he could beat. Now Nadal gone, he should be more motivated.
3. In Acapulco the roles were different, Gulbis came from a championship Dİmitrov was hungry. Now Dİmitrov is coming from a championship, Gulbis is hungry.

But Dİmitrov is no slouch too. I really like his style, he uses every inch of a court, he serves well and returns well, he knows to be a winner lately

I think we should avoid to take a ML side and go for over 22.5 or Gulbis +1.5 sets here

We took the right bets

[kenz]

I gotta get some tennis action in though so the match is more interesting, looks like a Isner/Minnesota Wild parlay or Isner/Wild/Gonzaga (doubtful cuz I don't trust the Zags this year). Best of luck to all.

I used to bet on soccer and basketball too, but since switching only betting tennis, for last 6-7 weeks, I really began to make money.

I think specializing in 1 sport, giving your entire betting time to it, is the ideal.

BOL in your plays

[charley365]

Ya i noticed the price came back down, hope its a good sign.
I saw yen-hsun lu play karlovic in memphis and he retired
but donno was he injured or was it because he could not deal with the powerful serve.
He could not get near it... So maybe more the same tonight!!
Hopefully. Come on big john!!

[kenz]

Ya i noticed the price came back down, hope its a good sign.
I saw yen-hsun lu play karlovic in memphis and he retired
but donno was he injured or was it because he could not deal with the powerful serve.
He could not get near it... So maybe more the same tonight!!
Hopefully. Come on big john!!

Lu was injured in Memphis. But he is killing this week though, cruising opponents

But

He never beat a big serve in outdoor hard in his career. This is US soil where Isner gears it up. If he serves the way he served against Davydenko (95% first serve points won, 70% second serve points won, 15 aces and did not face a break point) we are ok.

But somehow I feel Lu will give us some trouble

[charley365]

Should be a interesting match, a good watch.
You called gulbis to win also kenz!
Thanks for the analysis on that, it was spot on, played him in-play.
Cheers

[professionalAD]

glad we both cashed on gulbis over bro. i had 23.5, was shakin in my boots but got that W

[fitguy67]

gotta chek in and post at least once to pik up my daily points...only right it be to the source of 3 winnazzz so far...

and go Isner...fatten the bankroll of those of us not scared off by a bit of well-worth-it chalk!

had to wait a while for Pinny to hang Raonic +1.5sets handicap...price softened a bit from the 1.42 (-238) you posted a few hours ago to 1.48 (-206), but it's well documented that line movement in tennis is basically meaningless..."late money does not mean smart money"...so rather than look at things suspiciously, i say "thanks for the bargain"...

thanks Kenz! go Isner...go Raonic!

[sluggy1616]

Hi Kenz,

You have any thoughts on feds-haas? Haas was not too solid on his serve against Kei, but Fed had some trouble with Tursorov and also played 2 tie breaker sets of doubles yesterday. I'd be inclined to think the match might go over since feds might be tired playing doubles also, but would love to get your thoughts?

[kenz]

$1000 on John Isner ML @1.42 @Pinnacle

+$420

[kenz]

11/03/2014 Total: $288+$253.5+$420=+$961,50

After 15th consecutive green day of 15 days of recording,

2 bets pending

Began recording: 25/02/2014
Total Won: $11,749.70
Total Lost: $1,650
Total Profit: +$10,099.70

Total Wager: $24,450
Return of Investment: +41.31%

[therealdealau]

Wow, that is very impressive Kenz. Keep it up.

[kenz]

Should be a interesting match, a good watch.
You called gulbis to win also kenz!
Thanks for the analysis on that, it was spot on, played him in-play.
Cheers

No problem bro, have a nice day

glad we both cashed on gulbis over bro. i had 23.5, was shakin in my boots but got that W

Was the more logical bet, and it turned out also as a winner

[kenz]

gotta chek in and post at least once to pik up my daily points...only right it be to the source of 3 winnazzz so far...

and go Isner...fatten the bankroll of those of us not scared off by a bit of well-worth-it chalk!

had to wait a while for Pinny to hang Raonic +1.5sets handicap...price softened a bit from the 1.42 (-238) you posted a few hours ago to 1.48 (-206), but it's well documented that line movement in tennis is basically meaningless..."late money does not mean smart money"...so rather than look at things suspiciously, i say "thanks for the bargain"...

thanks Kenz! go Isner...go Raonic!

Thanks fitguy

Waited for so long for Pinny, since yesterday morning, finally could not resist more

[kenz]

Hi Kenz,

You have any thoughts on feds-haas? Haas was not too solid on his serve against Kei, but Fed had some trouble with Tursorov and also played 2 tie breaker sets of doubles yesterday. I'd be inclined to think the match might go over since feds might be tired playing doubles also, but would love to get your thoughts?

I am skipping this 100%. I think Federer wins this but your over lean looks good.

BOL

[freshguy222]

thinking of tailing, but laying juice is usually not my thing. However, most of your plays seem to cover. You think it would be profitable t play spreads and set spreads on your plays as well?

[kenz]

Wow, that is very impressive Kenz. Keep it up.

Thanks man, lets kill it another day

[kenz]

thinking of tailing, but laying juice is usually not my thing. However, most of your plays seem to cover. You think it would be profitable t play spreads and set spreads on your plays as well?

I feel it will be profitable but I like the way I bet. Why fix something which works well? When spreads come into play, they play with my mind. Figuring out the stakes is harder. And I dont enjoy watching a game or following the score.

My priorities
1. Enjoy whatever you do, betting in this case
2. Make money

But since I go for more obvious wins, to win with lesk risk involved, my picks usually cover. It is your decision if you want to play spreads.

BOL

[kenz]

8 reasons to buy $500 on Raonic +1.5 sets @1.42

1. Raonic is underrated in groundstrokes in concrete. He really is. He is not the best, but he is not bad.
2. Murray adopted a defensive style of play lately, which does not cope well with him. His best results came when he was agrressive on the court. But somehow, maybe after his back injury he lost some confidenece, he is way to passive gives many opportunities for his opponent to make winners. Raonic has serve and FH power.
3. Murray is not as succesful in Masters as Nadal, Djokovic, Federer. Grand Slams is pretty much the only place where he seems to care playing good, historically he is not really interested in Masters.
4. Ignoring 2 walkovers, Raonic leads H2H 2-1. Murray's win came with a 3-0 victory in US Open, where he played aggressive and won his first Grand Slam and it was a Grand Slam(See number 3)
5. Murray has just one 2-0 set score in his last 8 matches against Joao Sousa who does not serve well, does not have Forehand power, generally a mediocre player.
6. Price change: Murray ML opening @1.50ish now @1.75ish
7. Raonic serves well this week, but Murray is broken 3 times to Rosol and 6 times to Vesely, looks bad.
8. Raonic is way better than Rosol and Vesely

[kenz]

$1000 on Isner ML @1.48 @Marathonbet

Nando did not beat a big serve in outdoorhard last 3 years.

Isner sends Patriot missiles this week

[fitguy67]

3 plays on the front burner for today, Wednesday, March 12 (tentative starts are EasternTimeZone)

1400. Raonic +1.5 sets (v. Murray), posted at 1.42/-238.10
(for late shoppers: now a bit cheaper generally)

1700. Isner (v. Verdasco), posted at 1.48/-208.33
(for late shoppers: now a bit cheaper generally)

1730. Wawrinka (v. Anderson), posted at 1.22/-454.55
(for late shoppers: now a bit more expensive generally)

______________

did I miss anything?

[Robin Van Rogan]

Is Not Murray in 2 Sets the same play as Raonic +1.5 sets?

I guess so, but I'm new to tennis betting, and 5Dimes doesn't have set handicap lines.

[kenz]

3 plays on the front burner for today, Wednesday, March 12 (tentative starts are EasternTimeZone)

1400. Raonic +1.5 sets (v. Murray), posted at 1.42/-238.10
(for late shoppers: now a bit cheaper generally)

1700. Isner (v. Verdasco), posted at 1.48/-208.33
(for late shoppers: now a bit cheaper generally)

1730. Wawrinka (v. Anderson), posted at 1.22/-454.55
(for late shoppers: now a bit more expensive generally)

______________

did I miss anything?

None fitguy, very neat summary. Thanks But Wawrinka is cheaper too

I would add the stake/confidence

1. %2 of my Bankroll

2. %4 of my Bankroll

3. %6 of my Bankroll ( I never go heavier than this)