Kenz's Tennis

[kenz]

$1500 on Raonic ML @1.57 @bwin

+$855

[kenz]

Day Total: +375- $300 -$175 -$300 +$855 = +$455

Total: +$10,369.95

[kenz]

Rookie mistake:

I was very confident on my winning bets so since this would be a winning day I also had plays that I thought would hit but would never play if they were the only games of the day. In the long run these extra plays add up to quite a big sum.

[kenz]

Hey kenz, do you think Kyrgios +1.5 cashes?

Is paying nicely right now.

I am on Raonic. I think +2.5 should cash, not sure about +1.5

Hope you took +2.5 sets

[kenz]

$500 on Raonic - Federer over 42.5 @1.90 marathonbet

[kenz]

$200 on Raonic +1.5 sets @2.30

[kenz]

$200 on Raonic +4 @1.90

[kenz]

$100 on Raonic ML @3.50

[matt1216]

kenz, just to let you know the starting ML for Halep is exactly the same as the starting ML for Bouchard over Kerber this morning. Lisicki ownd halep out of the gate this morning with her winners.... as soon as her shoulder started to fatigue, there was nothing she could do.

[kenz]

Thanks matt but I dont want Wta bullshit tomorrow. I had 2 plays last 2 days. I need some time off

[baconbets]

raonic = roddick. big serve, good forehand, no backhand.

feds has too many tools in the box to lose to guys that cant swat big off of both wings. whereas guys like tsonga, berdych and delpo have, at times, bashed fed off the court, raonic doesnt have the same symmetry. this is why fed dusted roddick over and over. at a certain point, it isnt just a player quality comparison, its a style mismatch. same reason fed cant beat nadal; nadal just goes to his backhand. style mismatch.

[matt1216]

I have the feeling this maybe destiny for Federer.... Raonic to take a set though

[matt1216]

Thanks matt but I dont want Wta bullshit tomorrow. I had 2 plays last 2 days. I need some time off

Fair enough man

[kenz]

Raonic has a backhand, not that bad. But forehand is ridiculous

His main shortcoming is his net approaching

[kenz]

$500 on Raonic - Federer over 42.5 @1.90 marathonbet

$250 more on over 42.5 @1.90

Total: $750

[kenz]

Day off will help federer I guess

I am content with 7-6 6-7 7-6 6-4 federer win but I think Raonic can steal 2 sets

If he was good on net his chances would increase exponentially

[kenz]

raonic = roddick. big serve, good forehand, no backhand.

feds has too many tools in the box to lose to guys that cant swat big off of both wings. whereas guys like tsonga, berdych and delpo have, at times, bashed fed off the court, raonic doesnt have the same symmetry. this is why fed dusted roddick over and over. at a certain point, it isnt just a player quality comparison, its a style mismatch. same reason fed cant beat nadal; nadal just goes to his backhand. style mismatch.

Raonic of 2014 has symmetry and power he was damn close to beating Novak on clay, his worst surface

[matt1216]

Day off will help federer I guess

I am content with 7-6 6-7 7-6 6-4 federer win but I think Raonic can steal 2 sets

If he was good on net his chances would increase exponentially

we will defnately keep a eye on the odds....I honestly have no clue how this will go down....I may just hammer over 3.5 sets

[cryptocap]

^ yeah...cant see raonic playing fed off the court but he may very well hold serve till the end...rogers first serve has deserted at times but his 2nd serve really came through last match...he also has to tools to break on the roll...over games and set spread are my initial plays heading into friday

[kenz]

$150 on Kvitova games won over 12.5 @1.76 Marathonbet

[kenz]

^Looks like a winner

$100 on Halep - Bouchard over 22 @1.83

Both have a good shot at winnig their first Slam. Should not be a short game

[Simon Gruber]

^Looks like a winner

$100 on Halep - Bouchard over 22 @1.83

Both have a good shot at winnig their first Slam. Should not be a short game

I don't see Kvitova beating either of them.

[kenz]

I don't see Kvitova beating either of them.

Me too. Kvitova is fragile against tough opponents. But over might be a good play too whoever comes to final

[baconbets]

i dont see why people like over 22.5 games. to hit that, you basically need a tie break, as a 7-5 6-4 match would still hit the under. even with a tiebreak, a 7-6 6-3 also hits the under. meanwhile, "yes tiebreak" is +275 and over 2.5 sets is +120, which is a better payout than the -115 that over 22.5 is paying.

[kenz]

$150 on Kvitova games won over 12.5 @1.76 Marathonbet

+$114

[kenz]

i dont see why people like over 22.5 games. to hit that, you basically need a tie break, as a 7-5 6-4 match would still hit the under. even with a tiebreak, a 7-6 6-3 also hits the under. meanwhile, "yes tiebreak" is +275 and over 2.5 sets is +120, which is a better payout than the -115 that over 22.5 is paying.

I am on over 22, big difference. I dont like over bets at all though

[kenz]

^Looks like a winner

$100 on Halep - Bouchard over 22 @1.83

Both have a good shot at winnig their first Slam. Should not be a short game

-$100

[kenz]

Day Total: $114 - $100 = +$14

Total: +$10,383.95

[kenz]

Fingers crossed for Raonic tomorrow, the guy can beat Federer if he does not have a meltdown.

Raonic can win Wimbledon this year, Novak and Dimitrov are beatable guys for Raonic on grass. If he can pass Federer, he can write history.

[cryptocap]

this has been the year of Djoker-Fed Matchups...Dubai, Indian Wells, Monte-Carlo...and now the Wimbledon Final

[kenz]

If all other bets cash, I can live with ML bet lost.

[ghislaine]

Yo Kenz Very very excited on the Raonic match today ! All the big names have somehow under performed, Shara, Serena, Nadal... Andy... Thanks so much for Your picks and insight ! You have got me glued to the screen this Wimbledon for Your write-ups and picks that keep cashing. Many many thanks

[kenz]

Yo Kenz Very very excited on the Raonic match today ! All the big names have somehow under performed, Shara, Serena, Nadal... Andy... Thanks so much for Your picks and insight ! You have got me glued to the screen this Wimbledon for Your write-ups and picks that keep cashing. Many many thanks

Thanks Ghislaine Really glad to read your positive comments. Enjoy your winnings my friend

[kenz]

$50 on Raonic to win 1st set 7-6 @4
$50 on Raonic - Federer tiebreak first set @2.10

[kenz]

$500 on Raonic - Federer over 42.5 @1.90 marathonbet

$200 on Raonic +1.5 sets @2.30

$200 on Raonic +4 @1.90

$100 on Raonic ML @3.50

$250 more on over 42.5 @1.90

Total: $750

$50 on Raonic to win 1st set 7-6 @4
$50 on Raonic - Federer tiebreak first set @2.10

-$1350