Kenz's Tennis

[cryptocap]

this one goes the distance

[kenz]

$50 on Robredo +2.5 sets @2.96
$50 on Federer total games won over 19 @1.96

[kenz]

Tb was so close. He should not lose the point @2-2 on Wawa's serve

[Simon Gruber]

Kyrgios goes from 13.00 to 8.5 at the moment

[kenz]

Looks like gonna be a bad day.

Lopez could not serve out in the 2nd set tiebreak at 6-5.

Nishi looks good but prop bet does not. His 2nd serves so crap today.

[kenz]

$50 on Robredo +2.5 sets @2.96
$50 on Federer total games won over 19 @1.96

-$100

[kenz]

$300 on Nishi - Raonic over 3.5 sets @1.40 * Feliciano Lopez +2.5 sets @1.22 * Federer ML @1.07= @1.83

Would not mind losing this parlay from Federer as I have a Lopez quarter future. Hope I jinx Federer

-$300

[kenz]

$300 on Feliciano Lopez to win his quarter @12

-$300

[kenz]

Prop bet

$300 on Nishikori 2nd serve points won percentage over 59.5 @1.85 @tempobet

I view Nishi as a winner and he has great 2nd serve points percentage won in their H2Hs also generally Nishi's 2nd serve is stronger than first serve Check this

http://tennis.matchstat.com/Compare/11704/8806/10838

I am deeply surprised how tempobet has a higher total for Raonic here

https://www.tempobet90.com/event32693111.html

$300 on Nishikori +1.5 games @1.87 Marathonbet

$200 more on Nishikori +1.5 games @1.89 Marathonbet

Total: $500

-$800

Disaster

[kenz]

Day Total: -$1500

Total:+$9,914.95

Should just take Kyrgios ML

[matt1216]

Kenz.... Look at it this way your still up 300-500$ last two days? It's all good bud, get it back tomorrow

[kenz]

Kenz.... Look at it this way your still up 300-500$ last two days? It's all good bud, get it back tomorrow

Thanks matt I am up $700 last 2 days but I shit the bed today. More appropriately Lopez shit the bed in 2nd set tiebreak serving at 6-5 and not closing out which cost me $540 and Nishikori shit the bed first 2 sets with some ridiculuos 28% 2nd serve points won so 3rd set 87% 2nd serve won only took him around 58% before 4th. Finished the game with 56% I guess, I needed 60%. Costed me another $560. Shitty day for me

Raonic was ridiculous today, he was like a tank. Good call matt and you should be proud with your fellow Canadian

[matt1216]

Thanks man, I was supprised on how Raonic returned. Nishikori looked a bit tired today as well. Up 700$... See not too bad man

what at happened to lopez? Up 6-3 in tiebreaker... Jeez. I did Tell Sirtee that Wawrinka would clean lopez, I might take him vs Fed as well @3.00

[kenz]

$1500 on Raonic ML @1.57 @bwin

[kenz]

Thanks man, I was supprised on how Raonic returned. Nishikori looked a bit tired today as well. Up 700$... See not too bad man

what at happened to lopez? Up 6-3 in tiebreaker... Jeez. I did Tell Sirtee that Wawrinka would clean lopez, I might take him vs Fed as well @3.00

I am on Raonic tomorrow matt. Hope Canadian does not choke

[cryptocap]

thoughts on Bouchard...she battles and wants that slam this year...not a fan of kerber, upset sharapova but i mean shes been so high for awhile..you know the saying

[kenz]

thoughts on Bouchard...she battles and wants that slam this year...not a fan of kerber, upset sharapova but i mean shes been so high for awhile..you know the saying

I dont play WTA but some girls are exception. Bouchard is on top of my list for a autoplay. The problem is Kerber here.

Bouchard = auto-play for over games against top girls

Kerber = run without looking back

Will give a 2nd thought tomorrow on who will outweigh

[JC1186]

I always find it more difficult to make money towards the end of Grand Slams. The market is much sharper.

Think I'll sit back, relax and just enjoy the tennis.

GL Kenz. Be smart mate. Although you had a shocker of a day, you've still had a good tournament.

[kenz]

I always find it more difficult to make money towards the end of Grand Slams. The market is much sharper.

Think I'll sit back, relax and just enjoy the tennis.

GL Kenz. Be smart mate. Although you had a shocker of a day, you've still had a good tournament.

Not as good as you JC Great upset calls. What do you think about Cilic tomorrow?

I am addicted man unfortunately. I am bored to death at work, I am low on calories working out twice a day, cant flirt with girls as I am married so it is one of the highlights of my day, cant wait till the gametime everyday

[JC1186]

Haha got a kick reading that lol.

We all know Cilic can take a set. Just a hunch more than anything else, but I think he's played himself into form nicely and he'll be up for it in a big way.

It's a solid bet. He has the tools to really push Novak, and I'd be inclined to ignore some of his poor recent loses because I think he'll well and truly try to bring his A-game mentally and physically tomorrow.

[Hardcoar]

Thanks matt I am up $700 last 2 days but I shit the bed today. More appropriately Lopez shit the bed in 2nd set tiebreak serving at 6-5 and not closing out which cost me $540 and Nishikori shit the bed first 2 sets with some ridiculuos 28% 2nd serve points won so 3rd set 87% 2nd serve won only took him around 58% before 4th. Finished the game with 56% I guess, I needed 60%. Costed me another $560. Shitty day for me

Raonic was ridiculous today, he was like a tank. Good call matt and you should be proud with your fellow Canadian

French and Canadian (national) pride is the highest order of hilarity.

OH THE IRON!!

[zec]

Cilic to take a set is definitely a smart bet. He took a set at RG and was looking quite dangerous in the 4th. Margin between these should be significantly lower at Wimby than RG

[kenz]

$300 on Cilic-Djokovic over 3.5 sets @2.25

[kenz]

$300 on Bouchard-Kerber over 22.5 @1.99

[kenz]

$300 on Federer ML * Murray ML * Raonic ML= @2.65

Wawrinka overrated, if Lopez was fresh he should lead the match 2-0 or at least 1-1 after 2 sets.
Dimitrov struggling with his single handed backhand style this week, not as sharp. Like Lopez he is playing a level below each week on grass.

[kenz]

Fantasy parlays

$100 on Kerber +1.5 sets @1.43 * Cilic - Novak over 3.5 sets @2.25 * Murray ML @1.30 * Raonic ML @1.50 = @6.27

$75 on Kerber +1.5 sets @1.43 * Cilic - Novak over 3.5 sets @2.25 * Murray ML @1.30 * Raonic ML @1.50 * Federer ML @1.36 = @8.53

[kenz]

$300 on Cilic-Djokovic over 3.5 sets @2.25

$300 on Bouchard-Kerber over 22.5 @1.99

Fantasy parlays

$100 on Kerber +1.5 sets @1.43 * Cilic - Novak over 3.5 sets @2.25 * Murray ML @1.30 * Raonic ML @1.50 = @6.27

$75 on Kerber +1.5 sets @1.43 * Cilic - Novak over 3.5 sets @2.25 * Murray ML @1.30 * Raonic ML @1.50 * Federer ML @1.36 = @8.53

+$375
-$300
-$175

[kenz]

Kerber shit the bed.

[cryptocap]

bouchard is a big girl now!...really loved that win but hey kenz look on the brightside.. cilic stole a set

[kenz]

Well Cilic should steal a set.

Kerber had a chance for my bets to hit but wasted 4 break points first set @3-3 Bouchard serving. Then on her game she saved 4 or 5 bps before losing her serve. Also wasted 2 break points when Bouchard was serving for the match on 2nd set.

All in all Bouchard was the better player but Kerber should steal a set if she was not so horrible on her second serves and on some critical points

[Robin Van Rogan]

Hey kenz, do you think Kyrgios +1.5 cashes?

Is paying nicely right now.

[cryptocap]

^ agreed, WTP is funny because break points are squandered all the time and inability to hold serve is quite common for many players...Bouchard def played a better match but it was far from perfect lets put it that way..

[jailbait7127]

gj

[kenz]

Hey kenz, do you think Kyrgios +1.5 cashes?

Is paying nicely right now.

I am on Raonic. I think +2.5 should cash, not sure about +1.5

[kenz]

$300 on Federer ML * Murray ML * Raonic ML= @2.65

Wawrinka overrated, if Lopez was fresh he should lead the match 2-0 or at least 1-1 after 2 sets.
Dimitrov struggling with his single handed backhand style this week, not as sharp. Like Lopez he is playing a level below each week on grass.

-$300

Murray killed this great parlay