Matt's Tennis Plays & Record keeping...

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  • BigPage25
    SBR MVP
    • 04-17-12
    • 3571

    #316
    Originally posted by BigNik
    Hey Matty. Why did the line for Zopp jump so much???
    yeah that 2nd set was b.s…. looks like the zopp match got cancelled
    Comment
    • SirtySree
      SBR MVP
      • 12-19-13
      • 2370

      #317
      Originally posted by BigNik
      Hey Matty. Why did the line for Zopp jump so much???
      Match is cancelled apparantly.
      Comment
      • matt1216
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-27-11
        • 14683

        #318
        Play #82

        Murray + wawrinka 2.00 x 5 units

        Play #83

        Murray 1st set winner 1.77 x 5 unit

        Play #84

        Murray 2-0 sets 2.40 x 2 units


        *i know Murray hasnt exactly been Lights out lately but his ground strokes in rallies have been decent. Murrays won both his last 2 matches in 3 sets but both his opponents upped there game big time at the right time. Murray still found a way. Raonic has the head to head but I see the talent far greater for Raonic to overcome this time. Raonic struggled somewhat on his service games but managed to get thru them. Murray's definately a step up from the previous opponents. This court also suits Murray better as Raonic will be stuck in many more long rallies that I doubt he can win. Murray 2-0 sets.

        *this is also day 3 of the DOG LINES. I expect a lot of chalk to come thru today. The fool me 3 times, I don't think so attitude applys here IMO

        Wawrinka should beat a tired anderson
        Last edited by matt1216; 03-12-14, 07:09 AM.
        Comment
        • Nyjrkm06
          SBR Wise Guy
          • 01-25-12
          • 562

          #319
          Totally agree. GL Matt
          Comment
          • Hardcoar
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 02-17-13
            • 15606

            #320
            The only thing that worries me as far as Murray's concerned is the odds... @ 1.8 market against f*cking Giraffe!?
            Comment
            • matt1216
              SBR Posting Legend
              • 10-27-11
              • 14683

              #321
              Originally posted by Hardcoar
              The only thing that worries me as far as Murray's concerned is the odds... @ 1.8 market against f*cking Giraffe!?
              Giraffe has not looked amazing but has won his matches.Murray has not looked great since his injury. He is improving fast tho

              Milos #11
              Murray #7

              I know what your saying HC. Did you watch Milos vs Falla? Falla had break chances. Falla just can't serve. I think the Head to ahead alters the odds huge here. You have to remember Murray lost on clay where he didn't give a shit, and indoor Hardcourt where Milos is almost unbreakable.

              The market has been ****** all week HC. This is one of the few tourneys that I think they are having problems predicting. It seems they just went by stats on H/H and maybe 1st serve %
              Comment
              • fcmb
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-02-14
                • 628

                #322
                Originally posted by matt1216
                Giraffe has not looked amazing but has won his matches.Murray has not looked great since his injury. He is improving fast tho

                Milos #11
                Murray #7

                I know what your saying HC. Did you watch Milos vs Falla? Falla had break chances. Falla just can't serve. I think the Head to ahead alters the odds huge here. You have to remember Murray lost on clay where he didn't give a shit, and indoor Hardcourt where Milos is almost unbreakable.

                The market has been ****** all week HC. This is one of the few tourneys that I think they are having problems predicting. It seems they just went by stats on H/H and maybe 1st serve %
                Matt first of all good luck with your bet. For me this match is no bet because of poor current form of Andy but if i need to take a bet i would go with Andy simply because of generous odds.. But if i am correct Milos had won on outdoor hard in Tokyo 2012 against Andy + he was leading on masters Toronto (also outdoor in 2012) 1:0 on sets when Andy retired..
                Comment
                • JD AMBER
                  SBR Hustler
                  • 10-26-13
                  • 65

                  #323
                  I haven't been able to watch Raonic yet this week but Falla only made it past X-30 in two of Raonic's ten service games. I don't think you can question Raonic's serve game so far, there have been zero signs of rust there.

                  I was initially going to be all about fading Murray but I'm staying away as I think the odds have come too far down. Yet at the same time, I can't possibly bring myself to back someone who has looked as shaky as Murray has...9 times broken out of 30 against Rosol and Vesely? You say Falla had his chances against Raonic, but that's grasping at straws compared to all the chances Murray had been offering up.

                  BUT...not at all saying Murray is the wrong side. Just that I don't think Milos' performance this week can be used as the justification for betting against him. He seems to be in better form than I would have guessed in his first tourney back.

                  If you put a gun to my head, I'd probably be on Murray with you because I can't pick a side at all in this one and when in doubt, beware the public dog. Good luck to you and 'coar and all other Murray backers.
                  Comment
                  • Cappinpicks
                    SBR Posting Legend
                    • 03-11-10
                    • 14986

                    #324
                    wtf is wrong with pospisil number 1 seed +120 for what reason?
                    Comment
                    • matt1216
                      SBR Posting Legend
                      • 10-27-11
                      • 14683

                      #325
                      Originally posted by fcmb
                      Matt first of all good luck with your bet. For me this match is no bet because of poor current form of Andy but if i need to take a bet i would go with Andy simply because of generous odds.. But if i am correct Milos had won on outdoor hard in Tokyo 2012 against Andy + he was leading on masters Toronto (also outdoor in 2012) 1:0 on sets when Andy retired..
                      Thanks man. That outdoor court in Tokyo is a medium to fast paced hardcourt. all you have to do is serve lights out. It's also a 500 event for Murray, motivation is there but it's not huge. Murray was injured in Canada plus Raonic was at home. This slow harcourt in California, is brutally slow.
                      Comment
                      • fcmb
                        SBR Wise Guy
                        • 03-02-14
                        • 628

                        #326
                        All true what you"ve said Matt. I would like to hear your opinion on match Isner:Verdasco also please. Even if these courts are slow Big John is playing great & Nando isn"t + it"s in USA where we all know that Americans are giving their 110%. I believe that John is the right play..
                        Comment
                        • Hardcoar
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 02-17-13
                          • 15606

                          #327
                          Originally posted by matt1216
                          Giraffe has not looked amazing but has won his matches.Murray has not looked great since his injury. He is improving fast tho

                          Milos #11
                          Murray #7

                          I know what your saying HC. Did you watch Milos vs Falla? Falla had break chances. Falla just can't serve. I think the Head to ahead alters the odds huge here. You have to remember Murray lost on clay where he didn't give a shit, and indoor Hardcourt where Milos is almost unbreakable.

                          The market has been ****** all week HC. This is one of the few tourneys that I think they are having problems predicting. It seems they just went by stats on H/H and maybe 1st serve %
                          I caught glimpses of it, but not too much. I tend to only watch matches I actually find interesting... Giraffe tends to rarely feature in those.

                          Good point with the surfaces by the way... slow hard should be ideal for Murray's game.

                          I have no opinion as to whether the market has been off or not in terms of odds.
                          Comment
                          • matt1216
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 14683

                            #328
                            Originally posted by fcmb
                            All true what you"ve said Matt. I would like to hear your opinion on match Isner:Verdasco also please. Even if these courts are slow Big John is playing great & Nando isn"t + it"s in USA where we all know that Americans are giving their 110%. I believe that John is the right play..
                            Yeah, this one is tough. Verdasco plays suprisingly well at times, it's odd. He outrallied gasquet yesterday. Isner will probably have too many free points today though
                            Comment
                            • fcmb
                              SBR Wise Guy
                              • 03-02-14
                              • 628

                              #329
                              Originally posted by matt1216
                              Yeah, this one is tough. Verdasco plays suprisingly well at times, it's odd. He outrallied gasquet yesterday. Isner will probably have too many free points today though
                              Yeah but Gasquet is from France + he is not that reliable in 2014 especially playing abroad.. Gulbis, Kohli, Monfils , Robredo have all "destroyed" Richard on hard in 2014..
                              Comment
                              • fcmb
                                SBR Wise Guy
                                • 03-02-14
                                • 628

                                #330
                                + i forgot to mention Fernando and his mentality.. He is well known for self-destruction. Today with Isner on other side and his crazy serving + he is great in rallies also for his height. I was watching whole match against Davydenko and Lu , and if Isner can repeat his game i see absolutely no chance for Verdasco..
                                Comment
                                • bababooey13
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 11-13-13
                                  • 1897

                                  #331
                                  how did raonic beat murray in barceloa on clay? makes me wonder
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #332
                                    That was on that blue smurf clay. Those results should be thrown out for any match you see from that tournament as it was one of the worst surfaces in the history of the tour and skewed results for every player there.
                                    Comment
                                    • bababooey13
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 11-13-13
                                      • 1897

                                      #333
                                      Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                      That was on that blue smurf clay. Those results should be thrown out for any match you see from that tournament as it was one of the worst surfaces in the history of the tour and skewed results for every player there.
                                      merci beaucoup
                                      Comment
                                      • matt1216
                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                        • 10-27-11
                                        • 14683

                                        #334
                                        Originally posted by bababooey13
                                        how did raonic beat murray in barceloa on clay? makes me wonder
                                        I seriously believe Murray just didn't care about a lot of these encounters at the time. Look what Murray did to him when points mattered??? Murray destroyed Raonic in there only meeting that mattered really. They didn't play in canada. It was a walk over
                                        Comment
                                        • matt1216
                                          SBR Posting Legend
                                          • 10-27-11
                                          • 14683

                                          #335
                                          wtf is Milos wearing??? He's like huge tourist that's always wearing the Hawaii flower shirts in Hawaii. Nobody wears that shit lol
                                          Comment
                                          • brodie
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 11-25-13
                                            • 2212

                                            #336
                                            Originally posted by matt1216
                                            wtf is Milos wearing??? He's like huge tourist that's always wearing the Hawaii flower shirts in Hawaii. Nobody wears that shit lol
                                            lmao
                                            Comment
                                            • bababooey13
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 11-13-13
                                              • 1897

                                              #337
                                              rooting for u matt but watching this ill be shocked if murray wins this let alone straight sets him.
                                              Comment
                                              • CallMeGENO
                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                • 03-14-10
                                                • 749

                                                #338
                                                ya baba, raonic looks more like the favorite in this match.
                                                Comment
                                                • CallMeGENO
                                                  SBR Wise Guy
                                                  • 03-14-10
                                                  • 749

                                                  #339
                                                  murray cant even return a 2nd serve...
                                                  Comment
                                                  • professionalAD
                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                    • 01-29-14
                                                    • 941

                                                    #340
                                                    yeah murray looks pathetic out there. raonic with the advantage
                                                    Comment
                                                    • CallMeGENO
                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                      • 03-14-10
                                                      • 749

                                                      #341
                                                      nice break murray... shows how quickly things can change in this sport.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • matt1216
                                                        SBR Posting Legend
                                                        • 10-27-11
                                                        • 14683

                                                        #342
                                                        lol Raonic advantage^^^^ all he has is his serve
                                                        Comment
                                                        • professionalAD
                                                          SBR Wise Guy
                                                          • 01-29-14
                                                          • 941

                                                          #343
                                                          milos does this allllll the time. late in sets always chokes
                                                          Comment
                                                          • matt1216
                                                            SBR Posting Legend
                                                            • 10-27-11
                                                            • 14683

                                                            #344
                                                            ​10 straight points by Murray. 20 in forced errors by Milos. Andy not even 100% just shows u all his other matches he didn't really give a fuk
                                                            Comment
                                                            • professionalAD
                                                              SBR Wise Guy
                                                              • 01-29-14
                                                              • 941

                                                              #345
                                                              matt shud i take murray second set -140?
                                                              Comment
                                                              • CallMeGENO
                                                                SBR Wise Guy
                                                                • 03-14-10
                                                                • 749

                                                                #346
                                                                spot on matt. raonic isnt very good with the groundstrokes. if murray can get that serve back things should work out.
                                                                Comment
                                                                • matt1216
                                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                                  • 14683

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Originally posted by professionalAD
                                                                  matt shud i take murray second set -140?
                                                                  I considered it but I already have 2-0. It will be close
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • poet
                                                                    SBR Wise Guy
                                                                    • 08-11-13
                                                                    • 796

                                                                    #348
                                                                    The guy is a loser. How do you lose your concentration like that? Unfreakinbelievable!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • poet
                                                                      SBR Wise Guy
                                                                      • 08-11-13
                                                                      • 796

                                                                      #349
                                                                      I think he's gonna lose this match.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jessetk313
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-12-11
                                                                        • 1298

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Yea Murray is done. He got the second set break and then got broke to 0 right back by Milos of all people. You should never got broke to 0 by Milos.
                                                                        Comment
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