Wow, it's been the burial of the dead and the worst day ever. Time to recover from losses and move on!
Hernych to defeat Guez (2.20) - 3 units loss
Marie to defeat Burquier (2.50) - 2 units loss
Oprandi to defeat Irigoyen (2.62) - 4 units loss
Buyukakcay to defeat S. Murray (1.44) - 1 unit win
Parmentier to defeat Jabeur (1.61) - 2 units win
Wins-Losses-Void 184-112-14
total units risked: 537.14
YTD: +46.25 units
ROI 8.61%
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#318
Rybarikova to defeat Ivanovic (4.50) - 1 unit
This is a match that can easily end 6-2 6-1 Ivanovic but I think the Slovak has a shot in case Ana is in one of her shitty moods. Rybarikova is a player with a very good defence (consistent, quick, with long arms and legs and that helps her moving around chasing balls). She cannot do winners (except for drop shots, she is pretty good at these) and is doomed in case her opponent is good AND consistent. But if Ana is not at her best (which has happened often recently... like in her last 2 matches), then anything is possible.
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#319
Groth to defeat Kraijcek (1.53) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#320
Imanishi to defeat M. Krajicek (3.50) - 0.5 unit
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#321
De Scheeper to defeat Russell (1.66) - 2 units
Odesnik to defeat Kubler (1.66) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#322
Ram to defeat Menendez-Maceiras (1.66) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#323
Hozumi to defeat Burnett (3.75) - 0.5 unit
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#324
Melnikova to defeat Molinero (2.25) - 1 unit
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#325
Marillion, out of curiosity...the title of this thread...did you intend it to be "ITF" and it came out as is? if not, then what's the "ITT" ?
Comment
SirtySree
SBR MVP
12-19-13
2370
#326
Originally posted by fitguy67
Marillion, out of curiosity...the title of this thread...did you intend it to be "ITF" and it came out as is? if not, then what's the "ITT" ?
could be wrong but think it means In This Thread
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#327
Yeah, in this thread, I saw guys use this abbreviation on the 2+2 forums.
(I actually thought it was "in the thread" but you don't use "the" for the abbreviation, so SirtySree should be right lol). But the ITF one is a good joke actually.
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#328
I now see I got a message from bet365 saying they have changed my bet on Oprandi (a pre-match bet, although in the in-play section) from 2.62 odds to 1.33. So not only did my bet lose but they have changed it post factum.
OK at least I learned my lesson.
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#329
Begemann/Kamke to defeat Llodra/Monfils (3.25) - 1 unit
Not that I am super confident with this play but I absolutely don't understand what Monfils is doing here. I don't understand anything about the selection and player choices the French team have done for this match. I think it's highly probable that they will replace Monfils with Benneteau or Tsonga (both are waay better than him in doubles) and if that happens, the bet will be voided, big deal.
Draganja/Pavic to defeat Fyrstenberg/Matkowski (3.25) - 1 unit
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#330
Raja to defeat Fratangelo (6.50) - 0.5 unit
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#331
Fognini to defeat Murray (3.00) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#332
An awesome profit of 0.02 units for yesterday!
PARLAY: A. Murray (to defeat Seppi) + M. Krajicek (to defeat Zander) - 1.44 - 1 unit win
Rybarikova to defeat Ivanovic (4.50) - 1 unit loss
Groth to defeat Kraijcek (1.53) - 2 unitswin
Imanishi to defeat M. Krajicek (3.50) - 0.5 unit loss
De Scheeper to defeat Russell (1.66) - 2 units win
Odesnik to defeat Kubler (1.66) - 2 units loss
Ram to defeat Menendez-Maceiras (1.66) - 2 units win
Hozumi to defeat Burnett (3.75) - 0.5 unit win
Melnikova to defeat Molinero (2.25) - 1 unit loss
Begemann/Kamke to defeat Llodra/Monfils (3.25) - 1 unit void
Draganja/Pavic to defeat Fyrstenberg/Matkowski (3.25) - 1 unit loss
Raja to defeat Fratangelo (6.50) - 0.5 unit loss
Soler-Espinosa to defeat Doi (1.72) - 2 units
A. Beck to defeat Barthel (1.66) - 3 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#337
Robert to defeat Crivoi (1.50) - 3 units
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#338
Originally posted by Marillion
Soler-Espinosa to defeat Doi (1.72) - 2 units
Doi has won last their last two matches very convincingly (6-1,6-2/6-1,6-1)
but Solar-Espinoza is the moderate favorite at 1.72
what am i missing here?
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#339
My line of thought is - both players are in some shitty form this year but the Spanish player is more comfortable on clay, while the Japanese player is one of those small and quick players that play better on hard courts.
Hope I am not wrong, lol.
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#340
By the way, this is nothing. My book has just opened lines for Bogota. Begu is 1.40 against Schmiedlova.
These two played on hard in the end of last year and Schmiedlova won 6-0 6-0.
Comment
fitguy67
SBR Hall of Famer
03-13-11
5082
#341
Originally posted by Marillion
My line of thought is - both players are in some shitty form this year but the Spanish player is more comfortable on clay, while the Japanese player is one of those small and quick players that play better on hard courts.
Hope I am not wrong, lol.
according to this, the match tomorrow is on an "indoor" court...making their last two matches on "hard" that Doi won easily reasonably relevant (the previous two matches that SEspinoza won were one "hard" and one "grass")
_____________
i do see what you're saying tho' about the recent shitty play of both...both having won just 2 of their last 10...but here's where the book's line may come in...Doi is on a terrible 6-game skid...while SEspinoza is "less shitty"...being on just a 2-game skid (her L6=2-4 vs. 0-6 for Doi)
Damn, you are right. Like two days ago I read about this tournament being on indoor clay and kinda forgot about it. Now I'm reading on different sites that these courts tend to be harder and faster.
Thanks a lot for the notice!
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#343
Mladenovic to defeat Panova (1.72) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#344
Andrey Kuznetsov to defeat Simon (3.25) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#345
Fischer to defeat Carballes Baena (1.50) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#346
Abanda - Cohen under 21.5 games (1.83) - 2 units
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#347
Schmiedlova to defeat Begu (2.50) - 2 units
Last edited by Marillion; 04-06-14, 02:40 PM.
Reason: adding 1 unit
Comment
Marillion
SBR MVP
01-06-14
1453
#348
Fognini to defeat Murray (3.00) - 2 units win Berankis to defeat De Voest (1.44) - 2 units win Kamke to defeat Tsonga (6.50) - 1 unit loss Gibbs to defeat Hsu (1.33) - 1 unit win Robert to defeat Crivoi (1.50) - 3 units loss Abanda - Cohen under 21.5 games (1.83) - 2 units win