ITT I Bet Air

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  • Marillion
    SBR MVP
    • 01-06-14
    • 1453

    #316
    aaaand Oprandi lost lol
    Comment
    • Marillion
      SBR MVP
      • 01-06-14
      • 1453

      #317
      Wow, it's been the burial of the dead and the worst day ever. Time to recover from losses and move on!

      Hernych to defeat Guez (2.20) - 3 units loss
      Marie to defeat Burquier (2.50) - 2 units loss
      Oprandi to defeat Irigoyen (2.62) - 4 units loss
      Buyukakcay to defeat S. Murray (1.44) - 1 unit win
      Parmentier to defeat Jabeur (1.61) - 2 units win

      Wins-Losses-Void
      184-112-14

      total units risked: 537.14

      YTD:
      +46.25 units

      ROI
      8.61%
      Comment
      • Marillion
        SBR MVP
        • 01-06-14
        • 1453

        #318
        Rybarikova to defeat Ivanovic (4.50) - 1 unit

        This is a match that can easily end 6-2 6-1 Ivanovic but I think the Slovak has a shot in case Ana is in one of her shitty moods. Rybarikova is a player with a very good defence (consistent, quick, with long arms and legs and that helps her moving around chasing balls). She cannot do winners (except for drop shots, she is pretty good at these) and is doomed in case her opponent is good AND consistent. But if Ana is not at her best (which has happened often recently... like in her last 2 matches), then anything is possible.
        Comment
        • Marillion
          SBR MVP
          • 01-06-14
          • 1453

          #319
          Groth to defeat Kraijcek (1.53) - 2 units
          Comment
          • Marillion
            SBR MVP
            • 01-06-14
            • 1453

            #320
            Imanishi to defeat M. Krajicek (3.50) - 0.5 unit
            Comment
            • Marillion
              SBR MVP
              • 01-06-14
              • 1453

              #321
              De Scheeper to defeat Russell (1.66) - 2 units
              Odesnik to defeat Kubler (1.66) - 2 units
              Comment
              • Marillion
                SBR MVP
                • 01-06-14
                • 1453

                #322
                Ram to defeat Menendez-Maceiras (1.66) - 2 units
                Comment
                • Marillion
                  SBR MVP
                  • 01-06-14
                  • 1453

                  #323
                  Hozumi to defeat Burnett (3.75) - 0.5 unit
                  Comment
                  • Marillion
                    SBR MVP
                    • 01-06-14
                    • 1453

                    #324
                    Melnikova to defeat Molinero (2.25) - 1 unit
                    Comment
                    • fitguy67
                      SBR Hall of Famer
                      • 03-13-11
                      • 5082

                      #325
                      Marillion, out of curiosity...the title of this thread...did you intend it to be "ITF" and it came out as is? if not, then what's the "ITT" ?
                      Comment
                      • SirtySree
                        SBR MVP
                        • 12-19-13
                        • 2370

                        #326
                        Originally posted by fitguy67
                        Marillion, out of curiosity...the title of this thread...did you intend it to be "ITF" and it came out as is? if not, then what's the "ITT" ?
                        could be wrong but think it means In This Thread
                        Comment
                        • Marillion
                          SBR MVP
                          • 01-06-14
                          • 1453

                          #327
                          Yeah, in this thread, I saw guys use this abbreviation on the 2+2 forums.
                          (I actually thought it was "in the thread" but you don't use "the" for the abbreviation, so SirtySree should be right lol). But the ITF one is a good joke actually.
                          Comment
                          • Marillion
                            SBR MVP
                            • 01-06-14
                            • 1453

                            #328
                            I now see I got a message from bet365 saying they have changed my bet on Oprandi (a pre-match bet, although in the in-play section) from 2.62 odds to 1.33. So not only did my bet lose but they have changed it post factum.
                            OK at least I learned my lesson.
                            Comment
                            • Marillion
                              SBR MVP
                              • 01-06-14
                              • 1453

                              #329
                              Begemann/Kamke to defeat Llodra/Monfils (3.25) - 1 unit

                              Not that I am super confident with this play but I absolutely don't understand what Monfils is doing here. I don't understand anything about the selection and player choices the French team have done for this match. I think it's highly probable that they will replace Monfils with Benneteau or Tsonga (both are waay better than him in doubles) and if that happens, the bet will be voided, big deal.

                              Draganja/Pavic to defeat Fyrstenberg/Matkowski (3.25) - 1 unit
                              Comment
                              • Marillion
                                SBR MVP
                                • 01-06-14
                                • 1453

                                #330
                                Raja to defeat Fratangelo (6.50) - 0.5 unit
                                Comment
                                • Marillion
                                  SBR MVP
                                  • 01-06-14
                                  • 1453

                                  #331
                                  Fognini to defeat Murray (3.00) - 2 units
                                  Comment
                                  • Marillion
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 01-06-14
                                    • 1453

                                    #332
                                    An awesome profit of 0.02 units for yesterday!

                                    PARLAY: A. Murray (to defeat Seppi) + M. Krajicek (to defeat Zander) - 1.44 - 1 unit win
                                    Rybarikova to defeat Ivanovic (4.50) - 1 unit loss
                                    Groth to defeat Kraijcek (1.53) - 2 unitswin
                                    Imanishi to defeat M. Krajicek (3.50) - 0.5 unit loss
                                    De Scheeper to defeat Russell (1.66) - 2 units win
                                    Odesnik to defeat Kubler (1.66) - 2 units loss
                                    Ram to defeat Menendez-Maceiras (1.66) - 2 units win
                                    Hozumi to defeat Burnett (3.75) - 0.5 unit win
                                    Melnikova to defeat Molinero (2.25) - 1 unit loss
                                    Begemann/Kamke to defeat Llodra/Monfils (3.25) - 1 unit void
                                    Draganja/Pavic to defeat Fyrstenberg/Matkowski (3.25) - 1 unit loss
                                    Raja to defeat Fratangelo (6.50) - 0.5 unit loss

                                    Wins-Losses-Void
                                    189-118-15

                                    total units risked:551.14

                                    YTD
                                    +46.27 units

                                    ROI
                                    8.4%
                                    Last edited by Marillion; 04-06-14, 04:39 AM.
                                    Comment
                                    • Marillion
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 01-06-14
                                      • 1453

                                      #333
                                      Berankis to defeat De Voest (1.44) - 2 units
                                      Comment
                                      • Marillion
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 01-06-14
                                        • 1453

                                        #334
                                        Kamke to defeat Tsonga (6.50) - 1 unit
                                        Comment
                                        • Marillion
                                          SBR MVP
                                          • 01-06-14
                                          • 1453

                                          #335
                                          Gibbs to defeat Hsu (1.33) - 1 unit
                                          Comment
                                          • Marillion
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 01-06-14
                                            • 1453

                                            #336
                                            Soler-Espinosa to defeat Doi (1.72) - 2 units
                                            A. Beck to defeat Barthel (1.66) - 3 units
                                            Comment
                                            • Marillion
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 01-06-14
                                              • 1453

                                              #337
                                              Robert to defeat Crivoi (1.50) - 3 units
                                              Comment
                                              • fitguy67
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 03-13-11
                                                • 5082

                                                #338
                                                Originally posted by Marillion
                                                Soler-Espinosa to defeat Doi (1.72) - 2 units
                                                Doi has won last their last two matches very convincingly (6-1,6-2/6-1,6-1)
                                                but Solar-Espinoza is the moderate favorite at 1.72

                                                what am i missing here?
                                                Comment
                                                • Marillion
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 01-06-14
                                                  • 1453

                                                  #339
                                                  My line of thought is - both players are in some shitty form this year but the Spanish player is more comfortable on clay, while the Japanese player is one of those small and quick players that play better on hard courts.
                                                  Hope I am not wrong, lol.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • Marillion
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 01-06-14
                                                    • 1453

                                                    #340
                                                    By the way, this is nothing. My book has just opened lines for Bogota. Begu is 1.40 against Schmiedlova.
                                                    These two played on hard in the end of last year and Schmiedlova won 6-0 6-0.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • fitguy67
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 03-13-11
                                                      • 5082

                                                      #341
                                                      Originally posted by Marillion
                                                      My line of thought is - both players are in some shitty form this year but the Spanish player is more comfortable on clay, while the Japanese player is one of those small and quick players that play better on hard courts.
                                                      Hope I am not wrong, lol.


                                                      according to this, the match tomorrow is on an "indoor" court...making their last two matches on "hard" that Doi won easily reasonably relevant (the previous two matches that SEspinoza won were one "hard" and one "grass")

                                                      _____________

                                                      i do see what you're saying tho' about the recent shitty play of both...both having won just 2 of their last 10...but here's where the book's line may come in...Doi is on a terrible 6-game skid...while SEspinoza is "less shitty"...being on just a 2-game skid (her L6=2-4 vs. 0-6 for Doi)
                                                      Last edited by fitguy67; 04-06-14, 06:57 AM.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • Marillion
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 01-06-14
                                                        • 1453

                                                        #342
                                                        Damn, you are right. Like two days ago I read about this tournament being on indoor clay and kinda forgot about it. Now I'm reading on different sites that these courts tend to be harder and faster.
                                                        Thanks a lot for the notice!
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Marillion
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 01-06-14
                                                          • 1453

                                                          #343
                                                          Mladenovic to defeat Panova (1.72) - 2 units
                                                          Comment
                                                          • Marillion
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 01-06-14
                                                            • 1453

                                                            #344
                                                            Andrey Kuznetsov to defeat Simon (3.25) - 2 units
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Marillion
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 01-06-14
                                                              • 1453

                                                              #345
                                                              Fischer to defeat Carballes Baena (1.50) - 2 units
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Marillion
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-06-14
                                                                • 1453

                                                                #346
                                                                Abanda - Cohen under 21.5 games (1.83) - 2 units
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Marillion
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 01-06-14
                                                                  • 1453

                                                                  #347
                                                                  Schmiedlova to defeat Begu (2.50) - 2 units
                                                                  Last edited by Marillion; 04-06-14, 02:40 PM. Reason: adding 1 unit
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • Marillion
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-06-14
                                                                    • 1453

                                                                    #348
                                                                    Fognini to defeat Murray (3.00) - 2 units win
                                                                    Berankis to defeat De Voest (1.44) - 2 units win
                                                                    Kamke to defeat Tsonga (6.50) - 1 unit loss
                                                                    Gibbs to defeat Hsu (1.33) - 1 unit win
                                                                    Robert to defeat Crivoi (1.50) - 3 units loss
                                                                    Abanda - Cohen under 21.5 games (1.83) - 2 units win

                                                                    Wins-Losses-Void
                                                                    193-120-15

                                                                    total units risked: 562.14

                                                                    YTD
                                                                    +49.14 units

                                                                    ROI
                                                                    8.74%
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • Marillion
                                                                      SBR MVP
                                                                      • 01-06-14
                                                                      • 1453

                                                                      #349
                                                                      PARLAY: Cornet + Koukalova (1.31) - 1 unit
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • Marillion
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-06-14
                                                                        • 1453

                                                                        #350
                                                                        Pfizenmaier to defeat Govortsova (2.25) - 1 unit
                                                                        Comment
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