I've lurked and sometimes used the esteemed handicappers here as second opinions since I started betting in January, now I'll join in the fun and post my picks. I started with $50, turned it into over $1000 by June, but after a disastrous Wimbledon was left with about $380. I've now decreased my unit amount and made some money management rules for myself which I think are sensible and will prevent me from repeating the mistakes and bad plays I've made. I had a good last week, and my current profit now stands at $492.58. I'm confused how I would track my record by units or return on investment percentage, so I just keep a record of my running total profit. I bet on tennis and boxing, but as I make more picks on tennis and as the miniscule boxing discussion here is buried in the "cage fighting" forum my boxing picks will be here too. I'll add that I've only been a fairly serious tennis fan since last year. I use pinnacle, and occasionally Bet365. Here are my money management rules, followed by my first round picks for Atlanta, Gstaad, and Umag. Feedback for both welcome and appreciated..
Favourites are to win amount, underdogs are to risk amount
1 unit=$10
Tennis ML bets are typically 1 unit, though can be .5, 2, 3, 4, or maximum 5 units
Tennis handicap or over/under bets are typically 1 unit, though can be .5, or maximum 2 units
Other tennis props are maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units
Tennis futures are typically 5 units, though can be .5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, or maximum 10 units
Boxing ML bets are typically 2 units, though can be .5, 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, or maximum 10 units
Boxing over/under bets are typically 2 units, though can be .5, 1, 3, 4, or maximum 5 units
Boxing by decision or by KO bets are typically 1 unit, though can be .5, 2, 3, 4, or maximum 5 units
Other boxing props are maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units
Live bets are maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units. Live betting is not to be used to attempt to win back a loss, but only to reduce a loss or make an easy small win
A bet on any sport or event besides boxing or tennis is maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units
Avoid parlays
Only make a boxing bet if I have seen and have thorough knowledge of both boxers
Only make a tennis bet if I have seen in the previous three months and have thorough knowledge of at least one of the players
Never bet more than my typical 1 unit for tennis/2 units for boxing if I'm not able to watch the match live
Never make a tennis bet at worse than -400 odds
Never make a boxing bet at worse than -600 odds
Only occasionally bet on 250 level tennis matches, and never make a bet on a 250 level match at worse than -220 odds
When my total profit is over $800 increase my unit amount to $20, when over $2000 to $40, when over $5000 to $100, when over $10,000 to $200, when over $20,000 to $500, when over $40,000 to $1000
Atlanta:
Giraldo over Sock +146 (1)
Fish over Russell -117 (1)
Istonin over Lacko -155 (1)
Gstaad:
Granollers over Rosol -183 (1) WIN! +$10
Kuznetsov over Stakhovsky -133 (1) WIN! +$10
Brown over Hanescu +178 (1)
Umag:
De Bakker over Tursunov -142 (1) WIN! +$10
Ramos over Mayer -220 (1) LOSS -$22
Klizan over Lorenzi -204 (1)
Hajek over Robredo +227 (1)
Favourites are to win amount, underdogs are to risk amount
1 unit=$10
Tennis ML bets are typically 1 unit, though can be .5, 2, 3, 4, or maximum 5 units
Tennis handicap or over/under bets are typically 1 unit, though can be .5, or maximum 2 units
Other tennis props are maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units
Tennis futures are typically 5 units, though can be .5, 1, 2, 3, 4, 6, 7, 8, 9, or maximum 10 units
Boxing ML bets are typically 2 units, though can be .5, 1, 3, 4, 5, 6, 7, 8, 9, or maximum 10 units
Boxing over/under bets are typically 2 units, though can be .5, 1, 3, 4, or maximum 5 units
Boxing by decision or by KO bets are typically 1 unit, though can be .5, 2, 3, 4, or maximum 5 units
Other boxing props are maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units
Live bets are maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units. Live betting is not to be used to attempt to win back a loss, but only to reduce a loss or make an easy small win
A bet on any sport or event besides boxing or tennis is maximum .5 units, though can be .25 units
Avoid parlays
Only make a boxing bet if I have seen and have thorough knowledge of both boxers
Only make a tennis bet if I have seen in the previous three months and have thorough knowledge of at least one of the players
Never bet more than my typical 1 unit for tennis/2 units for boxing if I'm not able to watch the match live
Never make a tennis bet at worse than -400 odds
Never make a boxing bet at worse than -600 odds
Only occasionally bet on 250 level tennis matches, and never make a bet on a 250 level match at worse than -220 odds
When my total profit is over $800 increase my unit amount to $20, when over $2000 to $40, when over $5000 to $100, when over $10,000 to $200, when over $20,000 to $500, when over $40,000 to $1000
Atlanta:
Giraldo over Sock +146 (1)
Fish over Russell -117 (1)
Istonin over Lacko -155 (1)
Gstaad:
Granollers over Rosol -183 (1) WIN! +$10
Kuznetsov over Stakhovsky -133 (1) WIN! +$10
Brown over Hanescu +178 (1)
Umag:
De Bakker over Tursunov -142 (1) WIN! +$10
Ramos over Mayer -220 (1) LOSS -$22
Klizan over Lorenzi -204 (1)
Hajek over Robredo +227 (1)
