diegoelmestre ATP Tennis picks

[Hardcoar]

I mean what you wrote about the match, do you not think that's why the odds are the way they are already?

[diegoelmestre]

Federer vs Tsonga

see with eyes the Overs for this match. Are two players who are serving very well so far, their opponents were always below 30% points won their service. The matches between them in fast surfaces are generally decided in details and with sets very balanced, ad with some tiebreaks to the mix. Nor see any of them to be able to maintain such a pace that can win in straight sets, predict a match with the upward varying very often between the two . Then predict a match decided in four or five sets, with tight partials and with some tiebreaks.

Tiebreak in the Match @ 1,50 Bet365 2units
Over 41 Games @ 1,775 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

yeh, of course hardcoar, still like them a lot. Such a match by Nadal against La Monf

[lucullus]

Hardcoar, what do you think of Federer being @~ - 160 for the match versus Tsonga? What do you think of Tsonga versus Federer? Unload your mind naked man.

[diegoelmestre]

YTD: 66-56-9
%W/L (without pushed): 54,45%

Units:-0,99u
ROI: -0.75%


i'm speechless... prob one of the hardest lonsing streaks i ever had

[sluggy1616]

YTD: 66-56-9
%W/L (without pushed): 54,45%

Units:-0,99u
ROI: -0.75%


i'm speechless... prob one of the hardest lonsing streaks i ever had

I hear ya man. I had a great year last year and am struggling a bit myself. I will be playing qtr units until I get(if) I get my mojo back if my picks are dead wrong tonight.

[diegoelmestre]

David Ferrer @ 2,47 Pinnacle

Admittedly, David Ferrer has shown some exhibitional irregularity in this tournament and even in recent months, but in a best of five match, the odds seem very inadequate. In these matches the physical counts a lot and in this regard very few can equal the Spanish level, I think Ferrer can pull this encounter for the physical side to gain some advantage. Berdych is in this tournament with a total of 87% of points won in the first service, however, faced much lower quality athletes comparing to Ferrer, the exception is Kevin Anderson, but Anderson faced Berdych with many minutes in the legs. I think Berdych exhibitions are being very overvalued. Ferrer is in this tournament who else most services breaks made so would be expected that will have more difficulties to won his services games. For me the value is all on the side of the Spanish.

[Celtics08]

David Ferrer @ 2,47 Pinnacle

Admittedly, David Ferrer has shown some exhibitional irregularity in this tournament and even in recent months, but in a best of five match, the odds seem very inadequate. In these matches the physical counts a lot and in this regard very few can equal the Spanish level, I think Ferrer can pull this encounter for the physical side to gain some advantage. Berdych is in this tournament with a total of 87% of points won in the first service, however, faced much lower quality athletes comparing to Ferrer, the exception is Kevin Anderson, but Anderson faced Berdych with many minutes in the legs. I think Berdych exhibitions are being very overvalued. Ferrer is in this tournament who else most services breaks made so would be expected that will have more difficulties to won his services games. For me the value is all on the side of the Spanish.

Totally agree 2,47 are crazy odds I think 2.10 or 2.15 would be fairer , I saw Ferrer ended up playing very well against Mayer and I think he will continue to grow today, he is in a clear upward trend, also Tomas has not played vs anybody yet here, only challenger level players and a Anderson in bad phisically form. Will see...good luck with the gladiator.

[diegoelmestre]

Marco Cecchinato @ 2,23 Pinnacle

I see a lot of value to bet on the victory of youth Italian. Cecchinato is a player who puts a lot of intensity from the baseline, so I preview some difficulties to Gilles Muller. I doubt very much that Luxembourgish is still in top form, after all he were almost 8 months out of courts, and last week lost to world number 782 who corroborates this, in my opinion. Faces one player that will forge him to run a lot, I see many difficulties to Muller from the baseline, probably the weakest point of Muller. He will be over dependent on his first serve, if it e does not get in, the troubles will start. The Italian knows also serve well and make some aces, so Muller will have some difficulties in return games. With an odds over 2.-00, I think the value is all in Italian.

[diegoelmestre]

mods, delete please

[diegoelmestre]

well, now with Challengers i really hope that better days will come.

Usually i have better performances in Challenger Tour.

Heilbronn Challenger plays:

Andreas Beck @ 1,61 Pinancle
Igor Sijsling 2-0 @ 1,72 Sbobet
Jiri Vesely @ 2,09 Sbobet

in Challengers i usually made lot of combos. Not more than 3 plays.


Struff + Copil @ 2,14 Ladbrokes

Updated Record

YTD: 67-58-9
%W/L (without pushed): 53,6%

Units: -2,99u
ROI: -2,23%

[diegoelmestre]

Bucamarang Challenger

Gastão Elias @ 2.00 Bet365
Guido Andreozzi 2-0 @ 1,85 Sbobet

Falla + Souza + Alejandro Gonzalez @ 1,87 Ladbrokes

[diegoelmestre]

Wawrinka @ 1,77 Pinnacle

[diegoelmestre]

Heilbronn


Sijsling @ 1,50 Bet365
Under 21,5 Games (Kavcic v Arnaboldi) @ 1,83 Bet365
Over 22,5 Games (Berrer v Becker) @ 1,72 Bet365

[diegoelmestre]

Over 22,5 Games (Struff v Muller) @ 1,66 Beet365

[diegoelmestre]

Denis Kudla @ 1.54 Pinnacle
Smyczek @ 1.69 Pinnacle