Flieger's Daily Tennis Picks (2013)

[Michael_Flieger]

Murray -5' -115 (Seppi): 2.30/2.00 win

-43.78 + 2.00 = -41.78 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Melzer off his game, missing easy shots. Needs to wake up in second set.

[CaptainOmar111]

Murray -5' -115 (Seppi): 2.30/2.00

Fuckkkin bookies lowered the rate from 1.11 ML A.Murray to be only 1.07 WTF !!!

[Ambition]

Ferrer is totally blowing the first set right now.

[Michael_Flieger]

Almagro +105 (Gasquet): 4.00/4.20 loss

following a proven winner on this, no opinion myself

-41.78 + -4.00 = -45.78 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Lindstedt/Zimonjic -170 (Dodig/Melo): 1.70/1.00 win

[ this was carried forward from the other day, never counted ]

3-parlay

Tsonga -205 (Cilic) loss
Berdych -325 (Querrey) win
Djokovic -1600 (Haas)

11.15/11.90 loss

-45.78 + -10.15 = -55.93 units

[ this is why you can't trust Tsonga. In fact I more than bailed out of what I lost on all Tsonga bets via live betting, but it would have been past posted if I'd put it here. For those who didn't see, Cilic played better than last night, and Tsong was his usual semi-impressive, semi-unimpressive self. One simply cannot rely on the guy to win. I wasn't betting on Tsong, I was betting against Cilic, who I consider maybe 5% mentally better than Tsonga. They're actually in the same class to me; guys who can beat almost anyone but frequently just play stupidly or weak-mindedly. In fact, Cilic did that here. He made numerous bad decisions, as he did against Isner last night, but Tsonga couldn't exploit enough of them. Murray should beat Cilic fairly easily. ]

[Michael_Flieger]

5d offering live betting on Radwanska-Flipkens. I'm going to try to get Radwanska when she gets down. Might not happen, but she usually does. Also pondering US in soccer, +1 at around -120.

[Michael_Flieger]

I dig Simon, he is a great talent. Don't like Tipsarevic, he's a head case. One smart guy I tail is on Tips, was my only reservation.

[Michael_Flieger]

LIVE A. Radwanska -127 (Flipkens): 2.54/2.00 win

[1-4]

-55.93 + 2.00 = -53.93 units

[Michael_Flieger]

5dimes story... while watching tennis, i hit a live under on the NIT game, md-alabama. 125' under LIVE. maybe 8 minutes before half. well i didn't notice, the 125' said FIRST HALF. so later i log back in and the bet is canceled. not switched to FULL GAME as i and anyone else was obviously assuming, but simply canceled. i told them i dont agree with that way of doing it. i had just looked at the number and never noticed it said 1h. the real line was 58, so no one betting 125' would have thought it was a 1h line, especially not more than halfway through the half. and it's not like they wouldn't notice if people were trying to take advantage of their mistake. in my view, their operator's typo should be corrected, not the bet canceled. they don't agree.

as always, i guess the moral is: READ YOUR penetrating TICKET.

just irritated because the under is looking good.

[Michael_Flieger]

2-parlay

Djokovic -1640 (Haas) loss
USA-Mexico 3 under -201

4.68/2.76 loss

-53.93 + -4.68 = -58.61 units

[CaptainOmar111]

2-parlay

Djokovic -1640 (Haas)
USA-Mexico 3 under -201

4.68/2.76

Djokovic Odds was 1.08 in my sportbook but suddenly it is 1.05 now , But 1st set winner " Djokovic " @ 1.11 is good surely .

[Michael_Flieger]

Djokovic Odds was 1.08 in my sportbook but suddenly it is 1.05 now , But 1st set winner " Djokovic " @ 1.11 is good surely .

Maybe. I don't know. To me, he can lose set and still win match, so you have a very different incentive. Non-hard incentives are always riskier bets. I would think he takes it, though. Haas has been playing very well. Djokovic wants to start hot, I would think, not ease into this. This time of night, all parties should be awake and firing on all cylinders, unlike, perhaps, Melzer, who looked like he was awakened too early in the first set.

[Hardcoar]

I dig Simon, he is a great talent. Don't like Tipsarevic, he's a head case. One smart guy I tail is on Tips, was my only reservation.

Link please. More quality input is always appreciated.

[Michael_Flieger]

Link please. More quality input is always appreciated.

Are we allowed to link to other forums here?

[Michael_Flieger]

Sharapova -625 (Errani): 6.25/1.00 win

-58.61 + 1.00 = -57.61 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Ferrer -790 (Melzer): 7.90/1.00

i dont see any way melzer hangs with ferrer.

-57.61 + 1.00 = -56.61 units

hope you got some of that live, i added a little at -350, and it went all the way down to -135 in 5dimes.

[Michael_Flieger]

Sharapova -920 (Jankovic): 9.20/1.00 win
Jankovic +6 -155 (Sharapova): 3.10/2.00 loss

-56.61 + -2.10 = -58.71 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Berdych -205 (Gasquet): 6.30/3.00 loss
S. Williams -445 (A. Radwanska): 8.90/2.00 win

-58.71 + -4.30 = -63.01 units

[CaptainOmar111]

Still thinking about Serena Williams !!! she is not perfect in this tournament !!! but if the line of +1,5 sets for Serena moved from 1.08 to 1.10 , I will pick +1,5 !!! Good Luck

[Michael_Flieger]

Still thinking about Serena Williams !!! she is not perfect in this tournament !!! but if the line of +1,5 sets for Serena moved from 1.08 to 1.10 , I will pick +1,5 !!! Good Luck

I think that wins, but what about playing it this way? Serena -355 to win first set. If she loses, or is losing, you can decide to chase on the second set for about the same price.

[Michael_Flieger]

Arizona +160 (Ohio State): 2.00/3.60 loss

-63.01 + -2.00 = -65.01 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Wichita State -200 (LaSalle): 4.00/2.00 win

-65.01 + 2.00 = -63.01 units

[CaptainOmar111]

Line for Serena +1,5 sets is 1.10 now ( -1000 ) thinking to pick it !!!

[Michael_Flieger]

Wichita State-LaSalle 134' under -106: 5.30/5.00 win

-63.01 + 5.00 = -58.01 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Petrova/Srebotnik -190 (Kuznetsova/Pennetta): 3.80/2.00 win

-58.01 + 2.00 = -56.01 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Louisville -10' -109 (Oregon): 5.45/5.00 loss
Michigan State-Duke 133' under -105: 5.25/5.00 win
Florida-Florida Gulf Coast 135' under -107: 5.35/5.00 win
Florida -13' -109 (Florida Gulf Coast): 5.45/5.00 loss

-56.01 + -.80 = -56.81 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Florida -1050 (Florida Gulf Coast): 10.50/1.00

-56.81 + 1.00 = -55.81 units

[CaptainOmar111]

Sharapova -920 (Jankovic): 9.20/1.00 win

S. Williams -445 (A. Radwanska): 8.90/2.00 win

This is the best system !!! betting many units on 99% won bets , if you collect 10 bets like this each day , you will make 10 : 20 units per day which is awesome Good Luck

[Michael_Flieger]

This is the best system !!! betting many units on 99% won bets , if you collect 10 bets like this each day , you will make 10 : 20 units per day which is awesome Good Luck

Thanks. If it works, it's great. But have to be extremely careful. Look at Djokovic. He lost at -1600. Ouch.

[CaptainOmar111]

Thanks. If it works, it's great. But have to be extremely careful. Look at Djokovic. He lost at -1600. Ouch.

Iam sure using this system better than the risky bets you play !!! and Djkovoic was not -1000 but lower so avoid him , also he was not in form !!! you should know the players status before you bet !!! Anyway , I wish you the best !!! Good Luck

[Michael_Flieger]

Pous Tio -345 (Muhammed): 3.45/1.00 win

-55.81 + 1.00 = -54.81 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Duke-Louisville 137' under -103: 5.15/5.00

-54.81 + -5.15 = -59.96 units

[Hardcoar]

Iam sure using this system better than the risky bets you play !!! and Djkovoic was not -1000 but lower so avoid him , also he was not in form !!! you should know the players status before you bet !!! Anyway , I wish you the best !!! Good Luck

Just curious as to how many bets you've settled using your system so far. Could you tell us please?

[CaptainOmar111]

@Michael - do you think Sorana Cirstea can win today against Tatiana Malek ??

It is in the 1st round of WTA Charleston , the game will be after 7 hours !!!