Flieger's Daily Tennis Picks (2013)

[Michael_Flieger]

[-48.26 in]

Simon -525 (Zemlj): 10.50/2.00 win
Tipsarevic +105 (Anderson): 2.00/2.10 win
Kamke +150 (Melzer): 2.00/3.00 loss
Ramos +155 (Blake): 2.00/3.10 win
Kuznetsova +112 (Ivanovic): 2.00/2.24 loss

2-parlay

Bhupathi/Nestor -260 (Almagro/Marach) loss
Petrova/Srebotnik -600 (Moulton-Levy/Zhang) win

2.50/1.54 loss

-48.26 + .36 = -47.96 units

[ohumad]

You were up after Indian Wells. Hopefully you can get back on track. Maybe be a bit more selective with your picks? Anyways appreciate the insight-some good tips/discussion with your posts.

[Michael_Flieger]

You were up after Indian Wells. Hopefully you can get back on track. Maybe be a bit more selective with your picks? Anyways appreciate the insight-some good tips/discussion with your posts.

I appreciate the feedback. It's actually the ones I have felt MORE strongly about that have been losing, which is particularly disturbing. As you know, the very nature of posting changes your picks.

[Michael_Flieger]

3-parlay

Serena Williams -1900 (Cibulkova) win
Murray -820 (Dimitrov)
Berdych -1400 (Falla) win

5.49/1.46

3-parlay

Seppi -190 (Bellucci) win
Cilic -180 (Isner) win
Raonic -195 (Querrey) canc.

5.00/12.96 (6.87)

-47.96 + 8.33 = -39.63 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Almagro -4' -118 (Goffin): 2.36/2.00 win

-39.63 + 2.00 = -37.63 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Seppi -210 (Bellucci): 6.30/3.00 win

-37.63 + 3.00 = -34.63 units

[CaptainOmar111]

Is Dimitrov dangerous player or Murray can end it in 2 sets ???

[Michael_Flieger]

Murray -4' -140 (Dimitrov): 2.80/2.00 loss

-34.63 + -2.80 = -37.43 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Is Dimitrov dangerous player or Murray can end it in 2 sets ???

All depends on Murray. I'm American, so I have very limited set betting options, so I don't study it. I would think Murray wins in straights, but you never know with him, he drops sets all the time. I feel most confident today in Raonic over Querrey and Cilic over Isner.

[Michael_Flieger]

Lindstedt/Zimonjic -170 (Dodig/Melo): 1.70/1.00

[Michael_Flieger]

Berdych -5' -123 (Falla): 2.46/2.00 loss

-37.43 + -2.46 = -39.89 units

[CaptainOmar111]

Tsonga can win ?

[Hardcoar]

Dimitrov is a dangerous player, and Murray can end it in two sets.

Sometimes I can't believe the questions you ask...

[CaptainOmar111]

Dimitrov is a dangerous player, and Murray can end it in two sets.

Sometimes I can't believe the questions you ask...

excuse me it is my question type and will not be changed ever Also my question was not for you

[Michael_Flieger]

Tsonga -3' -130 (Nieminen): 2.60/2.00 win

-39.89 + 2.00 = -37.89 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Tsonga can win ?

Certainly. I'm trying him on the games line -3'. He's not one of my favs and Nieminen has played pretty well lately, but I'd be surprised if Tsonga doesn't win.

[Michael_Flieger]

Errani-Ivanovic 20 over -130: 2.60/2.00 win

-37.89 + 2.00 = -35.89 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Babos/Minella +425 (Errani/Vinci): 2.25/9.35 loss

-35.89 + -2.25 = -38.14 units


I would not be surprised if this match is never played, but if it is, Vinci has to be exhausted. And Errani can't be much better. From a sheer physical standpoint, this seems like a pretty darn fair shot at 4x your money back.

darn...had high hopes for this one, especially after the first set. got to give those italian women credit. they have both played about 8 sets apiece in the last 24 hours.

[Michael_Flieger]

Raonic -2 -125 (Querrey): 6.25/5.00 canc.
Cilic -2 -120 (Isner): 6.00/5.00 win

-38.14 + 5.00 = -33.14 units

isner was so awful last time that i cant see him winning here unless his strokes come back. seems a very cheap price for a much better ground-stroker. raonic - he's just better than querrey.

Raonic out with sore throat, w.o. for Querrey.

[Michael_Flieger]

Keep in mind at this tournament for the future: lots of of South American fans in stands supporting people like Falla and Bellucci, a Colombian and Brazilian, respectively. It definitely has an effect on their play.

Great comeback win for Berdych. In my mind he has switched categories from weak minded to strong minded.

[CaptainOmar111]

Certainly. I'm trying him on the games line -3'. He's not one of my favs and Nieminen has played pretty well lately, but I'd be surprised if Tsonga doesn't win.

I picked him +1,5 sets ( Pinniacle ) and he won the 1st set so I won my bet I think if he won the 2nd set by any result , you will win your bet -3 ... Good Luck

[Michael_Flieger]

I picked him +1,5 sets ( Pinniacle ) and he won the 1st set so I won my bet I think if he won the 2nd set by any result , you will win your bet -3 ... Good Luck

You got it, nice job. The one match today I didn't really watch, but I guess Tsonga was on.

[CaptainOmar111]

You got it, nice job. The one match today I didn't really watch, but I guess Tsonga was on.

Tsonga was awesome and on fire more than you think !!! never seen him with this play since Roland Garos 2013 Frensh Open against Wawrinka

[Michael_Flieger]

Tsonga was awesome and on fire more than you think !!! never seen him with this play since Roland Garos 2013 Frensh Open against Wawrinka

Best I've seen of him lately was his victory of Simon in that French tournament a few weeks ago. He starts slow often but then he came out on fire. From what I see of Cilic tonight, I think Tsonga cleans him up. Cilic will win some games, but he missed a lot of shots against Isner.

[CaptainOmar111]

Best I've seen of him lately was his victory of Simon in that French tournament a few weeks ago. He starts slow often but then he came out on fire. From what I see of Cilic tonight, I think Tsonga cleans him up. Cilic will win some games, but he missed a lot of shots against Isner.

you did great today man you have strong heart to bet all those picks , for me 1 pick or 2 per day is very very very enough . Good Luck Man

[Michael_Flieger]

you did great today man you have strong heart to bet all those picks , for me 1 pick or 2 per day is very very very enough . Good Luck Man

Thanks, good to be back on track. Your selectivity is probably the best way to go, but if you proportion the bets correctly, they all should make money. I try to win the week (1) and win the day (2). Will have more tomorrow for sure.

[CaptainOmar111]

Thanks, good to be back on track. Your selectivity is probably the best way to go, but if you proportion the bets correctly, they all should make money. I try to win the week (1) and win the day (2). Will have more tomorrow for sure.

Good Luck Man , for tomorrow : if the line of Murray is 1.10 or more , I will bet on him to win this match and maybe I go with -3 if it is offered in my book !!! Good Luck

[Michael_Flieger]

Melzer -107 (Ramos): 5.35/5.00 win

-33.14 + 5.00 = -27.14 units

[Michael_Flieger]

Nishikori +4 -105 (Ferrer): 2.10/2.00 loss
Li +5 -130 (Serena Williams): 2.60/2.00 win
Tsonga -190 (Cilic): 9.50/5.00

-27.14 + -9.60 = -36.74 units

[Michael_Flieger]

7-parlay

Djokovic -1750 (Haas)
Simon -140 (Tipsarevic)
Ferrer -350 (Nishikori) win
Melzer -115 (Ramos) win
Berdych -350 (Querrey) win
Tsonga -190 (Cilic) loss
A. Radwanska -440 (Flipkens)

2.44/23.24

-36.74 + -2.44 = -39.18 units

[ohumad]

Nishikori +4 -105 (Ferrer): 2.10/2.00
Li +5 -130 (Serena Williams): 2.60/2.00
Tsonga -190 (Cilic): 9.50/5.00

7-parlay

Djokovic -1750 (Haas)
Simon -140 (Tipsarevic)
Ferrer -350 (Nishikori)
Melzer -115 (Ramos)
Berdych -350 (Ramos)
Tsonga -190 (Cilic)
A. Radwanska -440 (Flipkens)

2.44/23.24

I will follow your lead sir. Was thinking of the Tsonga bet earlier. Will swap Djoker for Williams though. I want that cash money. Let's get it!

[Hardcoar]

excuse me it is my question type and will not be changed ever Also my question was not for you

You don't have to change it.

I know, but I chose to answer it anyway.

Also would have liked to say: Yes – Tsonga can win. Amazing call!

Missed out on that one though...

[Michael_Flieger]

I will follow your lead sir. Was thinking of the Tsonga bet earlier. Will swap Djoker for Williams though. I want that cash money. Let's get it!

Hope so. Simon is the one I'm most concerned about. Tips got some confidence from beating Anderson.

[Michael_Flieger]

Ramos-Melzer 23 under -115: 2.30/2.00 loss
Gasquet-Almagro 23 under -115: 2.30/2.00 loss


-39.18 + -4.60 = -43.78 units

[Michael_Flieger]

interesting article about soccer match fixing in Europe

http://www.businessweek.com/articles/2013-03-21/european-soccers-master-of-match-fixing