Acapulco/Delray Beach/Dubai - I SPY!

[Hardcoar]

Wow.

You people find the shittiest odds. :S

[diogone]

niculesco 1st set 6-0, REALLY? FFFFFFFck

[EaglesPhan36]

Yay WTA. What a shit performance. Have not looked over anything else. Was considering ERV over Berankis, but thats about it.

[matt1216]

You chasing?

No just been watching almagro play of late. His serve pretty much but pumped zaballos last night. Almagro at + 400 seems crazy. I remember watching almagro play nadal when he was health on clay at the French open. Almagro lost set 1 in a tie breaker. Up until that point he was the closest I've seen to break nadals streak of sets won in a row. IMO almagro has progressed slightly , where nadal is I'd say 80% of what he used to be.

[CaptainOmar111]

No just been watching almagro play of late. His serve pretty much but pumped zaballos last night. Almagro at + 400 seems crazy. I remember watching almagro play nadal when he was health on clay at the French open. Almagro lost set 1 in a tie breaker. Up until that point he was the closest I've seen to break nadals streak of sets won in a row. IMO almagro has progressed slightly , where nadal is I'd say 80% of what he used to be.

I think Almagro will win or at least the spread bet will be good !!!

[EaglesPhan36]

FTW

Delray Beach: Berankis -170

[matt1216]

I think Almagro will win or at least the spread bet will be good !!!

I took the over21.5. I think it's worth it. 2 tight sets or 3 sets are possible. Ill leave + 4 alone. I think there will be 1 tiebreak. I think almagro will be pumped

[matt1216]

I think Almagro will win or at least the spread bet will be good !!!

I also think Mayer showed some of nadals weakness last night.

[matt1216]

EP, what do you think about ferrer -6.5? I mean a fresh giraldo woulda pumped foginini last night. I just don't see foginini offering anything to ferrer, kinda like what ferrer is to djoker. That backhand was terrible by foginini yesterday.

[CaptainOmar111]

I took the over21.5. I think it's worth it. 2 tight sets or 3 sets are possible. Ill leave + 4 alone. I think there will be 1 tiebreak. I think almagro will be pumped

For me , I hope Nadal win to play against David Ferer . so I bet on David with his high odds 2 : 3 ... but I think Nadal will lose LOL

[EaglesPhan36]

FTW

Delray Beach: Berankis -170

Apparently fading myself is also no good. I'll write this week off as x9.

[EaglesPhan36]

Yeah my feel towards the end of the week was pretty shitty. And of course that leads to 2nd guessing and more losing. See you dudes next week.

[Hardcoar]

I took the over21.5. I think it's worth it. 2 tight sets or 3 sets are possible. Ill leave + 4 alone. I think there will be 1 tiebreak. I think almagro will be pumped

Oh so now that the odds are halved it's worth it. I see...

For me , I hope Nadal win to play against David Ferer . so I bet on David with his high odds 2 : 3 ... but I think Nadal will lose LOL

You do!? Better go big on Almagro @ 4.5 then since you judge his chances to be greater than 50 %!

Apparently fading myself is also no good. I'll write this week off as x9.

It's not quite over yet, is it?

Also, you can't expect to win them all. : )

[matt1216]

Woo my ferrer -6.5 came thru! Barely, looked like dead money there for a bit

[matt1216]

Oh so now that the odds are halved it's worth it. I see...


You do!? Better go big on Almagro @ 4.5 then since you judge his chances to be greater than 50 %!

It's not quite over yet, is it?

Also, you can't expect to win them all. : )

I'd say nadal has 60-40 chance of winning. Form is close but mentally can almagro win a 3rd set tie breaker or would he fold.

[Hardcoar]

If it wasn't clear, that statement was directed at Omar, but apparently it applied to you as well. I truly do hope you placed a significant wager on Almagro with that expected probability. In any case, your spreads made it through somehow, so congratulations on that.

My point (to you above) was people liking Almagro so much should've bet on him much sooner when the odds were literally 50 % higher than closing lines.

[matt1216]

If it wasn't clear, that statement was directed at Omar, but apparently it applied to you as well. I truly do hope you placed a significant wager on Almagro with that expected probability. In any case, your spreads made it through somehow, so congratulations on that.

My point (to you above) was people liking Almagro so much should've bet on him much sooner when the odds were literally 50 % higher than closing lines.

Buddy I've been wagering tennis and nhl for awhile. I probably have one of the better nhl forums on SBR. I usually play the safer route for a reasons.... The over was a no brainer, if u were watching that match, almagro was about 8 inches from taking that first set.

[Hardcoar]

I never said it was a bad bet, did I? I said I think you should've placed a large wager on Almagro ML with the expected probability of yours, regardless of other bets.

Also, payouts are significantly worse on spreads, but that's a different story altogether. Just figured it might interest you to know.

[matt1216]

I never said it was a bad bet, did I? I said I think you should've placed a large wager on Almagro ML with the expected probability of yours, regardless of other bets.

Also, payouts are significantly worse on spreads, but that's a different story altogether. Just figured it might interest you to know.

No, I know what you mean. After watching all almagros collapses I couldn't trust him at all. It's sad if that guy had confidence he woulda beat nadal for sure, such a head case, probably the nastiest backhand on tennis, nadal is just smarter