Acapulco/Delray Beach/Dubai - I SPY!

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  • EaglesPhan36
    SBR Aristocracy
    • 12-06-06
    • 71662

    #36
    Adding ...

    Kuala Lumpur: Vekic -115
    Comment
    • EaglesPhan36
      SBR Aristocracy
      • 12-06-06
      • 71662

      #37
      February 26th
      Dubai: Baghdatis +4.5 [-145]
      Delray Beach: Soeda -125


      Will add more tomorrow, these to start.
      Comment
      • sportsguy04
        SBR Posting Legend
        • 10-21-08
        • 11885

        #38
        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
        Adding ...

        Kuala Lumpur: Vekic -115
        Gl! Was hard for me to bet on a 16 year old lol. I took the 27 year old veteran
        Comment
        • EaglesPhan36
          SBR Aristocracy
          • 12-06-06
          • 71662

          #39
          Gonna wait to book Soeda tomorrow. Seriously doubt the line will move against the price quoted above and perhaps will shift more towards a pick 'em.
          Comment
          • matt1216
            SBR Posting Legend
            • 10-27-11
            • 14683

            #40
            Hey EP, whats up with the Sock -113 and Ebden -113? Seems like a sucker line to me. The Average Money burner will be on Sock here. Sock had a so called upset win over Raonic, he also had a decent return game during the Memphis tournament. Raonic obviously tanked that himself. What has Ebden done lately? The line smells IMO
            Comment
            • lucasdawg
              SBR MVP
              • 02-19-13
              • 3399

              #41
              ebden is horrible at finishing he chokes up alot. a really bad match in his history is when he v youzhny at aus open. check that out.
              Comment
              • Yezzir
                SBR Wise Guy
                • 03-29-10
                • 933

                #42
                Only the Kuala Lumpar WD is available on Bet365. Strange.
                Comment
                • EaglesPhan36
                  SBR Aristocracy
                  • 12-06-06
                  • 71662

                  #43
                  Adding ..

                  Florianopolis: Rybarikova -130
                  Comment
                  • EaglesPhan36
                    SBR Aristocracy
                    • 12-06-06
                    • 71662

                    #44
                    Originally posted by matt1216
                    Hey EP, whats up with the Sock -113 and Ebden -113? Seems like a sucker line to me. The Average Money burner will be on Sock here. Sock had a so called upset win over Raonic, he also had a decent return game during the Memphis tournament. Raonic obviously tanked that himself. What has Ebden done lately? The line smells IMO
                    I think the thing keeping this line close is that Ebden beat him twice, although they are dated meetings in 2011. And Sock is still very young and prone to flops from week to week as he tries to find consistency on-tour. I don't think everything has clicked for him yet on how to handle an ATP schedule, so he's still a dodgy play at times IMO until he shows he can handle the grind.
                    Comment
                    • EaglesPhan36
                      SBR Aristocracy
                      • 12-06-06
                      • 71662

                      #45
                      Locked up Soeda as the price did indeed drop to -110. Might dip more, but I am good with that discount from -125.

                      Adding ....

                      Delray Beach: Reynolds +145
                      Comment
                      • MagicDiceFlow
                        SBR MVP
                        • 01-15-12
                        • 4585

                        #46
                        Ebden flat out sucks. He has absolutely no weapons. Probably one of the worst players in the top #150 currently. At least Sock has a strong serve that can keep him in the match. If Ebden gets broken once in a set, he's practically done that set. Even though he's young, I think Sock will build some momentum and confidence after that win over Raonic. His serving confidence will be at an alltime high(he outserved Raonic that match).

                        I'm going to fade Ebden every match he plays against players in the top #100. It's been profitable so far this year.

                        I've got a play on Sock for a few units.
                        Comment
                        • matt1216
                          SBR Posting Legend
                          • 10-27-11
                          • 14683

                          #47
                          Thanks guys for the input on sock and ebden..... Just took Llorda live... He dropped .50 cents right befor game time at my book... Hope he comes thru
                          Comment
                          • matt1216
                            SBR Posting Legend
                            • 10-27-11
                            • 14683

                            #48
                            Wow phau just dropped from 3.90 to 3.20 at bodog.... Vs lopez
                            Comment
                            • matt1216
                              SBR Posting Legend
                              • 10-27-11
                              • 14683

                              #49
                              Lets go:

                              Sock
                              Llordra
                              Becker
                              Phau
                              Soeda


                              Bol!
                              Comment
                              • Hardcoar
                                SBR Posting Legend
                                • 02-17-13
                                • 15606

                                #50
                                At what stage of the match and @ what did you take Ludder?

                                'Sup with Bjorn odds anyway? Lopez aight? :S

                                Edit: Bjorn – Lopez cancelled, it seems!

                                Also, how's Matosevic's blistaz doing?
                                Comment
                                • matt1216
                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                  • 10-27-11
                                  • 14683

                                  #51
                                  Originally posted by Hardcoar
                                  At what stage of the match and @ what did you take Ludder?

                                  'Sup with Bjorn odds anyway? Lopez aight? :S

                                  Edit: Bjorn – Lopez cancelled, it seems!

                                  Also, how's Matosevic's blistaz doing?
                                  I took Llordra +100 after he won first set lol
                                  Comment
                                  • EaglesPhan36
                                    SBR Aristocracy
                                    • 12-06-06
                                    • 71662

                                    #52
                                    Acapulco: Lorenzi +120
                                    Comment
                                    • davopnz
                                      SBR MVP
                                      • 02-12-12
                                      • 1736

                                      #53
                                      what do you think about ferrer under 18.5?
                                      Comment
                                      • CaptainOmar111
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 02-11-13
                                        • 2024

                                        #54
                                        Hello Man , what do you think about John Isner today against Jesse Levine ???

                                        Also What do you think about Michael Llodra X Dmitry Tursunov ??
                                        Comment
                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                          • 12-06-06
                                          • 71662

                                          #55
                                          Something still isn't right with Isner. They say his knee is fine, but either mentally or physically I think it's bothering him to some extent or the Davis Cup play just fukked with his schedule/rhythm. His last two losses were very poor to Haas & Istomin. His 2nd serve was shit against Istomin. Levine played him tough last year and you're probably seeing something similar again if Isner has better juice on his serve this week where it could be decided by less than three games. I don't know. Don't think Levine beats him at full strength, but less than 100% or just not giving a shit ... Isner is fairly ripe for anyone who can hold serve and stick with him. Levine's serve is deceptively good when it's on and he can get some quick holds. I'd say Over 23 should at least push, but with as bad as Isner looked on quicker courts ... who knows. Good no bet to me. Wait and see what version of Isner is here.

                                          Llodra-Tursunov ... I'd just look at whomever is the dog. Seems pretty likely to be Tursunov in that role. Llodra to me still is not a great outdoor hard court player. Beating whatever that was of Tsonga - whether he just didn't care of got putplayed - Tursunov likely gives you a full effort and challenges Llodra to be better.
                                          Comment
                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                            • 12-06-06
                                            • 71662

                                            #56
                                            Originally posted by davopnz
                                            what do you think about ferrer under 18.5?
                                            Pretty sure Ramos has dropped out, so unless your book has subbed in Veic as the Lucky Loser - your bet would be void anyhow. Against Ramos, I probably would have though over. Veic, he should break down easier - but last minute subs sometimes throw off guys who have prepped for someone else.
                                            Comment
                                            • davopnz
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 02-12-12
                                              • 1736

                                              #57
                                              yeah cheers for the heads up, was looking at ferrer to break 2nd came but chickened out grrr...any thoughts on wawrinkas match?
                                              Comment
                                              • EaglesPhan36
                                                SBR Aristocracy
                                                • 12-06-06
                                                • 71662

                                                #58
                                                No opinion. Really depends on effort level from Wawrinka after losing Sunday.
                                                Comment
                                                • matt1216
                                                  SBR Posting Legend
                                                  • 10-27-11
                                                  • 14683

                                                  #59
                                                  Lol ferrer layin a wood shed beating on Veic
                                                  Comment
                                                  • davopnz
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 02-12-12
                                                    • 1736

                                                    #60
                                                    yeah i shoulda known if there was won guy who wouldn't be thrown of his game it would be mr atp 250 vulcher ferrer
                                                    Comment
                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                      • 71662

                                                      #61
                                                      I think at least one dog barks in Acapulco to finish the night. Kuznetsov, Fognini or Bedene. Probably label the 1st and last the better shots, but who knows.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • davopnz
                                                        SBR MVP
                                                        • 02-12-12
                                                        • 1736

                                                        #62
                                                        thoughts on rafa under 17.5? i dont know anything about this diego character
                                                        Comment
                                                        • EaglesPhan36
                                                          SBR Aristocracy
                                                          • 12-06-06
                                                          • 71662

                                                          #63
                                                          Might be stubborn of me, but I refuse to bet Rafa matches right now. His knee still scares me even against the lower tier players. One set with a slow start and an over can happen, although it'd probably be wiser to bet on a 6-3, 6-2 type of match - but I would pass.
                                                          Comment
                                                          • EaglesPhan36
                                                            SBR Aristocracy
                                                            • 12-06-06
                                                            • 71662

                                                            #64
                                                            Been a good day, so I got a little extra to burn. Had this one marked to try, so WTF.

                                                            Adding ...

                                                            Acapulco: Bedene +220
                                                            Comment
                                                            • EaglesPhan36
                                                              SBR Aristocracy
                                                              • 12-06-06
                                                              • 71662

                                                              #65
                                                              Fogs is banging Wawa over the railing like it was Spring Break and Wawa was a drunk blonde from UCLA .. so far.
                                                              Comment
                                                              • jinxpro13
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 01-31-12
                                                                • 1434

                                                                #66
                                                                Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                Been a good day, so I got a little extra to burn. Had this one marked to try, so WTF.

                                                                Adding ...

                                                                Acapulco: Bedene +220
                                                                fat dave in a parlay of mine.. buzzkill
                                                                Comment
                                                                • EaglesPhan36
                                                                  SBR Aristocracy
                                                                  • 12-06-06
                                                                  • 71662

                                                                  #67
                                                                  Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                  I think at least one dog barks in Acapulco to finish the night. Kuznetsov, Fognini or Bedene. Probably label the 1st and last the better shots, but who knows.
                                                                  Watch me catch the only one that doesn't win in Bedene. eeesh. Fognini won already. Kuznetsov up a break in the 3rd. Smelly Shelly.
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • jinxpro13
                                                                    SBR MVP
                                                                    • 01-31-12
                                                                    • 1434

                                                                    #68
                                                                    henescu against donkey doo doo at 5 to 1 odds tomorrow? is that a joke?
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • EaglesPhan36
                                                                      SBR Aristocracy
                                                                      • 12-06-06
                                                                      • 71662

                                                                      #69
                                                                      He already dominated Hanescu in Doha this year. We've seen it for two years now, books setting ridiculous lines - doesn't mean the dog has a chance in hell.
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • jinxpro13
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 01-31-12
                                                                        • 1434

                                                                        #70
                                                                        Originally posted by EaglesPhan36
                                                                        He already dominated Hanescu in Doha this year. We've seen it for two years now, books setting ridiculous lines - doesn't mean the dog has a chance in hell.
                                                                        ahhh ... word. thanks.

                                                                        still, donkey doo doo at that price is bill murray funny to me. he's an UE machine lately. i may make a punt.
                                                                        Comment
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