Books That Matter

[ikid2groove415]

I bet big daily because I think I have an edge but I dont think my wager size is important but I average around 1800-2500 per game and that is because I used a fixed profit staking method.

Don’t you think players think different on bigger bets?

[SilverSpoon111]

shit I wish, I am a wanna be, I am not even close but I will say I am on the right track for sure!

If your betting 2k a game you better not be a wannabe...

[ikid2groove415]

If your betting 2k a game you better not be a wannabe...

That’s a lot money

[ikid2groove415]

Most of my deposit about 100-200- even done 20-40 before and had good Runs - previous years a lot higher

[SilverSpoon111]

That’s a lot money

[danshan11]

Don’t you think players think different on bigger bets?

I think they thing different on bigger bets on big dogs and that is a huge mistake, you got to be consistent, I get a game for example that is +230, that team has a low chance to win and you are laying big money because you need to hit a fixed profit mark and it makes you take a double stare and you should not.

[danshan11]

it seems like a lot of money but when you are working with such tiny margins, the volume has to be very high to see any return!

[ikid2groove415]

I think they thing different on bigger bets on big dogs and that is a huge mistake, you got to be consistent, I get a game for example that is +230, that team has a low chance to win and you are laying big money because you need to hit a fixed profit mark and it makes you take a double stare and you should not.

Im more of a NBA/NHL/college football guy - baseball is to much work

[danshan11]

If your betting 2k a game you better not be a wannabe...

Honesty NO brag NO BS
I am shit on baseball and my margin is so tiny I should probably pass until things improve
NBA and WNBA rock solid money maker and CLV all season NBA last year and this year WNBA killing it my model is solid AF. My lines are deadly accurate.
CFL it has started out very solid and I am very confident it will do well.
MLS shit I am not even close my lines are garbage, I need to back it way down until I get something real.
Overall +EV and make money, I know it sounds like every other schmuck out there but its true and my w/l lately looks shaky but shit that is called variance by the end I will be in the +, I am sure.

[ikid2groove415]

My 2 biggest bet that I ever lost was in baseball-
Both on the Red Sox with Bobby valentine as manager- Twice blew 9 inning leads 10k Each

[danshan11]

My 2 biggest bet that I ever lost was in baseball-
Both on the Red Sox with Bobby valentine as manager- Twice blew 9 inning leads 10k Each

I have a side thing I do with baseball and I bet about 8 on it but it is a quirky little weird thing. I never count the plays or posts in my records and keep the picks private!

[ikid2groove415]

Weird thing is biggest win was also in baseball - 3-4 years back maybe even 5- When CC was in his prime for the Yankees - They came into Oakland as hugh favorites -
This was when Oakland still had Donaldson/Cespedes- Oakland was starting to get good again !! I was down 7-8 grand in South Lake Tahoe - ask my ex wife can I take a crack at Oakland ? Ended up winning 17k as big underdogs in extra innings - man I couldn’t describe that feeling lol - I was on cloud 9 man

[SilverSpoon111]

I have a side thing I do with baseball and I bet about 8 on it but it is a quirky little weird thing. I never count the plays or posts in my records and keep the picks private!

[danshan11]

Weird thing is biggest win was also in baseball - 3-4 years back maybe even 5- When CC was in his prime for the Yankees - They came into Oakland as high favorites -
This was when Oakland still had Donaldson/Cespedes- Oakland was starting to get good again !! I was down 7-8 grand in South Lake Tahoe - ask my ex wife can I take a crack at Oakland ? Ended up winning 17k as big underdogs in extra innings - man I couldn’t describe that feeling lol - I was on cloud 9 man

I do not watch any games (to avoid any opinions) and I do not pay attention to any sports news ( to avoid influence). I bet purely on the model, no judgment of any kind and always 1.XX to win 1 on faves and .XX to win 1 on dogs, never varies.

[ikid2groove415]

I do not watch any games (to avoid any opinions) and I do not pay attention to any sports news ( to avoid influence). I bet purely on the model, no judgment of any kind and always 1.XX to win 1 on faves and .XX to win 1 on dogs, never varies.

I Probly watch about 70% the games I bet on - i love sports - good philosophy you got !!

[jbayko]

it seems like a lot of money but when you are working with such tiny margins, the volume has to be very high to see any return!

That, plus once you've bet enough to gain confidence in the profitability of your process, the size of the bet has less of a psychological impact because you know that you're going to be fine in the long run.

[ikid2groove415]

That, plus once you've bet enough to gain confidence in the profitability of your process, the size of the bet has less of a psychological impact because you know that you're going to be fine in the long run.

That easy eh?

[SilverSpoon111]

That, plus once you've bet enough to gain confidence in the profitability of your process, the size of the bet has less of a psychological impact because you know that you're going to be fine in the long run.

[danshan11]

That easy eh?

I think its more like you got to understand that in betting things happen and trust the process.
I really focus on line value as people here know already but as long as the line value looks good the game result means nothing to me. I am down a ton of units right now and I am not concerned as long as the line value stays there BUT dont get it twisted a streak of losses or some tough big fave losses makes you think am I cursed is my shit luck so bad that I cant even win with an edge, that happens at least for me!

[danshan11]

to get an idea how bad this is my last 29 results, I had a couple big private wins in there but this is my current last 30

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

P

W

L

L

L

W

W

L

L

L

W

L

L

L

W

L

L

L

W

L

[ikid2groove415]

I think its more like you got to understand that in betting things happen and trust the process.
I really focus on line value as people here know already but as long as the line value looks good the game result means nothing to me. I am down a ton of units right now and I am not concerned as long as the line value stays there BUT dont get it twisted a streak of losses or some tough big fave losses makes you think am I cursed is my shit luck so bad that I cant even win with an edge, that happens at least for me!

Very good point bro - I just have no fcking dicipine - (very sad)

[danshan11]

I mean dont forget those nights you won big on the roulette or crap table or playing video poker at a bar late at night, those are someone else with an edge and you cleaned their clock!

[ikid2groove415]

I mean dont forget those nights you won big on the roulette or crap table or playing video poker at a bar late at night, those are someone else with an edge and you cleaned their clock!

Never really mess with table games- had a few blackjack table games- but I’m a sports junkie - I do remember my ex wife winning 1K on wheel of fortune slot machine

[SilverSpoon111]

to get an idea how bad this is my last 29 results, I had a couple big private wins in there but this is my current last 30

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

L

P

W

L

L

L

W

W

L

L

L

W

L

L

L

W

L

L

L

W

L

LOL dude you really expect us to believe this ok say you said you bet betwen $1,800 and 2,500 a game ok so will got avg 2k per game 29x2000 = 58,000 in total bets in your last 29 games and your down 42k???? WOW those last 100 results better been killer and you must have a unlimited Bankroll to be down 42k and steal firing away there 2k air bets

[danshan11]

bet amount does not make a difference, if I bet 10 dollars or 2 million is all relative, dont get caught up on that, If I am a billionaire losing 100k a game it might have the same effect as a guy losing 20 a game making 10 bucks an hour.

[ikid2groove415]

LOL dude you really expect us to believe this ok say you said you bet betwen $1,800 and 2,500 a game ok so will got avg 2k per game 29x2000 = 58,000 in total bets in your last 29 games and your down 42k???? WOW those last 100 results better been killer and you must have a unlimited Bankroll to be down 42k and steal firing away there 2k air bets

I auctually believe the guy - I can smell a fake easily on this forum - he doesn’t claim that he wins all the time - seems to have good dicipline

[SilverSpoon111]

So if your balling out of control and been here for over a year why not drop a hundo and become a pro?

[ikid2groove415]

So if your balling out of control and been here for over a year why not drop a hundo and become a pro?

Pro thing is nonsense - most fake pros here don’t know shit about sports

[danshan11]

now here is the CLV for those 29 games pre margin varies on some its not all baseball or pinny

-0.21%
0.68%
1.78%
1.40%
2.38%
3.05%
-4.49%
-0.48%
4.10%
0.92%
5.16%
-0.72%
-1.21%
0.84%
6.52%
0.00%
1.47%
1.69%
2.05%
6.57%
2.25%
0.51%
6.34%
0.49%
0.00%
1.60%
-2.15%
-0.96%
0.17%

[SilverSpoon111]

I auctually believe the guy - I can smell a fake easily on this forum - he doesn’t claim that he wins all the time - seems to have good dicipline

If that aint ever bullshit if i saw it first he claims hes just a wanna be to betting 2,500 a game your not talking to a moron then he post these last 29 results and down 42k wake up lol thats all you need. First off any real pro bettor isnt losing that many in a row in 29 games epecially firing almost 2,500 per game.

[SilverSpoon111]

now here is the CLV for those 29 games pre margin varies on some its not all baseball or pinny

-0.21%
0.68%
1.78%
1.40%
2.38%
3.05%
-4.49%
-0.48%
4.10%
0.92%
5.16%
-0.72%
-1.21%
0.84%
6.52%
0.00%
1.47%
1.69%
2.05%
6.57%
2.25%
0.51%
6.34%
0.49%
0.00%
1.60%
-2.15%
-0.96%
0.17%

These number mean nothing

[ikid2groove415]

If that aint ever bullshit if i saw it first he claims hes just a wanna be to betting 2,500 a game your not talking to a moron then he post these last 29 results and down 42k wake up lol thats all you need. First off any real pro bettor isnt losing that many in a row in 29 games epecially firing almost 2,500 per game.

He never said that he’s a pro? You can’t appricate the honesty? Guess u rather have him lie?

[danshan11]

Pro thing is nonsense - most fake pros here no shit about sports

what is a pro here on the forum? I only post to share my thoughts and learn, my true goal is to keep learning and write a good book(with an actual writer of course(my grammar skills are horrid, get good enough to retire, bet and cap. The most important thing to me would be the book at the end of course but I am not close to there, not even close enough to even be talking about it really, anyone that knows me or reads my stuff probably laughs at my skill level but I am not there yet, just my thought!

[ikid2groove415]

Bro you know gambling is tough? Gotta respect the honest guys -

[danshan11]

These number mean nothing

why do you think the line value numbers mean nothing, I feel like they are super important, why dont you, can you elaborate?