Zizou's picks 2012/2013

[JKosack7]

Literally as I was typing that, a goal was scored haha maybe I should just stop watching to win

[zizoudane10]

Well, to answer your question, I had a few reasons to play this over: 1860 and Paderborn need this win. Two teams that had higher hopes than place 6 and 8 and are offensively underrated imho. Lauth and Stoppelkamp were really good in the last games (Lauth scored again today). 1860 scored 2 and got 2 against Union, Paderborn scored 2 and got 2 against Dresden. So I expected more than this. That's just not good enough. Paderborn is pretty helpless from what I see now, they don't seem to have any ideas offensively.
The total was also changed from 2.25 to 2.5, so it looked like the right move in this spot. Guess it wasn't.

[Gndias]

ugly game

[zizoudane10]

ugly game

No question about this.

[Gndias]

what do u guys think about the Qpr game?

[zizoudane10]

what do u guys think about the Qpr game?

I think QPR might manage to get a draw today.

[zizoudane10]

Adding:

Germany, Bundesliga, Eintracht Frankfurt - FSV Mainz 05, over 2.5 @1.91 4/10 (Pinnacle)

Frankfurt is offensively impressive and shaky on the defense. Like this one.

[Gndias]

everybody on the under....hmmm taking Hannover Ml for the bigger bet of the day

[zizoudane10]

Hannover should get the job done, agree.

[zizoudane10]

Rayo with multiple chances, even Las Palmas had a few and still no goals Under day written all over....

[Vaughany]

Rayo with multiple chances, even Las Palmas had a few and still no goals Under day written all over....

yeah Im tempted to play Over on Aberdeen/Inverness after seeing Aberdeen's makeshift team full of attacking players but just seems to be a lot of unders at moment!

[zizoudane10]

yeah Im tempted to play Over on Aberdeen/Inverness after seeing Aberdeen's makeshift team full of attacking players but just seems to be a lot of unders at moment!

Yeah, it's crazy today. Look at all these games and how many went under. Not a good day for overs at all today. Damn...

[zizoudane10]

At least the over in the Frankfurt game hit really early and saves my as.s today, leaving me with only a small loss. Rayo able to score twice against teams like Malaga and unable to score a single one against a shitty defense like Las Palmas. Incredible.... 27 shots, no goal at all.
It was ok to lose the 1860 pick, but this game amazes me....
Should have gone a lot bigger on the Frankfurt game though, but ok, I didn't.

[JKosack7]

Hey, would you take Real Madrid/Alcoy over 3.5 goals for -180?? Seems like its a very good bet even with the juice

[Vaughany]

Yeah, it's crazy today. Look at all these games and how many went under. Not a good day for overs at all today. Damn...

fuuck should of played the Over! 1-1 at half time

[zizoudane10]

Hey, would you take Real Madrid/Alcoy over 3.5 goals for -180?? Seems like its a very good bet even with the juice

Sorry pal, was out having dinner! Hope you didn't play it, because my answer would have been no. Alcoyano has a stable defense, they know how to keep their goal free from intruders + Real with lots of substitutes today and what I saw from the first squad in the last games didn't impress me a single bit. Copa del Rey is always hard to bet on, I have made the same mistake today. You never know with this cup, teams don't always care about it.

fuuck should of played the Over! 1-1 at half time

Damn man.... 2:3 now. But you know how it goes: If you would have played it, it would be 0:1 now I think there might be enough money this week elsewhere!

[Bluedragon]

nobody see those tatas this morn???

[zizoudane10]

nobody see those tatas this morn???

Ha, I did man! At least one here is doing a good job! Keep up the good work pal!

[zizoudane10]

Two early picks for today:

Germany, 2.Bundesliga, 1860 München - Paderborn, over 2.5 @2.07 2/10

Spain, Copa del Rey, Rayo Vallecano - Las Palmas, over 3 @2.14 2/10 Maybe I'll have one or two more.

Fubar, that's all I have to say. 1:0 and 0:0 () -4 units

Adding:

Germany, Bundesliga, Eintracht Frankfurt - FSV Mainz 05, over 2.5 @1.91 4/10 (Pinnacle)

Frankfurt is offensively impressive and shaky on the defense. Like this one.

That one was a good one, and I'm mad that I didn't go bigger on it. +3.64 units

-0.36 units today

31 wins, 33 losses, 6 push -----> +6.065 units

[zizoudane10]

Having an eye on Union Espanola - Colo Colo tomorrow. Over 3 seems like a must bet here. Pinnacle has no lines up for this one yet, bet365 has it at @1.85 but with 5% taxes I don't like it a single bit. So hopefully Pinny will have lines for this one as the day continues.

[zizoudane10]

what do u guys think about the Qpr game?

I think QPR might manage to get a draw today.

And just btw: Why didn't I put a bet on it?? I totally forgot about this one, damn I'm an idiot

[Vaughany]

And just btw: Why didn't I put a bet on it?? I totally forgot about this one, damn I'm an idiot

ha yeah I said to my workmate earlier it's probably worth just betting the draw on both prem games (equal stakes) or Under 2 goals, at least one of the two is going to hit. Didnt pull the trigger tho Tempted to try it with Everton/Arsenal, Swansea/WBA, and Spurs/Liverpool tomorrow night. Maybe Stoke/Newcastle as well although Stoke should be winning that at home what with all of Newcastle's injuries...Newcastle lack any creativity without Ben Arfa and Cabaye.

[Vaughany]

Oh and good play on the Mainz game, that was the only Bundesliga game that interested me today for betting, intended to play Mainz Over 1 goal on Pinnacle, got distracted with focusing on English games and Scottish games and then before I knew it the game had started so missed the chance to bet on it! Another

[Vaughany]

Sorry pal, was out having dinner! Hope you didn't play it, because my answer would have been no. Alcoyano has a stable defense, they know how to keep their goal free from intruders + Real with lots of substitutes today and what I saw from the first squad in the last games didn't impress me a single bit. Copa del Rey is always hard to bet on, I have made the same mistake today. You never know with this cup, teams don't always care about it.

Damn man.... 2:3 now. But you know how it goes: If you would have played it, it would be 0:1 now I think there might be enough money this week elsewhere!

yeah still hit the Over 3 live-in-play when it was 1-0 and hit Watford PK but they were only small compared to some of my other plays

[Gndias]

what do u mean by 5% taxes on bet365?

[pellumb341]

if he bet 100 units , bet365 deducts 5 units for tax purposes.

So if he bets 100 units @2.00 and the bet is a winner , he gets 190 units ,not 200 units

[Gndias]

thank you for the help

[pellumb341]

thank you for the help

i know that because i used to use the account of a friend of mine who studies in Germany.I stopped using it in July when the new law (5% tax on stakes) came in force.Zizuzidane has also explained the law some posts above.

[Gndias]

yeah i did a small read...just did not remember it was 5%..and complaint about betfair eheheh

tks again

[BrownSugarUSA]

Why are WBA $3 against Swansea?

[alexschillig]

Any lean on Chelsea Fulham tomorrow?

[Vaughany]

Why are WBA $3 against Swansea?

Swansea have only lost 1 game at home I guess (unbeaten in last 4)

[Bluedragon]

[steveq]

WOW

[ATTACH]50768[/ATTACH]

[zizoudane10]

Why are WBA $3 against Swansea?

Vaughany already mentioned it. But I have to admit, that the AHC 0 for WBA seems a bit too high imo.

Any lean on Chelsea Fulham tomorrow?

Lean yes, play no. Gun to the head, I would take Chelsea -1 and the over, but I will def. stay wide away from this one.

Swansea have only lost 1 game at home I guess (unbeaten in last 4)