Zizou's picks 2012/2013

[zizoudane10]

Japan, J-League, Kashiwa Reysol - Yokohama Marinos, under 2.5 @2.1 (Pinnacle) 1.5/10 -1.5 u

A little risky here, but I don't see any real reason why the over is dropping that much. Could easily see a 1:1 here. Small stake, but I have to take a shot.
Have a meeting right now, likely more games to come later.

42 wins, 49 losses, 14 push -----> -0.97 units

[hundo]

Eh at least you played small stake, live-bet the over 3.5?

[zizoudane10]

Eh at least you played small stake, live-bet the over 3.5?

Of course, small stake here, no problem. Should have taken Kashiwa live though because they were the dominating team. Yokohama is pushing right now to get the equalizer, over 3.5 could happen here, but right now I don't like the price.

[hundo]

Yeah sounds good; just like to learn the thought process of the veteran punters!

[zizoudane10]

One bet for me today (most of the US-guys can't play it unfortunately...)

Italy, Seria A, AS Roma - Chievo, over 5 cards (asian) + over 11.5 corners = @3.65 (bet365) 2.5/10

[onemoregoal]

hey didnt realise you could do that double... interesting.
im limited there anyway. After one losing bet. lol

[zizoudane10]

hey didnt realise you could do that double... interesting.
im limited there anyway. After one losing bet. lol

Yeah, the possibility do combine those bets is great.
I know man, I'm running out of friends to open new accounts there for me
But I think I wrote it somewhere in this thread: when betting with Euro-Bookies (and especially bet365) I do this: Whenever possible I'm not betting pregame. 250 pregame there would limit your account in no time. I'm waiting until the game started and bet it afterwards. Limits are higher live anyways, and I found out that it really helps to extend the lifespan of my accounts.

[zizoudane10]

Want to get this in early because I expect it to drop a little:
Tomorrow.

Spain, La Liga, Real Madrid - Malaga, Malaga +1.5 @2.44 (Pinnacle) 4/10

[zizoudane10]

One bet for me today (most of the US-guys can't play it unfortunately...)

Italy, Seria A, AS Roma - Chievo, over 5 cards (asian) + over 11.5 corners = @3.65 (bet365) 2.5/10

Oh come on, now that's just ridiculous.
20(!) corners and 4 yellow cards. ALL 4 yellow cards in the 1st half. Even touching the ball with the hand wasn't worth a yellow card in the eyes of the referee. That's just plain and simple fcked up. Honestly. Pissed off right now.
-2.5 u

42 wins, 50 losses, 14 push -----> -3.47 units

[zizoudane10]

Want to get this in early because I expect it to drop a little:
Tomorrow.

Spain, La Liga, Real Madrid - Malaga, Malaga +1.5 @2.44 (Pinnacle) 4/10

Quoting myself here just to add a little explanation:
Real Madrid is qualified for the CL. Nothing to play for anymore really, they are 11 points behind Barcelona so it would be theoretically possible to get them but that's highly unlikable.
But more important for me here: Mourinho has cut every band there ever was between him and his team. It has come to the point where most of the team really hates him, and I'm not overexaggarating here. There are exactly 3 players left that have his back: Modric, Essien, Lopez. That's it.
Malaga on the other hand needs the points. They lost (like I expected) 1:0 against Granada (which helps Granada a lot), now they need the points to qualify for the EL. It's a complicated situation, some of you may say: Why would they want to qualify, they are not allowed to play international next year anyway? That's true. But here's the point: They are not allowed to play in the Europacup next year, but they need to qualify. The punishment is for the next qualifying season, not for the next year! If they don't qualify this year, but next --> no Europa next year, too.
I sprinkled half a unit on the ML @14.32 as well, but that doesn't matter here.
Point is: I don't feel a blowout win for Madrid today. Malaga has a great defense, I think (and hope) they should be very capable of slowing down the game.

[zizoudane10]

And here's off to a great start
Good thing is I can't watch it right now cause I'm at a barbecue. But what fcking great news when your mobile buzzes and it's 1:0 Real after 2 minutes.

[BrianKay]

Great defense that is playing a better offense. Maybe RM will sub out the super stars early and let the 10-sided malaga back in it! Lol...probably not.

[zizoudane10]

Talking about great defense... Reals is clearly not.
(Whole game's a travesty though....)

[BrianKay]

Are the goal keepers playing?

[BrianKay]

We need the +1.5 to hold on lol

[andyrocha90]

ok the penalty was a fair call, red card might have been a bit harsh. but it was a clean save. and then the indirect penalty call was bs, first of all goalie was injured and ref never stopped play and second defensive player didnt pass the ball to goalie, it was unintentional, that was a bs call to give them a indirect penalty. I knew +2 line was funny when I saw it and now it makes sense, fixed game.

[zizoudane10]

ok the penalty was a fair call, red card might have been a bit harsh. but it was a clean save. and then the indirect penalty call was bs, first of all goalie was injured and ref never stopped play and second defensive player didnt pass the ball to goalie, it was unintentional, that was a bs call to give them a indirect penalty. I knew +2 line was funny when I saw it and now it makes sense, fixed game.

Fcking AMEN. Came in from outside to watch this exact scene. What a fcking joke that was, you gotta be kidding. Red card wasn't necessary as well. We were 25 min in the game ffs. What the ref does there outside looks like he has house, car, wife, kids and dog all on this game. I went outside again, no need to watch this travesty.

[zizoudane10]

-4 u
I'll never mention this game again. Fix, travesty.

42 wins, 51 losses, 14 push -----> -7.47 units

[onemoregoal]

come back zizou......