BigBurk's soccer thread

[BigBurk]

Tuesday:

Aston Villa (ENG-P) -105* vs Bolton (ENG-P) (1x)

These might be the two teams who have been struggling more than ever in their Premier League history. Aston Villa to only have won 1 out of their last 13 games on a 15th place and Bolton even on the 19th place in serious danger of relegation.

Both teams have every chance to relegate and both have every chance to stay in the Premier League if they can bring the last three matches to a positive end. With Aston Villa having three tough matches to end the season I expect them to fully commit tonight to avoid another loss at home.
I have this game set at 2-1 and am therefore rolling with the money line tonight.

Good luck!

[BigBurk]

Some info on this weekends match between Feyenoord and AZ; both John Guidetti (sick) and El Ahmadi (suspended) will miss this clash on behalf of Feyenoord.

I expect the books to open on pk due to this news. If so (and with a little luck it will open at AZ pk, +0.5) I will be all over AZ. Feyenoord without these two would not even be close to the 3rd place they are at right now.

[Shredder]

Huge blow for them, liked AZ even before it but but now it's even better.

[BigBurk]

Yeah, only you liked AZ for a whole other reason.

[BigBurk]

Are you ******* serious Aston Villa? From 1-0 to 1-2 in 3 minutes?!

0-1 today, -1.05x

[BigBurk]

Huge blow for them, liked AZ even before it but but now it's even better.

Line opened at AZ +½ -140.

I'm taking the pk, +½ for sure when I am able to.

[BigBurk]

YTD 14-12-1 = +1.19x

After a great start there has been a nasty slump recently where nothing seems to be going the right way! Hoping to start a new run very soon.

[Shredder]

Sneijder finally scores again in a game... Hope he gets fit in time ^^

You like anything today?

(edit: make that two goals!)

[BigBurk]

Yeah a fully fit Sneijder can do magic on the EC this summer. Gonna be a problem though if Sneijder, Huntelaar and van Persie are all fit... One will be on the bench.

I kinda like Bayern +1, 1.5 tonight. Gonna wait a bit though and do some more research.

[Shredder]

I like Bayern to advance as well, but I doubt I will pull the trigger.

[BigBurk]

I like Bayern to advance as well, but I doubt I will pull the trigger.

Yet you did

[BigBurk]

Bayern Munchen (UCL) +1,+1½ -122* vs Real Madrid (UCL) (1x)

I really think this spread is a bit too much given the circumstances. Yes, Madrid is great at home. And yes, this could end in a two goal margin victory for Los Galacticos. But Madrid always seems to have troubles playing Bayern. Madrid is going to attack the Germans from the second the ref blows his whistle to start this match and with players like Robben and Ribery there will be plenty of chances to come out quick. I dó expect Real to win this matchup, but I think this will be a 1 goal victory; probably leading to overtime.

Oh, I forgot to mention that the final is being played in Munchen...

Good luck to all who are playing this match tonight.

[NotSammySosa]

how did you win a +1, +1 1/2 because I just lost a Juventus (0 and -0.5) bet when Juve won by a goal?
just started betting on soccer

[BigBurk]

I don't think the line on Juventus you are talking about even exists? Thought I saw -2? If you bet Juventus pk (0), -0.5 you should have won full wager.

If Bayern loses by 1 goal tonight, I get half my wager back, and win the other half. Get it?

[NotSammySosa]

I don't think the line on Juventus you are talking about even exists? Thought I saw -2? If you bet Juventus pk (0), -0.5 you should have won full wager.

If Bayern loses by 1 goal tonight, I get half my wager back, and win the other half. Get it?

I did a live bet 1 minute before they scored. got half my wager back.

[BigBurk]

If you got half your wager back you were betting -1, -0.5

[BigBurk]

Did Robben seriously miss that chance? Omg....

[soul786]

Did Robben seriously miss that chance? Omg....

He shoulda put that in, their not going to get many chances like that in the game

[BigBurk]

This one could be heading to a punishment for Bayern.

[BigBurk]

Well, after a 2-0 deficit a half stakes win is welcome. +0.5x today.

[Shredder]

:d Looked like a goner after quick 2-0. Gratz on the half.

[NotSammySosa]

If you got half your wager back you were betting -1, -0.5

looks like the bet was placed when juve had the 1-0 lead. so i needed them to score again.
but i won with bayern so no worries

if ramos doesn't like madrid i'm sure a couple of NFL teams would offer him a spot on their roster. teams are always looking for kickers

[BigBurk]

if ramos doesn't like madrid i'm sure a couple of NFL teams would offer him a spot on their roster. teams are always looking for kickers

[BigBurk]

YTD 15-12-1 = +1.69x

Thursday:

Sporting Lisboa (UEFA-Europa) +1 -107* vs Athletic Bilbao (UEFA-Europa) (1x)

[Shredder]

Gonna be a fun game to watch I think, good luck!

[BigBurk]

Thanks! I honestly think Sporting can win this straight up, but just be sure bought myself some insurance.

Question for the 5dimes users; close to the start of games the lines to buy some point become available. Sometimes some do and some don't (5d doesn't give me the option to buy points on every game). Now, I've heard from some others that they can start buying points from the time the lines are released.

How on earth is this not available for me then? For instance; AZ at Feyenoord now stands at +½ -140, but I want to take it as pk, +½. Is there anyone who uses 5dimes and already can get another line than the initially released one?!

[swordsandtequila]

Seems to me I don't get any extra options 'til day of said match, and sometimes then not right away. Pretty consistent from what I've seen. The AZ/Fey match isn't 'til Sunday; I think 5Ds (and others) probably posts an initial line, almost a test line, then calculates additional lines based on early action. Purely a guess. Easy way to limit exposure (in case of injury, etc.). Like I said, purely a guess as I'm no expert.

[BigBurk]

Yeah, I think you are right. Just have to wait until match day!

Seems like almost this whole forum is on Bilbao tonight.

[swordsandtequila]

I don't know what I'm going to play. Was looking at the over in the Valencia match, but now I think Madrid may just park and protect their lead. Different opinions all over the forum. Both these matches look prime for live betting, too bad we don't have that option with 5Ds. Hope I live long enough to see the day when the powers that be get off their moral high horses (or succumb to pressure) and let Vegas offer internet betting. Would create a ton of taxable revenue, and keep it here instead of offshore. I'm US if you haven't guessed . But that's a rant for another day. Good luck today.

[BigBurk]

Hehe thanks bud, same to you!

[BigBurk]

I'm not waiting till sunday for the AZ play, just saw that the line moved from (+0.5) -140 to -127 and locked it in. Great price for a great line imo.

[BigBurk]

Oh, that is a welcome goal just before the end of the 1H.

[BigBurk]

Jesus christ

[BigBurk]

Un-*******-believable, the childish Sporting defending.

[BigBurk]

YTD 15-12-1 = +1.69x

Thursday:

Sporting Lisboa (UEFA-Europa) +1 -107* vs Athletic Bilbao (UEFA-Europa) (1x)

I just can't catch a break lately. Hoping this weekend will serves better results.

YTD 15-13-1 = +0.62x