A-League Handicapping 2011/12

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  • cro
    SBR MVP
    • 09-16-09
    • 1088

    #736
    by the way i'm not crying because i have adelaide, i have the over also, so if sydney wins so do i anyway.
    it's just frustrating , its like having 2 Aces in poker and losing to AJ
    Comment
    • MatI
      SBR Hall of Famer
      • 02-17-11
      • 5200

      #737
      I was just trying to point out it was too early to get so upset. Indeed so, 1-2!

      I hadn't been watching every minute of play, but I thought the goal to get adelaide to 1-0 was very weak too. It was an excellent corner kick, but would never have been a corner if not for the silly mistake by Sydney. It also seemed like Sydney had most of the strong attacks on goals through the 1st half, never minding the score.
      Comment
      • Puda
        SBR MVP
        • 03-26-10
        • 1798

        #738
        2-2 .. im cheering for you guys.. cmon blues..
        Comment
        • Aussiecapper101
          SBR MVP
          • 09-04-10
          • 2220

          #739
          Another 5 minutes and they would have won 4-2, but everything looks good in hindsight I guess..
          Going to bed a loser tonight for the first time since last weekend! It's ouch but will keep my chin up. (again they proved how hard this league is to predict!) ffs
          Comment
          • Puda
            SBR MVP
            • 03-26-10
            • 1798

            #740
            Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
            Another 5 minutes and they would have won 4-2, but everything looks good in hindsight I guess.. Going to bed a loser tonight for the first time since last weekend! It's ouch but will keep my chin up. (again they proved how hard this league is to predict!) ffs
            not playing spurs v chelski?
            Comment
            • cro
              SBR MVP
              • 09-16-09
              • 1088

              #741
              Originally posted by MatI
              I was just trying to point out it was too early to get so upset. Indeed so, 1-2! I hadn't been watching every minute of play, but I thought the goal to get adelaide to 1-0 was very weak too. It was an excellent corner kick, but would never have been a corner if not for the silly mistake by Sydney. It also seemed like Sydney had most of the strong attacks on goals through the 1st half, never minding the score.
              I was just annoyed because i thought the ref was being inconsistent. I'm just sick of refs affecting games (doesn't matter if i have money on games or not) He sent an adelaide player off like i predicted for a tackle that a sydney player was doing all game. My analysis was good and i went the right way in the end and won both the over and the +0.5 / +1 .

              Anyway i'm getting fired up over nothing lol

              I just wanted to punish pinnacle for making adelaide 6 to 1
              Comment
              • PLF
                SBR MVP
                • 12-21-11
                • 1404

                #742
                Will probably be close but I'd go for a narrow Spurs victory as well.

                Only problem is Bale is 'very doubtful' according to Redknapp! Might be BS Mind-game comment before match though. Wouldn't be surprised if he plays.
                Comment
                • MatI
                  SBR Hall of Famer
                  • 02-17-11
                  • 5200

                  #743
                  Originally posted by cro

                  I was just annoyed because i thought the ref was being inconsistent. I'm just sick of refs affecting games (doesn't matter if i have money on games or not) He sent an adelaide player off like i predicted for a tackle that a sydney player was doing all game. My analysis was good and i went the right way in the end and won both the over and the +0.5 / +1 .

                  Anyway i'm getting fired up over nothing lol

                  I just wanted to punish pinnacle for making adelaide 6 to 1
                  The blood can get the game boiling at times! Adelaide was such good value, a ridiculous price. books would have made a killing! I am kicking myself I didn't take the over as well.
                  Comment
                  • Puda
                    SBR MVP
                    • 03-26-10
                    • 1798

                    #744
                    Originally posted by MatI
                    The blood can get the game boiling at times! Adelaide was such good value, a ridiculous price. books would have made a killing! I am kicking myself I didn't take the over as well.
                    not to worry. I felt something was wrong with this game... the blues ml was way too low. Hence why I stayed away, pity it went over, stuffed my multi..

                    lots of value A League tomorrow.

                    playing the spurs/chelski draw.
                    Comment
                    • LovetoSpooge
                      SBR Sharp
                      • 11-20-10
                      • 426

                      #745
                      I hedged at 70 minutes or so to gaurantee 300 for all results. Sydney were definitely overpriced.
                      Comment
                      • MatI
                        SBR Hall of Famer
                        • 02-17-11
                        • 5200

                        #746
                        Agreed, plenty of value for rest of A-League weekend. !

                        I am thinking spurs to win, but may just lay DNB.
                        Comment
                        • LovetoSpooge
                          SBR Sharp
                          • 11-20-10
                          • 426

                          #747
                          Alreaady took Roar when they were 2.30 massive overreaction in price they're down to 2.10 now but still worth it in my book.
                          Comment
                          • Puda
                            SBR MVP
                            • 03-26-10
                            • 1798

                            #748
                            Originally posted by MatI
                            Agreed, plenty of value for rest of A-League weekend. ! I am thinking spurs to win, but may just lay DNB.
                            Got some big picks for tomorrow.. gonna load up big I think.

                            Originally posted by LovetoSpooge
                            Alreaady took Roar when they were 2.30 massive overreaction in price they're down to 2.10 now but still worth it in my book.
                            Correct, but would like to see the team sheet before laying on them.
                            Comment
                            • Aussiecapper101
                              SBR MVP
                              • 09-04-10
                              • 2220

                              #749
                              Originally posted by Puda
                              not playing spurs v chelski?
                              Nar mate, I don't know what direction Chelsea are heading at the moment and Gareth bale out worries me too much in this spot

                              Gl tho
                              Comment
                              • Puda
                                SBR MVP
                                • 03-26-10
                                • 1798

                                #750
                                Originally posted by Aussiecapper101
                                Nar mate, I don't know what direction Chelsea are heading at the moment and Gareth bale out worries me too much in this spot Gl tho
                                I'm 33.33% sure it will be a draw..
                                Comment
                                • MatI
                                  SBR Hall of Famer
                                  • 02-17-11
                                  • 5200

                                  #751
                                  I am thinking Spurs will shock alot of people here. Spurs win!
                                  Comment
                                  • Puda
                                    SBR MVP
                                    • 03-26-10
                                    • 1798

                                    #752
                                    Originally posted by Puda
                                    Small plays again.
                                    Sydney/Reds - Under 2.5 & Spurs/Chelski Draw -
                                    Spurs/Chelski Draw - not convinced of Spurs can beat Chelski... 1-1, 2-2

                                    .
                                    profit again.
                                    Comment
                                    • MatI
                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                      • 02-17-11
                                      • 5200

                                      #753
                                      Originally posted by Puda

                                      profit again.
                                      Nice work.
                                      Comment
                                      • Puda
                                        SBR MVP
                                        • 03-26-10
                                        • 1798

                                        #754
                                        Originally posted by MatI
                                        Nice work.
                                        Ty. Can't wait to hear your and Aussie's A League plays for tonight.
                                        Comment
                                        • MatI
                                          SBR Hall of Famer
                                          • 02-17-11
                                          • 5200

                                          #755
                                          heading out for last minute xmas shopping! Will put my thoughts up when i get back.
                                          Comment
                                          • Aussiecapper101
                                            SBR MVP
                                            • 09-04-10
                                            • 2220

                                            #756
                                            Nice puda
                                            Comment
                                            • Puda
                                              SBR MVP
                                              • 03-26-10
                                              • 1798

                                              #757
                                              My first bet for tonight.

                                              Wellington Phoenix ML
                                              Wellington Phoenix -1

                                              Jets are horrid on the road, whilst the opposite can be said with Wellington at home... Hopefully this is reflected in the match.

                                              gl fellas.
                                              Comment
                                              • MatI
                                                SBR Hall of Famer
                                                • 02-17-11
                                                • 5200

                                                #758
                                                Originally posted by Puda
                                                Wellington Phoenix ML
                                                Let's get it. My choice as well.

                                                Purely on statistics, this is def the play. Newcastle Jets have not won away this year and only 1 draw. Wellington are the complete opposite, going 4-1-2 at home this year. Should be a good spot for the Phoenix.

                                                Melb heart vs Melb Victory - will be a good game, I am leaning Victory to win this, I think they are rolling now. Not decided yet on the ML or Asian Handicap @ 0.0/-0.5. I will also take Both Teams to Score - YES @ 1.80

                                                And finally CCM to WIN @ 2.00. Great value!!!
                                                Comment
                                                • showtiime
                                                  SBR MVP
                                                  • 06-16-11
                                                  • 2850

                                                  #759
                                                  Yeah on wellington as well, jets only scored once on their travels this year while conceding a fair few, as mentioned, phoenix home form is more than decent and have only conceded once in their last 3 at home and that was against Sydney.
                                                  Will take a shot at them at just under evens but may also look at them willing to nil which pays $3.00 at bet365.

                                                  CCM price plummeting , not sure if I see value anymore, price has dropped as much as 20c recently in most places. I assume this will be the public bet of the round, Perth are playing terrible while home fans have been booing their own team, they do have a tendency to concede late goals so we may have to sweat on this one a bit. Regardless let's hope their woes continue tonight.

                                                  Melbourne Derby, probably won't play it but if anything would have a lean towards the draw.

                                                  On a side note, MatI I may have attacked you in another thread over a comment you made.
                                                  My bad, I hadn't seen your posts before and thought you were some american fanboy, and whilst I don't agree with what you said,
                                                  I realise I can get quite aggressive trying to get a point across and usually if I don't get my way I can turn into an ass.
                                                  Comment
                                                  • ultrasouth
                                                    SBR MVP
                                                    • 12-23-10
                                                    • 1175

                                                    #760
                                                    I like Wellington ml also dont understand the high odds for them though.
                                                    Comment
                                                    • MatI
                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                      • 5200

                                                      #761
                                                      Originally posted by showtiime
                                                      CCM price plummeting , not sure if I see value anymore, price has dropped as much as 20c recently in most places. I assume this will be the public bet of the round, Perth are playing terrible while home fans have been booing their own team, they do have a tendency to concede late goals so we may have to sweat on this one a bit. Regardless let's hope their woes continue tonight.

                                                      On a side note, MatI I may have attacked you in another thread over a comment you made.
                                                      My bad, I hadn't seen your posts before and thought you were some american fanboy, and whilst I don't agree with what you said,
                                                      I realise I can get quite aggressive trying to get a point across and usually if I don't get my way I can turn into an ass.
                                                      All good brotha! Let's make some more $$$.

                                                      And yeah, CCM will be a big public play, but no way I could go for Perth. I don't think their season will improve any time soon.
                                                      Comment
                                                      • DarkNite
                                                        SBR Hall of Famer
                                                        • 10-12-09
                                                        • 5023

                                                        #762
                                                        Wellington = 1
                                                        Melbourne Heart = x
                                                        CCM = 2
                                                        My picks.
                                                        Comment
                                                        • Aussiecapper101
                                                          SBR MVP
                                                          • 09-04-10
                                                          • 2220

                                                          #763
                                                          Originally posted by showtiime
                                                          Yeah on wellington as well, jets only scored once on their travels this year while conceding a fair few, as mentioned, phoenix home form is more than decent and have only conceded once in their last 3 at home and that was against Sydney.
                                                          Will take a shot at them at just under evens but may also look at them willing to nil which pays $3.00 at bet365.

                                                          CCM price plummeting , not sure if I see value anymore, price has dropped as much as 20c recently in most places. I assume this will be the public bet of the round, Perth are playing terrible while home fans have been booing their own team, they do have a tendency to concede late goals so we may have to sweat on this one a bit. Regardless let's hope their woes continue tonight.

                                                          Melbourne Derby, probably won't play it but if anything would have a lean towards the draw.

                                                          On a side note, MatI I may have attacked you in another thread over a comment you made.
                                                          My bad, I hadn't seen your posts before and thought you were some american fanboy, and whilst I don't agree with what you said,
                                                          I realise I can get quite aggressive trying to get a point across and usually if I don't get my way I can turn into an ass.
                                                          respect
                                                          Comment
                                                          • cro
                                                            SBR MVP
                                                            • 09-16-09
                                                            • 1088

                                                            #764
                                                            wp 2 - 0
                                                            wp 1 - 0
                                                            wp 4 - 0
                                                            wp 3 - 1
                                                            wp 3 - 0
                                                            wp 3 - 0

                                                            last 6 results between WP and NJ
                                                            top is most recent.

                                                            -I wouldn't feel like travelling to NZ two days before christmas for a soccer game.
                                                            -There was more earthquakes. I'm not sure who that will effect.
                                                            Comment
                                                            • Aussiecapper101
                                                              SBR MVP
                                                              • 09-04-10
                                                              • 2220

                                                              #765
                                                              FRIDAY EARLY GAME PLAY:

                                                              WELLINGTON ML -104 (1.5 UNITS) pinnacle

                                                              WELLINGTON VS NEWCASTLE OVER 2 AND 2.5 -107 (3.5 UNITS) pinnacle

                                                              GL boys glad to see most of us on wellington!
                                                              Comment
                                                              • Aussiecapper101
                                                                SBR MVP
                                                                • 09-04-10
                                                                • 2220

                                                                #766
                                                                Originally posted by cro
                                                                wp 2 - 0
                                                                wp 1 - 0
                                                                wp 4 - 0
                                                                wp 3 - 1
                                                                wp 3 - 0
                                                                wp 3 - 0

                                                                last 6 results between WP and NJ
                                                                top is most recent.


                                                                I actually think this will be a good game
                                                                Comment
                                                                • Aussiecapper101
                                                                  SBR MVP
                                                                  • 09-04-10
                                                                  • 2220

                                                                  #767
                                                                  Originally posted by ultrasouth
                                                                  I like Wellington ml also dont understand the high odds for them though.
                                                                  Newcastle have quite a nice list of players of paper, Brocky is on fire too but Wellington should weather the storm as they say
                                                                  Comment
                                                                  • MatI
                                                                    SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                    • 02-17-11
                                                                    • 5200

                                                                    #768
                                                                    Originally posted by Aussiecapper101

                                                                    Newcastle have quite a nice list of players of paper, Brocky is on fire too but Wellington should weather the storm as they say
                                                                    I am little concerned with Ifill & Ward out. But we should be still good. GL!
                                                                    Comment
                                                                    • MatI
                                                                      SBR Hall of Famer
                                                                      • 02-17-11
                                                                      • 5200

                                                                      #769
                                                                      Originally posted by cro
                                                                      wp 2 - 0
                                                                      wp 1 - 0
                                                                      wp 4 - 0
                                                                      wp 3 - 1
                                                                      wp 3 - 0
                                                                      wp 3 - 0

                                                                      last 6 results between WP and NJ
                                                                      top is most recent.

                                                                      -I wouldn't feel like travelling to NZ two days before christmas for a soccer game.
                                                                      -There was more earthquakes. I'm not sure who that will effect.
                                                                      Those stats look good don't they!

                                                                      Earthquake was in Christchurch again, it looks like minimal damage and with Wellington 500km, all should be good..
                                                                      Comment
                                                                      • cro
                                                                        SBR MVP
                                                                        • 09-16-09
                                                                        • 1088

                                                                        #770
                                                                        Paul ifil is not playing. big factor.
                                                                        Comment
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