A-League Handicapping 2011/12

[Aussiecapper101]

Yeh nice work

[MatI]

Just seen the results now!! Well done fellas!

[gotov]

Congrats guys you's are on fire. I hope the win streak continues....

[Puda]

Sydney v Adelaide- Sydney hot favorites , but Nicky Carle is out, their best player in my opinion. & apparently Emerton is carrying an injury and might either start on the bench or miss this game. I'll have to see the starting XI. To add spice Kosmina has come back to coach the Reds, seems like an obvious tip .. but ill wait closer to the game tonight.

Spurs v Chelski - have Spurs as favorites, but apparently Bale is in doubt... Draw a big possibiblity, but leaning to Spurs at the moments.

Thoughts guys?? Aussie I see you've already hit up Sydney.

[MatI]

OFFICIAL A-LEAGUE PLAY - THURSDAY NIGHT

SYDNEY FC -0.5 AND -1 -120 (2.5 UNITS) pinnacle

GL - THE REST TO COME

Aussie, am thinking much the same, Syd FC should win this one, despite the new coach factor. Way to quick of a turn around to have any positive effect. I'd expect more of an improvement in the new year. I do not like the odds though, lots of juice and im worried its a sucker bet. I don't think Syd FC will win by more than 1 goal.

I think both teams to score - YES @ 2.05 is pretty tempting, or Over 2.5.

[MatI]

Sydney v Adelaide- Sydney hot favorites , but Nicky Carle is out, their best player in my opinion. & apparently Emerton is carrying an injury and might either start on the bench or miss this game. I'll have to see the starting XI. To add spice Kosmina has come back to coach the Reds, seems like an obvious tip .. but ill wait closer to the game tonight.

I'm not concerned with Carle being out, Cazarine I think will more than make up for that. But it does bother me that this will be a good chance for Sydney to rest Emerton completely or come off early. I had forgotten about it until you mentioned, but he was struggling a little wasnt he end of last match?

I am seriously considering Adelaide +1 @ 2.05 , but will prob wait for lineups.

[corst]

Good work

Good luck for your plays

[MatI]

Spurs v Chelski - have Spurs as favorites, but apparently Bale is in doubt... Draw a big possibiblity, but leaning to Spurs at the moments..

I'm a fan of these spurs. I think they smash chelsea. Draw is always a possibilty with these guys though, it will be a BIG match. IMO it's great value for spurs at home, even up against Chelsea.

[Aussiecapper101]

Adebayor is in doubt aswell tho is that correct?

[Aussiecapper101]

I'm not concerned with Carle being out, Cazarine I think will more than make up for that. But it does bother me that this will be a good chance for Sydney to rest Emerton completely or come off early. I had forgotten about it until you mentioned, but he was struggling a little wasnt he end of last match?

I am seriously considering Adelaide +1 @ 2.05 , but will prob wait for lineups.

Sydney have depth IMO and players probly hungry to prove themselves and this trip for Adelaide would just be mighty depressing before xmas and all. I do agree that the chances of Sydney winning are high but for them to win by more than 1 goal is hard to see right now.. what makes you like adelaide in this spot may I ask? I'm not being sarcastic or trying to talk you out of taking them cos I'd be the first to admit that my A-league capping hasnt been top class of late, its just I'd like to know what excites you about them tonight

[MatI]

I am in two minds on this game. I really can't decide! I should take it as a sign to just stay away.

I was originally thinking Sydney FC all the way. I think they have been under-rated so far this year.

It is not really what I like about Adelaide, but more what i DON'T like about Sydney: No Carle, and I have a feeling Emerton will either not be used in this game or rested early. Maybe i am thinking this through too much, but the odds for the WIN @ 1.63 seem like waaaay too much juice for a Syd FC team that havent put back to back wins together for over a month.

Thoughts?

[cro]

Sydney might win, but i dont see value. I think adelaide is worth a try.

here's my take.

Adelaide has not won in 5 games, they will be more desperate for the win.
They have a good squad, and were tipped as one of the favorites, so they are better than they have been.
This will be the first game under their new coach. Teams are know to turn around instantly when they get a new coach, for example look at sunderland.
They will try to impress the new coach.
Adelaide has beaten sydney 4 out of the 6 last games, twice in sydney.
Sydney fc are inconsistent and have only won back to back once this year, against in my opinion the worst teams.
No Carle means no play maker. When brisbane lost their play maker , and teams were paying $8 - $10 to beat them, we know what happened.

Only thing in Sydneys favor is it's a home game and if it rains, they are better in rain.

[Puda]

Adebayor is in doubt aswell tho is that correct?

Source?
Doubtful: Ledley King
Doubtful: Jermain Defoe
Doubtful: Gareth Bale
Doubtful: Ramires

I am in two minds on this game. I really can't decide! I should take it as a sign to just stay away.

I was originally thinking Sydney FC all the way. I think they have been under-rated so far this year.

It is not really what I like about Adelaide, but more what i DON'T like about Sydney: No Carle, and I have a feeling Emerton will either not be used in this game or rested early. Maybe i am thinking this through too much, but the odds for the WIN @ 1.63 seem like waaaay too much juice for a Syd FC team that havent put back to back wins together for over a month.

Thoughts?

Just had a look at the squads:

Jon McKain (suspended – 1 match), Sergio van Dijk (hip flexor) Big loses for Reds.

I think Sydney will win.. but odds are average.. might have to take the -1 for any value.

[MatI]

Just had a look at the squads:
Jon McKain (suspended – 1 match), Sergio van Dijk (hip flexor) Big loses for Reds.

Thanks for the heads up.

Also just read Emerton is in for this game. I still expect him to come off early.

http://www.brisbanetimes.com.au/sport/a-league/emerton-recovers-to-face-reds-but-carle-loss-means-midfield-reshuffle-20111220-1p3wr.html

Also, it has been raining in Sydney all morning. Pissing down apparently.

[Puda]

I think I may just stay away from this game ML wise.. I think I'll play the totals..

[Aussiecapper101]

The Adebayor doubtfulness I saw on the epl fantasy sight Puda so your info would be a lot more correct, that's why I was checking.. Cheers

[Puda]

Small plays again.

Sydney/Reds - Under 2.5 & Spurs/Chelski Draw - don't play totals often.. but ML sucks, I suspect with Carle out Sydney will struggle, but should still win 1-0, 2-0. Hopefully it continues to rain as well.

Spurs/Chelski Draw - not convinced of Spurs can beat Chelski... 1-1, 2-2.

gl fellas.

[ultrasouth]

Im from sydney and i can tell you guys its not raining. This morning it rained for abit but dont think the game will be affected by rain.

[gotov]

^you beat me to it Ultra. Dry, sunny and humid reporting from Homebush

[MatI]

^you beat me to it Ultra. Dry, sunny and humid reporting from Homebush

Thanks for the update.

[ultrasouth]

Looks like everybody is on the under for tonight's game. Im leaning towards the over.For some strange reason i think it might finish a 2-2 or 3-2 to sydney but i really dont want to bet on the over as the under has got me once too many this season in the a-league.Do i go with my gut feeling or follow the board

[MatI]

Looks like everybody is on the under for tonight's game. Im leaning towards the over.For some strange reason i think it might finish a 2-2 or 3-2 to sydney but i really dont want to bet on the over as the under has got me once too many this season in the a-league.Do i go with my gut feeling or follow the board

To be honest, my hunch is in agreement with you. I think there will be atleast 2 goals in this game. IMO, under/over is a flip of the coin and no play.

[MatI]

OFFICIAL A-LEAGUE PLAY - THURSDAY NIGHT

SYDNEY FC -0.5 AND -1 -120 (2.5 UNITS) pinnacle

GL - THE REST TO COME

After deliberating back and forth so many times, I can't go against ya amigo! I've taken the Sydney -0.5.

Let's keep killing the books!

[cro]

I like over. but not for a big bet.

[Puda]

lol 1-1 already .well played over fellas

[Aussiecapper101]

After deliberating back and forth so many times, I can't go against ya amigo! I've taken the Sydney -0.5.

Let's keep killing the books!

You hate me right now!! C'mon Sydney get ya heads out your asses

[cro]

Joke

[Aussiecapper101]

1-1

[MatI]

Was just about to lay another play on Sydney to score next goal. Missed it by about 30 seconds.

Don't stress aussie capper, already 1-1, and I think Sydney will be stronger 2nd half than adelaide.

[Aussiecapper101]

I have to go Xmas shopping tonight so I won't have any leans on the euro soccer tonight. There's nothing I like that much at first glance anyway.

Gl tonight amigos! lol. I will check in later

[Puda]

My under bombed... hope Blues scored +5 more goals.

[cro]

Atleast My analysis was right. cant help the ref.

[Puda]

Atleast My analysis was right. cant help the ref.

whats happened????

[MatI]

Atleast My analysis was right. cant help the ref.

Not sure how you can say that. Both were weak goals. I don't know why your feeling so hard done by already, its 1-1, anyone's game.

[cro]

it was 1-0 when a penalty should have been given to adelaide possibly making it 2-0 ..... then its a new game.
He gave a penalty to sydney (which is fair enough if he was being consistent) that put them back in it, they were being out played until then.

He will probably give a red card to an adelaide player too. That sydney player pulled the shit out of ramseys jersey, but only ramsey got a card for his reaction.