nice call
thanks a lot
thanks a lot
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Result: 2-1
Åtvidaberg pretty much shut Assyriskas offense down in the second half, they dident create much themselves but managed to score 2-0. Then there where some uneccesary drama at the end when a Åtvidaberg defender clearly touched the ball with his arm in a duel. Penalty! which the goalkeeper saved but Ishak managed to score on the rebound. Then Åtvid stalled for 6minutes and won deservingly in the end.Comment -
Elfsborg - Mjällby AIF, under 2.5 @ 2.00 (2x)
A simple analysis of this game is that Mjällbys tactical approach is very clear, to play dirty, make it tough for Elfsborg and defend for their lives. Obviously they will come up on the occasional counter but I think their attack will be too weak without El Kabir (thigh injury). Ekenberg have not been anywhere near as good as last season, he has only scored once. American Petrone will fill up the vacant spot up front, a player I know absolutely nothing about with the exception that hes 21 years old and has got to play in two games. Mjällbys biggest strenght is their defense which has only conceded 8 goals in 10 games. The statistics also confirms my thoughts on the attack which only has scored 8 goals and 5 of them by El Kabir! The total goalaverage tallys up to 1.6 goals per game, same number both at home and on the road.
Elfsborg is clearly the best side here even though Mjällby have performed very well lately, much thanks to El Kabir. As of now Elfsborg are right behind top duo Kalmar, Helsingborg but HIF has the advantage of having played less games (9). Its no shocker that this team has scored most goals at home 12 in 5 games. Yet, attacking duo Nilsson/Elm have not managed to work well together which made coach Haglund change the formation and only play one lone striker (Nilsson). There are much talent (Larsson, Hult, Hiljemark) mixed with experienced players like Anders Svensson and Martin Ericsson in midfield. They will dictate the game like always at home, but Mjällby will certaintly make them work for it. Last year this meeting ended 2-0 and I predict 1-0 or 2-0 scoreline here.
Note the following:
1. Elfsborg have played all 5 games @ home over 2.5
2. Mjällby has played 3/5 games @ away under 2.5
3. This is the first match after a short two week break, so players might feel a little rusty
4. Goalaverage in Allsvenskan is lower than usual this year, only 2.32 per/game and 56% of all games goes underComment -
Since I posted the odds have moved to 1.80Comment -
Good Luck on your pick Mr. Kitty, i agree with you, i'm tailingComment -
Mr Kitty....
Nice write up.......I wish you luck withe your pick on the under....I'll be sitting this one out as this game was part of my final cut......I too capped this to be a "rockum-sockum" game with potential for low scoring but didn't pull the trigger as I fear Elfborg could light up the board in this because of their superior talent and playing with energy at home.........I thought long and hard about possibly taking Elfsborg to win but if it is a rough and tumble game it could end in a draw........so no play for me but I'll be watching and wishing you good fortune!
SHARPISGOODComment -
Mr Kitty....solid information and opinion...BOLComment -
Result: 4-0
I was partly right but still wrong. Mjällby did not score, thats the part I was right about, I contemplated Elfsborg to win and keep a clean sheet @ 2.50 but I chose to play the under. I simply chose the wrong type of play and I stick by it.
Thanks for commenting, I try to be so informative and clear as possible, it just doesnt work out sometimes.Comment -
MR. Kitty.....
Good to hear you are a capper with their head on straight........yep......all we can do is cap.....form the game in our minds and go with what we think.......in the long run that is the formula to winning more than losing when it comes to sports wagering.......I saw that game the same way.......as mentioned earlier........but in my eyes it was that toss up in decision that kept me from either losing or winning in that particular game....
Your good........time to move to the next game
Good luck and great capping to you
SHARPISGOODComment -
Nybergsund - Lov-Ham, Nybergsund @ 2.15 (3x)
Game from Adeccoligaen in Norway. I like the home team's chance of getting three points today. This team is solid at home, where they took 11 out of 15 points so far, representing their entire harvest points in the league. Transferred in statistics, this corresponds to 3W-2D-0L and 10-6 in goal difference. Wins over Kongsvinger, Sandes Ulf and Sandefjord, teams that have so far proven to be floppy and weak in the away game. Both Kongsvinger and Sandefjord are expected to end up on the top half, which is natural when it went out of the top division last year. For today's clash home team are missing key players Traore, forward (9 games, 4 goals) and midfielder Williams (6 matches).
Lov-Ham have lost and may be difficult to follow up on last year's fourth place. The club is suffering from bad economy which made it unable to recruit a few profiles. The poor results have demanded change, a new coach was appointed, but has not made any success yet. To mark the occasion they also a lack several key players, midfielder Ehiorobo (7 games, 2 goals), defender Olsen (6 games), midfielder Hansen (6 matches, 1 goal), midfielder Økland (2 matches), U-21 player Kallevik, midfielder Næs (6 games) and finally and most importantly, captain and midfielder Storesund (9 games, 2 goals). In addition, defender/midfielder Kaland (8 matches) is uncertain to start. Added together, these players have made five of the team's six goals this season. An extensive injury list, which means that the squad is thin and most young untested players get the chance.
Lov-Ham is yet to score away from home and face a difficult task with so many injuries. Odds for home win must be very good regardless the outcome. When so many players are missing, its hard to predict how good the team will be. Up to today, they sport a 0-2-2 record away with 0:3 in goals. Focus will be on defense even today, I believe, however Nybergsund have a great chance here and hopefully will score goals on them sooner or later.
I try a little bigger stake because of the presumed value while its still there.Comment -
Jönköpings Södra - Östers IF, Östers IF X2 @ 1.70 (1.5x)
Game from Superettan in Sweden. Its time for a derby clash! Jönköping Södra have a harder time at home than away, where they played really good. Home record is 2-0-3 with 6:6 in goal difference. Losses have come against Landskrona, Falkenberg and Degerfors. None of the two wins are really that impressive, sure they scored 5 times against weak and by that time injury plauged Västerås. The win against Åtvidaberg looks impressive on paper but in reality Åtvid got an early red card. Despite one man more and being a goal up they played poorly and gave the initiative to Åtvid who came close to scoring on several occasions. Their current form is okay, 3-0-3 with 11:11 in goals last six games.
Öster is a team that will be much better this year, they underperformed last season. Away game did not work at all, but the team has already started well with 1-3-1 and 7:4 in goal difference. The one loss came against Brommapojkarna whom looks very solid. They have also met other strong teams like Degerfors (3-3), Ljungskile (0-0), Assyriska (0-0) and Falkenberg (0-4, not really a strong team). Its clear that I rate those opponents higher then those of whom J-Södra has met at home. Their current form is good, coming of two straight wins and 3-2-1, 9:2 in goals last six games.
Key players Cederlund, forward (8 games, 4 goals) and midfielder Östlundh (10 games) are both missing for J-Södra. For Öster key defender Karlsson (10 games) is suspended, at the same time they get back defender Lindblad (5 games) and midfielder Vidarsson (8 games, 2 goals) compared to last game (0-4 win against Falkenberg).
Öster should have a good chance to claim new points in this matchup, the draw looks like a fair result but I'll settle with the X2 on the away team in a bit better shape.Comment -
i took the under in the sodra osters game, also i like the draw ,Comment -
what do you think Alta ML?
I am on it :-)Comment -
Good luck
I can recommend you to check Alta´s lineup before the game. A few players are doubtful, defenders Vasilev (7 games) and Braaten (8 games, 1 goal), as well as striker Vegard Braaten who is vital with 10 goals in 9 games! Midfielder Brekke (7 games, 1 goal) is injured compared to last game. I would definitely stay away if Vegard and both defenders does not play.
Good luck
Edit: Neither topscorer Vegard Braaten or captain and defender Thomas Braaten are able to play.Comment -
Good luck!!!Comment -
Nybergsund 1-0 down so early!!!!!!!!!!!!Comment -
You're on a good track Mr Kitty keep going
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Up and down game, a lot of goals, bad finishGood luck I can recommend you to check Alta´s lineup before the game. A few players are doubtful, defenders Vasilev (7 games) and Braaten (8 games, 1 goal), as well as striker Vegard Braaten who is vital with 10 goals in 9 games! Midfielder Brekke (7 games, 1 goal) is injured compared to last game. I would definitely stay away if Vegard and both defenders does not play.
Good luck
Edit: Neither topscorer Vegard Braaten or captain and defender Thomas Braaten are able to play.
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Byasen - Rosenborg II Over 3.5 goals
Orn - Tromso II Over 3.5 goals
Skeid - Hasle/Loren Over 3.5 goals
These games are all in Norway second division Group 1 the first game, and Group 4 the other 2 games
Good Luck guys
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Am i suppose to answer that PickApprentice ?Comment -
Guys doont pay attention to unsuitable comments
Metanoia nice picks in Norway, only problem is the Tromso game that Orn team have not scored a single goal in 2-3 games in a row. So I was actually thinking taking Tromso B ML good value and might hit. GL to all
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Thanks Mr. Kitty
Escou i think you're right they're having a hard time hitting those nets 0-0 at HT, good luck on your pick
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the only thing i could find on tromso is a play on the 16th???Comment -
Hi sfi50 the game already ended, Orn won 3-0, we needed another goal to win the bet
The other 2 games are looking goodComment -
Byasen - Rosenborg II Over we can cash already, result is 3-1 now
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Good luck, Kitty
Nice write up!Comment -
Skeid is winning 3-1 so we can cash that Over too 2-1 today with profit
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